A Web Page Can Be Edited

Start by inverting the usual telling.

The story is normally arranged as extraction. A man supplies an improbable biography, institutions believe it, and he takes from them what the biography is worth. Cambridge is the victim. The honorary degrees were obtained. The keynotes were procured.

Look at March 2023 and ask who was short of what.

Jason Arday wanted a chair. Cambridge wanted an answer. It had five Black professors and three years of questions about that number, and no fast way to change it, since a professoriate turns over across decades. Then a candidate appeared whose appointment answered the question in a single sentence that every newspaper in the world would print for free.

He got a job. The university got a paragraph it could put in front of any critic for a decade.

I am not sure the exchange favored him.

That reframing is the beginning of a different question about this affair, which is not who lied but who is holding the position now, and what each holder is able to do about it.

Reputation behaves like an asset in one respect that turns out to govern everything here. Some holdings can be sold quietly and some cannot, and the difference has nothing to do with how much anyone believed.

Consider the quiet sellers.

Southampton Solent published a press release in July 2023 saying Arday had raised over £5 million for eighty charities across eighteen years, and that he had run three hundred miles in three days and six hundred miles in six. Sometime around July 31, 2026, the page acquired the words “as part of several fundraising collectives,” and the running claims came out.

Anglia Ruskin’s honorary award page carried the six-day version through February 28, 2026. By July 21 it said twelve days, and the fundraising figure had grown the same qualifying clause. That page is a transcript of a citation read aloud in a hall in 2024, so the current text misreports what a room full of graduands heard.

Simon & Schuster’s speakers bureau got there first. Between May 19 and July 24, 2025, more than a year before any of this broke publicly, the £5.5 million became “millions of pounds,” and the running feats disappeared.

None of those institutions announced anything. Each reduced its exposure and left the appearance of its earlier position intact. That is a sale executed without a trade being reported, and it is available to any organization whose commitment lives on a server it controls.

Now consider who cannot do that.

On July 28, 2026, thirty-eight people put their names to a letter stating that entirely false allegations had been made and that investigations had found no evidence whatsoever. Three heads of Cambridge colleges. Five members of the House of Lords. Six members of Parliament. The general secretary of the National Education Union. The director of Cambridge’s autism research centre. Thirteen thousand more signed underneath them within days.

A signature is a position that cannot be closed. It can be recanted, which is a different and more expensive transaction, or it can be left alone and hoped over. There is no edit button.

So the affair sorted its participants by an attribute nobody was thinking about at the time. Institutions that expressed their belief in editable text have already reduced their holdings. People who expressed it in a name are carrying full exposure. And the two groups made the same judgment about the same man; only the instrument differed.

That is worth stating as a general form. The capacity to revise quietly is a species of capital, it is unequally held, and it is invisible until the repricing starts.

The largest position belongs to Cambridge, and Cambridge has no way to sell it at all.

The university did not merely employ him. In 2023 it published his biography as a statement about the university, which converted a man into evidence about an institution. Every subsequent defense has followed from that. A spokesman called him the victim of a campaign against his credibility. The university said investigations belong to the awarding institution, which is procedurally correct and functions as a reason not to look.

A holder who cannot mark down without marking himself down does not mark down. He waits, and hopes the price recovers, and if it does not, he arranges for the asset to leave on its own initiative so that no sale is ever recorded. That is the likeliest ending here, and it will be described as a personal decision.

Simon & Schuster is the most sophisticated actor in the affair, and deserves study.

It hedged the speaker biography in mid-2025 and kept the book. It has said publication will proceed in all formats on the scheduled date, and Routledge has said the same about his academic titles. That is a firm that reduced its cheap exposure early and retained its expensive one, because the expensive one now has an option attached: a memoir by a man at the center of a national controversy has a different sales profile from a memoir by an inspiring professor, and possibly a better one.

Notoriety converts. That is the part people miss when they assume Arday is the one being destroyed.

Which raises the question of what he actually loses.

His scholarly standing, certainly, and the possibility of a normal academic career. But the public identity that generated the honorary degrees and the keynote fees was never a scholarly identity. It was an inspirational one, and the market for that identity has not obviously closed. He has a book in three weeks, publishers standing behind him, a university defending him, and thirteen thousand people on record calling the allegations false. He has told the Times he did not murder anybody. He has said his critics have positioned him as a liar and a fantasist and that the cruelty is unacceptable.

Those are the moves of a man who has read the market correctly.

Now the losers, and the first of them had nothing to do with any of it.

The field is sociology of education. John Preston described it to the Guardian as fragile, staffed primarily by Black, Asian and minoritized scholars, with Arday at or near the top of it worldwide. Every one of those scholars will spend the next decade being asked, in interviews and grant panels and hiring committees, a question they did nothing to invite. Their work will be read by people looking for something.

There is no version of this affair in which they do not pay. Clearing him costs them, because the clearance will not be believed by the people already disposed to doubt. Condemning him costs them, because the condemnation will be generalized. The bill arrives regardless of the verdict, and it arrives at addresses that had no part in the transaction.

Second, Times Higher Education. It commissioned the work, assembled sixty-three pages of comparisons, brought in an outside reviewer who told it there was extensive plagiarism, and then received a letter from Carter-Ruck and killed the story. It spent the money, took the risk of the reporting, and captured none of the return. Ten months later the material surfaced elsewhere, and the publication that had it first is now a paragraph in other people’s accounts, appearing as the outlet that folded.

That is the worst outcome available in journalism. Better to have never looked.

Third, and this is the one worth sitting with.

Paula Zwozdiak-Myers submitted a doctoral thesis at Brunel in 2009. She has had a career since. Her name has now entered public life in Britain for the first time, and it has entered as a possessive: the woman whose thesis was allegedly copied.

She gains nothing. There is no status in having been the source. The work was already hers and its being hers is not news; only the theft would be news, and the news belongs to the man accused of it. If the allegation is upheld she will be a footnote in his scandal. If it is dismissed she will be a footnote in his vindication. She did not choose either role and has, so far as I can find, said nothing publicly.

Status flows to whoever can tell a story about a wrong. It does not flow to whoever was wronged. Everyone involved in this affair has a narrative except the person at the bottom of the paper trail.

Fourth, the checkers, and here the accounting is stranger than it looks.

David Harris, an emeritus professor who had already lost and regained a title once. Nathan Cofnas, sacked from a college fellowship, now in Belgium. Benjamin Ryan, a freelance journalist working the Internet Archive. David Sanders, a biochemist at Purdue. Retraction Watch. An anonymous blog.

They have been vindicated, and the vindication buys them nothing they want.

Standing is not fungible across fields. Cofnas wants to be a philosopher at a good university. Being right about a plagiarism dossier does not purchase that and will not, because the market that could grant it is precisely the market that has ruled him out. What he gains is standing in a counter-elite that already agreed with him, which is the least valuable currency available, since it was already his.

A man who is correct in a field he has been expelled from has won an argument in a room he cannot enter.

That structure explains something about why these cases run the way they do. The reward for checking is denominated in a currency the checker cannot spend, and the punishment for checking is denominated in the currency he needs. Anyone deciding whether to look can work this out in advance.

Fifth, Simon Baron-Cohen, whose exposure is doubled in a way that has not been discussed.

He organized a letter in September 2025 and signed another in July 2026. Both concerned racism, and neither says anything about anyone’s diagnosis. But he directs Cambridge’s autism research centre, and Arday has since told the Times that his method of making sense of information relied heavily on mimicry, offering that as the explanation for errors in his early work.

That proposition, left standing, is a claim about autistic researchers, entered into the national record on their behalf by a man who did not consult them. The person in Britain with the most standing to address it is the person who has twice put his name to the defense.

Sixth, and this one is a gain rather than a loss, so it belongs at the end of the list rather than the middle.

The Guardian profiled him admiringly in July 2023 and investigated him in August 2026, and it will be credited for both. This is the strongest position anyone occupies in the affair. An institution capable of performing construction and deconstruction under the same masthead captures value twice from the same subject, and is never required to reconcile the two performances, because the second one is presented as journalism doing its job rather than as a correction of the first.

Nobody will ask the paper how a figure of more than five million pounds got into a profile in 2023 without a single question about which charities.

Which is the finding, if there is one.

The status that was created between 2010 and 2026 was created out of nothing anyone verified, and it was distributed widely and cheaply. Everybody marked up. A university, four honorary degree committees, a learned society, a publisher, a charity sector, a television network, a newspaper, thirteen thousand signatories and one man all recorded a gain, and none of it came at anyone’s expense at the time.

The repricing is the first moment at which anyone has to say what he actually knows.

And the losses are falling almost entirely on people who never held the asset. A woman who wrote a thesis in 2009. A discipline full of scholars who never met him. A publication that did the work and buried it.

The holders are mostly fine. Some of them sold in the dark last month.

Notes

The appointment and the university’s position

Cambridge announced the appointment on February 22, 2023. Reporting at the time noted that the university had five Black professors. The Guardian‘s admiring profile ran on July 11, 2023. The same paper’s investigation ran on August 1, 2026, under Lanre Bakare’s byline, and is the source for John Preston’s remarks about the fragility of the field.

Cambridge’s statement that Arday was the victim of a campaign against his credibility, and its position that investigations belong to the awarding institution: “Exclusive: News outlet killed story on plagiarism allegations after Cambridge prof hired law firm,” Retraction Watch, July 27, 2026. This is also the source for the sixty-three page dossier assembled by Times Higher Education in September 2025, for David Sanders’s review of it, and for the Carter-Ruck letter that ended the story.

The quiet sales

Benjamin Ryan, “Jason Arday Said He’s Not a Liar. The Receipts On His Charity Claims Say: Decide for Yourself,” Hazard Ratio, August 1, 2026. The archive-by-archive reconstruction on which the dated edits below rest.

Southampton Solent, archived May 19, 2025 and archived July 31, 2026 with the collectives clause added

Anglia Ruskin‘s honorary award citation, a transcript of a 2024 speech. Archived October 8, 2024. Unedited on February 28, 2026. Edited by July 21, 2026

Simon & Schuster speakers bureau, archived September 10, 2024 with the £5.5 million and the running feats and archived July 24, 2025 after the revision. Current

The signatures

Good Law Project, “Stand in solidarity with Jason Arday,” opened July 28, 2026, with the thirty-eight named signatories

The publishers

Jason Arday’s publishers to ‘go ahead as planned’ despite plagiarism row,” The Bookseller, July 31, 2026 and “Publisher stands by Jason Arday memoir amid plagiarism allegations,” UnHerd, July 29, 2026

The interview

Fiona Hamilton and Emma Yeomans, “Jason Arday: I am not a liar, says star academic accused of plagiarism,” The Times, July 31, 2026. Source for his response to the allegations and for the account of mimicry offered as an explanation of errors in his early work.

A note on Paula Zwozdiak-Myers

She has made no public statement that I can find, and nothing in this essay should be read as speaking for her or as characterizing her view of any of it. The allegation concerning the overlap between the two theses remains an allegation; Liverpool John Moores investigated and cleared Arday, and a panel concluded in March 2026 that the citation problems amounted to honest and reasonable error. What is not in dispute is that her name has entered British public life attached to someone else’s controversy, and that she chose none of it.

Baron-Cohen

The September 2025 letter circulated by Simon Baron-Cohen and Ricardo Sabates was reported by The Telegraph, July 25, 2026, syndicated here. Both letters concern allegations of racism, and neither is a statement about anyone’s diagnosis.

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By That Standard

Tom Wolfe (1930-2018) put the whole operation into one telephone call, and he did it forty years ago.

In The Bonfire of the Vanities, Peter Fallow of the City Light needs a fact about a boy in a coma. He rings the boy’s English teacher at a high school in the Bronx on a Saturday afternoon. Zane Rifkind is in his driveway drinking beer and making a for-sale sign for his Thunderbird, and he does not want to talk, and he answers every question honestly anyway.

Fallow asks whether Henry Lamb is an outstanding student. Rifkind says outstanding is not a word they use at that school. Fallow asks whether he is a good student. Rifkind says good does not work either, the question is whether a boy attends class. Fallow asks about written work. Rifkind laughs and says there has been no written work at the school in fifteen years, maybe twenty, only multiple-choice reading comprehension, because that is what the Board of Education counts. Fallow asks about reading comprehension. Rifkind says he would have to look it up.

Then Fallow does the thing.

He asks Rifkind to define the standard. Rifkind obliges. At his school, he says, an honor student is a boy who attends class, does not disrupt it, tries, and manages reading and arithmetic. Fallow immediately says: by that standard, is Henry Lamb an honor student?

By that standard, yes.

The next morning the paper says honor student, and the standard is not in the building.

Nobody lied. Rifkind said something true. Fallow printed something true. The conditional that made it true was present in the conversation, was stated aloud by the teacher, was assented to by both men, and did not survive the trip to the composing room.

I have been writing about claims that inflate as they pass through institutions, and about how the qualification is always the first thing to go. Wolfe had the finding in 1987 and put it in a scene instead of a framework, which is why it has stayed readable and the frameworks have not.

Watch the two moves separately, because they are different crimes.

The first is the stripped conditional. This is the ordinary one, the one that requires nobody’s dishonesty. A speaker qualifies a claim. The qualification is a burden on him and a nuisance to whoever repeats it. The repeater is the one holding the pencil. So the qualification goes, and what remains is shorter, more usable, and no longer testable, because the conditional was the testable part. Fallow does not need to deceive Rifkind. He needs only to let Rifkind supply a definition and then decline to print it.

The second is worse and Wolfe buries it where a fast reader will miss it. The quotation the paper attributes to Rifkind is invented. In print he says the situation is tragic, that Henry belongs to that remarkable fraction of students who overcome the obstacles of life in the South Bronx and concentrate on their studies and their futures, that one can only wonder what he might have achieved in college. He said none of that. He said the range at his school runs from cooperative to life-threatening and asked twice not to be quoted.

So the reader gets a manufactured sentiment in quotation marks and a technically defensible word outside them, and the manufactured one is the one that carries the piece. Wolfe understood that the fabricated quote does the emotional work while the laundered word does the factual work, and that a paper which would never invent a fact will invent a feeling.

Notice who in that chapter knows the most and who is most exposed by knowing it.

Rifkind knows the school has assigned no written work in fifteen years. He knows what the enrollment figures mean, sixty-five at the start of the year, forty by midwinter, thirty at the end. He knows the boys are boys and that he is not supposed to say so. He states his central finding in Latin, that nothing comes from nothing, to a man who lets it pass without comment. And twice he asks not to be quoted, because he understands that in his position accurate knowledge is a liability and the only safe form of it is the unattributed kind.

The honest man in the room is the one trying to get off the phone.

That is not a comment on his character. It is a description of his incentives, and the incentives are the same everywhere the claim travels. Rifkind gains nothing by being right about Ruppert and loses his job if he is quoted being right about it. Fallow gains a front page. The paper gains a circulation war. Reverend Bacon and Albert Vogel gain a demonstration. The only person in the chain with a reason to keep the conditional attached is the man who will be punished for stating it.

Wolfe also has the carrier group, seventeen years before the sociology of cultural trauma named it. Vogel rings Fallow to feed him the tip about the Motor Vehicle Bureau. Bacon is holding the story for him, exclusive, and Vogel tells him to run with it. The mother is credible, the flat is orderly, there are pictures on the walls. Fallow has visited that apartment exactly once, with Vogel and one of Bacon’s men, and never returned, and by the following week his standing at the paper as an intrepid explorer of the lower depths is high enough that he does not care to correct the impression.

The reporter’s biography inflates alongside the subject’s, out of the same material, at the same rate. That is a detail I have never seen in the academic literature and it is the sort of thing only a novelist reporting from inside a newsroom would think to include.

And there is Sherman McCoy shouting about the car. They keep calling it a luxury car, he says, and it is only a Mercedes. He is right and it does not help him. The paper needs an adjective that carries a charge, and the accurate noun carries none. Every one of these stories runs on a descriptor chosen for its symbolic voltage rather than its precision. Luxury sedan. Poster boy. Youngest ever. The word is doing work the fact cannot do, and arguing about the fact does not touch the word.

Now the disanalogy, because the resonance breaks in one place and the break is the point.

Henry Lamb is unconscious. He makes no claim about himself, has no memoir coming, gives no keynote. Everything built on him is built without him. His mother believes what she says. Rifkind says nothing false. The reporter commits one fabrication and one omission. And the machine still produces a saint out of a boy nobody in the chain has any reason to sanctify.

That is Wolfe’s harder claim, and it is easy to miss because the novel is usually read as satire on race and money. The apparatus does not require the subject’s participation. It required no dishonesty from Rifkind, no calculation from Annie Lamb, and no consciousness at all from Henry. Give it a usable case and it will produce the figure it needs, and it will produce him out of true statements if true statements are what it has.

Which is the uncomfortable implication for any case where the subject did participate. The instinct is to run the whole explanation through him. He inflated, he embellished, he supplied the story, and everyone else was deceived. Wolfe’s scene says the chain would have generated most of it anyway. Rifkind’s honesty was no obstacle. The conditional was stated and printed away. The subject’s cooperation makes the process faster and is not the reason it works.

There is one more thing in that phone call and it is the best line in it.

Fallow, running out of angles, asks whether Rifkind can tell him anything at all about Henry Lamb’s performance or aptitude, anything at all. Rifkind answers by describing the class. Sixty-five students at the start of the year because the administration knows it will be forty by midwinter. Thirty by June, and thirty is still too many. He is not being evasive. He is telling the reporter that the question has no answer, that the school does not produce the kind of information the question assumes, and that any number he supplied would be an artifact of the asking.

The reporter hears a man failing to give him a quote.

Most of the time, when a source cannot answer a question, he is not withholding. He is reporting that the world does not contain the fact. There is no way to print that, so it does not get printed, and the story runs with a word that was true in the room and false on the page.

By that standard, yes.

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The Man Who Would Not Vouch

Near the end of A Man in Full, Charlie Croker stands at a podium in Atlanta with the mayor behind him and declines to say what he has been paid to say.

The deal was simple. Wes Jordan, the young Black mayor, believes the city will burn if a Georgia Tech running back named Fareek Fanon is arrested for raping the daughter of a rich white businessman. Croker was a Georgia Tech hero in his own day and carries weight with white Atlanta. If he holds a press conference and declares Fanon innocent, the mayor will intervene with the bank that is dismantling him.

Croker knows nothing about the case. He assumes Fanon did it. The accuser’s father is his friend. And he needs the money more than he has ever needed anything.

He gets to the podium, says he has been threatened with ruin unless he vouches for a man he cannot vouch for, tells his creditors to come and take everything, and walks out.

Tom Wolfe (1930-2018) published that in 1998. In July 2026, thirteen thousand people signed a letter stating that plagiarism allegations against a Cambridge professor were entirely false, and among the first thirty-eight signatories were three heads of Cambridge colleges, five members of the House of Lords, six MPs, and the director of the university’s autism research centre. Almost none of them had read either of the two doctoral theses at issue. The letter’s assurance was a character reference, produced because institutions needed one to exist.

Wolfe wrote the scene of a man refusing to supply it. Nobody has yet written the scene of thirteen thousand people supplying it for free.

Wolfe is periodically enlisted as a truth-teller about Black behavior, which is a socially radioactive claim. You can make a more polite argument that his subject is white institutional need. In each of these episodes the moral weight falls on the people with the money and the letterhead, and the Black figures in the frame are responding rationally to a demand that somebody else created and advertised. That is why he stayed publishable for fifty years while writing material nobody else would touch, and it is also what makes the work bear on a Cambridge plagiarism scandal.

Start with an early case.

Mau-Mauing the Flak Catchers, 1970. The San Francisco poverty program had money to distribute and no way to tell a real community organization from a man who walked in claiming one. It had no membership rolls, no audits, no method. What it had was a room, a scheduled meeting, and a bureaucrat whose job was to absorb whatever came through the door.

So the program selected on the only signal available, which was the performance. The groups that got funded were the ones that arrived in numbers, made noise, and frightened the man behind the desk. Wolfe reports that Samoans did unusually well because they were large. The confrontations were theater with a script both sides understood, and the flak catcher’s function was to take the abuse and produce a check.

Wolfe’s charge is against the program. It specified the performance, advertised the specification, paid for compliance, and then affected surprise at the performers it attracted.

That is a complete theory of a selection problem, written thirty-four years before the sociology of cultural trauma got around to carrier groups, and it applies to a system that rewards a particular biography and then expresses astonishment when biographies of that kind keep arriving.

Radical Chic is the same year and the same operation in a penthouse on Park Avenue. Leonard Bernstein (1918-1990) and his guests are certifying the Black Panthers as authentic, and the criterion of authenticity is menace, which is a standard no amount of reporting could confirm or refute. The detail that carries the essay is the staffing. The Bernsteins could not have Black servants passing canapés to Black revolutionaries, so they hired South Americans. Wolfe understood that the entire evening was a problem of staging.

He is fairer to the Panthers than to the hosts. The Panthers want money and say so. The hosts want to be observed wanting to give it.

In The Bonfire of the Vanities the phrase is the Great White Defendant. Abe Weiss, the Bronx district attorney, convicts Black and Puerto Rican defendants every day of the year and needs a white one before the election, because the legitimacy of his office depends on it. The need precedes the case. When Sherman McCoy appears, he is not discovered so much as filled in.

The other half runs through Reverend Bacon, whose funding from the Episcopal diocese is nominally for a day-care center. Wolfe’s suggestion is that the white donors would rather not learn what the money does, because learning would oblige them to act on it. The day-care center that does not quite exist is the same object as a five-and-a-half-million-pound fundraising total attributed to collectives whose members are said to be covered by non-disclosure agreements.

And then A Man in Full.

Notice what the mayor’s motive is. It is not justice and it is not the truth about Fanon, a question the novel never resolves and never pretends to resolve. It is riot prevention. Jordan is a competent politician managing a city, and buying a testimonial from a bankrupt white businessman is the cheapest available instrument. Croker is a bigot who assumes the worst about Fanon and would say the opposite for money. Inman Armholster wants his daughter’s account believed and will not let her go to the police. Everyone is acting rationally. Nobody is lying. And the process cannot produce a true statement about what happened in that dorm room, because no participant has any reason to produce one.

That it is the structure of the Arday affair.

Liverpool John Moores investigated a doctorate it had awarded and cleared it. Cambridge said the responsibility lay with the awarding institution and called the allegations a smear. A publication with a sixty-three page dossier of text comparisons dropped the story on receipt of a letter from a defamation firm. Simon & Schuster is publishing the memoir on schedule. A campaigning organization is collecting signatures. Every one of those actors is behaving sensibly given its position, and the arrangement has no station at which a person with the power to find out has a reason to want to.

Wolfe also always includes the broker, and the broker is usually the one who decides what the story will be. Albert Vogel and Reverend Bacon hand Peter Fallow his exclusive and tell him to run with it. Roger White III, called Roger Too White, moves between Croker and the mayor and is the only man in the novel who understands both rooms. He is also Wolfe’s best Black character, precisely because he is given a status problem of his own rather than a function.

The brokers’ interests match neither the institution’s nor the subject’s. They are paid in access and relevance, both of which increase with the intensity of the conflict. A man whose standing depends on there being a fight will reliably locate one.

Now the adaptation, which is the reason for writing any of this down.

David E. Kelley (b. 1956) made A Man in Full into six compelling Netflix episodes in May 2024. The Fanon storyline is deleted. There is no Black athlete, no accusation, no white heiress, no purchased press conference, no dilemma for Croker at all.

In its place, the mayor schemes to expose a decades-old sexual assault committed by his opponent in the mayoral race, a right-wing challenger named Norman Raymond, and he is portrayed by actor Peter Pasco, and the accuser is a woman played by Lucy Liu. The accused is white.

Conrad Hensley, the white warehouse worker from Oakland whose imprisonment and discovery of Epictetus form the philosophical spine of the novel, is recast as a Black man in Atlanta, played by Jon Michael Hill, convicted of assaulting a violent police officer over a parking dispute and freed at trial by Roger White.

And the Stoicism is gone, which means the adaptation removed Wolfe’s diagnosis and his remedy in the same pass and kept the corporate melodrama.

Set the two racial substitutions side by side. A Black man accused of raping a white woman becomes a white politician accused of assaulting a woman. A white man brutalized by the criminal justice system becomes a Black man brutalized by a police officer.

Both changes move the material toward a permitted configuration. In 1998 a major American novelist could publish the other one and win a place on every bestseller list in the country. In 2024 it could not be filmed.

This is evidence about a market, twenty-six years apart, and about which arrangements of accuser and accused a production can afford to put on screen. The rearrangement tells you the template requires a defensible target, in the same way the trauma template requires a permitted victim. Both requirements are commercial, social, moral, and political.

Two things about Wolfe’s work that the enthusiasts leave out.

His Black characters are thinner than his white ones. Sherman McCoy, Larry Kramer, Charlie Croker, Conrad Hensley and Peter Fallow have interiors, contradictions and self-deceptions rendered from inside. Reverend Bacon and Fareek Fanon are surfaces. Wolfe worked in types generally, and the distribution of interiority is uneven, and Roger Too White is the exception that shows he could have done it elsewhere.

And the reading that makes him a racial thinker extracts one axis from a body of work that ran the same operation on everyone available. He did it to WASP bond traders, Jewish assistant district attorneys, art critics, Bauhaus architects, feminist demonstrators, Cuban policemen, Miami Russians, and the entire Baby Boom generation. A satirist who spares nobody is not making an argument about any group.

What he did have, and what is rare, is a method for saying unwelcome things and surviving.

He wrote as a reporter of status rather than as an advocate. He never advanced a policy claim. He aimed the moral charge at elites, who cannot claim victim standing and whose discomfort makes good copy. He wrote in a register mannered enough that the material arrived as comedy. In Hooking Up he reported the firing of a federal mental health administrator over remarks about a primate study, described two National Institutes of Health conferences on genetics and criminality that were shut down or disrupted, said he took the heritability of intelligence seriously, and predicted that the fight over Charles Murray (b. 1943) and Richard Herrnstein (1930-1994) was only beginning. He described what people did and declined to say what should be done, and there is consequently no sentence in the corpus that can be quoted as a program.

Whether that constitutes courage or a well-managed career is a fair question.

The Right Stuff recounts that Kennedy wanted a Black astronaut, that a captain named Ed Dwight (b. 1933) was put forward, and that NASA declined to select him over those with more merit. Dwight has given a very different account of how he was treated at the test pilot school, and there is testimony supporting him. I won’t adjudicate this.

Which returns to the podium in Atlanta.

Wolfe’s climax is a man who has every material reason to sign the statement and does not sign it, because he does not know whether it is true. That is the whole moral content of a nine-hundred-page novel: the refusal to certify what one has not checked.

He put it at the end because he thought it was hard. He was writing about a bankrupt bigot who needed eight hundred million dollars and who could have had it for one sentence at a press conference.

Thirteen thousand people gave the sentence away in a week, for nothing, and were praised for it.

The novel and the adaptation

Tom Wolfe, A Man in Full (Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1998). The press conference, the mayor’s offer of bank relief in exchange for a public declaration of Fareek Fanon’s innocence, Croker’s refusal, and Conrad Hensley’s imprisonment and discovery of Epictetus.

Kevin Mims, “Less Than Half ‘A Man in Full,’Quillette, May 13, 2024. A detailed comparison of novel and miniseries, and the source I relied on for the plot of the book where my memory of it needed checking.

A Man in Full, created by David E. Kelley, six episodes, Netflix, released May 2, 2024. Cast and credits.

On the deletion of the Fanon storyline, the recasting of Conrad Hensley, and the substituted assault plotline involving the mayor’s challenger and Joyce Newman: Daniel D’Addario, Variety, May 2, 2024, https://variety.com/2024/tv/tv-reviews/a-man-in-full-review-netflix-jeff-daniels-1235990141/ ; Judy Berman, Time, https://time.com/6973213/a-man-in-full-review-netflix/ ; RogerEbert.com, https://www.rogerebert.com/reviews/a-man-in-full-tv-review-netflix-2024 ; and Marie Claire’s ending explainer, https://www.marieclaire.com/culture/tv-shows/a-man-in-full-ending-explained/

The other Wolfe

Tom Wolfe, Radical Chic and Mau-Mauing the Flak Catchers (Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1970). The Bernstein party, the staffing problem, the San Francisco poverty program, the confrontation as scripted theater.

Tom Wolfe, The Bonfire of the Vanities (Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1987). Abe Weiss and the Great White Defendant, Reverend Bacon’s diocesan funding, Peter Fallow’s interview with Zane Rifkind.

Tom Wolfe, The Right Stuff (Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1979), for the account of Ed Dwight, which should be read alongside Dwight’s own.

Tom Wolfe, Hooking Up (Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2000). “Sorry, But Your Soul Just Died” contains the material on sociobiology, the dismissal of the federal mental health administrator, the disrupted National Institutes of Health conferences, and the prediction about the reception of The Bell Curve.

The letter

Good Law Project, “Stand in solidarity with Jason Arday,” opened July 28, 2026, with the full list of signatories.

Exclusive: News outlet killed story on plagiarism allegations after Cambridge prof hired law firm,” Retraction Watch, July 27, 2026. Source for the sixty-three page dossier and the letter that ended the story.

Posted in Jason Arday, Tom Wolfe | Comments Off on The Man Who Would Not Vouch

The Renewable Wound: Jason Arday and the Trauma That Has to Keep Happening

A JustGiving page from 2010 is still live. Jason Arday (b. 1985), then a twenty-four-year-old sports lecturer at Richmond upon Thames College, announced he would run thirty marathons in thirty-five days for Shelter and the Shooting Star Children’s Hospice. He set a target of £5,000. The page records what came in. He raised £6,285, plus £1,045.77 in Gift Aid.

Fourteen years later, a citation read aloud at St Mary’s University, granting him an honorary doctorate, said he had raised £5.5 million for over eighty charities, and named the thirty marathons among the efforts that did it.

Nobody hid the page. It sat on the open internet the entire time. Shooting Star Children’s Hospices later told the Telegraph that Arday raised £10,800 for them across the years. Shelter declined to give a figure; a JustGiving page for his three-hundred-miles-in-three-days challenge shows £380.

The documented public total runs to something around eleven thousand pounds. The circulated total ran to five and a half million.

Both numbers were available to anyone who looked. For sixteen years, nobody looked.

That gap is the subject here. Not whether Arday lied, which investigations and, eventually, publishers and employers will settle. The question underneath is why a story this checkable went unchecked by so many institutions whose ordinary business is checking things, and why the errors ran in one direction.

Jeffrey Alexander (b. 1947) gives the tools to ask it. His argument in Cultural Trauma and Collective Identity is that suffering does not become socially significant on its own. Somebody has to make it legible. “Trauma is a socially mediated attribution,” he writes, and he means the attribution can be made during an event, after it, or in advance of it, and that events which never occurred can carry traumatic meaning as effectively as events that did. He is not saying pain is fictional. He is saying the public meaning of pain gets manufactured, by identifiable people, in identifiable institutions, for identifiable reasons.

Alexander calls those people carrier groups. They have interests, positions, and the skill to turn injury into a story a wider public will accept. He lists what a successful trauma narrative must establish: the nature of the injury, the identity of the victim, the relation of the victim to the wider audience, and who caused it. Answer all four persuasively and solidarity follows. Fail any of them and the suffering stays private, however severe.

I want to use this framework and then argue against part of it. The Arday case does something the framework predicts. It also does something the framework has no room for, and it exposes a flaw in Alexander’s own epistemology that only shows up when the case is live.

First, the record.

Some things are settled. Arday holds a professorial chair in the sociology of education at Cambridge, appointed in 2023, the youngest Black professor in the university’s history. He carried the Olympic torch in 2012. He has a real publication list and real students. He has raised money for charity. He received racist emails after arriving at Cambridge, and Cambridge responded with screened correspondence, upgraded cameras, and a panic alarm in his office. Liverpool John Moores University, which awarded his doctorate, investigated the plagiarism allegations and cleared him. A panel reportedly concluded in March 2026 that the citation problems amounted to honest and reasonable error consistent with the standards of the time. Simon & Schuster and Routledge say they are proceeding with him. His memoir, Great and Unfortunate Things, written with the editor and ghostwriter Eve Claxton, is scheduled for August 27, 2026.

Some things are contested, and one class of them is graver than plagiarism. The Times, reporting on July 31, 2026, found that quotations from research participants recur across Arday’s papers attributed to different people, and that his descriptions of the participants themselves shift. In one paper, participant eleven appears as a Black female academic, as an Asian female professional services worker, and as a mixed-heritage female academic. The paper counted at least twenty-five such inconsistencies across three articles. It also found a quotation from an undergraduate almost identical to one in earlier work by the epidemiologist Anjum Memon. Independent specialists told the paper the findings warranted investigation. Arday says these are clerical errors, that the people are different people with similar experiences, and that he has not fabricated anything.

Copied prose is a question about attribution. Interview subjects who change race and occupation between papers is a question about whether the interviews happened. Those belong in different categories and the coverage has mostly run them together.

Nathan Cofnas, a philosopher now at Ghent, published side-by-side comparisons in July 2026 showing passages in Arday’s 2015 thesis close to Paula Zwozdiak-Myers’s 2009 Brunel thesis, in places carrying over copy-editing errors from the original. Cofnas is a self-described race realist. In February 2024 he published an essay taking hereditarianism as a working assumption, which cited internal Harvard data indicating that under strictly colorblind admissions based on academic qualifications the student body would be around 0.7 percent Black, and inferred from it that the same criterion applied to hiring would drive the number of Black professors toward zero. He lost his research associateship at Emmanuel College. Cambridge dismissed all fifty-eight student complaints against him in October 2025, finding no discrimination or harassment. He now works at Ghent.

The reaction to that essay deserves a moment, because it rehearses the failure this piece is about. A student petition said he had written that in a meritocracy Harvard would have no Black professors. The Daily Mail then printed the allegation inside quotation marks. An inference drawn from a cited figure had become, through repetition alone, a sentence he never wrote and a quotation he never gave. Nobody checked, and nobody had a reason to, because checking would have vindicated a man nobody in the relevant institutions wanted vindicated.

The same failure runs both directions. That is the argument for thinking it arithmetical rather than ideological.

David Harris, an emeritus professor at Plymouth Marjon who had earlier written to Cambridge about Arday’s work, had himself lost and regained an emeritus title over a post on critical race theory. Cambridge described the allegations as a smear campaign against his credibility.

And some things have already collapsed. The six-day, six-hundred-mile run became a twelve-day run with rest days inserted. Anglia Ruskin and Southampton Solent edited their citation pages accordingly. The five and a half million became participation in fundraising collectives of roughly a hundred people. Asked by the Guardian to name anyone else in those collectives, Arday said non-disclosure agreements prevented it. He told the Times, at the end of the worst week of his life, “what I am not is a liar.”

The escalation is documented with dates, because Benjamin Ryan went through the archive. In 2010 the local paper reported he had raised more than six thousand pounds for the two charities and, in the same article, more than a hundred thousand across his fundraising career. There is then a decade with no traceable claims at all. In April 2021 a TEDx biography says £4.5 million for eighty-plus charities. In September 2021 a talk says just over £5 million. By 2024 it is £5.5 million, in an honorary degree citation, in a National Autistic Society speaker announcement, and in a speakers bureau biography. In October 2024 he tells a funeral directors’ convention in New Orleans that a five-year run of ultramarathons earned just over £5 million.

Nobody in that chain invented the number. Each institution took it from the last one and added its own letterhead. The TEDx page cited nothing. The honorary citation cited the TEDx-era figure. The speakers bureau cited the citation. The Guardian’s 2023 profile put more than £5 million into the newspaper of record, and after that every subsequent repetition could point to the Guardian.

This is how a figure launders. Repetition looks like corroboration when everyone in the chain is repeating the same original source, and the original source is a man talking about himself.

Then the chain runs backward. When the story broke, Anglia Ruskin edited its honorary award page so that six days became twelve and £5.5 million became £5.5 million as part of several fundraising collectives. That page is a record of a speech delivered aloud in 2024. The edited text now misreports what was said in the room. Southampton Solent made comparable changes. Simon & Schuster’s speakers bureau had already softened the figure to “millions of pounds” sometime between May and July 2025, more than a year before the public row.

That last date deserves a moment. Somebody at the publisher grew cautious about the number in the middle of 2025 and quietly took it out, while the memoir built on the same biography went forward.

So: carrier groups, in Alexander’s sense, and an unusually crowded field of them.

Cambridge could present the appointment as evidence that an ancient institution was opening. It had reasons to want that evidence. When Arday arrived, Cambridge had five Black professors and a recent history of being criticized for it. St Mary’s, Anglia Ruskin, Solent, Roehampton, Glasgow and Durham each got an alumnus or former colleague who justified their existence. The National Autistic Society got a keynote answering the fear every parent of a nonverbal three-year-old carries. Charities got a fundraiser who converted his suffering into service. Conference organizers got a plenary speaker who left rooms in tears. American breakfast television got two minutes of uncomplicated good news. Simon & Schuster got the architecture of a commercial memoir without having to build it, and hired a professional to smooth what remained.

That last item is not incidental. Eve Claxton has lectured on giving a personal story a compelling arc. The narrative smoothing that Alexander describes as a social process is, at the top of the market, a paid trade with practitioners and technique. The trauma apparatus does not merely select for the well-shaped story. It employs people to shape it.

None of this requires coordination. Each institution reached into a complicated life and took what served it. The selections fed back into the public biography, and the biography grew more coherent with each pass, because incoherent material got left behind at every stage.

This case departs from the fabrication cases in a way that has not been noticed.

In The Counterfeit Witness I argued that fabricated Holocaust memoirs expose the specifications of the trauma market more clearly than authentic testimony can, because the fabricator, having no experience to constrain him, overfits to the template. Binjamin Wilkomirski (b. 1941) supplied a child voice calibrated to perform unprocessed memory while remaining followable for three hundred pages. Misha Defonseca (b. 1937) escalated until a Jewish child crossed wartime Europe, lived with wolves, and killed a German soldier. Herman Rosenblat (1929–2015) was the subtler case and the more useful one. He survived Buchenwald. What he made up was the girl throwing apples over the fence who later became his wife. Real suffering, plus the redemptive supplement the market wanted and his real life had failed to provide.

Rosenblat is the right comparison, and the analogy should stop there. There is no equivalence between genocide and the career of a British academic, and no present basis for calling Arday a fabricated identity. What carries over is the structure: authentic material entering a system that rewards a particular finish, and acquiring that finish.

But there is a difference between Rosenblat and Arday, and the difference is the argument.

Rosenblat’s persecution was over. It ended in 1945. His story could be completed, and the completion was the point: the apples, the marriage, the redemption. The trauma had a terminus, and everything after the terminus was recovery.

Arday’s story cannot terminate. The political claim it carries requires that the injury continue.

Consider what the biography is for. It is offered, by Cambridge and by the advocacy world and by Arday himself, as evidence about British institutions. If the story ended at the professorship, it would prove the opposite of what it is meant to prove. A Black autistic boy from Clapham who could not read at eighteen becomes a Cambridge professor at thirty-seven, and then the racism stops: that is a story about a system that works. It flatters exactly the institutions the story is supposed to indict.

For the biography to function as an argument about structural racism, the persecution has to survive the success. The victory has to be incomplete. Something has to keep happening.

And something does. Racist emails arrive, which is credible and documented. Then the claims run forward and upward. In an open letter to the minister Jacqui Smith in July 2025, Arday listed being threatened with a knife, assaulted, spat on, sent rape and death threats, sent bananas and bullets through the university, and sent corrosive substances and mutilated animals to his family home. He later described a masked man confronting him twice in the faculty building, producing a knife on the second occasion. He described a severed pig’s head delivered in a box to his parents’ address in south London, and a police investigation that traced it through local butchers.

The Guardian checked. No intruder on either camera system. No colleague saw anyone. Arday hit the panic alarm, he says, and the security team, all present, did not come. He reported neither intrusion at the time, continued his working day, and conducted a doctoral viva under two hours later without mentioning to anyone that an armed man had been in the building. The butchers he named said no officer had asked them about a pig. The Metropolitan Police said his account of their investigation was incorrect in every particular. He photographed none of the objects. He produced no message to anyone, at the time, about any of them.

He stands by all of it. That belongs in the record alongside the absence of corroboration.

The escalation follows the requirement. A trauma role that has to be renewed in the present tense generates present-tense supply. That is the structural addition the Arday case makes to Alexander’s framework, and it is why the Holocaust memoir cases, which concern a closed past, do not fully anticipate it. The historical trauma narrative can be completed. The contemporary structural-injustice narrative cannot, because completion falsifies it. Its carrier groups need evidence dated this year.

Which brings us to the plenary.

In April 2026, at the British Sociological Association’s seventy-fifth anniversary conference in Edinburgh, Arday delivered a keynote titled “Wanted Dead or Alive: The Playbook.” He described a strategy by which conservative activists comb the work of Black academics for citation errors and overlapping passages, after which right-wing media and politicians amplify what they find. Claudine Gay (b. 1970) lasted seven months at Harvard. Others felt hunted. Some academics have killed themselves. He said the instruments built to protect academic integrity were being weaponized, and he asked his colleagues not to stand by while their peers suffered.

Members of the audience found it odd. Keynotes usually concern the speaker’s research. Some of them concluded he must have a reason.

He did. In September 2025, seven months before Edinburgh, Times Higher Education had a story ready. It had assembled a sixty-three page dossier of text comparisons. David Sanders, a biochemist at Purdue who reviews misconduct claims for the publication, went through it and reported back. “There is no question that there is extensive plagiarism,” he told Retraction Watch. Arday engaged Carter-Ruck, among the most feared defamation firms in London, which wrote to the publication. The story was killed.

And September 2025 was busy. In the same month, two Cambridge professors circulated an open letter among colleagues under the heading urging them to sign an anti-racism letter for Jason Arday. One was Ricardo Sabates, professor of education. The other was Sir Simon Baron-Cohen, director of the university’s Autism Research Centre. The letter referred to an earlier document sent to a Minister of State, and warned of a potential public attack on Arday. On September 15, 2025, according to parliamentary records, Jacqui Smith met a group of academics to discuss the harassment of Black academics.

Nothing about that is improper on its face. Colleagues defend colleagues. Ministers meet academics.

But look at what happened inside one month, before the public knew anything. The media arena was closed by a law firm. The state bureaucracy arena was opened by a ministerial meeting. And a letter circulating inside Cambridge told the university’s own staff, in advance, what the coming allegations meant. Alexander’s model treats these arenas as places where a trauma claim is contested after it enters public life. Here all three were configured before it entered public life, by people who knew what was coming and who had ten months of quiet in which to work.

So the sequence runs: dossier assembled, story spiked by legal threat, colleagues canvassed, minister met, keynote delivered seven months later naming the coming criticism as a racist playbook, allegations surface publicly ten weeks after that, and the frame is already installed and endorsed by a learned society, a government department, and the accused man’s own university.

Alexander says the attribution of trauma can be made before the event, as an adumbration. He offers it as a passing observation about nationalist historiography. The Arday case gives it operational content. The Edinburgh plenary is a trauma claim filed in advance of the event it interprets, delivered by a man who knew a dossier existed, to an audience of the exact professionals who would later be asked to evaluate it.

I do not need to establish intent to make the point. The frame was pre-installed. Its usefulness does not depend on whether installing it was calculated.

Now apply Alexander’s four questions to the right object.

Most of the commentary applies them to Arday’s biography. That is the wrong target. The biography is a life story competing for attention. The cultural trauma being constructed in the summer of 2026 is the scrutiny.

On July 28, 2026, the Good Law Project opened a solidarity letter. Within days it passed thirteen thousand signatures. Read it against Alexander’s grid.

The injury: a sustained and malicious campaign against a Black academic’s integrity. The victim: Arday, expanding immediately to Black and Brown young people who seek positions of leadership, and to Black academics generally. The relation of victim to audience: anyone who believes in academic freedom, fairness, and due process. The perpetrator: right-wing media, engaged in hate and division.

All four boxes filled, in under four hundred words. Alexander could have used it as a worked example.

The letter also makes a claim of fact. “Entirely false allegations of plagiarism were made against Professor Arday,” it says, and adds that investigations found no evidence whatsoever and that the relevant journals found no basis. Set aside whether that is right. Ask what the thirteen thousand signatories are in a position to know. Almost none of them read the 2015 thesis. Almost none read Zwozdiak-Myers’s 2009 thesis. None saw the sixty-three page dossier, because Carter-Ruck ensured nobody saw it. The letter converts a textual question, which is answerable by reading two documents side by side, into a solidarity question, which is answerable by signing.

The names do the work the reading was supposed to do. Lord Simon Woolley, Principal of Homerton College. Dame Ijeoma Uchegbu, President of Wolfson. Sonita Alleyne, Master of Jesus. Three heads of Cambridge colleges vouching for a Cambridge professor’s textual practice. Kehinde Andrews, Zack Polanski, John McDonnell, Clive Lewis, Nadia Whittome, Apsana Begum, Bell Ribeiro-Addy. Lord Boateng, Lord Rees, Lord Hastings, Sir Patrick Vernon, Sir Clive Jones. Jolyon Maugham. The general secretary of the National Education Union. The CEO of the Black Equity Organisation.

And Professor Sir Simon Baron-Cohen (b. 1958), of Cambridge, who runs the university’s Autism Research Centre and had organized the internal letter ten months earlier.

I will come back to him.

That is what carrier groups do. They lend position where evidence is unavailable, and the lending is sincere.

Which brings me to the part of this affair that I think nobody has priced.

In the Times interview, Arday explained the errors in his early academic work by reference to his autism. His way of making sense of information, he said, relied heavily on mimicry. He added that anyone’s work would show similar errors under equivalent scrutiny, and that his doctoral supervision had collapsed: one formal supervision across the whole degree, the rest by phone and text, one assigned supervisor gone from the university, the other never met.

Read the defense next to the biography.

The autism is what made the ascent improbable. A nonverbal three-year-old whom experts wanted institutionalized becomes a Cambridge professor at thirty-seven. Remove the diagnosis and there is no story, no memoir, no keynote, no honorary degrees, no Good Morning America. The improbability is the product, and the diagnosis manufactures it.

The autism is now also what explains why the work does not hold up. The same trait that made the achievement remarkable accounts for the passages that match another scholar’s thesis.

One condition, doing both jobs. It supplies the height of the climb and it absorbs the impact of the fall.

Alexander’s framework has categories for the injury, the victim, the audience, and the perpetrator. It has no category for an injury that functions as credential on the way up and as alibi on the way down. That configuration is not available to most trauma claimants. A man persecuted for his politics cannot say his politics caused his citation errors. A survivor of violence cannot say the violence explains his methodology. Only a claimed cognitive condition can perform both offices, because only a cognitive condition bears on the production of the work.

This is why the case reaches further than DEI, which is where most of the commentary has parked it. The reversible injury is a general form. Any claim that is simultaneously a moral credential and a functional excuse will be selected for by a market that rewards both overcoming and forgiveness. Expect more of them.

Arday ran the same move inside the adjudicative arena. His defense at the Liverpool John Moores panel, according to the Times, included asking the panel to weigh the political context of a war on critical race theory, alongside his autism and complex learning disabilities. The panel cleared him in March 2026, finding honest and reasonable error and text overlap within the accepted standards of the period.

So the trauma frame was entered as evidence in the one arena Alexander describes as bound by evidentiary discipline. It worked. That is a harder finding than anything about media compression, because the panel was the place the system had designated to resist exactly this.

The autism advocacy world now has a problem, and it is not the one it thinks it has.

If mimicry explains reproducing another scholar’s thesis, that is a claim about autistic researchers, entered into the public record on their behalf by a man who did not consult them. Autistic academics have spent thirty years arguing that they can meet ordinary professional standards and want to be held to them. The defense mounted in their name says the opposite. Every autistic doctoral student in Britain now has to work in a country where a Cambridge professor told a national newspaper that his condition accounts for text he did not write.

Baron-Cohen is in the sharpest position. He runs Cambridge’s Autism Research Centre. He organized the September 2025 letter and signed the July 2026 one. Both concerned racism, and neither is a statement about anyone’s diagnosis, and I do not suggest otherwise. But the man whose name in Britain is nearest to synonymous with autism research has twice lent it to the defense of a colleague whose diagnosis is now the stated explanation for his plagiarism, and he has not, so far as I can find, said anything about that explanation.

Somebody in that field will eventually have to. The alternative is letting mimicry stand as an autistic trait that excuses misconduct, which is a more damaging proposition than anything Cofnas has published.

Here is where Alexander’s institutional map fails.

He lists the arenas through which trauma claims travel: religious, aesthetic, legal, scientific, mass media, state bureaucracy. He treats the legal arena as the place where responsibility gets adjudicated and reparations distributed. Nuremberg. Truth and reconciliation commissions. Tribunals that produce findings.

England has a different legal arena, and it operates on the mass-media arena directly, before publication, in private. Carter-Ruck did not adjudicate anything. It removed a story. A specialist publication with a sixty-three page evidence file and an outside reviewer who found extensive plagiarism decided the exposure was not worth the risk. Retraction Watch reports that neither Carter-Ruck nor Times Higher Education would comment.

Alexander’s model has no slot for the legal arena as pre-emptive editor. It should. The English libel regime makes verification expensive for the verifier and cheap for the subject, which means the cost of checking a trauma claim falls on whoever wants to check it. Publish the construction and nobody sues. Publish the deconstruction and you might. That asymmetry does more to explain the ten-month delay than any theory of institutional desire, and it belongs in the framework alongside the arenas Alexander names.

It also complicates the story people are telling about who broke this open. Cofnas published in July 2026 and got the credit and the blame. But Times Higher Education had the material in September 2025, assembled independently, and Sanders reviewed it independently. The finding does not descend from the finder. That decoupling is the answer to the question the defense campaign keeps asking, which is who these critics are and what they believe.

Motive does not settle a proposition. A man with ugly views can read two theses correctly. A man with admirable views can decline to read them. Cofnas’s views on race are, by the standards of his critics and mine, repellent, and they are irrelevant to whether page 47 of one thesis reproduces page 112 of another. Anyone can check. Two documents, one afternoon.

When an institution substitutes the moral classification of the investigator for the investigation, it has stopped being a university. That is the standard, and it applies to critics too: the people calling Arday a fraud on the strength of his politics are running the identical operation with the signs reversed.

Which brings me to the argument I want to make against Alexander.

He is explicit that cultural sociology brackets the truth question. We are not primarily concerned, he writes, with the accuracy of social actors’ claims, nor with judging their moral justification. Epistemology, not ontology. Imagination participates in representing what happened as fully as in representing what did not.

As method, that is powerful, and it produced the best account we have of how collective suffering acquires public meaning. It works because Alexander was writing about closed cases. Nobody reading his chapter needs to be told whether the Holocaust occurred, or whether American slavery occurred, or whether the Khmer Rouge killed a third of Cambodia. The ontology is fixed. Bracketing it costs nothing and buys analytic clarity.

Now watch the same move in a live case.

Bracketing the truth question about Arday’s pig’s head means declining to do the only thing that settles it. The bracketing is not neutral. It is a decision to leave the field to the parties with the strongest incentives, and one of those parties has a memoir out in three weeks.

Worse, the bracketing becomes a resource. Say that the social construction of a claim can be analyzed independently of whether the underlying event occurred, and you have handed the claimant a defense that costs him nothing. Every request for the police report can be reclassified as an instance of the phenomenon under study. Alexander’s constructivism, applied prospectively, arms the very carrier groups it was built to describe.

There is a version of cultural sociology that would have caught this. It would say: the construction question and the verification question are separate, and both are ours. How the story travelled is one inquiry. Whether the butcher sold a pig is another. The discipline that studies how institutions come to believe things has an obligation to notice when it is one of them.

The sociology of education, John Preston told the Guardian, is a fragile field, staffed largely by Black, Asian and minoritized scholars, and Arday sits at or near the top of it worldwide. Preston, having gone through the comparisons, said the evidence lines up into a case that requires an answer. Another scholar of race and education, speaking anonymously, said the plagiarism was obvious. These are people with everything to lose by saying so.

They understand the position the field is in. If the discipline that studies how institutions launder their preferences cannot audit its own star, it has published a finding about itself.

Now, the specifications.

The template for a successful contemporary trauma hero can be inferred from any number of these cases. Here it can be read off the archive instead. Every element that circulated most widely can be checked against the record, and the pattern in the corrections tells you what the buyers wanted.

Early vulnerability, extreme, medically certified, dated to age three. Multiple disadvantages stacked, so the improbability of the outcome multiplies: Black, working class, autistic, nonverbal to eleven, illiterate to eighteen. A recognizable antagonist, structural and named. A destination whose prestige requires no explanation, which is the function Cambridge performs and no other British institution performs as well. Measurable achievement, in pounds and miles, because numbers travel and qualifications do not. Suffering that produced benevolence rather than bitterness, supplied by the charity. And continuing hostility after the triumph, so the structural claim survives the individual success.

Every one of those elements is either unverifiable or has been revised downward under scrutiny. The two that broke first, the miles and the money, broke because they were the only ones expressed as numbers. Six days became twelve. Five and a half million became a hundred-person syndicate. A childhood diagnosis, a first word at eleven, and a masked man nobody else saw are not falsifiable in the same way, and they remain standing.

And one specification I did not see until the defense arrived. The ideal disadvantage is reversible. It should be grave enough to make the achievement improbable and functional enough to explain the failure, so that the same fact can be spent twice, once for admiration and once for mercy. Autism does that. Poverty does not. Racism does not. A market that rewards both the overcoming and the forgiveness will select for the conditions that can supply both, and will keep selecting for them after this case is closed.

That is the finding. Under scrutiny, the falsifiable elements of the biography have moved and the unfalsifiable elements have not. A story assembled to be true would not fail in that pattern. A story assembled to be told would fail in exactly that pattern, because the teller has no way to know in advance which claims will one day be audited, and the audit reaches numbers first.

Prestige is what turned the audit on. A lecturer’s astonishing charity run circulates for a decade as a nice item in a local paper. A Cambridge professor’s astonishing charity run reaches people who know what a six-hundred-mile week means, and those people noticed that the ultra-distance community had never heard of him, which would be strange for an athlete near the world record. A small charity total stays impressionistic. Five and a half million invites accounting. A lightly read 2015 dissertation from Liverpool John Moores can sit undisturbed forever. A dissertation belonging to the most celebrated appointment in British sociology of education attracts line-by-line comparison.

The institutions that amplified him created the conditions for the audit. The Guardian profiled him admiringly in July 2023 and investigated him in August 2026. Construction and deconstruction were performed by the same masthead, three years apart, with the same professional standards applied to different questions. The first asked what the story meant. The second asked whether its sentences were true.

I expect the institutional response, when it comes, to be individualization. Arday becomes the problem. Cambridge was deceived. Journalists trusted a source. Honorary degree committees repeated what they were given. A publisher relied on an author. Advocacy groups acted in good faith. One unreliable man exploited a system built for decent purposes.

Some of that will be accurate. All of it evades the question.

Somebody wrote the sentence “raised over £5 million for 80 charities over an 18-year period” into a Solent press release in July 2023. Somebody at St Mary’s wrote £5.5 million into a citation and read it aloud in a hall in July 2024. Somebody at the National Autistic Society put it in a conference announcement in February 2024. Somebody at the Guardian put more than £5 million into a profile that every later citation could lean on. Not one of them asked which charities, or requested a breakdown, or spent the four minutes it takes to search JustGiving for his name.

They were not deceived in any demanding sense of the word. They were given a claim that served them and declined to test it. Recognition felt like knowledge. It usually does.

And after the story broke, several of them went back and edited the record so that the past would look more careful than it had been. Anglia Ruskin’s page now misreports a speech that a room full of graduands heard in 2024. That is a smaller offense than plagiarism and a more revealing one, because it was committed in 2026 by an institution with nothing to gain but the appearance of prior rigor.

Arday said the best sentence anyone has produced in this affair. Pressed by the Guardian on the harassment allegations, he said: “To be honest with you, I thought you’d just believe me.”

It should outlive the scandal. It states the terms of the arrangement everyone had been operating under and nobody had spoken aloud.

Testimony asks for more than the transfer of information. It asks to be received. Under that arrangement, the moral failure appears to begin when somebody asks for proof, rather than when the proof fails to arrive.

There are good reasons that arrangement exists. Victims of rape, of domestic violence, of racist assault, of clerical abuse, of torture, were disbelieved for generations by societies organized to protect the accused and the respectable. The presumption of belief was a correction to a real and catastrophic error, and abandoning it would be a disaster.

But every correction builds its own failure. Tune a system entirely against false negatives and it will start producing false positives. And the common failure is not the wholesale impostor. It is inflation. A recollection becomes a story. A story becomes a biography. A biography becomes a speaker’s fee, an honorary citation, an institutional fact, a book. Each step is small and each step is upward.

The inflation runs fastest where the speaker’s moral standing and the institution’s moral standing have fused. Cambridge did not merely employ Arday. It published his biography, and in doing so made him evidence about Cambridge. The advocacy organizations did not merely defend a colleague. They made his treatment evidence about Britain. The publisher does not sell recollections. It sells an inspiring underdog story, and it says so on the jacket.

Once a man is evidence for an institution’s virtue, checking him costs the institution something. A question about a butcher becomes a referendum on racism, disability, diversity policy, and the legitimacy of criticism. At that point the narrative has grown a defense. Scrutiny gets reclassified as harassment. Requests for evidence get reclassified as disbelief. The identity of the critic displaces the content of the criticism. And each new criticism confirms the original diagnosis, which means the story can absorb any quantity of contrary evidence without changing.

That is dangerous even if the protagonist is telling the truth. A true claim survives verification. It does not need protection from it. The strongest thing Arday could have done in September 2025 was let Times Higher Education publish and answer it. Instead a law firm removed the question, and the answer arrived ten months later on worse terms, from Cofnas, with the record of the suppression attached.

The wrong lessons are easy to name and will be drawn anyway. That claims of racism should now be met with suspicion. That autistic achievement invites doubt. That institutions should stop looking for talent outside the usual pipelines. Also wrong: that verifying a sympathetic figure serves his enemies and should therefore be discouraged.

The right lesson is harder to live with. Moral importance raises the verification burden. The more an institution intends to make a person stand for a group, a cause, an injustice, or a historical correction, the greater its duty to distinguish what it knows from what it has been told. Cambridge owed Arday more scrutiny than it gave him, and owed it precisely because it intended to make him mean something.

There is a symmetry in what has happened to him, and it is not the kind that consoles.

He rose because institutions turned particulars into narrative. He is falling because investigators are turning narrative back into particulars.

How much money. Which collective. Whose name. How many days. Which thesis. Which passages. Which camera. Which police report. Which butcher.

The questions are small and the story was large. Cultural myths get assembled out of individual facts and cannot always survive being taken apart into them.

That was the deepest finding of the fabricated Holocaust memoirs, and it was never that some people lie. People have always lied. The discovery was that false stories reveal the desires of truthful institutions. Wilkomirski, Defonseca and Rosenblat succeeded because publishers, journalists, teachers and audiences already held a picture of what morally serious suffering was supposed to look like. The fabricators did not invent the expectations. They met them.

Arday’s case is not that, and the analogy should stop before the accusation. He may be a man who suffered, achieved, embellished, and then could not stop. He may be something else. The investigations will report.

The structural question survives either verdict.

An apparatus that has grown better at recognizing the correct performance of suffering than at verifying the events beneath it will keep buying performances. It will buy them from honest people who have learned what audiences reward, which is the common case, and occasionally from people who have learned nothing else. And because its newest product requires the injury to continue after the triumph, it will keep buying fresh injuries, in the present tense, from people whose standing now depends on producing them.

Cambridge believed a story. So did the Guardian, the National Autistic Society, four universities that gave him honorary degrees, a learned society that gave him a plenary, a publisher that gave him a book, and thirteen thousand people who gave him a signature.

The question is not why they believed it.

The question is what they were buying.

Theory

Jeffrey C. Alexander, “Toward a Theory of Cultural Trauma,” chapter 1 of Cultural Trauma and Collective Identity (University of California Press, 2004). Text used here: https://lukeford.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/culturalTrauma.pdf The carrier group concept, the four representational questions, the list of institutional arenas, the bracketing of ontology, and the remark that attribution may be made in advance “as an adumbration” all come from this chapter.

Didier Fassin and Richard Rechtman, The Empire of Trauma: An Inquiry into the Condition of Victimhood (Princeton, 2009), on the traumatized victim moving from suspect to moral authority.

Anne Rothe, Popular Trauma Culture: Selling the Pain of Others in the Mass Media (Rutgers, 2011), on the portable narrative grammar of American Holocaust discourse and its migration into misery memoir.

Parul Sehgal, “The Case Against the Trauma Plot,” The New Yorker, December 27, 2021: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/01/03/the-case-against-the-trauma-plot

Luke Ford, “The Counterfeit Witness: Fabricated Holocaust Memoirs and the Architecture of the Trauma Market,” April 7, 2026: https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=180558

The current reporting

Lanre Bakare, “Playbooks, plagiarism and a pig’s head: new claims surrounding a star Cambridge professor,” The Guardian, August 1, 2026. Source for the CCTV, the panic alarm, the butchers, the Metropolitan Police response, the Jacqui Smith letter, the John Preston and anonymous academic quotes, and the line about being believed.

Exclusive: News outlet killed story on plagiarism allegations after Cambridge prof hired law firm,” Retraction Watch, July 27, 2026. Source for the September 2025 Times Higher Education story, the sixty-three page dossier, David Sanders, the Carter-Ruck letter, and the Cambridge statement about a campaign against Arday’s credibility.

Fiona Hamilton and Emma Yeomans, “Jason Arday: I am not a liar, says star academic accused of plagiarism,” The Times, July 31, 2026. Source for “what I am not is a liar,” the hundred-person syndicate, the mimicry explanation, the collapsed doctoral supervision, the critical race theory context offered to the Liverpool John Moores panel, the March 2026 finding of honest and reasonable error, the twenty-five participant inconsistencies across three papers, and the overlap with Anjum Memon’s work.

Cambridge’s diversity poster boy in plagiarism row,” The Telegraph, July 25, 2026. Source for the September 2025 letter circulated by Simon Baron-Cohen and Ricardo Sabates under the heading urging colleagues to sign an anti-racism letter, its reference to an earlier letter to a Minister of State, its warning of a potential public attack, and the parliamentary record of Jacqui Smith meeting academics about the harassment of Black academics on September 15, 2025. Non-paywalled syndication: https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/cambridge-diversity-poster-boy-plagiarism-134658961.html

The Telegraph, July 29, 2026, on the running claims and the charity totals, including Shooting Star’s £10,800 figure and the £380 Shelter page: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/07/29/cambridge-diversity-poster-boy-fresh-row-marathon/ Non-paywalled syndication: https://www.yahoo.com/news/us/articles/cambridge-diversity-poster-boy-faces-131418921.html

Nathan Cofnas, “DEI Fraud and Cover-Up at Cambridge,” July 21, 2026. The side-by-side thesis comparisons.

The documentary trail on fundraising

Benjamin Ryan, “Jason Arday Said He’s Not a Liar. The Receipts On His Charity Claims Say: Decide for Yourself,” Hazard Ratio, August 1, 2026: https://benryan.substack.com/p/jason-arday-said-hes-not-a-liar-but The archive-by-archive reconstruction. Nearly every dated claim in my fourth and fifth paragraphs comes from here.

The 2010 JustGiving page, still live, showing £6,285 plus £1,045.77 Gift Aid: https://www.justgiving.com/fundraising/jasonjogs30in35

The 2010 challenge blog: https://web.archive.org/web/20100820091332/http:/30in35.wordpress.com/

Richmond & Twickenham Times, August 25, 2010: https://www.richmondandtwickenhamtimes.co.uk/news/8350040.clapham-based-jason-arday-completes-30-marathons-in-35-days-for-shelter-and-the-shooting-star-childrens-hospice/

TEDxLadbrokeGrove bio, £4.5m for 80-plus charities, archived April 8, 2021: https://web.archive.org/web/20210408135705/https:/tedxladbrokegrove.com/jason-arday

TEDxDurham talk, September 2021, “just over £5 million,” removed from TED in July 2026: https://web.archive.org/web/20230409123105/https:/www.youtube.com/watch?v=xbSX50Wfz6c

The Guardian profile, July 11, 2023, putting more than £5m into the paper of record: https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/jul/11/jason-arday-cambridge-university-youngest-black-professor

The Cambridge Student, December 1, 2023: https://www.thecambridgestudent.co.uk/interviews/cambridges-youngest-black-professor-speaks-on-institutional-racism-and-legacies-of-slavery

National Autistic Society speaker announcement, February 15, 2024: https://www.autism.org.uk/what-we-do/news/jason-arday-announced-as-speaker

St Mary’s University honorary doctorate, July 19, 2024, £5.5m for over 80 charities: https://www.stmarys.ac.uk/news/2024/professor-jason-arday-awarded-honorary-doctorate-by-st-marys-university

The retroactive edits

Southampton Solent, archived May 19, 2025: https://web.archive.org/web/20250519232013/https://www.solent.ac.uk/media-hub/news/social-commentator-presenter-and-public-speaker-awarded-honorary-degree Same page, archived July 31, 2026, with “as part of several fundraising collectives” inserted: https://web.archive.org/web/20260731131040/https://www.solent.ac.uk/media-hub/news/social-commentator-presenter-and-public-speaker-awarded-honorary-degree

Anglia Ruskin honorary award citation, a transcript of a speech delivered in 2024. Archived October 8, 2024, with six hundred miles in six days: https://web.archive.org/web/20241008085619/https://www.aru.ac.uk/graduation-and-alumni/honorary-award-holders2/jason-arday Still unedited on February 28, 2026: https://web.archive.org/web/20260228093510/https://www.aru.ac.uk/graduation-and-alumni/honorary-award-holders2/jason-arday Edited by July 21, 2026 to read twelve days: https://web.archive.org/web/20260721205840/https://www.aru.ac.uk/graduation-and-alumni/honorary-award-holders2/jason-arday

Simon & Schuster speakers bureau, £5.5m and the running feats, archived September 10, 2024: https://web.archive.org/web/20240910182849/https://www.simonspeakers.com/author/arday-jason/ The same page after the quiet revision, archived July 24, 2025, more than a year before the public row: https://web.archive.org/web/20250724200957/https://www.simonspeakers.com/author/arday-jason/ Current version: https://www.simonspeakers.com/author/arday-jason/

The defense

Good Law Project, “Stand in solidarity with Jason Arday,” opened July 28, 2026, with the full list of signatories: https://goodlawproject.org/petition/stand-in-solidarity-with-jason-arday/

The memoir

Great and Unfortunate Things, by Jason Arday with Eve Claxton, Simon & Schuster, August 27, 2026: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Great-and-Unfortunate-Things/Jason-Arday/9781668085578

Publisher stands by Jason Arday memoir amid plagiarism allegations,” UnHerd, July 29, 2026: https://unherd.com/newsroom/publisher-stands-by-jason-arday-memoir-amid-plagiarism-allegations/

Jason Arday’s publishers to ‘go ahead as planned’ despite plagiarism row,” The Bookseller, July 31, 2026: https://www.thebookseller.com/news/jason-ardays-publishers-to-go-ahead-as-planned-despite-plagiarism-row

Check It and Lose It

There is an old newsroom joke about the story too good to verify. Don’t make that last call. Check it and lose it.

Told as a joke it is about one reporter and his vanity. He has a good piece and he does not want to spoil it, so he stops asking. The moral runs toward character. Be the sort of man who makes the call.

That reading is too small, and it puts the burden in the wrong place. The same calculation runs at every desk the claim passes, and at most of those desks nobody is having any fun at all. A sub-editor, a press officer drafting an honorary degree citation, a conference programmer writing a speaker biography, a publisher’s lawyer doing a libel read, an advocacy group deciding whom to platform. Each faces the identical arithmetic, and the arithmetic does not require anybody to want anything.

Take the Jason Arday (b. 1985) case as the worked example. A JustGiving page from 2010 sat on the open internet recording £6,285 raised. The figure attached to his name climbed to £5.5 million across the following fourteen years, passing through a TEDx biography, a Guardian profile, four honorary degree citations, a National Autistic Society announcement, a publisher’s speakers bureau, and a corporate keynote in New Orleans. Nobody hacked anything. The page was searchable the entire time.

The standard account says the institutions wanted the story. They did. But wanting it was never necessary. Suppose every one of them had been indifferent to Arday, to diversity, to inspiration, to Cambridge. Suppose they were bored civil servants processing paper. The outcome does not change, because the payoffs do not change.

Here is what checking cost, and here is the part the collective-action literature gets right and then stops.

Verification is a public good. James T. Hamilton (b. 1961) laid out the economics in All the News That’s Fit to Sell: the checker pays the full cost and captures a fraction of the benefit, so checking gets undersupplied. Mancur Olson (1932-1998) would recognize the structure. Everybody benefits from an accurate public record. Nobody has a private reason to produce one.

That much is familiar. What the standard account misses is that checking and not checking do not merely differ in cost. They differ in what they leave you holding afterward.

An institution that repeats the Guardian’s figure holds a defense. If the number is wrong, the paper was wrong first, and the press officer behaved as press officers behave. An institution that opens the JustGiving page and finds £6,285 holds a discovery. It now knows something, and knowing creates obligations that not knowing does not. It cannot print the citation. It has to tell someone. It has to decide whether to withdraw an award, cancel a keynote, or pass the file upward, and every one of those choices makes an enemy in a field where the institution has to keep working.

So the four minutes is not the price. The price is the position the four minutes puts you in.

The law understands this better than journalism does. Willful blindness is treated as a form of knowledge in criminal doctrine precisely because deliberate avoidance is a rational strategy: a man who arranges not to learn what is in the suitcase has bought something of value. Institutions buy the same thing constantly and nobody calls it that. Ignorance has a book value, and in the Arday chain it was carried on everyone’s balance sheet for sixteen years.

The value went up as the claim traveled. This is the part that inverts.

A small claim about an unknown lecturer is cheap to check and worth little to anybody. A large claim about a Cambridge professor whose appointment the university has publicized as evidence about the university is expensive to check and worth a great deal to many parties. So the incentive to verify falls as the claim’s importance rises. Precisely where accuracy carries the most weight, the cost of establishing it peaks. A system built this way will get small things right and large things wrong, and it will look, from inside, like a system working well, because the small things are the ones it audits.

Now the second half, which is the part I have not seen stated.

Somebody eventually checks. Who is he?

He has to be a man for whom the discovery costs nothing, which means a man with nothing left in the field. Look at who did the checking here. A professor emeritus at Plymouth Marjon who had already been stripped of his title once and got it back. A philosopher sacked from a Cambridge fellowship, now in Belgium, known for opinions most of his profession finds repellent. A freelance journalist working the Internet Archive on his own time and posting to Substack. An anonymous blog. A small nonprofit that tracks retractions.

None of them had a career in British sociology of education to protect. That is not a coincidence and it is not a compliment. The population willing to bear the cost of verification is selected, by the cost structure, for marginality. The system is arranged so that the people who check are the people the field has already discarded.

And then the arrangement pays a second dividend. Because the checker is marginal, and often marginal for reasons the field finds discreditable, his check can be discounted on account of who he is. That is what happened in July 2026. Nathan Cofnas is a self-described race realist. Cambridge called the allegations a smear campaign. Thirteen thousand people signed a letter saying the claims were entirely false. The check bought the field another period of not knowing.

Notice what this does to the evidence. Anyone surveying the field sees a correlation: the people making these allegations tend to be cranks. The correlation is real and it is manufactured. It exists because the cost structure filters everyone else out, not because crankishness and correct textual comparison go together. Yet the correlation is then used, sincerely, as a reason to disbelieve the next allegation, which raises the cost to the next non-crank who might have made it, which strengthens the correlation.

The system produces its own grounds for ignoring its own findings.

It runs the other way too, and the symmetry is the strongest evidence that arithmetic rather than ideology is doing the work.

In February 2024 Cofnas published an essay citing internal Harvard data indicating that colorblind, academically based admissions would yield a student body around 0.7 percent Black, and inferred that the same criterion applied to hiring would drive the number of Black professors toward zero. A student petition then reported that he had written that in a meritocracy Harvard would have no Black professors. The Daily Mail printed that version inside quotation marks. An inference from a cited figure became a sentence he never wrote and a quotation he never gave, in two steps, in a matter of days.

Checking that would have taken about as long as opening the JustGiving page. Nobody did, and nobody had a reason to, because the beneficiary of the correction was a man none of the relevant institutions wanted to benefit. The costs sat on the checker and the gain sat with someone unwelcome, which is the same equation that protected Arday for sixteen years, solved in the opposite direction.

Anyone who thinks the failure is ideological has to explain why it produces errors that flatter and errors that damn with equal reliability.

England adds a further turn. Times Higher Education did the work. It assembled a sixty-three page dossier of text comparisons and had an outside reviewer go through it. Then Arday engaged Carter-Ruck, and the story died. The letter had force because the publication had something to publish. A publication that had never checked would have received no letter. Checking is what created the exposure, and the exposure is what got the story killed. In a jurisdiction where the publisher carries the burden, the uncheck is not merely cheaper. It is safer in a way the check can never be.

I want to be careful about what follows from this, because the obvious conclusion is wrong.

The obvious conclusion is that everything should be checked. It should not, and a norm of universal verification would do real damage. Documentation is not distributed evenly. A man who raised money through church halls and community groups in south London in 2005 has less paper than a man who did it through a City firm’s matched-giving scheme, and the difference tracks class and country rather than honesty. A blanket rule that unevidenced claims are false would fall hardest on people whose lives happened in places that keep no records. That is a genuine cost and anyone arguing for more verification has to carry it.

The answer is proportion, and the proportion runs on a specific axis. Check in relation to the weight the institution intends the claim to bear. Nobody needs to audit a lecturer’s biography. Everybody should audit a figure the institution is converting into evidence about itself. The moment Cambridge published Arday’s story as a statement about Cambridge, the story stopped being his and became the university’s, and the duty attached at that moment.

Which produces the uncomfortable formulation. The duty to verify rises exactly where the cost of verifying rises. They are the same variable. There is no arrangement in which the incentive and the obligation point the same way, so the obligation has to be imposed against the incentive or it will not be met.

Some of that imposition is cheap.

Require a source line. An honorary degree citation could carry, in the file if not in the hall, a note saying where each factual claim came from. Not verification, only provenance, which costs the drafter nothing and makes the difference between a checked claim and a repeated one visible to the next person down the chain. Most of the Arday figures would have collapsed at this stage, because the provenance of all of them was the same man.

Put the receipt on the claimant. Grant applications already work this way. A speaker who says he raised five and a half million can be asked which charities and which years, and the asking is not an accusation.

Preserve the record when you correct it. Anglia Ruskin edited a page that transcribed a speech delivered aloud in 2024, so the page now misreports what a room full of people heard. That edit cost nothing and destroyed something. Corrections should append, never overwrite. This is the single cheapest reform available to any institution and almost none of them observe it.

Credit the checker. Retraction Watch sleuths work unpaid and get called harassers. Journals list reviewers. Universities count peer review as service. Verification of public claims sits outside every reward structure that exists, which is why it is done by people with no career to feed.

Lower the cost of the first check. That is a libel reform argument and I am not a lawyer, so I will put it only as an observation: in the current arrangement, the publication that does the work is more exposed than the publication that does not, and any account of why British institutions fail to check has to include that before it reaches for anything about ideology.

None of this requires anyone to have wanted anything.

That is the point I would press hardest, because the ideological explanation is available, popular, and probably partly true, and it lets everyone in the chain off. If the failure was ideological, then the remedy is to have better opinions, and everybody already believes he has those. If the failure was arithmetical, the remedy is to change the arithmetic, which is harder and duller and would actually work.

The joke says check it and lose it, and it is told as a warning about the reporter who wants to keep his story. The truer version is that everyone downstream of him wants to keep it too, and none of them had to want anything at all.

The Sentence Nobody Wrote

Three sentences, in order of appearance.

Harvard’s Office of Institutional Research ran a study in 2013 finding that if the university admitted on academic qualifications alone, the undergraduate body would be 43 percent Asian, 38.4 percent white, 2.4 percent Hispanic and 0.7 percent Black. The study became public through the litigation brought by Students for Fair Admissions.

In February 2024, Nathan Cofnas cited that figure and drew an inference. If faculty were recruited on the same criterion, the number of Black professors would approach zero.

A student petition at Cambridge then reported that Cofnas had written that in a meritocracy Harvard would have no Black professors. The Daily Mail printed that version inside quotation marks.

I am not adjudicating the hereditarian argument Cofnas was making. What interests me is the two steps between the second sentence and the third, because each step took about a day, each was performed by people who may have acted in good faith, and each made the claim more usable and less true.

Start with what kind of object each sentence is.

The first is a datum. It belongs to Harvard. It was produced by Harvard’s own researchers about Harvard’s own admissions, and it can be attacked on grounds available to anyone: a simulation is not an outcome, an academic index is a narrow definition of qualification, Harvard’s experts disputed how the plaintiffs read the numbers. All of those are arguments, and all of them are arguments with Harvard.

The second is an inference. It belongs to Cofnas. It has a premise and a conditional attached, and the conditional is where the work happens. If faculty hiring used this criterion. It does not, and the inference is weak for reasons that require no hereditarian commitment at all. Harvard hires professors from a global pool of doctorates, not from its own undergraduate class. Faculty appointment weighs publication, teaching, funding and field, none of which reduce to an admissions index. The undergraduate cohort of 2013 is not the professoriate of 2050. A serious critic could take the inference apart in a paragraph while conceding every number in it.

The third belongs to nobody. Cofnas did not write it. Harvard did not produce it. It was made in transit.

Watch what got lost. The conditional went first. “If hiring used the same criterion as academically blind admissions” became “in a meritocracy,” which asserts that the criterion and merit are the same thing, an equation Cofnas would probably accept but which he had not stated in the sentence being quoted. Then the hedge went. “Would approach zero” became “no black professors,” which converts an asymptote into a count.

Both changes run the same direction. Conditionals disappear, absolutes remain. That is not random drift. A conditional is a burden on the speaker and a nuisance to the repeater, and the repeater is the one editing. A claim shortened for reuse loses its qualifications first, because qualifications are the part nobody quotes.

Conditionals are also the part that makes a claim checkable. Strip them and you get a sentence that is easier to circulate and impossible to test, which is the combination that lets a claim run for years.

Now the quotation marks, which are a technology for moving liability. Inside them, the writer stops asserting and starts reporting. If the sentence is false, the fault belongs to the man who said it. The paper is merely accurate about what was said. Those two small hooks are the cheapest insurance available in the trade, and they cost nothing to apply.

When a subject is well defended, quoting him wrongly is expensive, because he will produce the original and demand a correction and possibly a lawyer. When a subject is friendless, the insurance is free. Cofnas in February 2024 had a petition against him with a thousand signatures, a faculty chair distancing herself, and a director of African studies telling the student paper that employing him was like keeping a flat-earther on the physics faculty. Nobody was going to make trouble on his behalf.

So the quotation marks appeared over a sentence he never wrote, at the moment he had least capacity to object, which is the moment the marks give the least protection to the reader and the most to the writer.

Here is the part that should trouble his critics.

The false version was easier to fight.

“Cofnas says Harvard would have no Black professors in a meritocracy” is a bigot’s assertion. It requires no engagement. You denounce it, you circulate it, you sign the petition.

The true version says Harvard’s own institutional researchers, examining Harvard’s own admissions, found that a purely academic criterion would produce a class less than one percent Black, and asks what follows. Answering that requires arguing about a real number produced by the institution under discussion. It requires saying what the number means, whether the simulation was sound, why academic index is or is not a reasonable proxy for anything, and what the gap between 0.7 and 10.5 percent is evidence of. Those are hard arguments and there are good answers available in several directions.

The misquotation spared everyone from having to make them.

Misquotation is often self-protective. It converts a claim you would have to answer into an opinion you can denounce, and the conversion feels like a victory over the opponent while functioning as an escape from him. The man who paraphrases his enemy into something stupider has not defeated the argument. He has arranged never to meet it.

There is a control case sitting right beside this one. A month before the essay that caused the trouble, Cofnas published another arguing that people on the political right are on average less intelligent than people on the left. Same author, same method, same premises about heritable variation in cognitive ability, applied to a different group. No petition. No march. No faculty statement. No headline.

Whatever the objection to his method was, the method was not the objection.

The rest ran the way these things run. He stepped back from teaching. Students posted flyers with his face across Cambridge. A crowd marched through the town chanting his name. He lost his research associateship at Emmanuel College. In October 2025, twenty months later, Cambridge dismissed all fifty-eight student complaints against him and found no discrimination or harassment.

Then, in July 2026, he published a set of side-by-side comparisons between Jason Arday’s 2015 doctoral thesis and a thesis submitted six years earlier by Paula Zwozdiak-Myers.

And the sentence he never wrote came back.

It appeared in nearly every account of the plagiarism allegations, usually as the clause that told the reader what to think before he reached the evidence. The man making the accusation is the man who said there would be no Black professors in a meritocracy. Cambridge called the allegations a smear campaign. Thirteen thousand people signed a letter saying they were entirely false.

Two more academics, David Sanders at Purdue and John Preston at Essex, went through the comparisons independently and reached the same conclusion Cofnas had. Times Higher Education had assembled a sixty-three page dossier before Cofnas published anything. None of that traveled as fast as the clause.

Errors of this kind do not fade. They sit in the record at zero cost until a moment arrives when somebody needs them, and then they get spent. The 2024 misquotation was manufactured by people with no thought of 2026, and in 2026 it did more to protect a plagiarism claim than any argument advanced on the merits.

This is the ordinary way false attributions behave, and it is why the cheapness of making them is the wrong thing to look at. The cost of a misquotation is not paid at the moment of publication. It is paid years later, by whoever needed the truth and got the clause instead.

A datum belongs to whoever produced it. An inference belongs to whoever drew it, along with the conditionals he attached. A sentence with quotation marks around it belongs to whoever is inside them, and if nobody is inside them, the marks are a forgery of a small and respectable kind.

The small and respectable kind is the one that travels.

Notes

Harvard’s Office of Institutional Research produced the 2013 internal study finding that admissions on academic qualifications alone would yield an undergraduate body 43 percent Asian, 38.4 percent white, 2.4 percent Hispanic and 0.7 percent Black. The study became public through Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard. A convenient summary of the figures: https://newcriterion.com/article/harvard-admits-its-preferences/

Two limits. The study models a counterfactual rather than reporting an outcome, and Harvard’s own experts disputed how the plaintiffs read it. And the academic index is a narrow construction of qualification.

The scholarship built on the released case data, for anyone who wants the underlying material rather than the summaries: Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler and Tyler Ransom, “Recruit to Reject? Harvard and African American Applicants,” https://tyleransom.github.io/research/recruit_reject.pdf and “What the Students for Fair Admissions Cases Reveal About Racial Preferences,” NBER working paper 29964, https://www.nber.org/papers/w29964 and “Asian American Discrimination in Harvard Admissions,” NBER working paper 27068, https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w27068/w27068.pdf Arcidiacono served as an expert witness for the plaintiffs, which the reader should weigh and which does not settle anything either way.

Contemporaneous reporting on the plaintiffs’ claims, including the allegation that Harvard had shelved its own 2013 findings: https://feeds.bbci.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-44505355

The inference

Nathan Cofnas, “A Guide for the Hereditarian Revolution,” February 2024: https://ncofnas.com/p/a-guide-for-the-hereditarian-revolution The essay containing the Harvard citation and the inference drawn from it. Read it before accepting anyone’s summary of it, including mine.

Nathan Cofnas, “Why We Need to Talk about the Right’s Stupidity Problem,” January 2, 2024: https://ncofnas.com/p/why-we-need-to-talk-about-the-rights The control case. Same author, same premises about heritable variation in cognitive ability, applied to conservatives, published five weeks earlier, and attracting no petition, no march and no faculty statement.

Nathan Cofnas, “Research on Group Differences in Intelligence: A Defense of Free Inquiry,” Philosophical Psychology, 2020: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09515089.2019.1697803 The peer-reviewed article that drew an earlier campaign against him, useful for establishing that the pattern predates Cambridge.

The quotation

Abhishek Saha, “A Heretic Reprieved,” Quillette, October 16, 2025: https://quillette.com/2025/10/16/a-heretic-reprieved-nathan-cofnas-cambridge-university-free-speech/ The source for the gap between what the essay says and what the petition alleged, for the migration of the allegation into a Daily Mail headline inside quotation marks, and for Cambridge’s dismissal of all fifty-eight student complaints.

The student petition: https://www.petitions.com/petition_to_terminate_employment_of_controversial_fellow_nathan_cofnas_at_the_university_of_cambridge

The Daily Mail report: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13060909/cambridge-university-fellow-race-equality-controversy.html

Varsity’s coverage, including Angela Breitenbach’s statement for the philosophy faculty and Bronwen Everill’s comparison to keeping a flat-earther on the physics faculty: https://www.varsity.co.uk/news/27035 Emmanuel’s master Doug Chalmers on free expression: https://www.varsity.co.uk/news/27106 The earlier attempt to remove Cofnas on his arrival in 2022.

Cambridge’s finding that the views did not amount to discrimination or harassment, October 2025: https://www.thetimes.com/uk/education/article/cambridge-says-academics-offensive-race-views-were-free-speech-pn955dn2x

On whether the underlying question is settled

Clark et al. surveyed 470 psychology professors at leading American universities, asking them to rate from zero to a hundred their confidence that genetic differences explain a non-trivial share of race differences in intelligence test scores. Responses spanned the scale with a mean of 29.1: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/17456916241252085. The essay’s argument about attribution does not depend on which side of it a reader stands.

What the clause was later used for

Nathan Cofnas, “DEI Fraud and Cover-Up at Cambridge,” July 21, 2026.

Exclusive: News outlet killed story on plagiarism allegations after Cambridge prof hired law firm,” Retraction Watch, July 27, 2026: https://retractionwatch.com/2026/07/27/cambridge-jason-arday-plagiarism-allegations-times-higher-education-exclusive/ Source for the sixty-three page dossier assembled by Times Higher Education in September 2025, and for David Sanders reaching the same conclusion independently.

Good Law Project, “Stand in solidarity with Jason Arday,” July 2026.

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Anthony Fauci’s Diary

A diary that matched the press conferences would serve no purpose. People keep them to say what they can’t say at the podium, and a man under sustained attack writes down that he thinks his attackers are crazy. The mockery of the fame material is cheap in the same way. Piers Morgan (b. 1965) called him a fame-hungry narcissist, which describes most people who spend forty years climbing to the top of a federal agency and then find themselves on television every night. Vanity in a diary is a weak charge.

Wanting to be loved is one thing. Saying one thing in private and another in public about a factual question you are the government’s chief authority on is another. Rand Paul (b. 1963) claims the diaries show what Fauci (b. 1940) wrote privately and what he told the country are two different stories. Whether they show that is the live question, and it survives even if every word about Jake Tapper and the cameras gets thrown out. James Carville (b. 1944) says the release taught the public nothing and that Fauci was an honest man handling a once-in-a-millennium problem. Those two readings can be tested against the text. The vanity charge can’t be tested against anything, because everyone loses it.

Two complications for whichever side you land on. The diary sat on HHS servers, so it was never a private notebook in a drawer, and Fauci wrote about the FOIA requests coming at him. He knew the exposure. Against that, he pleaded the Fifth 111 times at the hearing and said the unredacted release was aimed at embarrassing and intimidating him. A man who took the Fifth 111 times has told you something.

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How I Use AI

AI helped me with this post. AI alone could not have produced this post. I alone could not have produced this post.

Much of my thinking is inspired by my conversations, and many of them these days are with AI chatbots. For some people, chatting with AI produces delusion. For others, it produces insight. I hope I’m primarily in the latter category, but I am sure I am in both categories.

AI has changed my blogging over the past fifteen months. I find the machine helps me to clarify, organize, challenge and develop my thoughts and then it suggests ways I can share them that are more socially acceptable than I would come up with on my own (my instinct toward the reader is often f— ’em if they can’t take a joke). On the other hand, I’ve posted many mediocre AI-based posts as placeholders for ideas I want to develop later, and I have yet to come back to them to add value. Meanwhile, they just sit there and clog up my blog. My ambitions exceed my capabilities, and my aims exceed my energy.

Yet they sit there and they embarrass me and they push me and my heart says attention must be paid. Attention will be paid.

And miles to go before I sleep.

This post began when I put the following into Claude:

Most of my blogging is inspired by my conversations, and some of them are with AI chatbots. My blogging over the past 15 months has been shaped by my use of AI. I use AI because it helps me develop my thoughts, organize my thoughts, challenge my thoughts, and suggests new paths for my thoughts to travel. I’ve never been much good at writing essays. I rebel at stating arguments, supporting arguments, and noting the weaknesses of my arguments. I think I do better at describing things, but frankly, I really don’t know why my writing works, when it works, except that I enjoy reading it (in the browser form rather than in the composition window). If i enjoy reading my work, I think it makes a contribution. I have many blind spots. I naturally say ugly and embarrassing things. I constantly contradict myself, often within the same argument, and my own sense of what works is not reliable. I have many limitations in my knowledge of myself and of the world. AI helps me to do better. On the other hand, a pure cut and paste of my conversations with various AI chatbots usually provides less value than when I labor over a post. AI makes many mistakes, and I often disagree with its judgments which tend to be trained on left-leaning elite production (AI won’t easily admit that different groups have different interests and different gifts, and that expanding civil rights for some comes at a cost to others, and that humans are animals subject to similar evolutionary forces that govern the rest of nature). I hope I am not proud. If AI says something better than I can, I use AI’s formulation. I think of my blog posts as broken twigs indicating a path. If there’s a reasonable chance that my post adds value, I put it out there, and then over months and years, I revisit the topic and the sources and develop my thoughts (which become clearer through the passage of time and through conversations with people, with texts, and with AI chat bots). My initial efforts are usually mediocre. Over time, I learn from reading, thinking, talking and listening. I have many friends in academia. I like to bounce ideas off them and learn from their feedback.

I’ve never good at writing essays. I rebel at stating arguments and supporting them. I think I do better, at times, at describing things. Beyond that, I don’t know why my writing works when it works. I know that I sometimes enjoy reading it, and when I do, it is in the browser rather than in the composition window. The change of frame and of time lets me read as a stranger reads. If I then enjoy my work in that form, I think it’s good.

What is about reading in the browser window that gives me a different experience? I think I associate the composition window with work and the browser window with pleasure, and when I do not receive pleasure from what I see in the browser window, I know I need to go back to the composition window and either delete or revise or make it private. The browser window lacks distractions such as html and so I demand that what I see there add value to me or it is a waste of my time.

Looking at something with fresh eyes makes an enormous difference. I write, then I step away, and when I come back, I see things more clearly. I find there’s no substitution for talking with people, particularly those with knowledge in a topic. Having to say things out loud is a different experience from reading and writing. Hearing my ideas is another experience. Working with the ideas in a different context than I composed them also gives me a fresh frame. For example, almost everything that disturbs me in Los Angeles does not bother me in Sydney. When I am giddy, I say reckless things because I feel like there are no consequences for my words. When I feel vulnerable, I want to put nothing into the world that increases my vulnerability. So my changes in emotional state change how I see my work.

I have many blind spots. I say ugly and embarrassing things. I contradict myself, often inside the same argument, and my sense of what works fails me as often as it serves me. AI helps me do better.

A cut and paste of my chats gives readers less than a post I labor over. I run an idea through the machine, take the two sentences that beat mine, throw out the rest, and go read the source it summarized for me to find out where the summary lied. Then I do that again a week later. And then a year later.

AI makes mistakes. AI is wordy. It’s not X but Y formulation is massively over-used. Its repetitive. Its didactic. Its overly safe. Its judgments come trained on elite production that leans left. So I use a tool built out of the consensus I spend my life questioning. I take the formulation when the formulation is better than mine.

My blog posts are broken twigs marking a trail. If there’s a chance a post adds more value than cost, I put it into the world, and allow its mediocrity to incentivize me to revisit it as quickly and deeply as possible to improve it. Then over months and years I come back to the topic and the sources, and my thinking gets clearer through reading, through talking with people, through texts, and through the bots. My first efforts are usually mediocre and ignorant. I have friends in academia who tell me where I’ve gone wrong, and then I go back and break another twig a little further along.

Claude says: “The labor paragraph needs your actual process, not my guess at it. Name what you do between the chat and the post. How many passes. What you delete first. Whether you paste your own prose in and ask for objections, or write clean and check after. Readers who use AI want that paragraph more than any other in the piece, and nobody has written it honestly.”

My posts often spring from an interaction (either between my mind and the world, myself and a person, myself and a text). I often write because I want to learn something. There are many topics that I feel more comfortable asking a bot than a person. The bot then gives me an answer and I sometimes have the basis for a blog post. I often begin by giving a socially survivable presentation of my instinct that led to the research. While I strive to optimize for truth when talking publicly, my blog is not a death warrant. I live in society. I want to survive everything I write. I often don’t realize how hurtful my words are, and AI helps me tone them down to something more socially acceptable.

The AI bot gives me the conventional elite opinion with links to academic works. I reduce the bot’s words to about a third by cutting what’s extraneous and then I have something work with and against. Like my father, I have an instinct that the outside world is the enemy to debunk.

If an expert finds my work worthy of engagement, I suspect that I am on to something. If nobody smart engaged with my blog, I’d give up.

I often post my rude instinct to begin my posts and then follow with the conventional wisdom as articulated by AI or elite media, and after that, I try to add value. I might analyze how different bots answer the same question. I might analyze how incentives structure elite opinion. I come up with frames, or ask bots to come up with frames, that help to understand the problem from different angles. For example, I find that the anthropology of John Mearsheimer and David Pinsof often cuts through nonsense.

If a topic fascinates me, I want the best academic perspective. One way I do that is by getting the dispositive books and papers from AI and then reading or listening to them through Perlego and other sources. I began subscribing to Perlego in July of 2025, and since then I’ve used it about 5-15 hours a week and reduced my listening to podcasts by spending more time on academic books read by a beautiful female English AI-generated accent at 2X. For six months, about 40% of what I listened to on Perlego was evolutionary psychology and Stephen Turner. Over the past two weeks, most of what I’ve listened to is Stanley Fish.

I’m a status-seeking primate. When I get the handle on the academic consensus on a topic, I talk to people and bots about where this consensus is hemmed in by social incentives, and where a truth-optimizing approach might go. I feel good when I feel like I have made a contribution. I don’t feel any pride when I post something that does not contribute, but that mediocre work sometimes incentivizes better work down the line. I hope so.

I wish I were more meticulous. I wish I posted fewer mediocre words. I have a productivity drive that is not closely correlated with quality. Frankly, my internal machine produces a ton of embarrassing words that are indefensible, and that is another reason I need friends and AI to check and challenge me. People and bots do not normally do this. I have to train them to call me out. Most people do not have the energy. My therapists asked me why I repeatedly challenged and exhausted the people I need most. Bots have more patience with me.

When people tell me my AI-improved work is terrible, I usually avoid arguing with them, instead, I say to myself, history will judge me!

Often I need to have a conversation right away (my dad said to always use the moment of excited interest to pursue something) and bots are the easiest parties to do that with.

The smartest voices condemning the use of AI in writing make good points but they rarely admit the benefits of AI. Many of their arguments against AI would have been improved by engaging with AI. I’ll be straight with you. I can’t conceive of any important writing that would not benefit from an AI check. For other people, engaging with AI deforms and devalues their work. All choices are trade-offs. Often that which sustains us also destroys us.

I care most about value and truth. If using an editor or a fax machine or email or a computer or AI improves your ability to locate and articulate truth, thus adding value to the reader, then that is great. If the use of these things detracts from your ability to locate and articulate truth, then that is bad.

A new way I’ve been using AI over the past month is to embed relevant citations in my text. I often post my raw work into ChatGPT and ask it to put book titles in italics, articles in quotes, and to add value to the reader by embedding relevant links, but to only add links after checking that they exist (Gemini makes up too many links, ChatGPT does this less).

ChatGPT has gotten much better over the past month. I even canceled my subscription about six months ago. I then renewed it, but was on the verge of unsubscribing until a few weeks ago.

If I were to manually insert citation links into my text, it would take such a large amount of time, I wouldn’t do as much of it as I should. By using ChatGPT to do this, I add enormous value to the reader with little effort on my part.

I used AI to help me develop my Rabbi Shlomo Grossbard series. I began by asking it about an Orthodox rabbi who embodied many of Stanley Fish’s most amusing qualities. AI offered me many examples of where I could take these stories, but it had little feel for the reality of Orthodox life. Its suppositions were often off by a mile.

I’d start with a topic I wanted to explore — an Orthodox rabbi at Hollywood parties, an Orthodox rabbi dealing with drug overdoses in his community, affinity fraud, high stakes poker game, Israeli mafia, and the like. I’d ask AI for scenarios consistent with the character I was developing. I’d choose one to develop.

I am a status-seeking primate. You should take it for granted that I am over-stating my contributions. You know I have an ego to protect. You know I think I am more important than I am.

I often console myself that I am the mad man of literary tropes who says out loud painful truths that sane people with lives to protect would not pronounce.

I am rarely an ethical exemplar. I’m selfish and lazy. There are many wiser, smarter and more ethical people than me talking about AI.

I hope I add value that exceeds the price of what I post.

AI is like Jeffrey Toobin on steroids. It tends to make sweeping judgments that are ridiculous but captivating. Watch out whenever a bot tells you about the best this, the last that, the sharpest argument. AI often uses refute when it should say rebut.

I hate AI’s overstatement and overuse of “itself,” “rather than,” “this is not,” “does not,” “are not,” “was not,” “not because,” “without,” “would,” “whole,” “precise,” “shape,” “important,” “structural,” “real,” “plain,” “clearest,” “sharpest,” “purist,” “purest,” “without,” etc. As of August 1, 2026, I write more concisely than the four big AI bots (Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini and Grok). On the other hand, I rarely write something that is not improved by their critique. Without their help, my essays usually fail as essays because I do not find that form suited to my skills. I regularly got Cs and Bs in English classes that required essays and As in English classes where the teachers allowed me more room to roam.

Every AI-generated essay I’ve read would be improved by editing from a man with top five percent verbal skills, and most human-generated essays I’ve read would be improved by an AI critique (whether or not that improvement leads the writer towards bad habits of giving up more and more of his prose to AI is a live but separate question, btw, prior to AI, I don’t think I ever wrote “live question”). The more raw the argument, the more it needs an AI check.

The same words land differently with different communities, most of which I know little about. AI warns me about landmines in my prose that cut against my interests and my arguments.

When I ask AI to summarize the main points of a book, essay or video, it often finds things that I would miss, and it often misses things that I’d find. AI bots consistently find holes in my arguments and I consistently find holes in their arguments. AI faulty logic aligns with what is convenient for the AI businesses.

What I find interesting in books, essays and events is rarely what the AI bots find interesting. At the same time, what the bot finds interesting is usually something I consider and note in my essay.

Reality always wins. The reality in 2026 is that the use of AI will improve a man’s writing, and much of the time, it will phrase things better than the man can, and the man will follow incentives and will use uncredited what AI does better than he does, and trying to legislate against this is living by lies (unless you’re talking about people in the top 1% of intellectual life who have enormous status to lose if they are caught using AI wording).

If you read work you cannot produce, you can learn from it and make it your own going forward though that takes effort that is not always congenial. When I’m moved by AI phrasing and argument, I try to figure out why it works and then adapt it for my own ends.

I tend to use minimal transitions and attentive readers often tell me that I failed to mention, let alone explicate key points. I’d taken them for granted because they were lodged in my head and I had forgotten about the reader. AI helps me with these problems. It will tell me the things I missed along the way. AI is heavy on transitions and logical development and I need this. I don’t like to wave a flag before the reader and tell him what to think. AI can’t stop doing this. It must constantly pronounce on what is important and what is worthy and what is decisive, and on this AI is lousy and consistently wrong, and my minimalist instincts are better suited to my interests.

AI and I rarely share hero systems.

The wholesale adoption of AI argument and prose will usually be inferior to what the good writer can produce.

AI doesn’t know who sat where at kiddush. It can’t call a source. It has no stake in your neighborhood and no memory of what the rabbi said in 2009.

People did not evolve to be gullible with regard to their vital interests. As long as reality incentivizes them to use AI and then to lie about it, that is what they will do.

The fault is not in AI. It is in ourselves. Not everybody equally suited to the appropriate use of new technology. Different eras will produce different winners and losers. I started blogging in 1997. I was born to blog, as Rob Eshman put it. For people with more status than me, blogging and posting on social media is dangerous for their well-being.

I imagine myself using AI as a value-add. Many of my readers disagree. They hate the turn in my blog since April 2025. They are not wrong. They came to my blog for my personality, for the raw posting, which is now largely gone. In its place, is something different, perhaps more polished, more academic, and often more generic and lifeless.

A writer who puts the reader first will have less of a problem using a machine’s sentence rather than his own if that better serves the reader. On the other hand, the ease of using AI wording leads many to do more of the easy thing, and a model trained on the median of published English will pull any writer toward the median. The writer’s value comes from the places you sit off it.

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Christine Hayes and the Question Underneath

Sometime in 1995 a book arrived that had her name in the title. Are the Talmuds Interchangeable? Christine Hayes’s Blunder. One hundred sixty-six pages, plus a twenty-nine-page introduction. Scholars Press, Atlanta. The author was Jacob Neusner (1932–2016), then the most published scholar in the humanities, a man with hundreds of volumes to his name who had done this before to Adin Steinsaltz and would do it again to others, who kept an attorney on retainer to warn critics that their reviews looked like libel, and who was known to close his letters with instructions to drop dead.

Christine Hayes (b. December 6, 1960) was thirty-four. She was an assistant professor of Hebrew studies at Princeton, two years out of Berkeley, without tenure. Her first book had not yet appeared. What Neusner had read was the dissertation.

She answered him in the Journal for the Study of Judaism in 1996 and again in an appendix to the book when Oxford published it in 1997. The appendix carries the title “Response to Jacob Neusner.” The book won the Salo Baron Prize for a first book in Jewish thought and literature. Twenty-six years later, when Yale read out the tribute at her retirement, the dean’s office noted that a dissertation had so electrified the field that a leading scholar published an entire volume against it, and placed her, in the tribute’s phrase, “at the head of your field.”

That is her career. She takes a technical problem, finds a larger problem sleeping inside it, and says so in a way that makes established people either furious or persuaded, sometimes in that order.

The route in was accidental. Hayes was born in the United States to Australian parents who moved often. When she was eleven the family went home, first to Sydney, then to Adelaide, where she finished school. She credits her parents’ appetite for philosophy, religion, literature, and other people’s cultures with forming her own.

She came back to America for Harvard and studied religion. At some point she wandered into Hillel and began teaching herself to read Hebrew. In 1982 she stopped her degree and went to volunteer on an Israeli kibbutz. She finished the B.A. summa cum laude in March 1984, spent two years working in the nonprofit world, and returned to school in 1986, entering Berkeley’s Department of Near Eastern Studies.

One story from the Harvard years circulates among her students, and Shlomo Zuckier, who wrote his dissertation under her, tells it as legend. She told Isadore Twersky (1930–1997), the Littauer Professor at Harvard and the Talner Rebbe of Boston, that she wanted to study the intellectual history of the Talmud with the same rigor he brought to medieval Jewish thought. Twersky told her it could not be done. She then spent a career doing it.

Take the story as a story. What it preserves is a temperament. She heard an authoritative no and treated it as a research program.

Berkeley in the late 1980s was a good place to be told what was possible. Her advisor was Daniel Boyarin (b. 1946), who was breaking rabbinic literature open to literary theory, cultural studies, and comparative religion. She also worked with Jacob Milgrom (1923–2010), the Leviticus scholar, whose priestly purity system would supply the raw material for her second book. In 1987–88 she went to the Hebrew University in Jerusalem as an exchange student and studied with Yaakov Sussmann (b. 1931)

Those two educations do not obviously belong to the same person. Boyarin forces distant bodies of thought into collision. Sussmann counts words in Genizah fragments. Hayes took both and produced a third thing: controlled comparison. She separates categories other people have run together, follows the split through individual passages, and only then reaches for a large claim.

The dissertation, published as Between the Babylonian and Palestinian Talmuds: Accounting for Halakhic Difference in Selected Sugyot from Tractate Avodah Zarah, worked on a problem everyone in the field agreed was central. The Jerusalem Talmud and the Babylonian Talmud sometimes inherit related material and reach different legal results. Why?

The available answer was history. Rabbis in Roman Palestine and rabbis in Sasanian Babylonia lived under different empires, different economies, different neighbors, different religious competitors. Different worlds, different law.

Hayes said the field reached for that answer too fast. Working through parallel passages in tractate Avodah Zarah, she showed that a legal divergence can come from causes inside the texts. The two Talmuds may hold different versions of the Mishnah. A Mishnaic sentence may contain a gap that each Talmud fills differently. The Bavli pursues a theory of verbal economy, assuming that legal language carries maximum information in minimum words, and that assumption generates rulings the Yerushalmi never produces. Editors pursue different dialectical strategies. Material passes through different hands.

Only after those possibilities are exhausted should a scholar say that Persia or Rome caused the difference.

The point was run the internal analysis first and the historical inference gets stronger, because a divergence that survives every textual and hermeneutical explanation becomes evidence about the world outside the study house. Knowing how a Talmud normally makes law is what lets you notice when it has done something strange.

Neusner read this as an attack on his own program and answered with a book. The Jewish Quarterly Review called her formulations incisive and often elegant, and said the work should correct some recent scholarship. Yale’s tribute later reported that her account of the divergences became the accepted one.

The second book took a rule about ritual purity and turned it into a theory of who counts as a Jew.

Gentile Impurities and Jewish Identities: Intermarriage and Conversion from the Bible to the Talmud appeared from Oxford in 2002. Earlier scholarship often wrote as though ancient Jews regarded gentiles as ritually impure and therefore kept away from them. Hayes argued that this collapses several different things into one word.

Following Jonathan Klawans, she separated ritual impurity from moral impurity. Ritual impurity is temporary, non-moral, and contagious by contact: a corpse, a flow, a menstruant. Moral impurity attaches to grave sin and does not transfer by touch. No biblical text, on this reading, treats gentiles as ritually impure. What Leviticus 18 ascribes to them is moral defilement, which is a function of conduct.

Then she added a third category of her own. Genealogical impurity attaches to descent. It is a property of offspring. In the Pentateuch and Ezekiel it constrains priests, who may not marry certain women because the seed must stay unmixed. Ezra and Nehemiah take the priestly rule and extend it to all Israel. The whole nation becomes holy seed. Under that logic, intermarriage becomes defilement for everyone, and Nehemiah purifies the community by separating out the foreign wives.

Once the categories are pulled apart, arguments about impurity stop being arguments about ritual. They become competing theories of what a Jew is, and each theory sets a different price on the border.

A temporary ritual condition washes off. A moral defilement depends on behavior and can be renounced. A genealogical defect sits in the ancestry and cannot be washed, renounced, or argued away. So the question of whether a gentile can become a Jew turns on which kind of impurity you think stands in the way.

Hayes traced the consequences from the Bible through the Second Temple sects, Qumran, Josephus, Philo, the New Testament, and the rabbis. Communities that made the boundary genealogical closed it. Communities that made it moral or ritual left a door. Oxford’s summary says differing views of gentile impurity and the permeability of Jewish identity fed both Second Temple sectarianism and the eventual separation of Christianity from rabbinic Judaism.

The book was a finalist for the 2003 National Jewish Book Award. It also moved her out of Talmud studies. The question was no longer how a passage developed. The question was how legal categories manufacture a people.

In 2003 the Mellon Foundation gave her a New Directions Fellowship, and in 2005–06 she spent the year at Yale Law School learning legal history and legal theory. She had studied how rabbinic law works. She had studied how it builds insiders and outsiders. Now she went after the thing underneath both: what does anyone mean when he calls a law divine?

In November 2005, midway through that year, she gave a talk to the fellows of the Whitney Humanities Center and repeated it to the fellows of Silliman College. The title was “The Talmudic Martin Guerre, or Death of a Legal Fiction.”

A man goes on a journey. He does not come back. A credible report reaches the court that he is dead. Two witnesses testify. The court accepts the testimony and releases his wife to remarry, which she does. Then the first husband walks back into town, alive.

By the rules, disaster follows. She is an adulteress. She must leave the second man. Her children by him are mamzerim. The Mishnah will not let her return to the first husband either, since she has been with another. A woman who did everything the law told her to do is ruined by the law’s own procedure.

Rav, the third-century Babylonian sage, proposed a way out that the Yerushalmi records. If she remarried on the testimony of two witnesses, then when the first husband returns, the court says to him: you are not him.

Not “you appear to be dead.” Not “we were mistaken.” You are not him. The man is standing in the room. The court declares him a stranger.

The Yerushalmi squirms. What if he is a well-known figure, someone everybody recognizes? Are there not many men who resemble a well-known figure? A case comes before the rabbis and they tell the man he is not himself. An old man whispers to him to give her a divorce document just in case, and Rav’s students beat him for it. Rabbi Imi, handling a similar case, tells the second husband that the marriage stands and the children are illegitimate before Heaven, which is a compromise that hands the ruling to human law and the truth to God.

And the Bavli reports that in the West, in the Land of Israel, they laughed at Rav. The man came back. He is standing right here. And you say there is no need for a divorce.

Hayes published on that laughter in 2013, in the Journal of Law, Religion and State, under the title “‘In the West, They Laughed at Him’: The Babylonian Talmud’s Mocking Realists.” Her argument was that the recurring motif of mocking westerners lets Babylonian editors voice their own misgivings about the anti-realist side of rabbinic law: the legal fictions, the contrary-to-fact presumptions, the heavy weighting of intention, the readings that ignore context. Somebody inside the tradition noticed that the law had come loose from the world, and the tradition kept a record of the joke.

What’s Divine about Divine Law? Early Perspectives came out from Princeton in 2015 and made her an intellectual historian.

The book opens on a collision. In an important strand of Greek and Roman thought, a law is divine because of what it is like. It is rational. It matches the truth. It holds for everyone. It never changes. Cicero’s version has divine law as right reason in agreement with nature, the same everywhere, permanent. A law that could be improved was never perfect, and a law that was never perfect was never divine.

Biblical law does not behave that way. Its authority comes from its source. God spoke, Israel accepted, the covenant binds. The rules are particular to one people. Their reasons are often unstated. God changes their application, and human beings can prompt Him to do it, as the daughters of Zelophehad do when they petition for their father’s inheritance. To a Greek, Ezra’s scroll shows every mark of human, fallible law. To Ezra, calling a law divine because it is reasonable would sound close to blasphemy.

Alexander’s conquests put the two conceptions in the same room. Jewish writers had to do something about the mismatch.

Philo and others closed the gap. Torah is rational. Its commandments have reasons. Mosaic law expresses the natural order, which is why Abraham kept it before Sinai, having it written into his constitution. What looks tribal is universal wisdom awaiting a wider audience.

Paul widened the gap and uses it to create gentile membership in the new movement.

The rabbis did a third thing.

They declined the rescue. Torah does not have to be universally rational to bind. A commandment whose reason is inaccessible remains a commandment. The hukkim, the decrees with no transparent explanation, sit in the system without embarrassment. Rabbinic argument is ferocious about reason and uses it constantly, deriving hundreds of rulings by kal va-homer and other moves borrowed from Greco-Roman rhetoric. What they reject is the further claim that law draws its authority from conformity to an independent rational order.

They unhooked divine law from truth. Hayes shows the rabbis treating emet in legal contexts as trustworthiness and procedural validity rather than correspondence to a fixed fact. She finds texts where peace outranks strict justice and a compromise settlement beats the correct ruling. She finds the midrash where God throws truth to the ground so that mercy can win and the world can survive. As she puts it, nobody is surprised when human law departs from metaphysical truth. The surprise is that the rabbis do this to divine law.

Follow that and the famous tolerance for disagreement stops looking like a temperament and starts looking like a doctrine. If divine law were a set of eternal propositions, interpretation would be discovery and error would be the only alternative to truth. Rabbinic law runs on argument, precedent, majority rule, and authorized judgment, and those produce the operative content. Rabban Gamaliel declares the new moon on the wrong day and pressures Rabbi Joshua to keep Yom Kippur on the date everyone knows is astronomically wrong, and Rabbi Joshua submits. The court outranks the sky.

The awards came fast: the 2015 National Jewish Book Award in Scholarship, the 2016 Jordan Schnitzer Award, the 2016 PROSE Award in Theology and Religious Studies.

So did the objections. Writing in the Bryn Mawr Classical Review, the reviewer granted her claim about the dominant tendency of each tradition, then pressed on the edges. There is a minority biblical strand identifying God’s will with a universal moral order, which Hayes herself documents. On the Greek side, Socrates asks Euthyphro whether the holy is loved by the gods because it is holy or holy because they love it, which is the same question from the other end, posed with no help from Judea. Each tradition could reach Hayes’s problem on its own. Reviewers in the AJS Review and elsewhere raised versions of the same worry.

Hayes anticipated much of this. She names the exceptions inside both traditions and argues about tendencies. Whether a tendency can bear the weight of a civilizational story is the live question the book leaves open.

There is a domestic footnote to the argument that a novelist would be told to cut.

Hayes married Michael Della Rocca (b. 1962) in 1988. He teaches philosophy at Yale, works on Spinoza and metaphysics, and is the leading contemporary defender of the Principle of Sufficient Reason, the claim that every fact has a complete explanation and that brute inexplicability is not allowed anywhere. In 2021 he was named Sterling Professor of Philosophy, months after she was named Sterling Professor of Religious Studies. Yale’s philosophy department reported them as the second married couple in the university’s history to hold two Sterling chairs.

Her contribution to a volume he co-edited on the Principle of Sufficient Reason is called “The Principle of Sufficient Reason in Religion.”

She spent thirty years documenting a tradition that keeps commandments whose reasons nobody can state.

The teaching went in the other direction from the scholarship.

Her Introduction to the Hebrew Bible ran twenty-four lectures and became one of the pilot courses for Open Yale Courses in 2006. Yale University Press published it as Introduction to the Bible in 2012. She had already written The Emergence of Judaism for Fortress in 2010. She won the Sidonie Miskimin Clauss Prize for Teaching Excellence in the Humanities in 2005, chaired Religious Studies from 2011 to 2015, and served as director of graduate and undergraduate studies more than once.

The retirement tribute quoted the comments of ordinary readers who had found the lectures online, people who wrote in to say it was the best introduction to the Old Testament they had read.

She has supervised a generation.Chaya Halberstam, whose dissertation became a book that won the same Baron Prize her advisor won. Tzvi Novick, now at Notre Dame. Michal Bar-Asher Siegal, now at Ben-Gurion. Sara Ronis at St. Mary’s. Simcha Gross at Penn. Shlomo Zuckier. Several of them appear in the volume she has just edited.

On August 3, 2014, at the Tikvah Fund’s summer fellowship, Hayes sat down opposite Rabbi Yehoshua Pfeffer, a haredi rabbinic judge and a former clerk on the Israeli Supreme Court, and the two of them talked about how to read the Talmud. Each described what Tikvah called a love affair with rabbinic literature. Each then gave a shiur and responded to the other’s.

Hayes is among the few accomplished academic Talmudists who was neither born nor raised Jewish, and who decided, deliberately, not to convert.

A woman outside Jewish legal status spent her working life on how Jews built and policed that status. She wrote the book on gentile impurity. She translated Mishnah Avodah Zarah, the tractate on idolatry and on what you may accept from a gentile’s hand, for the Oxford Annotated Mishnah in 2022, three decades after the dissertation on the same tractate. In 2015 the Jewish Theological Seminary would give her an honorary doctorate and call her an ohevet Yisrael, using a category of affection where the categories of law do not apply. That was in May 2025, and she delivered the commencement address.

A scholar who has spent her life near a line she has not crossed has been unusually alert to the difference between what a man is and what a community’s law says he is, and unusually careful about not letting the second question answer the first.

Since her retirement she has been the Gruss Visiting Professor in Talmudic Civil Law at Harvard Law School in 2024, the Gruss Visiting Professor in Jewish Law at Penn Carey Law in 2025, and a visiting professor and affiliated scholar at Yale Law School, where she teaches Concepts of Divine Law in Historical Perspective. She has written on Dworkin and the rabbis, on legal truth and best answers, on the reception of Roman law by Jewish courts. She is a senior research fellow at the Shalom Hartman Institute of North America and a faculty member and curriculum supervisor in its rabbinical ordination program.

In February 2024, in an episode of the Hartman podcast TEXTing, Elana Stein Hain sat with Hayes and read a story from Bavli Bekhorot 8b–9a while Israel was at war and Israeli satirists were mocking everyone in sight.

The story: the emperor asks Rabbi Yehoshua ben Hananiah how long a snake carries its young. Seven years, he says, without hesitating. The Athenian sages bred one and got three, says the emperor. She was already four years gone, says Rabbi Yehoshua. They mated, says the emperor. Snakes do that for pleasure, says Rabbi Yehoshua. Are the Athenians not wise men? We are wiser. Then go defeat them and bring them here.

He builds a ship with sixty cabins, sixty cushions in each. He gets past the guards, tells the sages he has come to learn, and takes their riddles.

How do you salt salt that has gone bad? With the placenta of a mule. A mule has no placenta. Does salt go bad?

Build us a house in the sky. He pronounces the Name, hangs between heaven and earth, and calls down for bricks.

Which egg came from the black hen and which from the white? He hands them two cheeses and asks which came from the black goat.

Hayes noted that several of these riddles are lifted from Ahikar and the Life of Aesop, folk contests between a king and a clever advisor that circulated across the ancient world, one copy of Ahikar turning up in the Jewish colony at Elephantine in the fifth century BCE. The rabbis are working inside a genre their neighbors also read.

Then she said what the story is doing. If you answer a challenge by saying it can’t be done, the challenger wins. If you say certainly, hand me the bricks, the burden goes back across the table. In her formulation, the rabbis don’t beat the Athenians at their own game. “They blow up the game.”

She has been writing this book for years and the working title keeps moving. Her Harvard Law curriculum vitae lists it as The Epistemology and Metaphysics of Talmudic Humor. Yale’s website calls it Laughter, Comedy, and Play in Rabbinic Literature. She has lectured on Talmudic law as play, on law as performance, on the rabbis as jesters, on humor as an epistemic barometer, on whether we can laugh at God.

The lecture description she uses runs like this. In the legends the rabbis put God in a body and a life. He wears tefillin. He prays. He studies Torah. He weeps. He makes mistakes. He accepts correction from human beings and loses arguments to them. Were they having fun, or is the comedy carrying a position against the Greco-Roman divine, the one that is perfect, unmoved, and incapable of surprise?

Her own account of why she started is simple. Both the Bible and rabbinic literature are countercultural, and countercultural writing produces incongruity. Human beings do one of two things with incongruity. They work to make it disappear, or they find it funny, enjoy it, and double down. She thinks the rabbis double down.

That is the sequel to What’s Divine about Divine Law? If Greek divinity means perfection, immutability, and freedom from need, then a God who argues, changes His mind, regrets, and studies is a theological claim delivered as a joke. And if divine law is contingent, historically embedded, and handed to human interpreters, then the endless hypotheticals, the impossible cases, the fictions, and the arguments nobody will ever need to resolve are not decoration around the law. They might be how a law like that gets lived in.

The safety-valve reading is available: the rabbis joked to survive the anxiety of interpreting God’s words. There may be something in it. It goes past what the evidence carries. The other possibility is that play belongs inside the conception of law rather than relieving pressure from outside it. A tradition that can hold a proposition without endorsing it can explore further. Humor can expose a contradiction without collapsing the system that contains it.

In late spring 2023, Harvard’s Center for Jewish Studies, the Julis-Rabinowitz Program on Jewish and Israeli Law, and the Littauer Chair convened a conference. The sessions ran on Zoom across several weeks in May. Hayes and Noah Feldman gave the opening remarks. The title was four words long.

What is the Talmud?

After a century and a half of academic Talmud study, the answer is unsettled. A record of legal debate. A literary construction. A scholastic culture. A redacted anthology. A product of Sasanian Persia in conversation with Zoroastrians, Christians, Roman law, medicine, and magic. Who produced the anonymous argumentative layer, and when. How traditions traveled between Palestine and Babylonia. When the text firmed up. What later readers turned it into.

What Is the Talmud? The State of the Question was published by Harvard University Press on May 12, 2026, edited by Hayes and Jay M. Harris, 904 pages, in the Jewish Law and Culture series. The contributors run from Robert Brody and Yaakov Sussmann’s philological tradition through Boyarin, Charlotte Fonrobert, Shai Secunda, Michal Bar-Asher Siegal, Simcha Gross, Talya Fishman, Barry Wimpfheimer, Ruth Calderon, and thirty more.

The old geography of the field, Israeli philology on one side and American theory on the other, is gone or going. Her career runs through both, Berkeley and Jerusalem, Sussmann and Boyarin, variant readings and jurisprudence, and the volume reads as a field that has stopped choosing.

The method has held for thirty-five years. Find a word everyone uses as though it named one thing. Ask whether it does. Talmudic difference turns out to be textual, hermeneutical, dialectical, or social. Impurity turns out to be ritual, moral, genealogical, or carnal. Divine law turns out to mean either law issued by a divine sovereign or law bearing supposedly divine properties. Once the split is made, arguments that ran for decades turn out to have been two arguments wearing one name.

A discrepancy between two passages becomes a lesson in historical method.

A purity rule becomes a theory of who belongs.

A commandment becomes a question about what law is.

A legal fiction becomes a question about truth.

A joke becomes a question about God.

The subject under all of it is a civilization that made two commitments at once. The Torah comes from God. Human beings have to argue about what it means.

Most systems reduce the strain between those two. On Hayes’s reading, the rabbis raise it. Revelation does not end interpretation. Divine authority does not crowd out human authority. Disagreement does not break faith. Adaptation does not refute eternity. A command with no visible reason does not stop being divine. A ruling need not reproduce a fact fixed outside the courtroom. Even the laughter is not unbelief.

Whether she is right is a live question.

At each stage of the work the finding has been the same. The question the field thought it was asking was not yet the right question.

Notes

Wikipedia, “Christine Hayes” — birth date December 6, 1960; Australian parents; Sydney and Adelaide; Hillel; 1982 kibbutz; two years nonprofit; return to academia 1986; Hebrew University 1987–88; M.A. 1988, Ph.D. 1993; Boyarin as advisor; marriage to Della Rocca 1988; two sons; “Hayes is not Jewish.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christine_Hayes

Hayes’s curriculum vitae, Harvard Law School faculty site — the single most useful document here. Full employment history and ranks (Assistant 1996–99, Associate 1999–2002, Full 2002–05, Weis Professor 2005–21, Sterling 2021–23, chair 2011–15); B.A. March 1984; Salo Baron Prize dated 1999; Mellon New Directions awarded 2003 for use in 2005–06; complete publication list; the November 2005 Whitney Humanities Center talk “The Talmudic Martin Guerre OR Death of a Legal Fiction”; Dworkin article; Urbach translation; Mishnah Avodah Zarah translation (2022); the in-progress book listed as The Epistemology and Metaphysics of Talmudic Humor; the full list of doctoral advisees; Limmud Oz Melbourne 2022; Los Angeles synagogue lectures. https://helios.law.harvard.edu/Public/Faculty/Cv.aspx?i=12356

Yale Faculty of Arts and Sciences, 2023 retirement tribute (written by Penelope Laurans, read by Dean Tamar Gendler) — “at the head of your field”; the dissertation “so electrified a field that a leading scholar published an entire volume”; the reader comments about the Open Yale course. https://fas.yale.edu/news-announcements/faculty-retirement-and-memorial-tributes/faculty-retirement-tributes-2023/christine-hayes

Yale Jewish Studies faculty profile — current status; Hartman ordination program role as faculty member and curriculum supervisor; Laughter, Comedy, and Play in Rabbinic Literature as the current working title; Lund honorary doctorate 2023; Gruss chairs 2024 and 2025. https://jewishstudies.yale.edu/profile/christine-hayes

Yale Law School faculty page — visiting professor (adjunct) of law, spring term; affiliated scholar, Brodie Center for Jewish and Israeli Law; course title Concepts of Divine Law in Historical Perspective; honorary doctorates from Lund and JTS. https://law.yale.edu/christine-elizabeth-hayes

Yale News, April 12, 2021, Sterling appointment. https://news.yale.edu/2021/04/12/christine-hayes-appointed-sterling-professor-religious-studies

Yale Religious Studies, May 28, 2025 — JTS honorary degree, commencement address, and the citation text including ohevet Yisrael. https://religiousstudies.yale.edu/node/7224

Yale Daily News, December 1, 2021Della Rocca’s Sterling chair and the second-Sterling-couple claim, attributed to acting philosophy chair Kenneth Winkler. https://yaledailynews.com/blog/2021/12/01/catching-up-with-michael-della-rocca-yales-newest-sterling-professor-of-philosophy/

Wikipedia, “Michael Della Rocca” — b. 1962; Spinoza; the Principle of Sufficient Reason; Yale since 1991.

Shlomo Zuckier’s retirement tribute on LinkedIn is the source of the Twersky anecdote and of the detail that she studied with Milgrom, Sussmann, and Boyarin. He introduces the Twersky exchange with “Legend has it,” and I have kept that qualification.

The Neusner episode

Cambridge Core, Journal of Law and Religion review page, which supplies the full bibliographic chain: Neusner’s Are the Talmuds Interchangeable? Christine Hayes’s Blunder, South Florida Studies in the History of Judaism no. 122, Scholars Press, 1995, xxix + 166 pp.; Neusner’s 1995 review in JSJ 26; Hayes’s “Response to Jacob Neusner,” JSJ 27/3 (1996) 324–333.

Oxford Academic listing for the book’s appendix, “Response to Jacob Neusner.”

Maclean’s, May 16, 2005 — Neusner’s 900-plus books, the “Drop Dead” sign-offs, and the habit of answering critics with a whole volume bearing their name.

Ben Rothke’s review of Aaron Hughes’s Neusner biography, Times of Israel, on the lawyer on retainer and the Steinsaltz volume.

Oxford University Press page for Between the Babylonian and Palestinian Talmuds, including the Jewish Quarterly Review line about incisive and elegant formulations.

Project MUSE review summary, which lays out the book’s parts: textual causes, ambiguity, the Bavli’s verbal-economy assumption, dialectical strategies.

Gentile Impurities

Bryn Mawr Classical Review, 2004.12.06 — the clearest short account of the argument: gentiles subject only to moral purity law; genealogical impurity a priestly concern in the Pentateuch; Ezra and Nehemiah extending holy seed to all Israel.

Project MUSE review — the Klawans debt, the ritual/moral distinction, and the addition of genealogical impurity as a property of offspring rather than of the actor.

Oxford University Press page for the book, on sectarianism and the Jewish-Christian separation.

What’s Divine about Divine Law?

Princeton University Press page — the two conceptions and the “scandalous” third path.

Richard Hidary, “God’s Law in Human Hands,” Jewish Review of Books, Spring 2018. This is where the returning-husband case, the Yerushalmi passage with Rabbi Imi and Aba the son of Aba, the Bavli’s report of the western mockery, the GamalielJoshua calendar story, the Cicero definition, and the Zelophehad point all appear together. Hidary also raises the objection that Hayes overstates R. Yehudah’s nominalism.

Bryn Mawr Classical Review, 2016.04.40 — the Euthyphro objection and the claim that both traditions could reach her problem without each other.

AJS Review notice summarizing parts 2 and 3.

The Lehrhaus review, which notes that she does not oversimplify either pole.

Abstract of “‘In the West, they laughed at him’: The Mocking Realists of the Babylonian Talmud,” Journal of Law, Religion and State 2:2 (2013) 137–167.

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How Effective Are Deradicalization Programs?

According to Claude, terrorist reoffending is rare. The Terrorism Recidivism Study tracked US terrorism convictions post-9/11 and found that of 354 released offenders, about 3.1 percent reoffended, well below rates for ordinary criminal offenders. European practitioners put the global median for violent extremist and terrorist offenders near 5.5 percent, and a Belgian dataset of more than 500 jihadi convicts from 1990 to 2019 found the same low rate. So a program that takes eighty men and reports three failures has produced what leaving them alone produces. Almost every Western deradicalization program is too small for its own success rate to mean anything. You cannot measure a treatment effect on a rare event with a caseload that size, and the providers know it, which is why the reporting runs to testimonials and throughput counts.

The evaluation literature says the same thing in drier language. The Campbell evidence and gap map found the research piled up on policing interventions, few studies on custodial corrections, and none at all on community corrections. The Campbell review of case management concluded that effectiveness remains poorly understood because robust impact evaluations do not exist. A review of prevention programs screened close to twelve thousand documents and found 33 empirical evaluations, hampered by weak designs, small and biased samples, unclear definitions, and conflicts of interest. That same review found harmful effects clustering in programs that targeted particular ethnic or religious groups or leaned on surveillance. That is Prevent in a sentence.

The Tom Wolfe (1931-2018) reading fits the funding structure. Mau-mauing runs on an intermediary whose standing depends on his ability to represent a threat to the men holding the checkbook. The credible-messenger model builds that in by design. The former gang member’s qualification is his old rank in the thing he is now paid to dissolve. Success retires him. Nobody has to be cynical for the incentives to favor permanence, ambiguity in the outcome measure, and a threat that stays vivid.

Focused deterrence has evidence. Braga, Weisburd and Turchan pooled 24 quasi-experimental evaluations and found a statistically significant, moderate crime reduction effect. The engine there is the call-in, the credible promise of group liability, and a police department that follows through. Services ride along. Take away the deterrence half and nobody has shown the remainder does anything.

The second thing that works is cheap and has nothing to do with ideology. In Liberia, 999 high-risk men were randomized to eight weeks of therapy run by nonspecialists, two hundred dollars in cash, both, or neither. A decade later the men who got therapy, or therapy with cash, were about half as likely to be robbing, selling drugs, or fighting in the street, and the effects were concentrated in the highest-risk men. The result exceeded what expert forecasters predicted. Sara Heller’s Becoming a Man trial in Chicago points the same way. Self-regulation and a new self-description are teachable. Theology is not.

Disengagement might work better than deradicalization. Behavior against belief. Men leave violent movements for reasons that embarrass everyone: they get tired, they fall out with a comrade, they meet a woman, they have a child, they turn thirty. A program that lowers the cost of walking away and hands a man a story he can tell about why he left might help. A program that promises to correct his beliefs claims a power over conviction nobody has demonstrated.

Disengagement means a man stops. He quits the cell, the crew, the set. He stops carrying, stops attending, stops answering the phone. Deradicalization means he stops believing. He renounces the doctrine that justified the violence and adopts something else. Researchers separated these two ideas thirty years ago. Funders never did. Grant language, program names, and press releases keep promising the second thing while the world can only observe the first.

The promise survives because nobody can check it. Terrorist reoffending is rare. The Terrorism Recidivism Study followed post-9/11 American convictions and found that of 354 released offenders, roughly 3.1 percent reoffended, far under rates for ordinary criminals. European practitioners put the global median for violent extremist offenders near 5.5 percent. A Belgian dataset of more than five hundred jihadi convictions between 1990 and 2019 produced the same low figure. Run a program on eighty men, report two failures, and you have matched what neglect produces. No caseload in Europe or North America is large enough for its own success rate to carry information. The event is too rare and the samples too small. A provider who did nothing but hand out sandwiches could publish the same numbers.

The reviews confirm the vacuum. The Campbell evidence and gap map found the evaluation research bunched around policing, thin on custodial corrections, and empty on community corrections. The Campbell review of case management concluded that effectiveness stays poorly understood because robust impact evaluations do not exist. A review of prevention programs screened close to twelve thousand documents, kept thirty-three, and reported weak designs, small and biased samples, unclear definitions, and conflicts of interest. The same review found harmful effects clustered in programs that targeted particular ethnic or religious groups or leaned on surveillance.

So the field cannot tell you whether belief changed, and cannot tell you whether anything changed. What it can tell you, from a much older literature, is how men leave violence when nobody pays them to.

They age out. Adolphe Quetelet (1796-1874) noticed the curve in the 1830s and it has not moved since: offending rises through adolescence, peaks around nineteen or twenty, and falls for the rest of a man’s life. Sheldon Glueck (1896-1980) and Eleanor Glueck (1898-1972) followed five hundred Boston delinquents into middle age, and when Robert Sampson and John Laub reopened the files half a century later they found the turning points were mundane. A steady job. A wife. The Army. Mark Warr showed part of the wife effect runs through the calendar; a married man spends his evenings with a woman instead of his friends, and street crime is a group activity.

The terrorism interviews land in the same place. Tore Bjørgo’s Scandinavian right-wing extremists left because they got tired, because they feared prison, because their girlfriends threatened to leave, because the movement’s promises did not arrive. John Horgan’s interviews with Irish republicans and jihadists produced a list any human resources department would recognize: disillusionment with leadership, burnout, unmet expectations, small humiliations, family pressure. Altier, Thoroughgood and Horgan borrowed the turnover literature on purpose, because leaving a terrorist group looks like leaving a bad employer.

Notice what is missing from those accounts. Almost nobody says he changed his mind and therefore left. Men leave and keep their opinions for decades. Other men lose their faith in the doctrine and stay for the friends. Travis Hirschi (1935-2017) put belief last among his four social bonds, behind attachment, commitment, and involvement, and the ordering has held up. David Matza (1930-2018) described drift, and drift runs both ways. Conviction rides along with the life. It rarely drives.

That gives you the design principle. Belief follows the exit. Buy the exit.

The two things work on price and habit. Focused deterrence is the strongest result in this area: Braga, Weisburd and Turchan pooled twenty-four quasi-experimental evaluations and found a statistically significant, moderate crime reduction effect. The engine is the call-in, group liability, and a police department that follows through, with services on offer for the men who want out. It raises the price of the next shooting and lowers the price of quitting, and it says nothing about anyone’s soul. The second result comes from Liberia, where 999 high-risk men were randomized into eight weeks of therapy run by nonspecialists, two hundred dollars in cash, both, or nothing. Ten years later the men who got therapy, or therapy with cash, were about half as likely to be robbing, selling drugs, or fighting in the street. The gains concentrated in the highest-risk men and beat what expert forecasters predicted. Sara Heller’s Becoming a Man trials in Chicago point the same direction. What those programs teach is self-regulation and a new way to describe yourself. Doctrine never comes up.

Now the incentives.

Peter Rossi (1921-2006) gave us the iron law of evaluation: the expected net impact of any large-scale social program is zero. He also gave us the corollary that explains why programs survive anyway. The better the evaluation design, the smaller the measured effect. Providers learn this. They do not need to be dishonest to learn it. They need only notice which studies get them refunded.

Donald T. Campbell (1916-1996) supplied the second half. Any quantitative indicator used for social decision-making comes under pressure to corrupt, and corrupts the process it monitors. Charles Goodhart (b. 1936) said it for economists. In deradicalization the indicator is contacts, referrals, sessions delivered, mentors trained, youth reached. Those numbers rise with effort and never fall with failure. A program paid for contacts will produce contacts, and the men most likely to generate contacts are the men easiest to work with, who are also the men least likely to have offended in the first place.

George Akerlof (b. 1940) supplies the third. When buyers cannot observe quality, price stops tracking quality and the market selects on what buyers can observe. Here the buyer is a home office or a city council, the product is a change in a man’s future behavior, and that change is unobservable at the scale any single program operates. So the market selects on the observable substitute: a good story, a charismatic founder, a survivor’s testimony, a documentary crew. This produces exactly the industry we have. The best storytellers win the contracts. Efficacy floats free.

Tom Wolfe (1931-2018) described the last piece in 1970 and the structure has not changed. Money moving toward a threatened population moves through an intermediary whose standing depends on his ability to represent the threat. The credible-messenger model builds this in as a feature. The former gang member’s qualification is his old rank in the thing he is now paid to dissolve. Peace retires him. The flak catcher on the other side of the table wants the meeting to end without an incident and has no way to audit anything. Neither man has to be corrupt. The incentives point toward permanence, vividness, and an outcome measure nobody can fail.

There is a fourth cost the field rarely counts. Howard S. Becker (1928-2023) argued that deviance is conferred, not discovered, and that the label stabilizes the career. A referral program that names a seventeen-year-old an extremist has told him who he is, told his school, and told him which adults now find him fascinating. The prevention review’s finding of harm in programs targeting religious and ethnic categories reads as labeling theory confirmed in the field. Before you can deradicalize a boy you have to certify that he is radical, and the certificate has value in some markets.

An incentive-compatible design falls out of all this.

Pay for exit, and price it like any other transition. Tattoo removal, relocation, protection from the men he is leaving, a driver’s license, the fines and warrants cleared, work that starts Monday, a story he can tell his mother and his old friends that does not require him to grovel. Every one of these lowers the cost of walking away, and every one of them can be counted.

Never require recantation. A man who must denounce his beliefs to receive help will denounce them, and the reward goes to the fluent liar over the exhausted true believer who is actually leaving. Recantation is cheap talk with a public relations value to the program and a negative value to the participant, since it burns his bridges back to the community he still lives in.

Measure behavior with records collected by someone with no stake in the result. Arrests, hospital admissions, employment, returns to custody. Self-report scales administered by the staff whose funding depends on the score are theater.

Randomize, because these programs are oversubscribed anyway. A waitlist lottery costs nothing, treats applicants fairly, and turns twenty years of anecdote into a finding. A provider who refuses a lottery on a program with more applicants than slots is telling you what he expects the answer to be.

Target behavior, never a category. Men who have shot at someone, or been shot at, are a defensible population. Muslim teenagers, or working-class White teenagers, are not, and the evidence says targeting them that way does harm.

Sunset the contracts. Any body funded to manage a threat will discover the threat is chronic. Write the expiry into the grant and make renewal contingent on outcomes measured elsewhere.

The general lesson runs past terrorism and gangs. Programs that promise to change what people believe are funded by principals who cannot observe belief, which guarantees payment for performance of belief. That describes drug education, scared-straight tours, most workplace training, and a good deal of what passes for prevention. Programs that change prices, opportunities, and daily company can be measured, can fail visibly, and sometimes work. Gary Becker (1930-2014) was closer to the truth about crime than any curriculum designer, and he was writing about arithmetic a man does without knowing he is doing it.

We cannot buy a man’s convictions. We can make the door out of his old life cheap, quick, and unhumiliating, and we can make the door back in expensive. Do that at scale and the beliefs sort themselves out over ten years, quietly, in the direction the beliefs of aging men always drift. Nobody gets to hold a press conference about a soul reclaimed. That is the cost of a program that works.

The Atomistic Extremist

Take John J. Mearsheimer (b. 1947) at his word and the deradicalization industry looks like a category error running on schedule.

His claim is about human beings before it is about states. We are social from birth to death. Individualism comes second. A man is born into a group that shapes his identity before he can assert one, and by the time his reasoning has matured his family and his society have already loaded him with an enormous value infusion. Reason ranks third among the forces that fix his preferences, behind inborn sentiment and behind socialization. He has limited choice in formulating his moral code.

Set that anthropology beside a deradicalization program and the mismatch is total. The program addresses a man alone in a room. It offers him arguments: a mentor with better theology, a curriculum on democratic values, a survivor’s testimony, a counter-narrative video. It asks him to reconsider. It treats him as the bearer of a mistaken opinion, correctable through discussion, because that is what political liberalism takes a person to be. Mearsheimer’s man is not available for that conversation. His convictions arrived through a group, they are held on behalf of a group, and they will change when the group he lives among changes, which no forty-minute session accomplishes.

This predicts the pattern in the evidence. The Campbell review of case management approaches concluded that their effectiveness remains poorly understood because robust impact evaluations have not been done. A review of prevention programs kept thirty-three studies out of nearly twelve thousand documents and reported weak designs, small and biased samples, unclear definitions, and conflicts of interest. The same review found harm clustering in programs aimed at particular ethnic or religious groups and in programs built around surveillance. On Mearsheimer’s account that harm has an obvious source. A program that selects a boy by his religion has told him and everyone around him which group he belongs to, and has done so at the moment he is deciding how much that membership costs him. The state confirms the extremist’s central claim about the world.

The two things with evidence behind them work on the group, not the argument.

Focused deterrence is the strongest result in this area. Braga, Weisburd and Turchan pooled twenty-four quasi-experimental evaluations and found a statistically significant, moderate crime reduction effect. Look at what the call-in does. It brings a gang into a room as a gang, tells its members that the next shooting brings sanction on all of them, and puts mothers and grandmothers and clergy in front of them to say the same thing. It assigns collective liability and it recruits the men’s own social ties as enforcers. Nobody is asked to change his mind about anything. The strategy assumes Mearsheimer’s man: embedded, loyal, responsive to the standing of his people, willing to sacrifice for fellow members and therefore reachable through them.
Office of Justice Programs

The Liberia trial reads the same way. Nine hundred ninety-nine high-risk men were randomized into eight weeks of therapy, two hundred dollars, both, or nothing, and a decade later the therapy arms were about half as likely to be robbing, selling drugs, or fighting in the street. The effects concentrated in the highest-risk men and beat expert forecasts. The sessions ran in groups of about twenty, with men practicing a different self-presentation together: new clothes, new haircuts, new places to sit. The cash bought the material footing to hold the new position. What the men received was a small society with different membership rules and the means to stay in it.

Now the exits, which have always been social. The interview literature on men leaving violent groups turns up exhaustion, a falling-out with a leader, fear of prison, a woman, a child, a birthday. Almost nobody reports leaving because he was refuted. That looks like weak conviction until you read it through the frame. He did not exit into individualism. He exited into a different group with a competing claim on him: a wife, a household, a job crew, a congregation, an aging body that made him useless to the old crew and welcome somewhere else. The man never stopped being embedded. He changed which embedding governed his week.

Which means the design question is not what to say to him. It is what group will have him, on what terms, and how fast.

The lever with the best record is collective. Saudi Arabia’s program routes releases through family guarantors and tribal surety; a relative signs for the man and bears standing risk for his conduct. Denmark’s municipal approach works through parents, siblings, employers, and a caseworker who knows the household. Focused deterrence puts the group on notice as a group. All three take the family or the clan or the crew as the unit of accountability, because that is the unit that governs behavior.

A liberal state cannot say this out loud. Mearsheimer’s argument is that political liberalism is individualist at its core and organized around inalienable rights held by each person as a person. Collective liability offends that premise at the root. You cannot formally punish a brother for a brother, or lean on a mosque for a congregant, or make a father’s employment contingent on his son, without abandoning the idea that rights attach to individuals and only to individuals. So the liberal state does the thing informally, deniably, through community engagement contracts and quiet pressure, and then cannot evaluate what it will not name. It also cannot empower the thick communities that would do the governing, because those communities run their internal affairs on lines the state finds intolerable: patriarchal authority, honor, shunning, arranged marriage, deference to men with no democratic mandate. The liberal state is being asked to subsidize illiberal social power because illiberal social power is what moves men. It does the safe thing instead. It funds curriculum.

The universalist reflex compounds this abroad. Western donors fund moderate-religion programming in Kenya, Nigeria, Indonesia and Pakistan on the theory that the right doctrine, taught to the right individuals, produces the right citizens anywhere, since everyone carries the same rights and therefore, presumably, the same latent liberal self. Mearsheimer spent a book explaining why that project fails between states. The domestic version is the same project on a caseload of one. Samuel Moyn (b. 1972) describes human rights as the elevated aspiration of the age, evoking hope and provoking action. Deradicalization is what that aspiration looks like when it is handed a budget and a list of names.

If men need thick belonging, then extremist movements are supplying something that fills men up. The cell offers what the recruiting sergeant and the parish and the union hall used to offer: a name, a rank, brothers, a code, a task worth dying for. A liberal society that has thinned out its own particular attachments in favor of universal ones has fewer competitors in that market. This does not excuse the movement. It explains the demand and locates the shortage. On this reading the second-generation immigrant who joins a foreign fight is not failing to become an individual. He is looking for a nation, and the one he lives in has offered him rights and a passport while withholding membership, and a movement has offered him membership on the spot.

The counter-argument deserves a hearing. If socialization runs as deep as Mearsheimer says, exit should be rare, and it is not. Terrorist reoffending in Western samples runs low. The Terrorism Recidivism Study found about 3.1 percent of 354 released American offenders reoffended. European practitioners report a median near 5.5 percent. Men walk away constantly, cheaply, and without ceremony. A strong tribalism thesis has to explain that. It can: the tie that broke was to a small, young, recently assembled group, and it lost to older and denser ties that were waiting. What it cannot explain is a man who leaves into nothing, and those are the cases that recur in the reoffending files.

So the program design falls out of the anthropology, and it looks nothing like the industry we built.

Do not argue with him. Do not require recantation; a man asked to denounce his people to receive help will either lie fluently or refuse, and the lie is worth more to the program than to him. Do not select him by category, because naming his group is how you strengthen its claim. Work through the ties he already has, and pay for the ones he needs: the wife, the child, the mother, the job that puts him beside three men who are not from his old crew, the housing that is not on the old street. Where the family is willing, make it the unit and say so. Where the state must offer belonging, it has to have some to offer, which means the shortage runs deeper than the counterterrorism budget.

And measure behavior only. Belief was installed by a society before the man could think, and it will be revised by a society after he stops paying attention.

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The Newspaperman: Jacob Neusner and the Manufacture of a Field

Every afternoon after school, five days a week, a boy ran errands at his father’s newspaper in Hartford, Connecticut. He got his first typewriter at twelve. Stringers from the Hartford Times taught him to write a news story, cut a headline, lay out a page. By thirteen he reviewed books in the paper. By his junior year in high school he could do every job at the Connecticut Jewish Ledger except sell advertising, and when the editor traveled, the boy wrote the editorials.

His father, Sam Neusner (d. 1960), had a heart attack in October 1945 from overwork. The paper came out on time.

Jacob Neusner (1932-2016) is remembered as the man who wrote a thousand books, which is treated as a freak of nature, a joke told at conferences, an embarrassment to be managed by his admirers. Aaron W. Hughes (b. 1968), in the authorized biography Jacob Neusner: An American Jewish Iconoclast, spends his preface trying to get past the joke. He accounts for the productivity in work habits: up early, a study at home, a swim before lunch, a chapter a day, a letter of recommendation typed clean in under a minute while a student waited for the seminar to start.

The volume was a strategy, and Neusner learned it in a newspaper office before he could read a line of Hebrew.

A discipline is a set of ideas plus the plant that prints them. It needs presses, series, journals, conferences, graduate programs, reviewers, jobs, and enough published work that a dean can be shown a shelf. Sam Neusner ran a weekly because a scattered Jewish population in Connecticut needed a medium through which to see itself, to be informed about itself, to argue with itself, and to present itself to the neighbors as respectable. His son did the same thing for a scholarly population that did not yet exist. He printed it into existence.

Read the career that way and the parts that look like pathology start to look like method.

Write everything down. Turn the lecture into an article and the article into a book. Answer every attack, because an unanswered attack becomes the record. Never let a silence stand. If the existing outlets will not publish the work, build an outlet. If you lose control of the outlet, build another. Titles function as headlines. Deadlines are moral facts. Publication, and not private contemplation, is where thought is supposed to end up.

That is a newspaperman’s creed. It is also, line by line, Jacob Neusner’s professional life.

The numbers follow. Brown Judaic Studies, founded with Scholars Press, ran at roughly a book a week during its strongest years and produced more than 250 volumes under his editorship. Thomas Tisch, a former student who went into the family business instead of graduate school, put in as much as fifty thousand dollars a year. Neusner had also set up the Max Richter Foundation in 1969 as a birthday present to his father-in-law, and it paid for conferences, language training, travel, students. The arrangement with the press gave him half the net proceeds, and the returns on the backlist funded the frontlist. James Tabor, who now teaches at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte, has written that Brown Judaic Studies published his first book in 1986 and gave him the leg up that got him to Notre Dame, William and Mary, and finally Charlotte. Multiply Tabor by a few hundred and you have a discipline.

Neusner solved a problem that everyone with an idea and no institution eventually faces. He raised private money, took the printing costs onto his own books, published his students, sold the backlist, and reinvested. A generation of scholars who disliked him owe their tenure files to his imprint.

He came to Judaism from outside and wanted in. His family was Reform, the house was cold by the account his brother Fred (1924-2014) gave in letters they exchanged as old men, and his Hebrew as a child was nothing. When his parents asked what he wanted for his sixteenth birthday, he asked for Hebrew lessons, and for two years a young woman recently out of Boston Hebrew College taught him. He entered Harvard in 1950 and took his degree in history in 1953, having written a senior thesis on the Jews of Boston between 1880 and 1914. Harry Austryn Wolfson (1887-1974), who had every reason to know, told him he lacked the training a scholar of Jewish texts required.

The class that stayed with him at Harvard was not about Jews. Thomas Kuhn (1922-1996) and Leonard Nash taught the history of laboratory science, and the course became the foundation of Kuhn’s book on scientific revolutions. Neusner took from it a question he never put down: how does knowledge get made, and who gets to make it. Decades later Kuhn remembered him arguing at the lectern after class. Neusner had no memory of the argument. He remembered the idea.

A year at Oxford followed, where Cecil Roth (1899-1970) told him that if he wanted serious learning he should go to the Jewish Theological Seminary rather than Hebrew Union College, and where he read Gerald Reitlinger on the destruction of European Jewry and understood for the first time what had happened. He arrived at JTS in 1954 badly underprepared and read his way in at speed. By his third year he had the Mishnah, several tractates, and midrash in the original.

At JTS he sat among Saul Lieberman (1898-1983), Mordecai Kaplan (1881-1983), and Abraham Joshua Heschel (1907-1972). He worked as Heschel’s research assistant and typed the manuscript of God in Search of Man. When the seminary considered getting rid of him, Heschel helped save him. Heschel remained the one senior Jewish intellectual he spoke of with something close to simple admiration, and the reason is visible: Heschel wrote past the guild, to Jews and to Americans, about what Judaism meant now. That was the vocation Neusner recognized, because it was his father’s.

He took ordination and a Columbia doctorate in the same year, 1960, under Salo Baron (1895-1989) on paper and Morton Smith (1915-1991) in fact. His dissertation took up Yohanan ben Zakkai, the sage of the aftermath, the man who has to build something after the Temple burns. Neusner later tied his interest to the Cold War and the fear that the whole thing might go up. The question stayed with him for sixty years: what forms of Jewish life remain possible when a Jewish world has ended.

In December of that same year his father died of Parkinson’s disease.

The first book on Yohanan used exactly the method the older Neusner would spend decades destroying. He gathered traditions attributed to the man across centuries of later compilations and reconstructed a life from them. When he came back to the subject he called his younger self gullible and wrote the book again.

The capacity to repudiate his own work in public is among the best things about him, and it taught him a habit that later did damage. If the older Neusner could show that the younger Neusner had been fundamentally wrong, then an entire establishment could be fundamentally wrong, and he would be the one to show it.

The turn came at Dartmouth, where he went in 1964, and it came from a scholar of religion rather than a Talmudist. At a departmental colloquium in his first year, with Jonathan Z. Smith (1938-2017) and Wayne Meeks in the room, Hans Penner (1934-2012) asked him why he was in a religion department and called him a historian. Neusner thought professional jealousy sharpened the question. He also took it seriously enough to change what he did. He called it the turning point of his career and split his own bibliography into a precritical and a critical phase along that line.

The critical phase produced the argument that made him. Do not treat rabbinic literature as one reservoir called the rabbis. Start with documents. The Mishnah is a document with its own rules, forms, silences, and preferred questions. The Tosefta is another. The Yerushalmi and the Bavli are others. A saying attributed to a first-century sage in a sixth-century compilation is evidence about the compilation before it is evidence about the sage. The interpreter first explains the tradition, then asks what history can be recovered from it. What we cannot show, we do not know.

Anyone who has watched a preacher quote the Talmud on what the Pharisees believed in the time of Jesus knows why this mattered. Whole libraries of scholarship had assembled a timeless rabbinic mind out of texts written centuries apart and hundreds of miles away from one another. Neusner made that expensive. He raised the price of an easy inference, and the price has stayed up.

The translations came from the same ambition. He put the Mishnah, the Tosefta, the Yerushalmi, and much of the rest into English so that a scholar of religion, a classicist, a historian of late antiquity, or an undergraduate could open a rabbinic text without a yeshiva behind him. He understood translation as a political act, and it was.

Then Lieberman reviewed him.

The review of the Yerushalmi translation, published in 1984 after Lieberman’s death, went at his Hebrew, his Aramaic, and his command of the subject, cataloged mistranslations, and treated some renderings as inventions. Neusner spent the rest of his life construing the fight as one between old European erudition and American method, and there was some of that in it. But the broad framing let him avoid the narrow question, which was whether the corrections were right. Many of them were. Later assessments have kept the two things apart: Pavel Sládek, writing after Neusner’s death, judges the philological practice cavalier enough to make particular translations and the arguments resting on them unreliable, while crediting the attack on circular history with opening an era of research.

Neusner was strongest when he asked what kind of evidence rabbinic literature is. He was weakest when his own answer hardened into another total system.

You can watch the hardening in Judaism: The Evidence of the Mishnah, where the Mishnah becomes an integrated philosophical structure disclosing a conception of reality. Shaye J. D. Cohen called the book a brilliant failure and meant both words. Hyam Maccoby (1924-2004) granted the scale of the proposed revolution and rejected the results, calling the theology Neusner found there an invention assisted by fashionable structuralism. Yaakov Elman (1943-2018) thought no one in a hundred and fifty years had made a stronger case for taking the development of the Mishnah seriously.

The sharpest objection came from E. P. Sanders (1937-2022), and it turned Neusner’s own austerity against him. If you assume every feature of a text expresses a total worldview, you can manufacture a metaphysics out of stylistic properties better explained by the genre of legal writing. Cohen pressed a different version: the man who forbade everyone else to import outside assumptions had imported catastrophe, reconstruction, and post-Holocaust theology into a second-century law code.

Neusner spent his life policing the border between the text and the interpreter’s present while writing, in every decade, about a Judaism that survives the end of its world.

He organized his life around criticism. He revised in response to reviews, published second editions announcing that the first edition’s method had been wrong, and liked to say he took his critics more seriously than they took themselves. Compared with the ordinary scholarly practice of quietly forgetting one’s errors, this is a virtue.

The trouble is that he could not keep a criticism of a proposition separate from an enemy. Disagreements gathered into camps. Individuals stood in for methods, methods for institutions, institutions for corruption. JTS became the parochial old world. The Israeli academy became philological stagnation, articles about pintelach with no program and no system. The Association for Jewish Studies became a room where Jews told other Jews interesting things about Jews. Brown became the collapse of standards. By 1984 he had convinced himself that Israeli scholars were conducting something like a boycott of his work, and his private letters on the subject are ugly.

Morton Smith, who had read every draft of the dissertation and given the young man the severe criticism he claimed to prize, ended up warning scholars in public against his translations, and Neusner’s lawyer raised the possibility of a suit. Nothing came of it. A better illustration of the problem would be hard to invent: the mentor who taught him that criticism is love became a defendant.

The Christine Hayes affair shows the same habit at the end of its logic. Hayes had written a dissertation on the divergences between parallel passages in the two Talmuds in tractate Avodah Zarah, working case by case, asking whether a given difference came from a manuscript problem, an ambiguity in the Mishnah, a hermeneutical assumption, a redactional strategy, or a historical circumstance. Neusner reviewed it in 1995 and then published a 166-page book called Are the Talmuds Interchangeable? Christine Hayes’s Blunder. Hughes mentions this in about a sentence, as evidence of late polemical excess.

It deserves more, because Neusner’s instinct was not absurd and his conduct was indefensible. He had spent thirty years establishing that the two Talmuds are separate documents with separate programs, and he read her method as licensing the old harmonizing that treats them as one mind. But Hayes was working inside the field he made. She accepted that the differences signify. She refused his explanation of what they signify, and she tested each case before reaching for a system. She answered him in the Journal for the Study of Judaism in 1996 and folded the response into her Oxford book in 1997. She became Sterling Professor at Yale.

A senior man devoting a monograph with a junior woman’s name and the word Blunder in the title to her first book is not an argument. It is an attempt to end a career using the printing capacity he had built. It did not work, and the failure is the most encouraging thing in this story.

The institutional fights ran on one principle he held with unusual severity: Jewish texts do not matter because Jews wrote them. They earn their place by the work they can do in a discipline that owes Jews nothing.

He learned what that principle costs at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee in 1961, where the local Jewish community substantially paid for his position. The donors thought they were funding Jewish education. He thought he was building an academic field. Within a year the arrangement was intolerable. The pattern recurred for the rest of his life because the structural problem is permanent. American Jewish studies chairs were often raised from communal money given to strengthen Jewish identity, and the scholar’s professional incentive runs the other way, toward showing his colleagues in other departments that this material illuminates their problems.

Neusner chose the university side and never wavered. He preferred the American Academy of Religion, where he served as president in 1968-69, to the Association for Jewish Studies. He wanted a classroom in which a Jewish student had no special claim on the material and a Christian student needed no excuse for taking it.

He was fighting for something real and he was also fighting for himself. The man with no yeshiva behind him had every reason to prefer a scoreboard on which yeshiva training counted for nothing. That does not make him wrong. It does mean his opponents sometimes had knowledge he lacked, and he was constitutionally unable to hold that possibility together with his conviction that they were defending a racket. Sometimes they were defending a racket. Sometimes they simply knew the Aramaic better.

His politics grew from the same root. He moved from the Democrats to the Republicans, criticized affirmative action and curricular reform, served on the National Council on the Humanities and later the National Council on the Arts under Reagan, and made friends of William Bennett and William F. Buckley Jr. (1925-2008). People treat this as a late and separate turn. The question underneath it had not changed since Milwaukee: can a university keep its standards once purposes outside scholarship enter academic judgment. He had asked it of Jewish donors first.

The contradiction is equally continuous. A man who wanted scholarship insulated from constituencies took a federal appointment deciding which scholarship the public should fund. The outsider became a gatekeeper and went on describing himself as a man kept outside the gate. Both descriptions had some truth in them, which is why nobody could talk him out of either.

Underneath all of this ran a project that had nothing to do with rabbinics, and it is the part of him most likely to be read in fifty years.

He distrusted a Jewish identity built out of antisemitism, Holocaust memory, and vicarious Zionism. In Stranger at Home he asked whether Judaism can flourish among Jews nobody is persecuting. American Jews were the freest in history and their leaders behaved as though Jewish identity required enemies. He wanted a Judaism made of Torah, learning, practice, argument, and small communities of people who study together, and he wanted America treated as a place where Jews live rather than a waiting room. His little 1963 book on fellowship helped seed the havurah movement, and he was not shy about claiming it.

The academic and the communal projects are one project seen from two sides. In the university, Judaism should claim no privilege for being Jewish. In Jewish life, Judaism should have enough substance that it does not need persecution to make it feel important.

You do not have to share his politics or his denominational preferences to see that this is a serious position, and that it cuts against most of what the organized community was doing then and much of what it does now.

The last act closed several circles. His friendship with the Catholic priest and sociologist Andrew Greeley (1928-2013) drew him toward comparison, and with Bruce Chilton at Bard he built an institute for it. He compared Judaism and Christianity, and with Tamara Sonn, Judaism and Islam through their legal systems. His comparison never aimed at the irenic conclusion that religions say the same thing in different accents. He was interested in disagreement, and he thought comparison exists to make disagreement precise.

Joseph Ratzinger, later Benedict XVI (1927-2022), took up Neusner’s A Rabbi Talks with Jesus at length in his book on Jesus, and they became friends, and in 2010 the pope gave him a medal. The scholar who had spent his youth pulling rabbinic texts out of confessional hands ended by writing theology, but he came back to it through history, literary criticism, and comparative religion rather than around them. In 2009 he identified himself with Reform Judaism again, the movement of his childhood, arguing that it suited the American condition. He had spent half a century acquiring the learning his home lacked and did not conclude that the yeshiva had been right after all.

In 2003, at seventy-one, he was diagnosed with Parkinson’s disease. It took his father in 1960. He did not want to discuss it with his biographer. He kept writing. He wanted his books put online free, for anyone.

Think about what that disease does to a man whose instrument was a typewriter, who had typed since he was twelve, faster and more accurately than anyone his students had ever seen, who had told a friend in 1997 to write it down so that people beyond the range of your voice and people not yet born can have the thought. He died at home in Rhinebeck, New York, on October 8, 2016, between Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur, at eighty-four.

Hughes’s book had appeared weeks earlier. It is written in the present tense. That accident gives us the opening.

What happened after the death is evidence Hughes could not have. In December 2016 Laura Levitt published a short piece in Religion Dispatches about the silence. In the weeks after his death, she wrote, the people whose careers he had made and whose books he had published said nothing in public. She named her own debt and her own wound in the same breath: he believed in her, her future opened in his classroom, he helped her find a critical voice, he knew every one of her vulnerabilities and used them against her. He never claimed her as his student and never once responded to her scholarship, and she counts herself lucky, because she came out of it owing nobody anything.

David Blumenthal answered her. He had come to Brown as an assistant professor rather than a student, hired after Jack asked him at the end of his job talk whether he had figured all this out by himself. Blunt, acidic, demanding, bullying, tough and almost always right, and never cruel, Blumenthal wrote, because cruelty takes intention. Joshua Hammerman wrote in the Forward that Neusner had been cruel and maybe abusive, in particular to the students in whom he saw promise, that he had shaped him and shafted him, that he is the reason Hammerman became the kind of rabbi he became, and that he still had not forgiven him.

Three testimonies, one man, no contradiction. His teaching worked by raising the pressure. Some students took the pressure as a statement of confidence in them. Some took it as humiliation. Some took it as both and are still sorting it out twenty years later. What none of them describe is indifference.

The silence Levitt noticed is the finding. A school whose members will not speak at the founder’s death is telling you something about what it cost to belong to it, and also about what it cost to leave.

Now the ledger, ten years on.

Against him: the translations cannot be used without checking. The habit of deriving a total theology from a single document looks schematic. The talk of many Judaisms clarified diversity and exaggerated the independence of texts and communities from one another. The polemics wasted years of his life and some of other people’s. He built a reputation for combat that his admirers now have to apologize for before they can get a hearing for his ideas.

For him: rabbinic texts are read as composed and edited literature rather than as transcripts. Differences among the corpora are taken seriously. Scholars are expected to justify the step from a text to a society. The two Talmuds are not interchangeable witnesses to one timeless mind. Judaism is taught in departments of religion to students of any religion or none, by people with doctorates, without communal supervision. Historians of late antiquity and of early Christianity cannot pretend postbiblical Judaism is somebody else’s business. He did not do all that alone, and some of his claims to have done it alone were self-serving. He was the catalyst.

The pattern that holds the two columns together is this. He won institutionally where he lost textually. He forced the field to accept his questions, and the field then became sophisticated enough to reject his answers. Hayes could ask a finer question than Neusner asked because Neusner had already made her question askable. That is a deeper kind of influence than discipleship, and it is why judging him by the survival rate of his propositions understates him. Founders who matter create the conditions under which their successors can prove them wrong.

It also explains why his reputation swings so wildly. If you come to him wanting a reliable English rendering of a hard passage, his standing looks inexplicable. If you come to him asking how rabbinic Judaism became an ordinary subject in the American humanities, he is unavoidable.

Hughes has been criticized for the shape of his book, most carefully by Albert Baumgarten, who noted that reliance on the subject, his family, his friends, and his own archive tends to produce a portrait too congenial to its subject, and that Hughes says outright that Neusner authorized the biography. That is fair, and it is not a reason to dismiss a book that will remain the necessary starting point. It is a reason to say what the next one can do.

The next one can be written from the other end of the correspondence. The Jacob Neusner Papers at the American Jewish Archives run from 1950 to 2016 and are restricted until 2029, but letters have two ends, and the files of Lieberman, Morton Smith, Cohen, Sanders, Schorsch, his deans, his editors, his students, and his political patrons are scattered across a dozen collections and mostly open. The next one can anatomize the corpus instead of repeating the number, sorting the thousand titles into original monographs, revisions, translations, collections, textbooks, and polemics, so that we finally know how many books there were. The next one can write the school as a collective life: twenty-odd doctorates at Brown, where they landed, whom they trained, what they kept, what they threw away, and which of them were still afraid of him in 2016. The next one can reconstruct the Hayes affair week by week, and ask the question that opens onto everything else, which is why a man of his gifts thought that was scholarship.

I would answer that last question with the newspaper. He grew up where an argument is public by definition, where you print your answer the same week, where silence is defeat, and where the reply lives forever in the bound volumes next to the original charge. Then he found the Talmud, which is a literature of objection, distinction, and reply, and he must have felt he had come home. The op-ed page and the sugya taught the same lesson to a boy already inclined to believe it. For Jacob Neusner, disagreement was not a hazard of intellectual life. It was the form intellectual life takes.

That conviction built a field and wrecked a good many relationships inside it, and he could never see the two as one bill.

He left no orthodoxy. Nobody today calls himself a Neusnerian, and the closest thing to a monument is a professorship at Bard and a series of imprints whose founder’s name has come off the spine. He would have hated the professorship less than he would have hated the forgetting.

But the boy who ran errands at his father’s paper understood something about permanence that the professors around him did not. A lecture disappears. A book stays on the shelf, and the shelf outlives the man who filled it, and other people’s children take things down from it without knowing who put them there.

The field reads him less every year.

Notes

Everything about the childhood, the training, the institutions, and the private correspondence comes from Aaron W. Hughes, Jacob Neusner: An American Jewish Iconoclast (New York: NYU Press, 2016). Page numbers below are the printed pages of that book.

The newspaper apprenticeship is on pp. 23-25: errands at the paper every afternoon after school five days a week, first typewriter at twelve, Hartford Times stringers teaching him news writing, headlines, editing and layout, book reviews at thirteen, the main editorial writer when the editor was away, able to do every job except sell advertising by his junior year.

Sam Neusner and the paper are on pp. 19-21. The heart attack in October 1945 caused by overwork, and the paper still appearing on time, is p. 20. So is his death from complications of Parkinson’s disease in 1960 and the Hartford Times obituary of December 16, 1960. Lee Green Neusner, born June 12, 1901 in New York City, died 1997, p. 21.

Fred Neusner (1924-2014) and Sandra Neusner Friedman (1929-1986) are on p. 22, along with the brothers’ later correspondence about a cold house. The third-grade report card (“He prefers not to do as the others are doing which causes many difficulties”) is p. 23. Fred’s 2007 letter about the enemies is pp. 23-24.

Hebrew lessons for his sixteenth birthday, and the two years of study with a young woman recently out of Boston Hebrew College, p. 22.

Harvard: the senior thesis on the Jews of Boston 1880-1914 and Wolfson’s discouragement, pp. 28-29. The Kuhn and Nash course on the history of laboratory science, and Kuhn remembering the young Neusner arguing at the lectern when Neusner had no memory of it, pp. 29-30. Neusner’s own later use of Kuhn against Israeli scholarship, “articles about pintelach . . . no critical program, no method and no system,” is quoted there from an interview with William Novak.

Oxford, Cecil Roth’s advice to go to JTS rather than HUC, and reading Reitlinger’s The Final Solution, pp. 33-35 and again at p. 67.

JTS: underpreparation and the speed of the catch-up, Lieberman, Kaplan, Heschel, typing God in Search of Man, Heschel intervening when the seminary considered dismissing him, pp. 44-48. The 1972 letter in which Lieberman gave him the acknowledgment, and Neusner later removing the thank-you from the preface, pp. 46-47 and p. 108.

Columbia, ordination and doctorate both in 1960, Baron on paper and Morton Smith in fact, Yohanan ben Zakkai and the Cold War, pp. 50-55.

Milwaukee and the communal money, pp. 79-84.

The Lown Institute at Brandeis, 1962-1964, and the start of A History of the Jews in Babylonia, pp. 86-88. Marriage to Suzanne Richter, March 15, 1964, p. 90.

The Max Richter Foundation, founded 1969 out of book royalties as a birthday present to his father-in-law, p. 96.

Work habits: the passage from the preface to Part 20 of A History of the Mishnaic Law of Purities, written on his forty-fourth birthday, July 28, 1976 (“There have been no Sabbaths or festivals, no days or nights”), p. 100. The swim before lunch, the nine o’clock bedtime, and Avery-Peck’s account of the recommendation letter typed clean in under a minute while he waited for the seminar, p. 100. The letter to Larry Tisch about writing a chapter a day and finding it routine, pp. 100-101.

Dartmouth: Penner’s question at the departmental colloquium with Jonathan Z. Smith and Wayne Meeks present, Neusner calling it the turning point, and the split between his precritical and critical phases, pp. 105-107.

Brown Judaic Studies: founding with Scholars Press, Thomas Tisch’s role and the idea’s origin, pp. 149-150. The financial arrangement, Neusner and Tisch paying up-front production costs, the press managing printing, Neusner taking fifty percent of net proceeds, Tisch’s support running as high as fifty thousand dollars a year, and the backlist reinvested, p. 150.

Judaism: The Evidence of the Mishnah and the reviews: Shaye Cohen’s “brilliant failure,” Maccoby’s Copernican revolution and his charge of a weird theology invented with structuralist help, Elman on a hundred and fifty years, pp. 156-158. Sanders on philosophy versus legal code and on Neusner inferring what the text does not say, pp. 157-159. Neusner’s 1995 title The Documentary Foundation of Rabbinic Culture: Mopping Up after Debates with . . . listing ten opponents, p. 159.

Lieberman’s review, pp. 189-191. Details worth having exactly: the review is titled “A Tragedy or a Comedy?” and appeared in the Journal of the American Oriental Society in 1984. Lieberman died of a heart attack in flight from New York to Tel Aviv on March 23, 1983, and had mailed a handwritten manuscript to Jerusalem before he died. Jack Sasson’s editorial note said Neusner had declined to respond. Neusner wrote the editors saying he wanted to respond and got no reply.

The polemical 1990s, the grievances aired with deans and provosts, and the one-sentence mention of Are the Talmuds Interchangeable? Christine Hayes’s Blunder, p. 162.

Brown Judaic Studies passing to Ernest Frerichs in June 1990, the month Neusner took early retirement, his letter of June 13, 1990, and his look at legal options, pp. 232-233.

Parkinson’s diagnosis in 2003 at seventy-one, his unwillingness to discuss it, and the interview at Rhinebeck, p. 262.

The conclusion, including Neusner’s own modest summary (“I was able to tear down some walls”), Noam’s answer about the students, the Bard professorship and lecture, and Hughes’s case for the pantheon, pp. 265-273.

What I used from outside Hughes

Laura Levitt, “The Awkward Silence in the Wake of Jacob Neusner’s Passing,” Religion Dispatches, December 7, 2016. https://religiondispatches.org/2016/12/07/awkward-silence-wake-jacob-neusners-passing — reprinted on the NYU Press blog: https://www.fromthesquare.org/awkward-silence-wake-jacob-nuesners-passing/ — this is the source for the silence, for “he believed in me,” and for his knowing and using her vulnerabilities. The related passage about his never claiming her as his own and never responding to her scholarship is quoted at https://jewishphilosophyplace.com/2016/12/07/laura-levitt-on-not-being-jacob-neusners-student/ and her publication list is at https://lauralevitt.org/publications/

David Blumenthal, “Filling the Awkward Silence: A Response to Laura Levitt on the Passing of Jacob Neusner,” Religion Dispatches, December 2016. https://religiondispatches.org/filling-the-awkward-silence-a-response-to-laura-levitt-on-the-passing-of-jacob-neusner — blunt, acidic, bullying, tough and almost always right, never cruel because cruelty takes intention; also the job talk (“Did you figure all this out by yourself?”) and Jack teaching him the business.

Joshua Hammerman, “Looking Back at Jacob Neusner’s Complicated Legacy,” Forward, December 2016. https://forward.com/news/358291/looking-back-at-jacob-neusners-complicated-legacy/ — famously cruel, one might even say abusive, in particular to students in whom he saw promise; shaped me and shafted me; still haven’t forgiven him.

James Tabor, “Jacob Neusner: Teacher, Scholar, and Friend.” https://jamestabor.com/jacob-neusner-teacher-scholar-and-friend/ — Brown Judaic Studies published his first book in 1986 and gave him the leg up to Notre Dame, William and Mary, and Charlotte. This is the concrete instance behind the argument about the press building careers.

Albert I. Baumgarten, review of Hughes, Reviews of the Enoch Seminar 2017.03.04. https://enochseminar.org/jacob-neusner-an-american-jewish-iconoclast/ — the authorized-biography problem stated carefully by a senior scholar: reliance on the subject, his family, his friends, and his own archive tends toward a portrait too congenial to its subject.

Pavel Sládek, “Jacob Neusner a studium rabínské literatury formativního období” (2017), Charles University. Abstract in English on ResearchGate: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Pavel-Sladek-3 and the Czech record at Charles Explorer. Cavalier philology making particular translations unreliable, set against the credit for ending circular history.

Shaul Magid, “Is It Time to Take the Most Published Man in Human History Seriously?”, Tablet, August 23, 2016. https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/arts-letters/articles/take-jacob-neusner-seriously — useful for the fourth-century Judaism and Christianity argument and for the Iranian context of the Bavli decades before that became fashionable.

Unsigned review of Hughes in Reading Religion: https://readingreligion.org/9781138949393/jacob-neusner/ — notes that Hughes reports Lieberman’s charges and leaves them unevaluated.

The Hayes chain: her Berkeley dissertation (M.A. 1988, Ph.D. 1993); Neusner’s review in the Journal for the Study of Judaism 26:2 (1995); Are the Talmuds Interchangeable? Christine Hayes’s Blunder, South Florida Studies in the History of Judaism 122 (Atlanta: Scholars Press, 1995), xxix + 166 pp., reviewed in the Journal of Law and Religion 17 (2002); her “Response to Jacob Neusner” printed as the appendix to Between the Babylonian and Palestinian Talmuds: Accounting for Halakhic Difference in Selected Sugyot from Tractate Avodah Zarah (Oxford, 1997), doi 10.1093/oso/9780195098846. Her birth year, 1960, comes from the RelBib authority record.

The AAR presidency has a contemporary source: “Prof. Jacob Neusner is Named President of American Academy of Religion,” Jewish Telegraphic Agency, October 22, 1968. https://www.jta.org — worth pulling the original bulletin rather than citing the encyclopedia entries.

Death: October 8, 2016, at Rhinebeck, aged 84. JTA, October 8, 2016; Boston Globe, October 9, 2016; Bruce Chilton’s memorial notice in Biblical Archaeology Review, https://www.biblicalarchaeology.org; Hughes’s own notice on the NYU Press blog, October 17, 2016.

Barry Wimpfheimer reviewed Hughes under the title “A Biography or a Hagiography?” in Religious Studies Review 44:1 (March 2018), 71-77, doi 10.1111/rsr.13412. That is a rabbinics insider making the argument I make about authorization.

The correspondence exists at both ends. Neusner letters turn up in other people’s collections that are already open. The Rabbi Daniel Jeremy Silver papers at the AJA have a folder of Neusner correspondence and articles, 1967-1981, at 28/9/367. Brown‘s library has a named Neusner collection. Files of Lieberman, Morton Smith, Schorsch, Frerichs, his editors, and his political patrons are scattered and mostly unrestricted.

His journalism is the underused primary source. Two easy pulls: “Firmly Held Beliefs Often Require Judgments,” Los Angeles Times, July 26, 1996, on the Southern Baptist resolution to convert Jews, with the letters that answered him on August 2; and “Trends to Come,” Chronicles, September 1993, where he proposes renaming the American Academy of Religion the American Unacademy of Religion.

My Jacob Neusner

Early on in my Jewish journey, circa 1992, my dad gave me a catalogue of books on early Judaism and they were almost all by Jacob Neusner. That didn’t make any sense. I was repulsed and immediately associated “Jacob Neusner” with scam.

When I asked around about Jacob Neusner, I heard horrible things about him from rabbis and scholars whose lives he had damaged.

Circa 1994, I tried reading books by Jacob Neusner and found the juice wasn’t worth the squeeze. Are any of his books worth reading today? If I had a choice, I’d read anyone but him. I don’t trust him. And I don’t like him.

Claude says:

Stranger at Home, from 1981, is the one to start with. It argues that American Jews had substituted the Holocaust and Israel for a Judaism of their own, and it asks whether Jewish life can hold together among people nobody is persecuting. It is short, argumentative, written in his journalist’s voice, and it is the book of his that has aged into relevance rather than out of it. Hughes thinks it belongs with Soloveitchik and Heschel on a syllabus. That is generous, and the book is still the one I would put in your hands.

Invitation to the Talmud shows what he could do when he slowed down. He takes a single sugya and walks it back through Mishnah, Tosefta, Yerushalmi, and Bavli so a reader watches the layers stack. Whatever you think of his conclusions, the pedagogy is real and you will understand the documentary argument from the inside in an afternoon.

A Rabbi Talks with Jesus is worth an evening because it is the book that made him legible to Christians, and because Ratzinger answered it at length as pope. It is Neusner arguing with the Sermon on the Mount as a Jew who takes both sides seriously, and it is the least defended, least fortified thing he wrote.

The Academic Study of Judaism collects the essays on what it means to teach Judaism in a secular university. Dated in its examples and unnervingly current in its diagnosis.

Skip Judaism: The Evidence of the Mishnah unless you want to referee the fight. Read Sanders and Shaye Cohen on it instead and you will have the argument without the six hundred pages.

For early Judaism, read other people, and you lose nothing. Shaye Cohen, From the Maccabees to the Mishnah. Seth Schwartz on Jews under Roman rule. Günter Stemberger’s introduction to Talmud and midrash as the reference shelf. Barry Wimpfheimer’s short biography of the Talmud. Moulie Vidas for where the field went after the documentary argument. Catherine Hezser on the social world of the rabbis. Every one of them is a better writer than he was, and every one of them works in a space he cleared.

A Biography of a Hagiography?

Barry Scott Wimpfheimer writes:

* In Jacob Neusner: An American Jewish Iconoclast, Hughes celebrates an earlier scholar who fought against the ghettoization of Jewish Studies. In this biography, Neusner is the prescient figure who implemented interdisciplinarity well before its heyday and was educationally progressive enough to recognize that Jewish historiography was being held back by its commitment to a set of textual skills and methodological assumptions that deserved an American revision. Hughes outlines a fourfold trajectory to Neusner’s scholarship (History, Literature, Religion, Theology) that culminates in work that places Neusner at the forefront of Jewish thought. The book argues for adding Neusner’s later works of theology to the canon of modern Jewish thought.

Any biography of Neusner must contend with the number of works Neusner produced. The Library of Congress counts 655 works in Neusner’s name. The catalogue of the JTS library has 677. I have seen claims that there are over 1,000 published works. Even assuming the lowest number (655), over a 45-year career this computes to a publication rate of 14.5 books a year.

Much of Neusner’s work is difficult to read, and not because it has a high linguistic register or aspires to a certain literary style. The work often reads like a first draft because it went directly from typewriter to press.

* Many of the books in the Brown Judaic Studies series were edited volumes with contributions from Neusner’s graduate students. Some of them read like the graduate school assignments that they were. Neusner’s control of the press and his funneling of student work into publications with the press are both ethically and legally problematic. Neusner took his students’ intellectual property without remuneration. Much is made in the biography of the royalty income, but the book makes no mention that Neusner did not share this book royalty income with the students or colleagues who had often produced the translations of individual tractates or had contributed essays and articles as sections of his edited volumes.

* Jacob Neusner had graphomania. In 2005, when I was completing a dissertation that was strongly interested in the dichotomy of halakhah (law) and aggadah (nonlaw/literature/law), I received a postcard from University Press of America inviting me to purchase hundreds of Neusner’s titles; the card included a note that made it clear that this was not the complete works. Among the titles listed on the card were over 10 titles on halakhah and aggadah produced in 2001 alone. As a researcher, I attempted to procure and consult these titles. The library of the Jewish Theological Seminary had nearly all of them and I was able to lay them out next to each other on a large table. Very quickly I could establish that these books were similar to one another in content and even in front matter like acknowledgments and other personal notes. The order of presentation of materials sometimes differed, particularly in the front matter. Examples used to illustrate the arguments might not be the same from book to book. It was clear that these books had been assembled by copying and pasting digital text on a word processor.

The Neusner catalog is rife with this problem. While he was a gifted typist and a quick writer, much of the volume of Neusner’s catalogue comes from habits that could turn a single book into several. A translation would be followed by an outlined translation which could be followed by an analysis of the underlying text that was dwarfed by the paragraphs from the translations used as examples. Hughes’s biography allows Neusner’s claim that the South Florida period was his most prolific to stand uncriticized. Many of the USF publications are explicit copies of earlier Brown volumes and even the ones that are presented as new are largely derivative of the earlier work. Ashgate has published a three-volume set entitled Neusner on Judaism and divided into History, Religion and Literature volumes (Neusner 2004, 2004, 2006). They represent most of Neusner’s original contributions to the field and provide a sense of what his reputation might have been if he had not committed to produce books as quickly as he did. Hughes is not a specialist in Rabbinic Literature, and the biography makes several mistakes in characterizing the field of rabbinic literature and Neusner’s place in the field.

* Some of the biography’s most flawed sections are found in its treatment of Neusner’s feud with Saul Lieberman. Lieberman was not, as the book claims, an Orthodox individual still reading rabbinic texts as he had been trained in yeshiva. Here Hughes relies too heavily on Marc Shapiro’s work on Lieberman which is itself trying to sort through a set of extremely narrow Orthodox political concerns to determine whether Lieberman is or should be kosher-certified (Shapiro 2006).

Saul Lieberman was a text-critical exegete with a conservative approach to scholarly production. His passion for, and commitment to, the Palestinian Talmud help to frame both Lieberman’s own scholarly achievements and his uncharacteristically hostile review of Neusner’s translation of that work. In 1929, Lieberman penned a methodological essay outlining the hermeneutic challenges that critics face when trying to recover the historically original meaning of the Palestinian Talmud (PT) (Lieberman 1929). These include a unique set of lower critical challenges (there is only one very flawed manuscript for some sections and there is evidence of various large-scale scribal errors). At some point Lieberman realized that the Tosefta was crucial to understanding the original meaning of PT so he shifted to mine the references to the Tosefta found in medieval commentaries (Lieberman 1937-1939). From there Lieberman went on to a long-term project writing a definitive text-critical commentary to Tosefta (Lieberman 1955-1982). Along the way, Lieberman cautiously produced some important initial studies of the PT, but he never finished his preliminary work on the Tosefta.

Every page of Lieberman’s magnum opus, Tosefta Kifshutah, is replete with readings of passages of rabbinic literature that explore a host of nontraditional interpretations of these passages; Lieberman was not bound by tradition and could creatively read the text for an original meaning that often diverged from its later traditional interpretation. The most obvious nontraditional feature of Lieberman’s commentary is the regular references to Greek and Latin classical literature. Lieberman’s breadth in classical and early Christian literature puts to rest any assertion that he read like a yeshiva bochur. Greek in Jewish Palestine and Hellenism in Jewish Palestine testify to Lieberman’s fundamental role in expanding the study of rabbinic literature into non-Jewish terrain in a productive way (Lieberman 1942, 1950).

In 1984, Saul Lieberman published a critical review of a volume of Neusner’s translation of the Palestinian Talmud (Lieberman 1984). The review’s title “A Tragedy or a Comedy?” telegraphs a sharply critical intention. The bulk of the review consists of corrections to errors in the critical handling of a rabbinic text. On the final page Lieberman concludes, “The right place for our English translation is a waste paper basket.” Amidst his harsh critique, Lieberman manages a few words of praise: “In fairness to the translator I must add that his various essays on Jewish topics are meritorious. They abound in brilliant insights and intelligent questions.” An astute reader will note, though, that this praise only sets up a final rhetorical scolding of student by teacher. The review was magnified by its posthumous publication—Lieberman had passed away in 1983 and this piece was one of the final ones he authored. To further dramatize matters, Morton Smith, Neusner’s Columbia University mentor, distributed boxes of the review at a plenary discussion of Neusner’s work at a large conference in December 1984.

Neusner was out of his element in producing editions of rabbinic literature, particularly with respect to a work as challenging as the PT. In failing to interrogate the substance of the review, Hughes allows the reader to conclude that the matter was a political issue fueled by personal animosities and grievances. Lieberman was a lifelong student of the PT who spent considerable scholarly energy attempting to educate the field about the historical meaning of this important work. Is it inconceivable that he was motivated at least in part by the scholarly limitations of Neusner’s translation?

* In my opinion, many of Neusner’s specific claims about the philosophy of the Mishnah are not compelling. There is a point at which his abstractions of the Mishnah no longer resemble the Mishnah as read closely. But the field has productively followed Neusner’s example. A new generation of Mishnah scholars (Rosen-Zvi, Berkowitz, Balberg, Cohn, Simon-Shoshan, Halberstam, and others) has followed Neusner’s instinct by looking for deeper meaning in the Mishnah even if they find that meaning through hermeneutic techniques that begin with close analysis of the Mishnah’s text. Today’s avant garde Mishnah work does not build on Neusner’s earlier readings by relying on his readings, but it builds on his instinct of seeking something more conceptual from this work. Neusner was relatively disinterested in the skills and hermeneutic exercises that were constitutive for his literary colleagues in the academic study of rabbinics.

* In the interests of popularization, Neusner bypassed philological questions and produced a translation based on a mediocre set of modern commentaries. While it is not uncommon for rabbinic literary readers (particularly philologists) to find fault with mistaken readings assumed by rabbinic historiographers who generally argue on the basis of a larger quantity of texts, here was Neusner attempting to own the literary canon by producing a translation of every work, including the works whose philological juries were still out. Neusner signaled his awareness of the challenges of PT by labeling the PT translation a “preliminary” translation. This did not satisfy Lieberman, who had emerged from a traditional non-philological form of reading in the yeshiva of his youth and was unwilling to return to that mode of scholarship.

* By playing ancient Judaism in a Protestant key, Neusner made rabbinics necessary to the study of ancient Christianity and a staple of every major Religious Studies program in the country. Since he trained his students to work in universities in this field, he could place his students in these newly created positions. Aaron Hughes’s biography of Jacob Neusner is a first attempt to come to terms with a complicated man and his legacy. Perhaps Neusner’s passing will open up the space for subsequent projects that will be more critical in assessing Neusner’s scholarly corpus and his political behavior.

The Man Who Made the Method Travel

Three things get said about Jacob Neusner. He published more than anyone in the history of the academy. He changed the way rabbinic literature is studied in America. A large share of his conclusions, and all of his translations are regarded by specialists as unreliable.

If the scholarship keeps getting overturned, why does the man matter? If the revolution was his, why can you find its components in Jerusalem and in New Testament studies before he arrived? And if his durable estate amounts to a few dozen books, as his biographer Aaron W. Hughes half concedes, what do we do with the mountain around them?

One answer covers all three. He did not invent the method. He made it travel.

Start with the part of the legend that has to go.

Critical suspicion of rabbinic sources was not born at Brown in 1970. J. N. Epstein (1878-1952) had already made the manuscript history of the Mishnah a discipline. Abraham Weiss (1895-1970) was analyzing the literary units of the Babylonian Talmud and the work of its editors. David Weiss Halivni (1927-2022) published the first volume of Meqorot u-Mesorot in 1968 and built the argument that the anonymous voice of the Bavli belongs to a later stratum than the attributed sayings it surrounds. Shamma Friedman‘s 1977 study of the tenth chapter of Yevamot laid out criteria for separating those layers and announced the method in its title. None of that came from Neusner.

The second lineage runs through Christian scholarship, and his own biographer documents it. Form criticism and redaction criticism were mature tools in Gospel studies a generation before Neusner applied their logic to rabbinic attributions. He learned them from Morton Smith (1915-1991), who read every draft of his dissertation, and then from Wayne Meeks and Brevard Childs (1923-2007) at Dartmouth. He had first met Childs at the JTS summer program in 1958 and 1959, when Childs was an assistant professor at Yale Divinity School, and after the first book on Yohanan ben Zakkai came out Childs asked him whether he was doing history too soon and asking the wrong questions.

That question took Neusner ten years to answer, and when he answered it he answered it by demolishing the book. The tools he used to do the demolition came from a Protestant Old Testament scholar and a New Testament scholar, applied to material neither of them worked on.

So the claim that Jacob Neusner invented the critical study of rabbinic literature should be retired. He was never adept at either form or redaction criticism.

He knew about the rival lineage. He built a wall against it, and then he built the door in the wall, and he kept the key.

The wall first. When his Brown students needed Hebrew, he sent them to Israel for a year or two, paid for out of the Max Richter Foundation before they had even enrolled. And he told them, in Hughes’s account, not to let the Israelis teach them anything about history. The traffic ran both ways. Professors at the Hebrew University, Abraham Goldberg among them, grew reluctant to work with American students once they learned the students were going back to Providence to work with Neusner.

In 1970 Brill published The Formation of the Babylonian Talmud, a volume of studies on what nineteenth and twentieth century historical and literary criticism had achieved with the Bavli. Its chapters include Abraham Weiss on source criticism and on literary forms, and Halivni’s Meqorot u-Mesorot. The editor was Jacob Neusner.

So the man telling his students to keep Jerusalem out of their history was, in the same years, the man who put the Jerusalem source critics in front of an English-reading audience. Those two facts look like hypocrisy and are something else. He wanted the rival tradition available, and he wanted to be the one who made it available. He would carry anything, including his competitors, provided he owned the vehicle.

That is a publisher’s relationship to a rival. A scholar sends his students to the best teacher of a subject. A publisher acquires the rights.

That is also why the citation record today looks the way it does. Scholars working on the composition of the Bavli name Halivni and Friedman, because that is where their operation comes from. Scholars working on Sasanian Babylonia name Neusner, because his five volumes are the account they have to overturn. Monika Amsler’s 2023 book on the Bavli and late antique book culture credits Halivni and Friedman with the stratification and Neusner with the insistence that the composition be looked at as a designed whole, then keeps a piece of each. That is not a field that has forgotten anybody. That is a field taking different tools from different toolboxes and knowing whose is whose.

What Neusner supplied was never the philology. It was everything that turns a technique into a profession.

Look at what he built at Brown. When he set up the graduate program, there were two other places in America to do doctoral work in rabbinics, with Isadore Twersky (1930-1997) at Harvard and Morton Smith at Columbia. He differentiated his from both by refusing to train Talmudists. He was training scholars of religion who happened to work on rabbinic texts. That let him admit gentiles, which the seminaries would not do and which Twersky had no reason to do, so long as they were willing to learn Hebrew and do the work.

Then the regimen. He gave students their dissertation topics in the first week or two on campus, and the topics came out of whatever he was working on at the time. Everyone took a seminar with him that met all twelve months of the year, summer and winter, and everyone arrived each week with twenty pages of translation and commentary. The pages got torn up. If they were bad enough the student came back the next day rather than the next week. Four years, maximum, to finish. Everyone also took a course reading Neusner’s own work in detail, and he encouraged them to read his critics. Everyone took a second religious tradition so that comparison would be possible. And everyone, Jew or gentile, had to attend an Orthodox service every week for a year until they had heard the whole Torah chanted, because a scholar who has never heard the text sung will not understand that it is alive.

With rare exceptions, all of them finished, and all of them got jobs.

Most of them found it humiliating. Several told Hughes it was humiliation aimed at making them better. What nobody disputes is the throughput. That is a factory for manufacturing people who can perform an operation, and it was running at full capacity while the older centers of Jewish learning were still deciding whether the operation was permissible.

Circulation was the other half. Reviewing a book on Maimonidean controversy in 1965, he noted that the author had been forced to publish abroad, which showed America had no satisfactory domestic publisher, or audience, for serious Jewish scholarship. He added that it would come.

He then made it come. Brown Judaic Studies had editors appointed across ancient Judaism, medieval Judaism, Jewish philosophy, Judaism and Islam, and Philo. Brown gave the series its name. Neusner and his backers supplied the organization and the money, the press handled printing, the backlist paid for the frontlist. More than 250 volumes appeared under his editorship, at a pace that at its peak approached a book a week. When he left Brown in 1990 and the series stayed behind under new leadership, he treated it as theft, looked into whether he had legal standing, and then did the only thing that would have satisfied him. He built another one in Florida.

The private economy of the man’s day matched the public economy of the press. He rose between half past four and five, was at the desk half an hour later, and used the hours before sunrise for original composition because the rest of the day would do for essays and reading. He fell asleep by nine without trying. If a problem was on his mind at bedtime it occupied his sleep, and by the hour before waking the chapter was written and he had only to transcribe it. Students could call at eight, precisely, and got fifteen minutes. He taught in the afternoon because that was when he was tired. He told them that you do not get much done on any one day, but if you work three hundred and sixty-five days a year you get an awful lot done.

Not everyone thought this was healthy. S. D. Goitein (1900-1985), the great scholar of the Cairo Geniza, once wrote to Suzanne Neusner rather than to her husband, asking her to restrain the overflow of energy. He had watched too many young friends do this in their late thirties and break down in their forties and fifties. Jack, he wrote, had already done a lifetime’s work.

He had, and he kept going. He advised a colleague in 1997 to write things down so that the thought could reach people who had not been in the room and people who were not yet born. He turned his lectures into books because a lecture is a local event while a book is a portable one. Someone raised in a newspaper office knows the difference in his hands.

His unit of publication was not the book. It was the intellectual operation, and he printed every transformation of it. A text gets translated. The translation generates a commentary. The commentary becomes a documentary study. Several studies become a synthesis. The synthesis gets condensed into a handbook for a wider audience. A dispute produces a polemic. A conference produces an edited volume. A twenty-two volume project on purity law gets reworked, later, into a shorter book that says what the twenty-two volumes found.

Once you see that, the famous number stops being a scandal and starts being a description. Note also that the number itself is soft. His publishers said author or editor of more than nine hundred books, which is not the same as wrote. Multivolume projects were counted volume by volume. Some titles are explicitly described in his own bibliography as reprises, reworkings, condensations, or epitomes of earlier books. Nobody has yet built the ledger that would separate publication events from distinct intellectual projects, and until somebody does, the honest sentence is that we do not know how many books Jacob Neusner wrote, and that the figure everyone repeats measures the throughput of a publishing system rather than the frequency of original acts.

A dozen or so works carry nearly the whole estate. Nobody asks whether all of Max Weber’s journalism remains canonical.

Three different Neusners are alive in current scholarship.

There is the ancestor. When a monograph explains why it will not treat a story recorded centuries later as testimony about the event it narrates, his name still turns up in the genealogy, at least in English.

There is the important wrong answer. He asked in 1975 how much Iranian there was in Jewish Babylonia and concluded not much. Shai Secunda and the Talmudo-Iranica scholars reopened that question with far better Persian material and answered it the other way, and the man who now holds the Jacob Neusner chair at Bard is Secunda. Simcha Gross’s 2024 book has to spend its opening pages dismantling the picture of an insulated Babylonian Jewry that Neusner’s five volumes established, and his bibliography carries ten Neusner items. A forgotten scholar does not get dismantled at Cambridge eight years after his death.

And there is the translator whom people route around. Azzan Yadin-Israel tells his readers that Neusner translated Sifra and that the results are unreliable, and points them elsewhere. That verdict is now ordinary.

He often won the question and lost the answer. He repudiated his own first book on Yohanan ben Zakkai, and the problem that book had failed to solve, what late traditions permit us to know about early rabbis, is still on the table. His documentary boundaries proved too hard, and the demand that a scholar say what a document is doing before mining it for facts survived. His Babylonia went down, and the rule against converting the Bavli into social history without argument stayed up.

That is what happens to a founder who succeeds. His answers get replaced. His questions become the ordinary furniture of the field, and furniture does not get cited.

We keep asking whether he belongs among the great interpreters of the Mishnah or the great philologists of rabbinic literature. Asked that way the answer is no. His nearest analogue is the editor and founder, the man who understands that ideas scattered across separate worlds can be assembled into a program, that a program can be taught, that people who have been taught it need somewhere to publish, that publication makes reputations, that reputations become jobs, that jobs produce students, and that after enough turns of the wheel an insurgency starts to look like the ordinary way educated people think.

Neusner could not let a criticism stand because an unanswered charge becomes the public record. He turned disagreements into books because a controversy is another publication event. He built a second series when the first was taken from him because the machinery mattered as much as the chair. He was generous to young scholars because every new practitioner enlarged the field. And he was controlling past the point of cruelty because he could not distinguish the health of the enterprise from control of its means of reproduction.

Every item on that list comes from one disposition.

His father Sam ran the Connecticut Jewish Ledger, and understood a newspaper as an instrument for making a scattered population into a community that could see itself, argue with itself, educate itself, and present itself to the neighbors. The paper did not invent Connecticut Jewry. It gave it a place to appear, at regular intervals, in front of the same readers.

The son moved that instrument into the university. He did not originate the methods he championed. He gathered them, chose among them, sharpened them, named them, demonstrated them on real texts, taught them to people he selected and paid for, insulated those people from a rival tradition while publishing that tradition himself, put the results into print at a rate no press could have absorbed unless he owned the press, answered everyone who objected, and kept printing until the categories became the water the field swims in.

He kept Jerusalem out of his students’ history and printed Jerusalem for everyone else, and today the two lineages sit together in the same footnotes, each supplying what it does best, in books written by people who never had to choose. The traffic he wanted to meter is now the ordinary business of the field.

Notes

Page numbers are the printed pages of Aaron W. Hughes, Jacob Neusner: An American Jewish Iconoclast.

The 1965 review of Daniel Jeremy Silver’s Maimonidean Criticism and the Maimonidean Controversy, 1180-1240, in which Neusner writes that Silver’s having to publish abroad shows there is as yet no satisfactory domestic publisher, or audience, for serious Jewish scholarship, and adds that it will come, is on p. 88. Hughes draws the connection to Scholars Press in the next sentence. The section is headed “Ever the Reporter,” which is Hughes noticing the journalist and then walking past him.

S. D. Goitein’s letter to Suzanne Neusner asking her to restrain the overflow of energy, warning that too many of their younger friends broke down in their forties and fifties, and saying that Jack had already done a lifetime’s work, is on p. 98.

The letter to Ithamar Gruenwald describing the daily routine, rising between 4:30 and 5, at the desk half an hour later, most original thought before sunrise, asleep by nine, the problem occupying his sleep so that the chapter is written by waking and needs only transcription, is on pp. 98-99. The eight o’clock phone window, the fifteen-minute budget, teaching only in the afternoons because that was when he was tired, Avery-Peck getting called at seven because Neusner suspected he was sleeping in, and the remark that you do not do a lot in any one day but if you work 365 days a year you get an awful lot done, are on p. 100.

Wayne Meeks and Brevard Childs introducing him to historical and form criticism of ancient texts is on pp. 109-110. Childs first met him at the JTS summer program in 1958 and 1959 while an assistant professor at Yale Divinity School, and after A Life of Rabban Yohanan ben Zakkai appeared, asked him: is it possible that you are doing history too soon, and might you be asking the wrong questions. That quotation is on p. 110 and is the single best piece of evidence in the book for the Christian-scholarship lineage. Use it.

The comparison with the only two other American doctoral programs in rabbinics, Twersky at Harvard and Morton Smith at Columbia, and Neusner’s decision to train scholars of religion rather than Talmudists, which is also why he could admit gentiles, is on p. 139.

The Israel warning is on p. 140. Neusner funded students through Max Richter fellowships before they enrolled so they could spend a year or two in Israel learning Hebrew, and warned them not to let the Israelis teach them anything about history. Hebrew University faculty, Abraham Goldberg named, grew reluctant to work with American students once they learned the students were returning to work with Neusner. Same page: his students came in already able to read rabbinic texts because he had no patience to teach that, and with a couple of exceptions all of them finished and got jobs.

The regimen is on pp. 140-142. Dissertation topics assigned in the first week or two, drawn from whatever he was working on. The seminar meeting all twelve months, twenty pages of translation and commentary weekly, work torn to shreds, come back the next day if it was bad enough. Four years maximum. A separate course reading his own work, with critics encouraged. A second religious tradition required so comparison would be possible. Hebrew Bible required as the foundation of everything. And every student, Jewish or gentile, at an Orthodox service weekly for at least a year to hear the whole Torah chanted, on the theory that a student who has not heard it sung cannot see the text as a living presence. Students describing the seminar as humiliating, and adding that the humiliation was for the sake of getting better, is on p. 141. Students calling him controlling in a positive sense is on p. 140.

Brown Judaic Studies with editors appointed across ancient Judaism, medieval Judaism, Jewish philosophy, Judaism and Islam, and Philo, Brown supplying its name and little else, the Tisch financing and the fifty percent of net proceeds, are on pp. 149-150. The transfer of the series to Ernest Frerichs in June 1990, his letter of June 13, and his look at legal options, are on pp. 232-233.

The rival lineage

J. N. Epstein, Mavo le-Nusah ha-Mishnah (Jerusalem, 1948), the textual criticism of the Mishnah on which everything downstream rests.

Abraham Weiss, Ha-Talmud ha-Bavli be-hithavuto ha-sifrutit (Warsaw, 1937), on the literary formation of the Bavli, and his 1937 article in Revue des études juives on the problem of R. Ashi‘s redaction in the light of the Letter of Sherira. A useful English entry point is Roger Brooks and Joseph M. Davis, “Abraham Weiss as Exegete and Text Critic: The Case of b. Berakhot 35a,” which is on the Connecticut College digital commons.

David Weiss Halivni, Meqorot u-Mesorot, first volume 1968, then the long series, and in English Midrash, Mishnah, and Gemara (Harvard, 1986) and The Formation of the Babylonian Talmud, translated and edited by Jeffrey Rubenstein (Oxford, 2013). Confirm the 1968 date of the first volume from a library record before printing it, since editions and reprints muddy it.

Shamma Friedman, “Pereq ha-Ishah Rabbah ba-Bavli,” a critical study of Yevamot X with a methodological introduction, in Mehqarim u-Meqorot / Texts and Studies: Analecta Judaica I, ed. H. Z. Dimitrovsky (New York: JTS), pp. 275-441. Some bibliographies date it 1977 and some 1978. Cite the one you inspect. His CV is on Academia and lists it.

Hanan Alexander, “David Halivni and Shamma Friedman: Conflicting Trends in Talmud Criticism,” indexed at RAMBI and on the University of Haifa research portal. That is the short piece that tells you the rival lineage has internal fights of its own.

Current scholarship

Monika Amsler, The Babylonian Talmud and Late Antique Book Culture (Cambridge, 2023). Open access on Cambridge Core, so the introduction can be read and quoted with page numbers without a library trip. This is where Halivni and Friedman get the stratification and Neusner gets the whole-document composition, and where both are kept.

Simcha Gross, Babylonian Jews and Sasanian Imperialism in Late Antiquity (Cambridge, 2024). Jeffrey Rubenstein’s review in the Jewish Review of Books frames the field’s older account as culminating in Neusner’s five volumes: https://jewishreviewofbooks.com/jewish-history/16139/imperial-rabbis/ — the Ancient Jew Review forum on the book collects several scholars responding.

Shai Secunda, The Iranian Talmud: Reading the Bavli in Its Sasanian Context (Penn, 2014). Interview at https://kavvanah.blog with useful self-description of the field’s genealogy. Secunda now holds the Jacob Neusner chair at Bard.

Azzan Yadin-Israel, Scripture and Tradition (Penn, 2015), for the judgment that the Sifra translation is unreliable.

Peter Haas, “The ‘Neusnerian Turn’ in Method and the End of the Wissenschaft as We Knew It,” in A Legacy of Learning: Essays in Honor of Jacob Neusner, ed. Avery-Peck, Chilton, Green, and Porton (Brill), pp. 162-170. Brill dates the print volume 2014. A full text appears to be posted at docslib.

Neusner’s own slogan, “what we cannot show, we do not know,” is the subtitle of Rabbinic Literature and the New Testament (Wipf and Stock, 2004).

The Merton Test: What It Would Take to Prove Jacob Neusner Won

Aaron W. Hughes opens his biography of Jacob Neusner with a complaint that sounds like a lament and works like an accusation. Everyone in Jewish studies knows the name. Many of us, he writes, use the categories he pioneered, perhaps without attribution. And then he worries that the man has been largely forgotten.

Robert K. Merton (1910-2003) had a name for what Hughes is describing. He thought it was the highest honor a field can pay, and the cruelest.

Merton called it obliteration by incorporation. An idea, a method, or a finding becomes so thoroughly absorbed into what everyone knows that the source drops out of the footnotes. Citing it would be pedantry. Nobody attaches a reference to the proposition that the earth goes around the sun, and no one is stealing from Copernicus. The idea has stopped being a claim inside the field and become one of the conditions under which the field operates. Merton worked the concept out across the 1950s and 1960s, in “Priorities in Scientific Discovery,” in On the Shoulders of Giants, and in the 1968 paper on what he called the Matthew effect. Eugene Garfield (1925-2017), who built the citation index, spent years trying to measure it and never fully succeeded.

What Merton gives us is a conversion. Hughes made a claim about the world and offered no way to test it. Merton turns the same claim into a measurement, and, better, into a measurement that can fail.

Start with the problem that makes the measurement hard.

Obliteration by incorporation and simple oblivion produce identical evidence. Both show up in a citation count as a zero. A scholar whose ideas have become the assumptions of his discipline and a scholar whose ideas were tried and discarded look the same in the index. This is why citation counts cannot settle arguments about influence, and why the people who repeat that Neusner’s stock has fallen and the people who insist he won are pointing at the same data.

An idea that has been obliterated by incorporation leaves fingerprints, and they come in a sequence. In the first phase the proposition is contested, and everyone who states it argues for it and attributes it. In the second phase it is conceded, and people state it with a nod, as X has shown. In the third phase it is assumed, and the nod goes away. What distinguishes obliteration from oblivion is that first phase. If a proposition was fought over, and the people fighting over it named a man, and thirty years later the proposition is stated without argument and without the name, that is obliteration. If a proposition was never contested, or was contested and lost, the absence of the name means what it appears to mean.

That gives you something to build. Take the propositions that were at issue when Neusner arrived. That a saying attributed to a first-century sage in a sixth-century compilation is evidence about the compilation before it is evidence about the sage. That the Mishnah, the Tosefta, and the two Talmuds are separate documents with separate programs. That parallel traditions may not be harmonized by default. That a scholar owes an argument before he converts a late source into early social history. Every one of those was a fighting matter in 1975. Track each of them through three windows, say 1985 to 1995, 2000 to 2010, and 2015 to 2025, and record two numbers: how often the proposition appears, and how often it appears with a name attached. The ratio between them is the obliteration index, and nobody has ever calculated it for him.

Now the part where Merton makes the Neusner case harder.

Merton’s other great finding was that independent multiple discovery is the norm in the history of knowledge and the solitary discovery the exception. He collected hundreds of cases and argued that the sociologically interesting question is not who was first, because several people usually were, but which of the multiples gets institutionalized, and why.

Neusner is a multiple. J. N. Epstein had made the textual criticism of the Mishnah a discipline before the war. Abraham Weiss (1895-1970) was taking apart the literary units of the Bavli in Warsaw in 1937. David Weiss Halivni (1927-2022) was separating the anonymous voice of the Bavli from the attributed sayings around it. Shamma Friedman laid out criteria for doing that in 1977. And form criticism and redaction criticism were mature instruments in Gospel scholarship a generation before anyone applied their logic to rabbinic attributions, which is how they reached Neusner, through through Morton Smith and then through Wayne Meeks and Brevard Childs, who asked him after his first book whether he was doing history too soon and asking the wrong questions.

An adumbrationist would stop there and say the case is closed, there was nothing new, the man was a broadcaster of other people’s ideas. Merton named that move too. Adumbrationism is the critical strategy of finding an anticipation for any claim and using it to deny originality, and Merton thought it was usually a weapon rather than a finding, since almost everything can be shown to have been adumbrated by somebody. Neusner’s Israeli critics made that argument about him. He made it about others.

Merton’s own way through is better. In a multiple, the credit goes to the version that got institutionalized, and it goes there for reasons to do with position, visibility, students, and the capacity to broadcast. That is a description of Jacob Neusner. He was the member of the multiple who had a press, a fellowship fund, a doctoral seminar meeting twelve months a year, and a compulsion to print. If his version is the one that became the water in English-language rabbinics, Merton would say that is what the sociology predicts.

There is a counterweight, and it is Merton’s too. The Matthew effect says that credit accrues to the eminent, that the famous name gets cited for work the obscure name did, and that citation flows uphill. Neusner was extravagantly visible. He had the largest bibliography in the field and the most quotable personality in. Everything about his position should have made him over-cited rather than under-cited. So if the propositions are present and the name is not, that finding runs against the strongest current in Merton’s system.

And there is a third possibility that Merton did not anticipate, because his model assumes a reward system where citation is a token allocated by norms.

Citation can also be avoidance.

Merton’s scientists withheld credit out of forgetfulness, absorption, or the scramble for priority. Neusner may be uncited because colleagues would rather not be seen with him. The translations are known to be unreliable, and saying so has become routine. The man damaged careers, and some of the people he damaged are now senior. A footnote is a public act of association. So a zero in the count now has three possible causes, and only one of them is victory: the idea has been absorbed, the idea was rejected, or the man has been quarantined.

Merton lets you separate them anyway.

If the cause is absorption, the decay is gradual and the proposition survives without him. If the cause is rejection, the proposition disappears along with the name. If the cause is quarantine, you will find the strangest signature of the three, which is a proposition that keeps its attribution to somebody while losing it to him. You will find scholars naming Halivni and Friedman for an operation Neusner also performed, or citing his translation in a footnote while crediting the method to another lineage in the preface. You can also test it against the same authors over time, since a scholar who cited him in 1995 and not in 2020 while making the same argument is telling you something about the field’s manners rather than about the argument. And you can test it against a control, a scholar of comparable centrality whom nobody hated, and see whether his curve decays at the same rate.

That is a study that can come out three ways. If the propositions and the name are both gone, he was overrated and Hughes was consoling himself. If both are present, he is an ordinary living ancestor and the talk of forgetting is premature. If the propositions are everywhere and the name is nowhere, Hughes was right in a stronger form than he could demonstrate, and Jacob Neusner has been obliterated by incorporation.

I would bet on the third. In Sasanian Babylonia he is still named, because his five volumes are the account people have to overturn, and an account under demolition keeps its author’s name until the demolition is finished. In the layered analysis of the Bavli the credit runs to Halivni and Friedman, which is where it belongs. In the general suspicion of attributions, in the refusal to harmonize, in the demand that a scholar say what a document is doing before mining it, I expect to find his propositions everywhere and his name almost nowhere.

Merton’s last observation about all this is the one that turns a bibliometric exercise into a biography.

The reward system of scholarship runs on recognition, and recognition is the only property a scholar owns. He cannot patent a finding. He can only be known to have made it. Obliteration by incorporation is therefore the one form of success that consumes the thing success is for. The more completely you win, the less anyone has occasion to say your name, until the victory is total and the man has been paid in a currency that no longer exists.

Set that beside what we know about Jacob Neusner. He kept his correspondence in two archives. He authorized a biography and sat for it. He wanted every book he had written put online free for anyone to read. Asked at the end how he would like to be remembered, he could not answer, and his wife could not answer for him, and his son said the students.

A man who wanted to be remembered that badly spent fifty years manufacturing the conditions under which he would not have to be.

That is the finding, if the numbers hold. And unlike almost everything else written about him, it can be checked.

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Stratfor Reunion: Peter Zeihan on Mentorship & Geopolitics

The four men name the problem and then walk past it. Jacob says it at the thirty-one minute mark: the argument is self-serving. They are telling corporate America that it needs a capability, that the capability takes a decade to build, that universities can’t build it, that MBA programs can’t build it, that ninety-nine percent of hires into the role will fail, and that the training pipeline collapsed twenty-five years ago. Every one of those claims raises the price of the men in the room. Saying so out loud does not dissolve the interest. What they describe is a credential with no credentialing body. Scarce, unverifiable, self-certifying. Marko Papic reaches for the CFA analogy and it cuts against him, because the CFA has an exam and the analyst who passes it has a track record that gets marked to market every quarter.

The missing name is Philip Tetlock (b. 1954). He spent twenty years on the exact question this conversation circles for eighty minutes: who is good at this, and how would you know. Expert Political Judgment (2005) and the Good Judgment Project found that credentialed regional experts did badly, that generalists who updated often did better, and that some of the strongest forecasters were pharmacists and retirees with no trade craft at all. Peter Zeihan (b. 1973) has a defense available. He says he is the long-horizon man, and long-horizon questions do not resolve inside a scoreable window. That is fair and it is also the perfect refuge. A forecast about 2050 cannot embarrass you in 2026.

The Hobsbawm example collapses on contact. The closing argument holds that the best analysts are people who broke out of a doctrine, ex-Mormons and ex-Marxists, and Eric Hobsbawm (1917-2012) gets named as proof. Hobsbawm never left. He stayed in the Communist Party of Great Britain until it dissolved in 1991, and in 1994, on camera with Michael Ignatieff (b. 1947), he allowed that the deaths might have been worth it had the society arrived. The man chosen to demonstrate that apostasy sharpens vision is the century’s most famous case of a man who did not apostatize. There is a second trouble under it. The ex-believer is not neutral. He is inverted. Anti-convert energy is bad fuel for the empathetic analysis they praise forty minutes earlier, which requires you to inhabit a man who thinks he is good. Their two central commitments pull against each other and nobody notices.

Marko’s best idea comes early and he abandons it later. His father’s line, “it’s all Hollywood,” describes elites performing competence they do not have. Conspiracy theories fail because the conspirators are not smart enough. That is a coherent theory of institutional behavior and probably the most useful thing said all hour. Then at fifty minutes he argues that Xi, Putin, and Trump vindicate the great man theory, that they not only met a demand but fermented it so they could supply more of it. He wants elite incompetence and leader agency at the same time. One or the other.

On religion, the group performs Max Weber (1864-1920) without citing him. Analysis stays positive, ethics goes in the corporate decision, principles stay home. That distinction has a long literature and holding it is harder than they suggest. The joke about Islamic terrorism fails on its own terms: Mohamed Atta (1968-2001) held a graduate degree in urban planning from Hamburg, and Ayman al-Zawahiri (1951-2022) was a surgeon. The man arguing that you must climb inside your subject’s head makes a joke that depends on refusing to. Note also what the claim does. Faith disqualifies you from clear sight, while a particular rootlessness qualifies you. That is a status claim wearing an epistemology.

The dislocation thesis has a name. Georg Simmel (1858-1918) on the stranger, Thorstein Veblen (1857-1929) on Jewish intellectual preeminence, Robert E. Park (1864-1944) on the marginal man. They have rediscovered a hundred-year-old sociology and are treating it as an occupational secret. The selection problem is visible in the room. Marko’s country dissolved. Peter was adopted. Matt studied literature and Jacob’s family argued at dinner. The category stretches to cover whoever is present, which is what folk theories do.

Peter’s think tank claim needs checking. Twenty international affairs shops closing by 2000 is too strong. CFR, Carnegie, Brookings, RAND, the Wilson Center, USIP all continued. The defensible version is narrower: Sovietology died with its subject, the area-studies money reoriented, and Kremlinology stopped being a career. Directionally right, and it carries the empirical load of the whole scarcity argument, so the overstatement is worth pricing.

I think they misidentify their own product. They keep asking whether a chief geopolitical officer can forecast well. The role probably exists so an executive can tell a board the risk was considered. It is an insurance product against blame, and it is priced accordingly. Marko half sees this when he says that analysis nobody reads is worth nothing, and when he says clients need five percent of the answer tomorrow. Peter sees it when he tells the story of wetting his pants in third grade speech class and overcompensating for life. The trade sells legibility under uncertainty. That is a real service. It also explains why storytelling keeps surfacing as the master skill.

The phrase that runs through the hour is coaching tree. It is doing more work than they know. When you cannot score output, you score lineage. Who trained you becomes the measure, as it is in psychoanalysis and in wine. The reunion is the credential.

Two things I would keep. George Friedman’s (b. 1949) instruction that a piece needs one idea and the first sentence has to carry it. And the note on essay as attempt, which is right back to Montaigne.

Marko says the quiet part at the twenty-nine minute mark. “I just need nukes to be used guys. Can’t we just agree nukes were used?” He is reverse-engineering premises from a conclusion the format requires. He knows it, he says it, everyone laughs. Then in the rapid-fire round the same material gets restated as forecast. The prompt was how does the world end in ten years. Nobody could answer that prompt with “it probably doesn’t,” so nobody did. What you are watching is a genre exercise that changes coats halfway through.

Zeihan’s demographic claim has a global version and an advanced-world version and he keeps sliding between them. “We’re now running out of fifty-year-olds” is false as stated. The global cohort aged fifty is larger than it has ever been and the world’s working-age population is still growing, carried by South Asia and Africa. What is true is that the OECD plus China plus Korea plus much of Latin America crosses a threshold in this decade, and that the countries holding the growth are the ones least able to absorb the manufacturing. That version survives scrutiny. The stronger version does the emotional work.

The fifty percent population reduction as a “more positive case” sits outside anything in the food-security literature. The 2022 fertilizer shock is the closest natural experiment: prices tripled, application rates fell in South Asia and West Africa, and yields declined single digits. Terrible. Not civilizational. The gap between that and half of humanity is where the argument stops being empirical.

Credit where it is due. Unlike most people in the genre, Zeihan makes near-term scoreable claims. Global operating minimums for oil processing before the end of summer. Drones removing Russia as an energy exporter this year. Those resolve. Write them down. That is more than almost anyone in his position offers, and it is the thing that separates him from the pundit class.

The drone argument runs in two directions at once. It proves the world is entering unmanageable instability, and it proves Taiwan can defend without American help, and it proves military capability survives deglobalization because 20 to 40 nanometer chips suffice. Take the third seriously and the semiconductor chokepoint loses much of its strategic bite, since the nodes that matter for war are ones China already makes. Nobody follows that thread. Note also that a technology which “didn’t exist four months ago” and has not been demonstrated at scale is carrying a ten-year forecast. Elsewhere in the conversation these men are properly skeptical of extrapolation.

Marko’s Russian offensive-incompetence claim does not hold. The Great Northern War, the partitions of Poland, the Russo-Turkish wars of 1768-74 and 1877-78, the conquest of Central Asia, the Manchurian campaign of August 1945. Zeihan says he disagrees with the founding points and lets it go, which is polite and also the moment the episode stops being an argument. The pattern Marko wants is different and defensible: Russian military defeat produces domestic rupture. Crimea to Alexander II (1818-1881), Tsushima to 1905, 1917, Afghanistan to 1991. That sequence is worth building on. The offensive-competence claim is a separate assertion and it fails.

His best line undercuts his own framing. If you had asked anyone in Europe in 1878 where the war would start, they would have said Bosnia. Everybody knew for thirty years. That argues against surprise as the organizing principle and for the boring answer: the obvious flashpoint is the flashpoint. It also weakens the Ottoman power-vacuum story he opens with, since the men in the room can see the vacuum too.

The intellectual crux of the hour is at 1:16 and it goes unresolved. Marko presses a simple point. If the supply of workers falls, the price of workers rises, real wages go up, and the survivors consume more. The Black Death is the case in point. English real wages roughly doubled in the century after 1348, and Marko is right that the Decameron shows up in the same window. Zeihan’s answer is that if you technologically eliminate the need for workers you eliminate consumption. That does not touch the wage channel, and it assumes the ownership question is settled when the ownership question is exactly what Matt then raises as redistribution. The debate is over political economy and everyone treats it as demography.

The strongest thing said in ninety minutes has nothing to do with any scenario. Every economic system we know how to run assumes more. Capitalism, social democracy, command economies, corporate statism, all four calibrated to a growing denominator, and it took two hundred and fifty years and two world wars to work them out. If the denominator stops growing, we are improvising institutions in real time. That claim survives even if the oil holds, the drones underwhelm, and Russia muddles along. It deserved the hour it did not get.

Jacob’s hollowed-out state riff is the second-best idea and gets the least pushback, which is usually a sign that an idea is not yet threatening enough to argue with. Elites in gated communities, a state that functions only to protect the oligarchy, young men in basements with no attachment to anything, the periphery model migrating to the core. He credits Asimov (1920-1992) and could have credited a longer line. His companion point is sound and underrated: the pandemic problem is a state capacity problem, and capacity is what is eroding. Six to nine months to a filovirus vaccine is a real number that changes the whole shape of the biological risk argument.

Homer-Dixon (b. 1956) gets cited twice across both episodes and the citation is doing more work than the men realize. If complexity generates brittleness, and if the last thirty-five years of problem-solving worked by adding complexity, then Zeihan’s cure and his disease are the same substance. That is a coherent position. It is also a position that predicts nothing in particular about timing, which is the whole game.

Two smaller things. ASML is a company, not a country, and the Netherlands is not the only place in the chain that matters; Zeiss in Germany makes the optics and is arguably the tighter constraint. And the closing anecdote about a Secret Service pool over dragging Trump down the steps is delivered as fact with no source in a conversation whose stated theme is knowing how little you know. It lands as a laugh line and nobody asks how he knows. That is the tell about how the room works. Marko pushes on Russia and China. Nobody pushes on the story that flatters the audience.

The format is the problem and it is also the product. Four men, one of whom hired the other three, being interesting for an hour and a half about the end of the world. Status flows toward the largest claim. The phrase that gives it away is Zeihan’s: “I disagree with a lot of your founding points, but I think we’re going to get to the same conclusion.” When the conclusion is fixed and the premises are negotiable, you have a performance with real information inside it. Both things are true. The information is worth extracting. The performance should be priced.

The question Jacob could have asked and did not: what odds, and would you take the other side of that bet at those odds. Ten seconds. It would have changed the episode.

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