My Hopes & Fears For The New Trump Administration (11-11-24)

01:00 I love Trump’s appointments on immigration – Tom Homan, Stephen Miller
02:00 If you harass someone at his home, you are risking your life, this woman harassing NF got away easy.
05:30 Gingrich: “Trump Is in an Unusual Position of Moral Authority Inside the Republican Party”
10:00 MK: Trump’s New Badass “Border Czar” Previews the Immigration Policy to Come, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yI4BpoawE2w
13:00 FEMA withheld help from people with Trump signs, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ECfvbhI6Do0&t=3935s
17:20 Israel wants to eliminate Hamas
24:00 I Can’t Believe That Neo-Con Max Boot Published The Definitive Reagan Biography, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=157841
25:00 America Rejects Bob Woodward’s Advice About Trump & Biden, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=157846
26:00 My Biggest Fears About The New Trump Term, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=157848
32:00 Richard Hanania talks to Richard Spencer, https://www.richardhanania.com/p/staring-into-the-abyss-of-maga
37:00 Some people don’t want a woman president, https://www.richardhanania.com/p/this-is-maga-country
40:30 Physiognomy is destiny
42:40 The happiest man on earth – JD Vance
44:00 It’s the institutions, stupid, https://outsidethebeltway.com/its-the-institutions-stupid/
50:30 Elliott Blatt joins the show
58:00 Nick Fuentes is confronted by a Jewish pro-Palestine activist & he pepper sprays her & pushes her down his stairs, and grabs her phone
1:03:00 The Decline And Fall Of Michael Fumento, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=53087
1:06:00 The dangers of the e-personality, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=121464
1:10:00 Kamala’s campaign paid influencers and celebs millions of dollars, https://nypost.com/2024/11/09/media/harris-campaign-reportedly-spent-6-figures-on-call-her-daddy-podcast-with-episode-failing-to-break-1m-views/
1:23:45 The source of the problem: what people fail to understand about mental illness, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhoDnp2qA24
1:26:20 When the Torah scholar is seduced by a young widow, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BDyrt9HaW5Q
1:48:20 Things They Don’t Tell You About Living Alone as An Old Man!, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_E8xy_79wrs
1:53:00 UN ambassador matters for people who love words, otherwise little significance or importance
1:53:50 Kip joins to discuss melancholy, living alone
2:08:00 I’m a rocket man
2:13:30 YT: I’m 51, never married, no kids and the reasons why., https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_C7qgExFQM

Posted in America | Comments Off on My Hopes & Fears For The New Trump Administration (11-11-24)

My Biggest Fears About The New Trump Term

I like Trump but I recognize that he is deeply flawed. The world around us is more complex than we can possibly understand, and America over the next four years will enter situations where the instincts of Donald Trump and the Republicans are not well suited to mastering events (such as Covid).

Here are my fears about the new Trump administration: That it will be characterized by incompetence, corruption and carelessness. I fear that Trump is not particularly good at running things and that he is not much interested in governing.

Dave Karpf overstates his case: “This is, effectively, the end of the regulatory state. Elon and the tech billionaires got what they wanted. All the (non-military) three-letter agencies will be hollowed out. The SEC and FTC won’t have the capacity to monitor financial crimes. The DOJ, EPA, HHS, etc will be run by political appointees whose sole charge is to reward Trump allies and punish Trump critics… The tech billionaires are going to start behaving like courtiers… There will be a parade of corruption and incompetence scandals.”

I support Trump replacing veteran civil servants with his own people but I fear Trump will too often value loyalty over competence. Don Moynihan writes:

Trump will reinstate Schedule F, the Executive Order that will allow him to reclassify federal civil servants to be political appointee, and then to fire them. Trump cares intensely about controlling both his own appointees and the bureaucracy, demanding loyalty from them, and being able to dismiss them when that loyalty is not shown. His disdain for the administrative state is both deep and personal, not abstract or rhetorical…

The number of Schedule F appointees will be proportionally higher in agencies that are viewed as liberal leaning (think HHS, Education, regulatory agencies), and lower in agencies viewed as more conservative (e.g. Customs and Border Patrol)…

I expect that a second Trump term will enable him to achieve more of his goals, even as I also think this will result in worse public services. For example, expect a general gutting of regulation.

Trump appears to enjoy the chaos and has little interest in governing…

Trump will bring a new era of corruption to government, which will largely go unpunished. A feature of Trump’s Presidency is that he has not abided by norms to reduce conflicts of interest between his public and private roles. He has more business interests than he had in his first term (notably in social media and crypto) that foreign governments can use to curry his favor, or threaten his net worth. He will not set aside those interests.

The potential for corruption goes beyond Trump and can take different forms.

Trump will engage in a mass pardon of people who broke the law to serve him, including those who attacked Congress on January 6.

A huge proportion of federal money goes through the contracting process. The chances that a lot of federal dollars will now go to Trump supporters has increased.

Musk faces regulatory oversight of his businesses from the federal government, and benefits from federal contracts. Giving Musk, in turn, oversight of those agencies as an efficiency czar generates even bigger conflicts of interest than those of Trump. It may be that Musk loses interest in this role, but even having some sort of advisory role allows him to pick up the phone and make suggestions about which regulator should be fired. Other major donors are in the same position.

All of this, featuring quid-pro-quo exchange of money, influence and power, or clear conflicts of interest, satisfies what most people understand to be corruption.

We will see a decline in competence. We will see an increase in turnover in federal agencies…

If you think those employees are incompetent, that is good news. But that is largely not going to the case, and a lot of institutional memory will walk out the door. It will also be harder to attract new hires to replace those leaving, at least among those with an intrinsic desire to serve the public. With an outflow of institutional memory, and difficulty in attracting talented new employees, the human capital skills of the government will decline.

We will see a decline in the quality of public services…

As the public observes failures, such as declining quality of services, or public health, or workplace safety, or the environment, they may be persuaded that competence and expertise matter.

If I were to recommend one book that best explains my fears about the next Trump administration, it would be The Fifth Risk (2018) by Michael Lewis. The New York Times said:

He has chosen to apotheosize three obscure government agencies — the Department of Energy, the Department of Agriculture and the Department of Commerce. In “The Fifth Risk,” his heroes are federal bureaucrats.

Why these departments? Well, they are enormous data collection and analysis factories. And Donald Trump either doesn’t care about them or understand what they do, or doesn’t like what he imagines he understands, and has sent minions intent on crippling their work. Lewis believes that essential government functions like protecting nuclear waste (Department of Energy), food safety and feeding the poor (Agriculture) and predicting the weather (Commerce) are under threat. Early on, he introduces us to John MacWilliams — a classic Lewis character — a former investment banker with expertise in the energy sector who is cajoled by Barack Obama’s splendid energy secretary Ernest Moniz to go to work for the government. “Everything was acronyms,” MacWilliams recalls. “I understood 20 to 30 percent of what people were talking about.” But the people were impressive. “There were physicists everywhere. Guys whose ties don’t match their suits. Passive nerds. Guys who build bridges.” And they certainly weren’t in it for the money.

MacWilliams’s job at the D.O.E. was risk assessment. Lewis is a risk assessment junkie — whether it’s the risk of investing in ballplayers (“Moneyball”) or mortgage-backed securities (“The Big Short”). At the D.O.E., the risks are potentially cataclysmic — preventing dirty bombs from exploding at the Super Bowl, tracking nuclear weapons so they don’t get lost or damaged (they’re called “Broken Arrows”), preventing plutonium waste at the government’s facility in Hanford, Wash., from leaking into the Columbia River. Lewis asks MacWilliams to list the top five risks. The first four are predictable: Broken Arrows. North Korea. Iran (that is, maintaining the agreement that prevents Iran from building a nuclear bomb). Protecting the electric grid from cyberterrorism. But the fifth, most important risk is a stunner: “program management.” Hence, the title of this book.

Lewis defines it this way: “The risk a society runs when it falls into the habit of responding to long-term risks with short-term solutions. … ‘Program management’ is the existential threat that you never really even imagine as a risk. … It is the innovation that never occurs and the knowledge that is never created, because you have ceased to lay the groundwork for it. It is what you never learned that might have saved you.”

Posted in America | Comments Off on My Biggest Fears About The New Trump Term

America Rejects Bob Woodward’s Advice About Trump & Biden

In his latest book War, Bob Woodward concluded:

* Donald Trump is not only the wrong man for the presidency, he is unfit to lead the country. Trump was far worse than Richard Nixon, the provably criminal president. As I have pointed out, Trump governed by fear and rage. And indifference to the public and national interest.

Trump was the most reckless and impulsive president in American history and is demonstrating the very same character as a presidential candidate in 2024.

* I believe President Biden and this team will be largely studied in history as an example of steady and purposeful leadership.

Posted in America | Comments Off on America Rejects Bob Woodward’s Advice About Trump & Biden

I Can’t Believe That Neo-Con Max Boot Published The Definitive Reagan Biography

Here are some excerpts from this new book:

* Although Dutch would develop a winning sense of humor — he would be one of the best joke – tellers ever to become president — he was, and would always remain, a stranger to irony or sarcasm. Hurtful humor was as alien to his nature as disillusionment and self – awareness. As his first wife, Jane Wyman, said, “He has fun without hurting feelings.” 12 That was just as well from the standpoint of his future political career. Politicians, such as John McCain, Bob Dole, and Mo Udall, whose wit is too cutting — and who are too apt to puncture their own or others’ pieties and pretensions — seldom get elected to the nation’s highest office. Few people would buy a political platform — or any other product — from a salesman who is less than entirely, wholeheartedly, unreservedly, and unironically convinced of its superior virtues. And Dutch always was, whether he was promoting school spirit in his teenage years or tax cuts in his senior years. His beliefs changed over the years, but his devotion to them remained steadfast. He was, from the start, a true believer — and not just in Christianity.

Posted in Ronald Reagan | Comments Off on I Can’t Believe That Neo-Con Max Boot Published The Definitive Reagan Biography

Talking Israel’s Wars & America’s Election With Halsey English (11-10-24)

01:00 Talking With Halsey English https://x.com/RealHalseyE
07:20 Grading Trump’s first term
11:00 Halsey’s last four years online and off
15:45 How do you figure things out?
25:00 Halsey now looks at life from a Torah perspective
48:30 Understanding the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023
1:05:00 Bibi dismisses Yoav Gallant as defense minister, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yoav_Gallant
1:06:00 Trump & Bibi vs their respective deep states
1:10:30 What are Israel’s chances for remaking the Middle East?

Posted in America | Comments Off on Talking Israel’s Wars & America’s Election With Halsey English (11-10-24)

Analyzing The 2024 Election (11-10-24)

01:00 How will Democrats interact with Donald Trump? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mk_2nTJ87Ho
06:00 Susie Wiles ran the most disciplined Trump campaign ever, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VzmzyWyd0No
10:00 MSM deride voters for being sexist, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6os-TDzfoh8
26:00 How Mark Halperin would turn around the New York Times, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mk_2nTJ87Ho
37:00 Part of being a fan is an irrational hatred of people you don’t know (episode 3, 19 minutes), https://www.imdb.com/title/tt32367796/
39:00 NYT: Smile, Flatter and Barter: How the World Is Prepping for Trump Part II, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/09/world/europe/trump-presidency-global-reaction.html
41:30 Trumpocalypse Now, Again: Puck Superfriends on 45 Becoming 47, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/trumpocalypse-now-again-puck-superfriends-on-45-becoming/id1529346075?i=1000675999193
48:20 American enthusiasm vs Euro restraint, https://decoding-the-gurus.captivate.fm/episode/supplementary-material-17-american-dreams-youtube-algorithms-and-poisonous-plastics
51:30 Andrew Gold on YT & audience capture
1:03:30 Kip makes the case for mysticism, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBGO_fy7oSk
1:07:30 Kip’s case against Israel
1:19:00 Religious belief enhances bonds, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sam-harriss-the-end-of-faith/id1651876897?i=1000675593962
1:20:45 Israelis beaten up by Muslims in Amsterdam, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/09/world/europe/amsterdam-israel-soccer-attacks.html
1:25:00 Republicans are victims of their own success at reducing crime, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B63gtEoo9TU
1:35:00 Trump and the Art of the Bullshitter, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/trump-and-the-art-of-the-bullshitter/id1570872415?i=1000675434493
1:38:00 If you understand pro wrestling, you’ll understand Donald Trump, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/trump-and-the-art-of-the-bullshitter/id1570872415?i=1000675434493
1:47:00 Did the Democrats gaslight themselves? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXaRKa6fEvs
1:51:00 How Trump crushed Obama’s legacy: The president-elect rides the cowboy spirit, https://unherd.com/2024/11/how-trump-crushed-obamas-legacy/
2:01:00 Kip & Claire Khaw join to talk about mysticism, advertising, democracy
2:40:20 Howard Kurtz says the news media misjudged the election
2:56:15 PASSPORT BROS and international DATING, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZmd5G0jFik
3:00:00 In Japan, men come first
3:02:30 Beverly Gage: What Trump and the American Right See in Foreign Autocrats, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s602SN6RzL4
3:04:00 LAT: No jumping. No shouting. Beverly Hills High issues new rules after students celebrate Trump win, https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-11-08/beverly-hills-high-school-limits-congregating-jumping-following-student-celebrations-of-trump-win
3:06:30 All In Podcast: The news media worked hand in glove with the Democratic party to vilify Donald Trump, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xH76q6yYVlk
3:08:50 NYT: Trumpism is who we are, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pZWZJnYX_zw
3:16:00 TRUMP IS IN; GALLANT IS OUT, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uuRXdpb8VZc

Posted in America | Comments Off on Analyzing The 2024 Election (11-10-24)

How Mark Halperin Would Reform The New York Times

Mark said Friday (11-8-24): “The media continues to be out of touch. CNN’s media reporter Brian Stelter was forced in his newsletter to address the question of how did Democrats miss the story of Trump’s victory. I was curious about how he would address that because none of the answers fit in his propaganda about Donald Trump. He said the Democrats missed the story because too many reporters are privileged. Therefore, they didn’t see the story. I’m very privileged. I didn’t miss the story. Being privileged doesn’t mean you can’t see the story. I was privileged eight years ago too and I didn’t miss the story. The various straw men they are throwing up such as Harris couldn’t have won… Stelter wrote disaprovingly in his newsletter as he always does of employers such as the Washington Post requiring its employees to work in the office five days a week. That’s a crazy mindset.”

“There’s an Iranian plot to kill Donald Trump. People were indicted. If this were an attempted assassination of Barack Obama or Kamala Harris or Hillary Clinton, it would get a lot more attention.”

Caller: “If you were in charge of the New York Times, Mark?”

Mark: “The only thing harder than running against Donald Trump is covering him. He lies all the time. He does things outside the norms… He’s rude. He’s abrasive… The press should scrutinize what he does and not making things up. The vice-president, a big part of her speech, was about [the Trump quote] that there are good people on both sides [which she distorted because Trump said he didn’t mean neo-nazis at Charlottesville] and that there will be a bloodbath [Trump was talking about the American auto industry]. Saying those things as an indictment of Donald Trump are a lie. Never once holding her accountable for saying things that are not true. I’m trying to treat everybody equally, not a different standard for Donald Trump.”

“If the New York Times hired me as a consultant and said, we’ve seen the light. We no longer want to be unfair. Stop writing things about Donald Trump that are unfair or false. Stop quoting Democrats saying false things about him as if they are true. Focus on what he does that affects the lives of people. Don’t focus on the parlor games of Washington, that he was rude to a senator or he made a joke that people didn’t like.”

“Stop assuming that if someone says something on the record about him it must be true. General Kelly must be telling the truth. Donald Trump must be lying. They let anyone make an accusation about him and they build their news coverage around it. Start over with editors and reporters and say, are you indifferent to the success of Donald Trump? Are you for the public interest or do you have an ideological rooting interest to stop Donald Trump’s agenda? If they have an ideological interest, tell them to work some place else. Fill the newsroom with people who want to hold powerful people including Donald Trump accountable to the public interest. Take out all the liberals because they will always revert back to being liberal and to being against Donald Trump. If you asked the reporters for the ten major news organizations in the US and they were honest — who do you want to win? Harris or Trump? It would be 99-1 [Harris]. It doesn’t make sense to have [reporters] with a rooting interest against one of the candidates.”

“I wouldn’t let political reporters write the policy stories because most political reporters don’t know anything about policy. If Donald Trump makes a speech about healthcare, have it covered by the healthcare reporter.”

“The same reporters who spent three years covering up Joe Biden’s loss of mental acuity in conspiracy with the White House are the same people who are covering the Trump administration. They have never acknowledged their role in [covering up Joe Biden’s senility]. How could any Trump supporter says these are the right people to report on Donald Trump?”

“Everyone is familiar with women who told stories about being adversely affected by the overturning of Roe v Wade? Those stories are covered all the time. President Trump in 2016 and in 2024 highlighted the stories of those families whose loved ones were murdered by [illegal aliens]. The media never talks about them. Never interviews them.”

David Samuels writes Nov. 8:

I don’t need to hear Trump’s stunned-looking critics in the Party commentariat speak, though. The expressions on their pallid faces say it all. They are reckoning with the extent of their loss, which is turn related to their collective sense of self-importance — which is belied both by tonight’s result and by their viewership numbers. Having cratered public trust in their profession over the past decade by routinely lying to their audience on behalf of the government, which they identified in turn with the Democratic Party, the country’s self-identified defenders of democracy can fume all they want about Trump’s authoritarian, anti-democratic, fascist, Hitlerian leanings. The rest of America is as deaf to their blather as I am.

Praising Elon Musk, the country’s most successful technologist, Trump looks more like an avuncular Caribbean vacation package or waterbed salesman than a would-be Hitler. Meanwhile, party hacks like Joy Reid and the political consultants turned “commentators” like David Axelrod, along with supposed “straight news” types like Jake Tapper of CNN, who had all long ago become indistinguishable from each other, by virtue of drinking the Party Kool-Aid are waving their hands at the cameras like they were calling for smelling salts. But once lost, the trust of an audience is hard to win back.

Trump has also lost a step or two himself. His speeches, once gorgeous arias of invective, innuendo and insult comedy, delivered with the snappy timing of a Vegas Rat Pack headliner, have been transformed into rambling arabesques, like the musings of a slightly dotty family patriarch at the Thanksgiving table…

Trump had also learned a trick or two along the way, though. He graciously shares the stage, and allows the importance and accomplishments of others to validate his own role as MC. His timing clearly couldn’t have been better. Five years of Covid laws, a stagnant economy, direct and indirect government censorship of social media, official lying and gaslighting on every subject from trans surgeries to the efficacy of masking to the startling numbers of illegal immigrants entering the country to the spectacle of a dottering Joe Biden being barely able to remember his own name, had left most of the country dispirited and ready for change.

As the evening ends, Trump and the political movement he founded will likely control not just the White House but also the Senate, the House, and also the Supreme Court, giving Trump an actual, real-world chance to fulfill his mandate to Make America Great Again…

As it turns out, the American people are still allowed to vote, regardless of whether their betters decry their choices as racist, sexist, short-sighted, and above all anti-democratic. It’s a paradox that the country’s genius-level elites routinely fail to acknowledge, because they are all profoundly in agreement. We must protect our democracy from those evil anti-democratic forces, American voters, who vote for Donald Trump against the expert guidance of their betters, meaning us…

As the leader of the Democratic Party, Obama was hardly a pretender to power in Washington. Rather, between 2008 and the evening of 5 November 2024, he was usually the foremost power in the land. After serving two elected terms in the White House, Obama then set up and captained the so-called “Resistance” to Trump — an activity that was contrary to all prior American norms and practices. After Trump left, Obama stayed in Washington and continued his role as unelected Party Leader during what had been advertised as the Biden Presidency.

Obama’s method of avoiding scrutiny from the pliant DC press was entirely in character, alternately drawing back into the shadows and then, out of whatever ego weakness, announcing that he was the true mover of events. Free from normative oversight or responsibility, he and his retainers could also avoid answering questions about the size or sources of his personal fortune, which was rumoured to amount to somewhere between $500 million and $1 billion. As a private citizen, Obama didn’t have to answer questions. He could have it both ways — state power, with no public responsibility.

Until he misstepped. By compelling Biden to withdraw in favour of Harris, who turned out to be an even worse candidate than a senile old man who had begun to resemble a badly taxidermied deer, Obama broke the unspoken agreement that had put him beyond scrutiny. Disappearing the sitting President from the Democratic Party ticket against his will, for reasons that were obviously contrary to what the press had been telling Americans about Biden’s incredibly acute mental functioning up, and replacing him with a candidate that no one in the party had actually voted for, required some sort of comment, however brief. It made it impossible, if only for a week or two, to maintain the fiction that Obama was simply living in Washington DC while staying out of politics. If Biden was senile, then who was actually running the country? Who had enough clout to order the President’s removal from the ticket?

The answer in both cases was Obama. And now he was on the hook not only for Kamala Harris, but retroactively for the more general mess that he and his operatives had helped to make of the country. Everywhere from Harvard University, his alma mater, where he helped install a repeat plagiarist as the University’s President, to the Middle East, which went up in flames the moment he was able to re-animate his Iran Deal, which appeared to be even stupider — if not as expensive — as George W. Bush’s determination to transform Afghanistan and Iraq into Western-style democratic societies at the point of a gun, the Party Leader’s Midas Touch-in-reverse was evident, even if no one ever breathed a single word of criticism…

Seeing Americans as one people, with a common culture and character, shaped by a common history, is not something that America’s new elites know how to do, though. From kindergarten on, they are taught otherwise. Ivy League universities, the crucible in which the new class has been forged, base admissions and hiring decisions not on measures of objective performance, but on their ranking in the ever-shifting hierarchies of Party-sanctioned identity groups. The ability to sort Americans into bureaucratic categories like BIPOC, MENA, LGBTQ+ and other alphabet soup constructions is in fact the defining skill of Obama-era elites. It signifies mastery of in-group codes that help the Democratic Party manage its own top-down constituencies, which are regimented by political operatives and NGO organisers, paid for by billionaire foundations, and embodied in bureaucratic regulations, executive orders, census categories and other legally-binding schemes meant to overcome historical American notions of equality. That’s how the party machine operates.

Now, in one night, the Obama machine, which he built on the model of the Chicago Democratic Party machine, and which he used to run the country, including the prestige institutions and the media, through a combination of bureaucratic capture and social pressure, accentuated by control of large tech platforms, was finally melting down. No wonder the press was in shock. None of the lines that they had been given could be reconciled with the numbers onscreen.

A reckoning will surely come. At the very least, the time has now arrived for Barack Obama to leave Washington and exit American politics, now that his Shadow Presidency — which proved to be even more counter-productive and chaotic than Trump’s first term in office — has gone down in flames.

Meanwhile, the gap between what America’s elites believe, and what the rest of the country believes, has never been wider, probably not since the late 19th century.

The bigger lesson being that America is just too big — and too wild, and too destructive, and rooted in the idea of individual freedom — for any self-styled “elite” to ride the horse for very long, without being thrown off.

Posted in Journalism | Comments Off on How Mark Halperin Would Reform The New York Times

Post Election Analysis (11-7-24)

01:00 Joe Biden looks like a happy man
03:00 Trump won with pro-choice voters
05:00 Best of lefty meltdowns after Trump victory
08:45 WP: As Middle East crisis grinds on, Pentagon shows signs of strain, https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/11/05/pentagon-middle-east-israel-gaza/
10:50 The Bulwark melts down as Trump wins
13:30 Did the Democrats Gaslight Themselves? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXaRKa6fEvs
18:20 NYT: Disappointment Looks Different This Time Around, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/style/social-media-trump-reaction.html
21:50 Inside baseball Democrat edition, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SBZBIvqKWc
24:30 Independent media is a big winner in this election, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SBZBIvqKWc
26:20 Sean Spicer remembers meeting with the White House Correspondents leaders and they tried to tell him how to do briefings
29:30 Elliott Blatt
37:00 X is such a joy
47:00 Kamala having a tough time
51:45 Democrats have a thin bench
53:30 Susie Wiles is Trump’s chief of staff
58:00 Substack over the MSM
1:00:00 Kip joins
1:14:00 Luke’s hope for the Trump’s administration
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Posted in America | Comments Off on Post Election Analysis (11-7-24)

Trump’s Victory

A friend sent me this article in The Atlantic by Tom Nichols:

Trump Voters Got What They Wanted

Those who expect that Donald Trump will hurt others, and not them, are likely to be unpleasantly surprised.

I love the article because it reveals that most of Trump’s opponents such as the author want to live in delusion that they are so much wiser and morally superior to Trump voters, and that Trump’s appeal is just demagoguery when in reality Trump 100% won on substance both times (restrict immigration, shift trade policy, avoid forever wars) and he lost on substance one time (he was too chaotic). I love the article’s pious talk about the “rule of law” when Trump’s opposition had to pass laws (in New York State) to pursue lawfare against Trump because they didn’t trust the voters to make a choice on Trump. As long as Trump’s haters refuse to face the reality of his appeal, they will be constantly humiliated by life.

People who follow Mark Halperin knew for months that Trump was going to win the battleground states as private polling (far superior and more expensive than the public polls) on both sides of politics showed that.

Halperin is in the center, I think he’s a bit like my memory of Aussie journalist Paul Kelly, not a partisan and not a Trump supporter, but he goes to the effort of understanding things from different points of view, an effort far beyond Tom Nichols. The Atlantic only publishes anti-Trump articles, hundreds of them, no pro-Trump articles are permitted there. It’s a silo for Trump haters. People who live in that bubble get humiliated by life.

Halperin wrote:

1. As I wrote a few days ago on http://foxnews.com, the Democratic Party, lacking clear agreement about why Trump won and lacking an obvious once-in-a-generation talent to lead them back, is going to be at Trump’s mercy for a good long while.

2. Trump’s government will be filled with a lot of senior officials who will reassure Wall Street, foreign capitals, and a lot of Trump haters (at least the ones with open minds).

3. Trump will at the start have an enormous amount of influence over Congress, from leadership elections to the legislative agenda.

4. The Dominant Media won’t come close to taking responsibility for their role in helping Trump win, won’t fire those whose bias and incompetence has been on display for as long as a decade, won’t take the steps necessary to understand the Trump movement, and won’t reorient for the next four years in any meaningful way.

5. None of the Democrats who some pined for in 2024 to be their presidential nominee will play a significant role in trying to shape the party or the nation.

6. When honest political scientists study the dimensions of Trump’s win, they will realize that Trump’s remaking of the Republican Party in 2016 (turning it into a white working-class party) was nothing compared to what happened this time – turning it into a Black, Hispanic, white, young, independent working-class party.

7. Trump will, in fact, end the Ukraine war, safeguard Israel’s security, increase energy production, decrease regulations, cut taxes, control the Mexico border, conduct a mass deportation, and change a myriad of social policies.

8. The remarkable achievement of Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita will be adequately appreciated in some quarters, but not in others.

9. As already predicted, we will now see the largest mental health crisis in American history, as tens of millions of Americans – and many of the nation’s liberal cultural institutions, including Hollywood – can’t handle the truth about what happened and why.

10. The Lincoln Project leaders will do even less soul searching than the newsroom denizens of the Washington Post and New York Times.

11. The stories of how Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, the pasts of Harris and Doug Emhoff, the coverup of Joe Biden’s loss of mental acuity, and how the attempts to keep Trump off the ballot, lawfare, and other anti-democratic efforts aimed at stopping Trump ironically backfired will only be told if the right people get the right book deals.

Posted in America | Comments Off on Trump’s Victory

Trump Wins, Media Loses (11-6-24)

Posted in America | Comments Off on Trump Wins, Media Loses (11-6-24)