It’s The End Of The World

Posted on November 9, 2016 by Luke Ford

Steve Sailer:

Team by team, reporters baffled, trumped, tethered, cropped
Look at that low plane, fine, then
Uh-oh, overflow, population, common group
But it’ll do, save yourself, serve yourself
World serves its own needs, listen to your heart bleed
Tell me with the Rapture and the reverent in the right, right
You vitriolic, patriotic, slam fight, bright light
Feeling pretty psyched

It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine

COMMENTS:

* The pundits (e.g., on CNN) are already starting the narrative that maybe the right sort of people can accept the election result if Trump and Trump supporters abjectly apologize for all of the opinions they have expressed to date.

Should be interesting.

* I seem to feel even happier about how wretched Clinton must feel than I do even about avoiding nuclear war with Russia.

* I’m sure Stipe is besides himself right now. Oh, well.

* Now the work begins. We salute the great man we have elected. He is a worker. We have been told that, and we believe that.

We are serious this time. We are jaded. We are cynical. We are experienced. We are the most accomplished people on the planet, and we are angry.

We have given him our mandate. We will support him in any fight, including those against established apparatchiks in his own party. (And they will fight him.)

* I’m absolutely giddy.

I’m also well aware that this is probably the happiest I’ll ever be for the next four years.

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Trump’s Agenda

Posted on November 8, 2016 by Luke Ford

I assume he will go after his enemies, including:

* Organized Jewry did more than any group to try to stop Trump. I assume Trump will not be pleased. I don’t think Trump is anti-Jewish, I don’t think he will go after Jews indiscriminately, but I suspect he will hold a grudge against all the big Jewish organizations and Jewish leaders who tried to stop him such as the ADL, the SPLC, the rabbinate, etc.

* Wall Street.

* Hollywood.

* MSM.

* Tech. All the big tech companies such as Facebook, Twitter, Google, Instagram did everything they thought they could get away with to stop Trump. I suspect there will be investigations and payback. Google, for example, has blackballed this website from its search results since Aug. 17. Google has done all it thought it could get away with to throw the election for Hillary. Perhaps the Trump administration might think this kind of chicanery is a problem.

Google hates America. Big Tech hates America. Facebook hates America. Twitter hates America. And now it is blindingly obvious that America hates them back.

Starting about six months ago, Twitter did everything it could to hide my tweets. If you search Twitter for my name, my account does not show up. Tonight around 10pm, Twitter would not permit me to post. Twitter gave me this warning: “You are over the daily limit for sending Tweets. Please wait a few hours and try again.”

Twitter is constantly locking me out and making me enter a new password. They want to make my using their service as difficult as possible.

Facebook demanded that to keep my account, I had to send them personal identification documents such as a CADL.

* Republican cucks.

* Get rid of non-profits. They tend to get captured by the Left. Every organization should have to pay taxes and pay its own way or dissolve.

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This Great Election

Posted on November 8, 2016 by Luke Ford

Education Realist writes:

So I wasn’t excited about 2016, what with all the talk about another Bush, hints of returning to the autopsy plan, even after Rubio got his ears pinned back.

And then came Trump, down that damn escalator.

He never had to win to make me happy. I wanted the message out there. I wanted another politician to defy conventional wisdom, to refuse to step down or apologize, to insist that the people be given their choice. I wanted someone to show the popularity of issues the media and elites considered completely unthinkable, to force them into the debate. The Overton window has shifted feet–yards, even–back in the direction of sanity.

But GOP elites are trying to bargain their way out of reality. They think fondly of a world where Rubio–the GOP’s version of bland, teleprompter-ready Obama–could have won if Kasich and Christie had dropped out because golly, he gave a good speech. Or Cruz–whose voice is so awful I change the channel when he shows up–could somehow win over enough swing voters. Or they blame the media for giving Trump air time, forgetting that the airtime was devoted to blasting Trump for insensitivity, for “racism”, and demanding the public share their opinion. Instead he won more votes every time he refused to back down.

If you want to rebuild the GOP, start by asking a Trump voter what the key moment in his success was. Most will point to his refusal to apologize for his June 16 announcement. NBC dumped him. Univision fired him. And he didn’t back down. He didn’t play the game. He didn’t apologize, mend fences with the media. That was……well, huuuuge in the world of Trump’s base. He snarled back, and got more popular.

What we’ve needed in America is someone willing to defy the media and the elite. Someone who had the money and message to succeed despite blasted disapproval. This forced the media and the GOP leadership to realize that all of their power relied on their ability to shut off the microphone. Take that ability away, they got nothing.

I don’t lionize Trump. I think he tried for years to win approval from the same elites who despise him now. I’m glad he chose to run. I’m glad he showed them, through the people, how wrong they were.

Because unless the polls are dramatically wrong in Clinton’s favor, Trump is not going to get destroyed. If he loses, it will be be a margin less than McCain, possibly less than Romney. With few ads and even fewer experts to advise him–the experts being the one class who still needs elite approval.

All he had was a message.

Next steps: win or lose, Trump voters need to see that class, not race, is the way to grow their ranks. This Sheryl Stolberg story on the decimated black working class that see no hope from Hillary but hate Trump–they’re the first step. I believe that African Americans can be convinced that our immigration policies are incredibly harmful to their interests: in jobs, in education, in reducing their political viability. Working class Hispanics, those of long-standing in this country, are also a great opportunity for actual outreach.

I’m not sure where it goes from here, because very few Republicans in media or leadership have any interest in rebuilding. Most of them believe that surgical removal of Trump voters is not only necessary, but simple. Laugh at them.

It’s all the meme these days for the media to talk about how horrible this election has been, how dispiriting it’s been to true believers in democracy and American greatness. That, again, is one reason why we all hate the media and elites, for failing to realize how exciting many of us are by the opportunity to vote our issues.

To all of you out there in Trumpland, I hope you share my sense of joy in this campaign. Watching everyone in power realize they had no power to stop Trump and his message.

If our side loses, it wasn’t because the media won the narrative. Entire publications were dedicated to convincing the public of Trump’s evil nature. They failed. They weren’t able to frame this election, because in their framing, Trump is unthinkable, a fascist racist misongynist who’ll start nuclear wars. But “unthinkable” doesn’t include close to half the country’s support.

If we lose, we’ll lose because we don’t yet have enough votes. Trump’s important qualities are alienating. I believe they were also essential. There was no moderating, no winning approval, that wouldn’t likewise end his ability to sell his message. And the conservative wing of the party has had it their way for so long that they can’t conceive of voting for a candidate they aren’t crazy about. That, too, was a non-negotiable constraint.

But moving forward, I believe this can be fixed. I believe the media and the GOP will find it impossible to shut down these issues. I believe we’ll get more compelling candidates. I believe we’ll find a way to win more support.

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President Trump!

Posted on November 8, 2016 by Luke Ford

There was not one major MSM journalist, publicly or privately, who was predicting a Trump victory. Not one. Journalists are not our friends.

Matt Drudge.

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Chaim Amalek: I call upon Yidden everywhere to offer up prayers to Hashem to help save this country by electing Trump

Posted on November 8, 2016 by Luke Ford

Chaim writes: An Impromptu And Sincere Prayer to Hashem:
Lord, God, you know better than any pollster the stupidity of the regular goy, the reckless arrogance of the “off the derech” [apostate] Jew. And you know that certain of the liberal goyim are fellow travelers of Satan, whether they know it or not, whether they think it is all a joke or not (e.g., Podesta, Merkel, etc.). Please, just for today, and just in the voting booth, grant enough of the goyim sayechel [wisdom] to vote for Donald J. Trump to be President, and silence the wicked tongues of the liberal, off-the-derech Jews who oppose him from the media. Chastise the Merkel, the Soros, the Blitzer. Do it for us, your chosen people, who know that a Clinton presidency would kill the goose that lays our golden egg and turn this country into another France or Germany, overrun with all manner of hostile migrants whom not even Hollywood can redeem from their hatred of us. Please Hashem, please make Donald J. Trump, whose grandchildren are Jewish, the next President of the United States.

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A Final Plea to Never-Trumpers

Posted on November 8, 2016 by Luke Ford

Dennis Prager writes:

It is very hard to publicly affirm a position for nearly a year and to then, at the last minute, change one’s mind.
Nevertheless, even as late as Election Day itself, I wish to address those conservatives and Republicans who have declared themselves Never-Trumpers.
I was one of you in vigorously opposing Trump’s nomination — on my national radio show and in my syndicated column. And I paid a price, as you have, in losing longtime supporters — in my case any number of listeners who supported Trump from the outset and found my strong opposition to him disappointing and worse.
Unlike you, however, I did say from the beginning that if he were to be the nominee, I would vote for him.
On this Election Day, I am more convinced than ever that this was the right position. I even have to believe that in the wee hours of the night — when worrying about the current and future state of our beloved country keeps you awake — many of you have at least wondered whether you have taken the right position.
Most of you are simply too intelligent, too idealistic and too self-questioning not to have at least on occasion had second thoughts. If you understand — and I cannot believe that most of you don’t — how destructive another four years of any Democrat in the White House, let alone the truly corrupt Hillary Clinton, would be, it is inconceivable that you have never questioned your Never-Trump position. Never-Trump, after all, is not the same as Never-Question.
To prove my point, one of my favorite Never-Trumpers, Jonah Goldberg, wrote in May: “If the election were a perfect tie, and the vote fell to me and me alone, I’d probably vote for none other than Donald Trump.”
In that moment of exquisite honesty, Jonah acknowledged one of the most important moral arguments to be made for voting for Trump — the Lesser of Two Evils argument.
To which conservatives who won’t vote for Trump often respond: “The lesser of two evils is still evil.”
Now, forgive me, but that it is a complete non sequitur, morally and intellectually unworthy of any conservative, religious or secular, who makes it. The only relevant moral lesson here is not that the lesser of two evil is still evil; it is that choosing the lesser of two evils, by definition, increases good. Would you amputate your leg if it might save your life? Or would you say that because losing your life and losing your leg are both evils, you won’t amputate your leg because the lesser of two evils is still evil?
Then there is the Never-Trump argument that Donald Trump isn’t a conservative. I agree that he hasn’t been his whole life, because he probably never gave the subject of the differences between left and right five of minutes of serious thought (nor, if we are to be honest, did Republican presidential nominee John McCain, whom I also worked hard to elect). But Trump and Mike Pence and his top political advisors are well to the right of Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party. As Victor Davis Hanson wrote last week, in his plea to Never-Trumpers:
“On the Supreme Court, Obamacare, the debt, rebuilding the military, the Second Amendment, school choice, abortion, reforming the tax code, re-examining regulation, energy exploration and production, illegal immigration, sanctuary cities, and a host of other issues, the Republican ticket is the antithesis of Clinton/Kaine — and is recognized as such by nearly all progressives.”
Why isn’t all that enough to vote for Trump?
Then there is the argument that electing Trump means that in the eyes of many Americans, especially young Americans, Trump will embody conservatism and Republicanism, and that would be a calamity.
On that noble concern, I am not willing to turn America over to four more years of leftism. First of all, the damage the left will do, if not permanent, will almost certainly last a generation. And I happen to think it could very well be permanent. Can you name a country outside of some formerly Communist countries (which had Communism forced on them), that chose to go left and has fully recovered from a generation of leftism?
Given the arguments in favor of voting for Trump, I see only three possible explanations for conservatives helping to elect Hillary Clinton.
One is that they are certain Donald Trump is so psychologically imbalanced that he will jeopardize America and the world. But they have to be certain of this. If they have any doubts, they have to vote for him — because they are certain about Hillary Clinton and the Democrats. And between certitude and incertitude, one must always act on what is certain.
The second is their self-image: How can they, truly decent people, vote for someone who has exhibited the uncouth speech and behavior that Trump has? Or, as some have expressed it, “How can I explain to my daughter that I supported Donald Trump?”
As someone who also thinks of himself as decent, I think that saving America from Hillary Clinton, the Democrats, and the left is the most decent thing I can do. And as for your daughter, just have her speak to any of the millions of wonderful women who are voting for Donald Trump. They will provide your daughter with perfectly satisfying moral and woman-centered answers.
And the third explanation for the Never-Trump conservatives is they that they believe we will survive four more years of left-wing rule, and that America is really not in such bad shape anyway. That argument was made this weekend by a writer for National Review. “The United States of America is not a wreck,” he reassures us. “The people who are telling you that it is — on both sides — are trying to sell you something. Don’t buy it.”
Question: What exactly am I, or Victor Davis Hanson, or Thomas Sowell, or at least half of The Wall Street Journal columnists, or millions of religious Jews, Protestants, Catholics and Mormons trying to “sell you”?
And second, that writer and others who think like him seem to be living in a different country than I am. Because compared to America at any time in its history except for the Civil War years, the country I am living in is indeed a wreck — and getting worse each day, and in every way. After another four years of a Democrat in the White House the country called the United States will still be here, but America as envisioned since its founding — as the world’s beacon of individual liberty, Lincoln’s “Last Best Hope of Earth” — won’t.
To think otherwise is willful self-delusion.

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WP: Two Democratic operatives lose jobs after James O’Keefe sting

Posted on November 8, 2016 by Luke Ford

Washington Post:

Scott Foval and Robert Creamer, two little-known but influential Democratic political operatives, have left their jobs after video investigations by James O’Keefe’s Project Veritas Action found Foval entertaining dark notions about how to win elections. Foval was laid off Monday by Americans United for Change, where he had been national field director; Creamer announced Tuesday night that he was “stepping back” from the work he was doing for the unified Democratic campaign for Hillary Clinton.

The moves came after 36 hours of coverage, led by conservative and social media, for O’Keefe’s video series “Rigging the Election.” In them, Foval is filmed telling hidden-camera-toting journalists about how they have disrupted Republican events. Foval also goes on at length about how an organization might cover up in-person voter fraud. In another Tuesday night statement, the Creamer-founded Democracy Partners, which used Foval as a contractor, denounced both Project Veritas and the statements caught on camera.

“Our firm has recently been the victim of a well-funded, systematic spy operation that is the modern day equivalent of the Watergate burglars,” the firm said. “The plot involved the use of trained operatives using false identifications, disguises and elaborate false covers to infiltrate our firm and others, to steal campaign plans, and goad unsuspecting individuals into making careless statements on hidden cameras. One of those individuals was a temporary regional subcontractor who was goaded into statements that do not reflect our values.”

Scott Foval’s Twitter feed is hilarious. He says he’s voting for Trump.

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Election 2016

Posted on November 8, 2016 by Luke Ford

Comments at Steve Sailer:

* Number of black voters among early voters down significantly.

Guess that’s the problem with the “Rainbow coalition”: can’t expect every individual group to show up at once.

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I’m Studying Torah For Trump Tonight

Posted on November 7, 2016 by Luke Ford

I’m studying Torah this evening and booking the merit to the Trump campaign. Hope it makes a difference.

Studying Tehillim aka Psalms. Lots of stuff about beating one’s enemies.

“All day long my enemies (Clinton puppets, Globalists) taunt me; those who deride me use my name for a curse” 102nd Psalm

I wish more of the rabbenim had thought to organize this. Torah Yidden 4 Trump says Chaim Amalek.

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The Election

Posted on November 6, 2016 by Luke Ford

A Jewish friend says: There is an obvious divergence in the polls, with the Los Angeles Times’ poll the outlier.  It has a different polling methodology in that the same persons have been polled since the polling started so it does reflect voters changing their minds.  Whether it is more accurate than traditional polling methods drawing a different sample to poll will be proven after the results are in.
 
Almost all the national polls show a “tightening” of the race, especially since Comey made his announcement a couple of weeks ago.  It also remains to be seen whether Comey’s memo of today makes any meaningful difference in the results.
 
Politico ran a story earlier this week based on a Morning Consult Poll that they said showed that there isn’t much difference in how persons say they will vote based on whether they are  interviewed by a human being or responding to on-line anonymous questions.  The theory was that Trump supporters may be reluctant to admit their support of Trump to a human being.  Overall Trump did narrow the gap based on the entire sample from 5 points to 3 points, and among those earning $50K a year or more from 10 points to 1 point.
 
There also is a big difference in the samples for some polls among, registered voters, likely voters and voters who have made up their mind.  Apparently Trump holds a not insignificant lead among voters who have decided who they will vote for.
 
Some sites that fervently back Trump-The Conservative Treehouse and The Gateway Pundit – think that there is a “monster vote” out there of up to 73 million persons who will cast ballots for Trump.  Since most projections are the total number of  voters will be around 120 million persons, this would, if true, deliver a blow out-mandate type of election.  
 
Virtually, all establishment pundits and pollsters have weighed in that this won’t happen.
 
The Trump supporters also say that the clear enthusiasm gap between the Trump personal appearances at rallies and those of Clinton show that Trump voters are more numerous and more committed to vote than the Clinton supporters.  It is worth recalling that this same pattern was raised by Mitt Romney supporters in 2012 because he was filling areas with fervent supporters, yet he lost the election by a margin predicted by the polls.
 
Before I get to the prediction of the election, if Trump wins the election, it will  be the death knell for traditional political consultants and even traditional grass roots activism and get out the vote operations.  It will be very damaging to those who create, buy and broadcast political advertising.  It will be very damaging to traditional media ways of covering elections.  (Much of this media damage will be self inflicted because of the obviously one sided coverage of the campaign to favor Clinton, and the rest because the Wikileaks reveals the close relationship between many of the top “reporters” and the Democrats.  I think that most persons realize that reporters and journalists have to cultivate sources and relationships, but much of what has been released in the emails goes far beyond that)  However if Clinton wins the election almost everyone who would be shook up by a Trump victory will go back to  business as usual, although there will a continuing diminution, at least as far as the press goes, in influence, since traditional print media are all losing money, and a significant minority (if not an outright majority) no longer trusts the mass media.
 
The election will come down to a few states.   What is clear is that African American participation (relative to the rest of the electorate) is down and that a higher percentage of Blacks will support Trump than have supported Republican presidential candidates in decades.  It does look like Latino participation is up, but it really must be  broken down into subgroups of Latinos- Mexicans, Central Americans, Cubans, and Puerto Ricans.
 
The Cubans are typically a strong Republican contingent  and are very important to the Republicans in Florida.  However, as a result of the economic distress in Puerto Rico, a number of Puerto Ricans, who typically support Democrats are voting in Florida.  Large numbers of Mexican and Central American immigrants now live in all parts of the country.  However, a large percentage of them outside the Southwest (California, Nevada, Arizona, New  Mexico and Texas) are illegals and should not be able to vote. 
 
It is not exactly clear how strong Clinton’s support among women is.  She certainly has the strong backing of single or unmarried women over fifty, but this may not be true for married women or younger women.  Since this is the centerpiece of her support, how these demographics break will be instrumental in calling the election. 
 
It is also not clear whether millennials (or Bernie Bros) will support Clinton.   Clinton’s campaigning is based on stirring up fear among this group of Trump presidency, but their personal loyalty to Sanders, in light of the Wikileaks comments about Sanders) and Clinton’s continuing close relationship with investment banks may either lead them to abstain for voting or even vote for Trump. 
 
In terms of watching the election, if Clinton carries Florida, she will win the election.  If Trump carries Florida, North Carolina and New Hampshire and either carries or comes close in Virginia, Trump will likely win.  If Trump does not come close in Virginia, we have to wait until we see the results of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota.  If Trump carries Pennsylvania he will likely win.   If he carries Michigan and either Wisconsin or Minnesota he will likely win.
 
Pat Caddell, Jimmy Carter’s pollster, who has been very critical of the Democrats, says Trump can win if he points out how he and Clinton differ on the issues, since Trump’s positions are more popular.  Trump has not followed this advice  but rather run the 2 minute commercial, now criticized as anti semitic by Josh Marshall and Al Franken.   Scott Adams thinks the commercial is very persuasive and that Clinton cannot really  counter it.
 
My prediction is that Trump will win the election, although narrowly and not in a blow out.   This despite the superior “ground game” that Clinton has, her early voting advantage (although this has been disputed) and despite the unprecedented intervention in the election by Obama who is more popular by far than either Trump or Clinton and fears he has stirred up against Trump. 
 
Despite this prediction, it is possible that Clinton will pull it out, and it is not impossible that Trump will win the electoral vote yet lose the popular vote by a margin of a million or more opening himself up to attacks that his presidency lacks consensus and is illegitimate.
 
Assuming there is no ongoing litigation challenging some state’s results, the time between the election and inauguration will be most interesting.  I don’t think any outgoing president has attacked the other parties candidates in such harsh terms – yet Trump and Obama will have to work together for the transition.   There is the possibility that the Republican congress may enact legislation that they know they can’t get through under Trump for Obama to sign, creating even more fissures in the Republican party.
 
I do think the consequence of the demonization by each candidate of the other, will certainly lead to protests, likely lead to riots and possibly lead to insurrection by the followers of the defeated candidate.

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