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Category Archives: Iran
Do America’s Allies Realize Who They’re Messing With?
If I (meaning NATO, Australia, etc) relied on American protection, I’d join America’s war on Iran because America will cut friends who don’t help out. How I felt about the Iran War doesn’t matter. If I rely on a paycheck, … Continue reading
Decoding The Crown Center for Middle East Studies
The Crown Center for Middle East Studies sits inside a specific American academic alliance structure. If you decode it through David Pinsof’s Alliance Theory, the key question is not “what do they believe?” but “which coalitions reward them for saying … Continue reading
Decoding The Iran War (3-16-26)
01:00 I don’t care deeply about any 2025 movie. Am I missing something? https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=175770 03:00 AI & Operation Epic Fury, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=175723 08:00 Why the US Navy Is Letting Iran’s Hormuz Blockade Destroy Itself, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVu88ZaIN1g 11:00 Michael Oren: How This War … Continue reading
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Are We Winning In Iran?
No serious analyst claims that America and Israel have won this war with Iran, while most analysts, it seems, claims that the US has already lost. One side of this debate seems realistic and the other more ideological. So what … Continue reading
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Ynet: Is Iran’s ‘target bank’ running out?
The “target bank running out” narrative tends to appear around the third or fourth week of most air campaigns. It almost always reflects a shift in the nature of the campaign rather than a genuine shortage of targets. Three things … Continue reading
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Iran Is A Tougher Enemy Than Iraq
There was a saying in the Bush administration prior to the 2003 Iraq invasion: Everyone wants to take Baghdad but only real men want to take Tehran. Baghdad was always the easier target. Iran is a different problem entirely. Iraq … Continue reading
Video: Why the US Navy “Already Won” Before Iran Knew It Started
Gemini: The analysis in the video is highly credible regarding the technical sequence and military principles of Operation Epic Fury, as current battlefield data from March 2026 confirms several of the core claims. While the channel “Navy Decoded” often uses … Continue reading
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If the ayatollah did a news conference where he came out as a proud gay-iranian, how might it be covered by the news media?
The coverage would fracture almost immediately along the coalition lines we have been mapping, and each ecosystem would find a way to make the same event confirm what it already believed. The Atlanticist establishment press, the Financial Times, the Washington … Continue reading
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Is Iran’s New Supreme Leader – Mojtaba Khamenei – Gay?
Trump is telling people that he’s gay. Honestly, Mojtaba pings my gaydar. The New York Post reports: Two of the sources said the intelligence indicated that Mojtaba, who earned the nickname “the power behind the robes” while serving as his … Continue reading
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NYT: Entering War’s Third Week, Trump Faces Stark Choices
The NYT piece frames the Iran war as a strategic puzzle with two bad options: fight on toward goals that keep receding, or declare victory and leave with the job half done. That framing is accurate as far as it … Continue reading
Posted in Alliance Theory, Iran
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