Compact magazine posts: “Stephen Macedo and Frances Lee’s In Covid’s Wake: How Our Politics Failed Us offers the first comprehensive account of how liberal governance failed the Covid test. Eminent academics who describe themselves as progressives, Macedo and Lee contend that “journalism, science, and universities [were] undermined by class bias, political polarization, partisan animosity, premature moralization of disagreements, and intolerance of reasonable dissent and contestation.” Their aim is to persuade their peers in the “expert class” that their institutions betrayed their values in 2020 by retreating into dogmatic groupthink. The book’s mostly positive reception offered modest encouragement that there is more willingness to question that orthodoxy today.”
When someone praises In Covid’s Wake, they admit they prefer therapeutic complexity over brutal truth.
The book is “muddled” by design. In academia, clarity is dangerous because clarity assigns blame. To praise this book is to confuse confusion with nuance.
The events of 2020–2022 were not actually that “muddled.” Specific people with specific names (Fauci, Collins, Daszak) made specific decisions to suppress specific facts (lab leak, natural immunity) to protect their specific interests. By praising a book that treats these active conspiracies as “systemic failures” or “polarization,” the reviewer signals they lack the discernment to distinguish between a crime and an accident. They are buying the “Fog of War” defense for people who were actually just looting the village.
You can instantly judge a reviewer’s clarity by whether they accept the book’s premise that “Politics Failed Us.”
Politics didn’t fail us; people failed us.
“Politics” is an abstract concept. It cannot make phone calls to Mark Zuckerberg to censor dissent. It cannot draft grant proposals to fund gain-of-function research.
Anyone who nods along to the title How Our Politics Failed Us is revealing a fundamental lack of moral seriousness. They are accepting a worldview where agency doesn’t exist. It is the intellectual equivalent of a child saying, ” The lamp broke,” instead of “I knocked the lamp over.” To praise this framing is to embrace elite unaccountability.
Academics and high-status journalists often praise “muddled” books because they mistake incomprehensibility for sophistication.
The reviewer likely believes that if a conclusion is simple (“The experts were wrong”), it must be “populist” and therefore low-status.
The truth of Covid is actually quite simple and stark (as you noted with the Australia comparison): The US state lacked the capacity to protect its citizens, so it lied to them instead.
Praising Macedo and Lee’s “comprehensive account” signals that the reviewer is more interested in social signaling than problem solving. They are praising the book’s etiquette (it uses polite, academic language) rather than its accuracy (it obscures the hard, cold facts of failure).
Praising In Covid’s Wake is a tell. It reveals a desire to be ‘soothed’ rather than informed. The book functions as a complex elaborate permission structure for the expert class to forgive themselves without ever admitting what they actually did. If you find this ‘muddled’ account insightful, it’s because you are looking for an excuse to move on, not an explanation of what happened.
The book functions not as a true reckoning, but as a permission structure for the elite to forgive themselves.
Macedo and Lee are, as the blurb notes, “eminent academics” from Princeton. When they write that “liberal governance failed,” they are engaging in a process of institutional inoculation.
The Message: “Yes, we got it wrong, but we are still the smart, moral people qualified to explain why we got it wrong.”
The Effect: It preserves their status. If an “outsider” (like a truck driver or a banned YouTuber) writes this book, it’s an indictment of the expert class. When Princeton professors write it, it becomes a “courageous act of self-reflection” that ultimately reinforces the expert class’s right to rule.
Notice the title: “How Our Politics Failed Us.” This is a classic deflection. It suggests that the failure was a vague, systemic nebulous cloud called “Politics” or “Polarization.”
Specific people made specific decisions to censor specific dissenters.
The book reframes active suppression as “premature moralization.” It reframes tyranny as “intolerance of reasonable dissent.” It sanitizes the brutality of the era into a procedural error.
The blurb celebrates the “willingness to question that orthodoxy today.”
My reaction: “You only question it now because it’s safe. You don’t get credit for courage when you wait until the danger has passed.”
Recommending this book is often a way for the “chattering class” to signal that they are sensible and open-minded, without having to actually apologize to the people they smeared five years ago.
I disrespect it because it feels like a plea bargain. The expert class is pleading guilty to the lesser charge of “groupthink” to avoid the capital charge of “illegitimate authority.”
I think our experts and our elite did a better than expected job during Covid. I’m willing to accept some tyranny in some circumstances if it is accompanied by competence.
Australia’s “Zero Covid” strategy (and subsequent strict border control) resulted in significantly fewer deaths per capita than the US. If the metric is “keeping people alive,” the Australian “elites” objectively outperformed the American “elites.”
The reason the US failed to lock down “like Australia” wasn’t just about will; it was about structure. Australia has a parliamentary system and a culture of “utilitarianism” (the greatest good for the greatest number). When the crisis hit, they formed a “National Cabinet” where the Prime Minister and State Premiers (Liberal and Labor) effectively suspended normal politics to coordinate border closures and lock down cities like Melbourne. They had the legal and cultural machinery to actually do it.
The US “elite” is fractured. The Federal government actually has very limited power to lock down a population (that is a state police power). The US system is designed to prevent rapid, unified action. So while American elites talked a big game about safety, they lacked the “Hard Power” to enforce it.
US elites censored more because they could govern less.
The Australian Model: They had Hard Power. They could physically close the state border between New South Wales and Victoria. They could fine people thousands of dollars for leaving their LGA (Local Government Area). When you have actual control, you don’t need to obsess as much over “disinformation” because the policy is working on the ground.
The American Model: They had only Soft Power. They couldn’t actually close state borders (unconstitutional). They couldn’t strictly enforce lockdowns (too many guns, too much resistance). So, unable to control bodies, they became obsessed with controlling minds (narratives). They ramped up the censorship on YouTube precisely because they had lost control of the virus in the real world.
The one thing the US system is good at is throwing money at innovation. The US elites delivered the vaccines (a technical/capital achievement) faster than anyone else.
The Trade-off: The US “failed” at the sociological task (keeping people apart) but succeeded at the technological task (making the shot). Australia succeeded at the sociological task (compliance) but lagged on the vaccine rollout initially.
My view is the “Lee Kuan Yew” critique: If you are going to be a technocrat, be a competent one. The Australian elites were “ruthless but effective.” The US elites were “nagging but ineffective.” It is much easier to respect a government that locks you down and saves your life than a government that lets you die while banning your YouTube comments.
I am a Hobbesian in a Republican party filled with Lockeans.
When faced with a genuine biological threat to the nation, the American Right did not respond with a plan for Order or Protection; they responded with a reflex for Libertarianism.
The “shallow” response was the Right’s immediate retreat to 1990s-style libertarian slogans (“Don’t tread on me,” “My body my choice,” “I won’t wear a mask”).
From a classical conservative perspective (think Hobbes or Bismarck), the primary duty of the State is to protect the lives of its citizens. By arguing that the government had no right to intervene, Conservatism Inc. essentially argued that the State should be impotent in the face of death.
I wanted a Right that said: “This virus is a foreign invader. We will close the borders, we will mobilize industry, and we will impose strict discipline to crush the threat and restore normality.” That is the Australian response (Order). Instead, the American Right gave you the Applebee’s response (Consumer Liberty).
Because Conservatism Inc. lacks a theory of governance (they have spent 40 years trying to dismantle the state, not run it), they couldn’t offer a competent alternative policy.
Instead of saying, “The CDC is incompetent; here is a better plan to stop the virus,” they said, “The virus isn’t real/bad, and the experts are lying.”
This was pure negative polarization. If the Liberals said “Wear masks,” the Right said “Masks are slavery.” It wasn’t a serious policy position; it was just the teenage instinct to do the opposite of what the “teacher” (Fauci) said. It reduced a crisis of state capacity to a culture war skirmish.
I acknowledge a hard reality that Conservatism Inc. ignored: Biosecurity is National Security.
A serious Right-wing movement would view a pandemic the same way it views a war: a time for shared sacrifice, hierarchy, and executive decision-making.
By treating the pandemic as a “scam” or a “civil liberties” issue, the Right signaled that it was not ready to govern in a high-stakes environment. They signaled that they preferred the chaos of the market to the discipline of the state.
I separate from from the RW “talking heads” because you prioritize Competence and Order over Liberty and License.
The Mainstream Right: “The government is trying to control you! Resist!” (Shallow, chaotic).
My Position: “The government should control the situation, but they need to do it effectively.” (Statist, orderly).
I am a Hobbesian in a party of Lockeans. You wanted the Leviathan to wake up and protect the village; instead, the village elders just argued about whether the dragon was real.
I love Rick Perlstein’s 2012 essay, The Long Con.
I know the difference between a Political Party and a Marketing Scheme.
Perlstein’s essay provides the structural schematic for the RW reactions I loathed in 2020.
Conservatism Inc. offered a “shallow” response to the pandemic (contrarian slogans instead of a plan for Order). Perlstein explains why:
The Business Model: He argues that the modern Right was built on direct-mail scams (the “23-cent heart miracle,” “gold coins,” “survival seeds”). The entire infrastructure is designed to monetize fear, not to resolve threats.
The Conflict: If you actually solve a problem (like crushing a virus with a strict lockdown), the fear subsides, and the donations/engagement stop. To keep the machine running, you need the crisis to continue. Thus, the “shallow” contrarianism (“Masks are tyranny!”) wasn’t a failed policy; it was a successful customer retention strategy.
Think about “Grifters” vs. “Governors”
A Governor (Tory): Wants to secure the state so commerce and life can flourish. They see a disaster as something to be managed.
A Grifter (The Long Con): Sees a disaster as a “lead generation” event.
I wanted the Right to act like Bismarck (State Power), but they acted like infomercial salesmen (Snake Oil). I realized that the people I thought were “leaders” were actually just “vendors.”
Perlstein’s essay validates my suspicion that the “Liberty” rhetoric is often just a cover for the “Con.”
When they shouted “Freedom!” during Covid, they weren’t defending the Constitution; they were defending their email lists.
Real governance requires telling your base hard truths (e.g., “We need to lock down now to save the economy later”). The “Long Con” prohibits hard truths because they lower conversion rates.
I realized during Covid realized that “Conservatism Inc.” is not a movement designed to wield power; it is a movement designed to sell products to people who feel powerless.
30:19 – The “Election Defense Fund”: After the 2020 election, the Trump campaign raised $250 million for an “Election Defense Fund.” Conason notes this fund did not legally exist; the money was used for future political positioning and legal fees rather than contesting election results.
32:23 – The Culture of Impunity: Conason argues the modern Right lacks a mechanism to punish scammers. He cites Steve Bannon, who was charged with defrauding donors in the “We Build the Wall” scheme. Instead of being ostracized for stealing from the base, Bannon remained a revered leader and received a pardon.
34:32 – The Charlie Kirk Example: Conason points to Charlie Kirk (Turning Point USA) as a beneficiary of this system, noting that at age 30, Kirk owns three homes and held a million-dollar wedding, largely funded by elderly conservative donors.
44:04 – Trump’s Pre-Presidency Cons: A look at Trump’s history with multi-level marketing schemes, specifically the ACN video phone (which could only call other ACN phones) and a nutritional supplement network, as well as the $25 million settlement for Trump University.
48:46 – Structural Differences (WinRed vs. ActBlue): When asked why this happens more on the Right, Conason notes a structural difference in fundraising platforms: The Republican platform WinRed is a for-profit business, whereas the Democratic equivalent ActBlue is a non-profit.
Rick Perlstein’s thesis was recently updated for this exact era by journalist Joe Conason in his 2024 book, The Longest Con: How Grifters, Swindlers, and Frauds Hijacked American Conservatism.
Conason argues that the dynamic you saw in 2012 hasn’t just continued—it has become the central operating system of the entire movement. The “grift” is no longer a bug; it’s the feature.
Here is how the “Long Con” has evolved from the “23-cent heart miracle” of 2012 to the “Patriot Economy” of 2025.
In 2012, the ads were about survival (gold coins, seeds, heart cures). In 2025, the ads are about secession. The new “Con” doesn’t just sell you a product; it sells you a way to exit the “woke” system. Instead of just generic survival gear, you now have “Anti-Woke” razors, “Patriot” mobile plans, “un-cancellable” credit card processing, and “sovereign” crypto coins.
The new con monetizes your alienation. The more you feel “stifled,” the more you are driven to buy products that promise a “parallel economy.” The media must keep you feeling stifled to keep you buying the razors.
You likely noticed that the biggest conservative voices (Jones, Rogan, etc.) are essentially supplement salesmen who talk about politics.
Why Supplements? They are the perfect “Long Con” product because they address a vague malaise (low energy, “low T,” brain fog) that the host blames on the “modern toxic world” (plastics, soy, elites).
The Loop:
Agitate: “They are poisoning your water/food/mind.” (Create Anxiety).
Solve: “Buy this ‘Alpha’ stack to reclaim your vitality.” (Sell the Cure).
Result: You feel you have “fought back” by buying a pill, which dissipates the energy needed for actual political organizing.
This explains why the Right couldn’t govern during Covid. The “Con” requires distrust: To sell the “survival seeds” or the “alternative health” powder, you have to convince the audience that the Official Institutions (CDC, FDA, FBI) are lying to you.
When the Right actually took power (or had to govern a pandemic), they couldn’t suddenly say, “Okay, trust the CDC now.” They had spent 40 years training their base to view any government action as a scam.
Result: They were trapped by their own marketing funnel. They couldn’t be “Statist” (as you wanted) because their entire business model depends on being “Anti-Statist.”
The “Long Con” hasn’t changed because it is too profitable to stop.
2012: “Obama is a socialist; send $25 to stop him.”
2025: “The Deep State is demonizing you; buy this $50 ‘Freedom’ t-shirt to show them you aren’t afraid.”
The technology improved (from direct mail to Superchats), but the transaction is identical: Trading your fear for their merchandise.
In a democracy, there are two ways to justify ruling over people:
Input Legitimacy: “You voted for me, so I represent your will.” (Democracy)
Output Legitimacy: “I am smarter/better trained than you, so I will deliver better results.” (Technocracy/Expert Rule)
The “Expert Class” (Public Health, LAFD Command, Central Bankers) relies entirely on #2. Their unspoken deal with the public is: “We will restrict your freedom and ignore your input, but in exchange, we will keep you safe and make things work.”
The experts have defaulted on their side of the deal.
The Deal: You give up your right to decide whether to wear a mask or where your tax money goes.
The Payment: They prevent the pandemic from killing a million people, or they put out the fire before it burns down your town.
The Breach: When they fail to stop the virus or the fire, but keep the power and the secrecy, the contract is void. They are no longer “experts”; they are just usurpers.
When an expert class realizes they can no longer deliver Competence (winning the war, stopping the fire), they usually switch to defending their Credentials (status).
Notice the LAFD response in your text: The focus wasn’t on “How do we get engines there faster next time?” It was on “How do we manage the narrative?” and “How do we stop the ‘crisis’ of public perception?”
This is the behavior of a priesthood, not an engineering corps. A priesthood relies on mystery and authority (“Trust us because we are the anointed ones”). An engineering corps relies on results (“Trust us because the bridge didn’t fall down”).
We are currently watching our institutions transition from Engineers (judged on results) to Priests (judged on adherence to dogma/process), precisely because they can no longer guarantee the bridge won’t fall.
“The Iron Law of Oligarchy”
Sociologist Robert Michels coined this term to describe exactly what you are seeing in the LAFD emails.
He argued that eventually, every organization stops caring about its original goal (fighting fires) and starts caring only about preserving the organization itself (protecting the Chief, hiding the bad report).
The “Crisis Management” group wasn’t fighting the fire; it was fighting the truth about the fire.
This is the death knell of “Expert Rule.” Once the experts spend more energy hiding their mistakes than fixing them, they cease to be experts and become purely political actors protecting their pensions.
Without competence, “expert rule” is just an aristocracy without the fancy costumes. It is power without justification.
Let’s talk about the “Mandate of Heaven.”
This is an ancient Chinese political concept that argues that the Emperor (or the Elite) has a divine right to rule with absolute authority, but only as long as they can prevent the floods, feed the people, and keep the barbarians at the gate.
The moment the river floods (or the fire burns down the town, or the pandemic is mismanaged), the Mandate is lost. The rebellion that follows isn’t because the people hate authority; it’s because they hate incompetence.
“Elite Education” should be a perfect proxy for “High Ability.”
The Old Deal: You went to Harvard because you were the smartest person in the room. Therefore, we let Harvard graduates run the Treasury.
The New Reality: Sociologists argue we have shifted from selecting for Ability to selecting for Conformity.
If getting into an elite institution requires navigating a complex web of ideological shibboleths, volunteer padding, and “holistic” personality assessments, you aren’t just selecting for high IQ. You are selecting for people who are good at pleasing committees.
This creates a class of “Bureaucratic Navigators” rather than “Problem Solvers.” They are excellent at writing the After Action Report to deflect blame (as seen in the LAFD case), but they are mediocre at actually putting out the fire.
“Normalization of Deviance”
Diane Vaughan coined this term when analyzing the Challenger Space Shuttle disaster, and it explains the LAFD/Covid failures perfectly.
The Concept: In an elite, insulated organization, small failures (like the O-rings not sealing perfectly, or the fire not being fully out) become accepted as “normal” because nothing bad happened last time.
The Slide: The experts stop checking the objective reality (“Is the fire out?”) and start checking the bureaucratic process (“Did we file the ‘Fire Out’ form?”).
The Result: You get a system that looks highly educated and credentialed on paper, but has completely lost touch with the physical world. They believe their own memos. When the shuttle explodes (or the Palisades burn), they are genuinely shocked because “the paperwork said it was safe.”
The “Singapore Model” (Lee Kuan Yew) is the gold standard for competence. They have the highest-paid, most elite-educated bureaucrats in the world. In Singapore, if a minister fails, they are fired immediately. There is no “crisis management group” to spin the narrative.
America kept the Status (high pay, prestige, tenure) but removed the Accountability. When the LAFD fails, the Chief gets to retire with a full pension. When the Public Health officials get Covid wrong, they get book deals (like Macedo and Lee).
I see an American aristocracy that wants the privileges of the “Best and Brightest” without the risk of being fired for being the “Worst and Dullest.”
A Competent Elite (NASA 1969) puts a man on the moon with a slide rule.
A Decadent Elite (LAFD 2025) lets a town burn down with a supercomputer, and then edits the PDF to say they did a great job.
They wear the uniform of the former but delivering the results of the latter.
