Category Archives: Russia

Stephen Kotkin: A Life in Power

In the winter of 1987, an American graduate student stepped off a train in Magnitogorsk, a steel city in the southern Urals that had been closed to foreigners for half a century. The air tasted of sulfur. The blast furnaces … Continue reading

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Andrei Shleifer and the Harvard Economists Who Looted Russia

In a photograph taken in Moscow when he was six, Andrei Shleifer (b. February 20, 1961) wears the uniform of a Soviet Army general. The costume fit the boy. When a friend moved to one of the best schools in … Continue reading

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Economist Jeffrey Sachs – The Plan and the Ground

Jeffrey Sachs (b. 1954) comes to La Paz in 1985 as a Harvard professor not yet thirty-one years old, and the thin air at twelve thousand feet leaves a visitor breathless before he has done anything at all. Bolivia is … Continue reading

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David Stahel: Historian of German Defeat in the East

David Stahel (b. 1975) is a New Zealand military historian whose work on the German invasion of the Soviet Union reshaped the historiography of the Eastern Front. Born in Wellington, he belongs to a post-Cold War generation of historians who … Continue reading

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Ten Convenient Beliefs For Leaders Of Russia Now

Stephen Turner’s convenient beliefs are running at full operational tempo in the Kremlin, the Security Council, the Foreign Ministry, and the Rosneft/Gazprom strategy rooms right now. With the U.S.-Israeli campaign in its second month, Khamenei martyred, Iranian nuclear sites cratered, … Continue reading

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The Skittle Boy Problem: Weber, Bureaucracy, and the Crisis of Liberal Democracy

Max Weber never intended his analysis of the 1905 Russian crisis to serve as a forecast. He thought he was describing a limiting case, a political situation so extreme that it clarified the general mechanics of bureaucratic power in ways … Continue reading

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The Jurisdictional Wars: Alliance Theory and the Battle for Russia’s Master Institutions

Russia’s high-status actors do not compete for power by openly claiming it. They compete by invoking moral languages that frame their authority as necessary for stability, sovereignty, and national survival. This is the core insight of David Pinsof‘s Alliance Theory. … Continue reading

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What does Putin want in Ukraine and elsewhere?

ChatGPT says: Alliance Theory says leaders seek durable coalitions, not abstract ideals. Putin’s moves make sense once you treat Russia as an alliance manager facing erosion. First, Ukraine. Ukraine is not primarily territory. It is an alliance hinge. A large … Continue reading

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Will Iran’s Regime Survive?

Gemini: Based on the geopolitical and economic landscape as of early 2026, the survival of the Iranian clerical establishment (often referred to as the “mullah regime”) appears increasingly precarious. While the regime retains a monopoly on violence that likely ensures … Continue reading

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Maybe The War With Venezuela Is Over Russia?

I just read this comment and it makes sense: The US/Venezuela war situation might have very little to do with drugs. More likely it has to do with all those Russian Tu-160 long-range bombers that have flown to Venezuela non-stop … Continue reading

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