Category Archives: Blob

The Jurisdictional Wars: Alliance Theory and the Battle for American Alliance Authority

No one in American foreign policy says he wants power over the alliance system. He says he wants deterrence, credibility, stability, and shared values. This is the core insight of Alliance Theory. Moral language is not just rhetoric. It is … Continue reading

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The Jurisdictional Wars: Alliance Theory and the Battle of the Blob (America’s Foreign Policy Establishment)

The American foreign policy establishment does not present itself as a coalition competing for power. It presents itself as the custodian of expertise, stability, and the national interest. That self-presentation is not merely cynical performance. The people who populate think … Continue reading

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The Jurisdictional Wars: Alliance Theory and the Battle for Status at the Foreign Policy Research Institute

Nobody at the Foreign Policy Research Institute says they want to shape American strategy because it gives them power. They say they see reality clearly. They read maps without moral distortion. They understand the system at a level that moralizers … Continue reading

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High-Brow New York Times Op/Ed By Iran Expert Destroyed By Reality

Eyal Yakoby posts: “BREAKING: Mojtaba Khamenei was reportedly severely injured, one of his legs has been amputated, and he may not even be aware that he is the Supreme Leader.” I spent my weekend reading the 2025 book “Iran’s Grand … Continue reading

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Reluctant Relief That Trump Is Bombing Iran Seeps Through Elite Commentary

You can see hints of it. It rarely appears as open approval. It leaks out in tone, framing, and what journalists choose to emphasize. One signal is the grudging competence frame. Analysts who strongly dislike Trump will write things like … Continue reading

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MSM Symmetry In Iran Coverage

Most national security reporters sit inside the same information ecosystem as the officials they cover. Their sources are Pentagon officers, intelligence briefers, congressional staff, and think tank analysts. When a crisis hits, those relationships become the primary pipeline of information. … Continue reading

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Decoding The Iran War (3-8-26)

01:00 Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History (2025), https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=17456111:20 Vali Nasr Exclusive: ‘War is being waged ‘: Vali Nasr on Israel-US campaign against Iran25:00 The First Gulf War, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=17460528:00 Understanding The Elite Frame On The Iran War, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=17462535:00 Mark Halperin: … Continue reading

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Why Different Groups View The Iran War Differently

The foreign policy establishment, often called the blob, operates with a buffered identity. These planners and analysts view the world as a system of manageable, secular states that respond to rational incentives. To a buffered mind, the threat from Iran … Continue reading

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When American Presidents Tell You To Rise Up

If an American president told you to suck off a dog, would you suck off a dog? I doubt it. The elite talking point goes like this: Bush was wrong after the first Gulf War to encourage Iraqis to rise … Continue reading

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Why do elites argue that Iran’s war plans are super rational and coolly calculating while Trump’s plans are impulsive and crazy?

The contrast between the “Rational Iran” and “Irrational Trump” narratives is a perfect example of what David Pinsof calls patchwork narratives. These are moral or intellectual stories created on the fly to support a specific alliance’s status. The Logic of … Continue reading

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