Early Voting Indicates That Donald Trump Is Cruising To Victory

Mark Halperin: “If these early vote numbers stay the way they are, we will know before election day who will win… We’ll know Donald Trump is going to be president by election day. Republican over-performance in early voting [is more important than the polls]. If this continues, Republicans can’t lose.”

Sean Spicer: “The data is almost too good to be true.”

A key theme of Mark Halperin’s reporting over the past two months is that Republican pros are increasingly confident that Trump will win while no key Democrats are confident that Kamala will win.

Republicans in Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina are giddy.

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NYT: Why Trump’s Chances Are Better Than They Look (10-21-24)

01:00 NYT Columnist Patrick Healy: Why Trump’s Chances Are Better Than They Look, https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/10/15/opinion/thepoint#trump-chances-tipsheet
07:20 Jim Geraghty talks with Hugh Hewitt on whether the bottom has fallen out of VP Harris’s campaign
14:00 Mark Halperin: Trump vs Harris Update
15:30 New Mexico in the margin of error?
16:00 Pennsylvania senate race now a toss-up
18:45 Trump’s Funny Story About Arnold Palmer Deeply Offends Media, w/ Emily Jashinsky and Eliana Johnson, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ECFCsYUpms
24:00 Trump’s “Genius” Iconic Campaign Moment Working at McDonald’s, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ChvLLJ4Ydk
28:00 Commentary magazine: Why Harris Can’t Close the Sale, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4PTMVo8-nE
1:15:00 Kip joins
1:18:10 American hatred of Iran
1:24:00 EVs aren’t popular
1:32:00 Our governing class did an extraordinary job of guiding us through Covid

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Decoding The Middle East (10-20-24)

03:00 Why did Kamala change her media strategy? Because she knows she’s losing. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2QEhCjHQS8
13:00 Vice President Kamala Harris grilled on pivotal issues as election nears on ‘Special Report’, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=80DaR2CVNNk
35:00 Why Democrats are panicking
38:00 Ana Kasparian of The Young Turks no longer identifies as a Democrat after she was assaulted by a homeless man with an erection and liberals mocked her for reporting it
43:30 US intelligence about Israel’s plans to attack Iran leaked, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NeV9eZUNerM
45:30 US investigating leak of Israeli attack plans for Iran, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_TBI7fet5A
58:00 The center and left in Israel put the highest priority on the release of Israeli hostages, while the right prioritizes the security and overall interests of Israel
1:07:00 Process (Liberals) Vs Ends (Conservatives), https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=145795
1:28:00 Council on Foreign Relations on Israel’s wars, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WSA5r4K2Jg8
1:32:30 Israel’s remarkable string of victories, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4G6FIYNGBVk
1:35:00 Wendy Brown: “Just as nothing is more corrosive to serious intellectual work than being governed by a political programme (whether that of states, corporations, or a revolutionary movement), nothing is more inapt to a political campaign than the unending reflexivity, critique and self-correction required of scholarly inquiry.” https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/01/wb/
1:42:00 Former IDF General: Israel Societal Collapse Imminent, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJ6K-Kq6hhs
1:44:00 Kip joins to discuss the Jewish holiday of Sukkot
1:47:30 Reality is another word for God
1:49:30 Sex vs scholarship
1:55:00 Kamala’s 89 days running for president, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Withdrawal_of_Joe_Biden_from_the_2024_United_States_presidential_election
1:58:45 60-40 breakdown of Americans who take more from the government than they contribute
2:06:00 How you work out is usually more important than what you work out or whether you work out
2:10:30 Positional release aka strain-counter-strain therapy, https://gadibody.com/
2:12:00 Aydin Paladin, https://www.youtube.com/@AydinPaladin
2:21:00 You can kill your way to ending a terror organization
2:36:40 The Significance of the Sinwar Killing, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hxndHH7qiYk
2:52:00 Daily Caller documentary Selling Sex: https://sellingsex.dailycaller.com/home62483690
3:10:00 NYT: Harris to Court Moderates With a Onetime Right-Wing Provocateur, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/19/us/politics/harris-charlie-sykes-wisconsin.html
3:13:00 The right wing talk radio playbook, https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2008/11/talk-radio/

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Kamala comes alive when the topic turns to sex (10-16-24)

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Is Israel waging nurturing supportive progressive humane wars? (10-15-24)

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