Election Open Thread

Comments to Steve Sailer:

* Cruz benefited from the fact that 3 of the 4 contests today were closed caucuses. Closed elections benefit Cruz, since only registered Republicans can vote, and Trump relies heavily on Independents. Further, caucuses are shorter in duration – being only a few hours long – and produce much lower turnout than primaries. Caucus voters tend to be party die-hards who vote in every election cycle, which not surprisingly tend towards Cruz. While winning a caucus can provide momentum for a candidate, Caucuses aren’t very predictive in indicating how future primaries will turnout. Almost all of the remaining contests are primaries.

I keep seeing on Twitter that Trump “drastically under-performed” polls. Yet this seems to only be true in Kansas. Coincidentally, it was true in Iowa and Oklahoma too. In Kentucky, he matched his 35% polling number. In Maine, there were no polls. In Louisiana, he is also matching his polling average of the low 40s.

Overall, I’d chalk today more up to the anomalous results that caucuses tend to produce rather than any campaign shifting cause. If Trump significantly under-performs in Michigan and Mississippi (both Open Primaries), then he’s got a problem.

* Ha, this post reeks of Cruz.

It’s some weird autistic approach to politics.

“You don’t like me? Let me debate and browbeat and nitpick and quibble and wonk you until you realize you love me.”

Yeah, he’d get obliterated in the general.

* The neocons are starting to tiptoe towards Cruz now that they realize what a horrible joke Rubio is. If Marco gets stomped in Florida then Ted becomes their only hope.

* Former Raiders QB Kyle Boller is married to former Miss California, Carrie Prejean (I believe with children).

Carrie Prejean was the victim of an ACTUAL hate crime at the hands of homosexual celebrity stalking gossip Perez Hilton. She was viciously attacked by Mr “Hilton” because she accidentally answered a question regarding natural marriage in the way that was appropriate for only two or three thousand years.

This occurred during a Trump sponsored Miss America (?)/contest. Trump gallantly came to her defense, until he didn’t.

Trump caved to the LGBTQ “community” instantly.

* Trump’s press conference comments about SCOTUS were point blank. Paraphrase: don’t elect me and get Cruz, who can’t win the general; imagine Hillary having 3 to 5 SCOTUS picks. Sleep on that one. To get the true Trump you can’t watch these lame debates. His pressers, interviews, and portions of his rallies are excellent.

* And, while Trump doesn’t have any kind words for Obama, he doesn’t make him out to be particularly malevolent the way Cruz and Rubio do. He makes him to be just another moron politician, with his only real focus being Hillary or Bill. I mention this because I believe Trump can win at least 15-20% of the black vote, particularly in the North East, which would shatter the blue electoral wall. Whether you think Obama was a particularly evil president or not, all black voters will be repelled to HRC if you scream that he’s purposefully trying to destroy the country. But a candidate as thoroughly urban as Trump, who appeals to black voters on trade and immigration, can definitely win over a significant chunk of black voters if his criticisms of Obama are framed as systemic failure, with a president that was in over his head, as opposed to a nefarious actor.

* Trump is not a master debater, Cruz is. But how important is academic debate skill to the job of being president? I’m going to guess about zero. Negotiation is a far more important skill to have, perhaps the most important skill, for what is essentially an executive position, i.e. POTUS.

I’m sure there are good historical reasons for why we have debates, but when you reflect on it for a moment, it’s a bit ridiculous.

This is especially true when you look at the gotcha game that modern “debates” have devolved into. The whole goal is to undermine voter confidence in candidates that the establishment disapproves of, and sadly, it works, at least to a certain extent. I know Trump supporters who were genuinely crestfallen from Trump’s debate performance, which was exactly Fox’s goal.

* Trump does fine with the majority of Evangelicals who are not Christian Zionists/Dispensationalists or who are not Anti-Abortion obsessives.

Texas. Kansas and Louisiana along with South Carolina are the hot beds of the Christian Zionist movement.

Christian Zionism got its start in Kansas and today’s the biggest Christian Zionist televangelist, Pastor John Hagee is based out of Texas

Beck may be a Mormon, but he is also positively “Bat Guano” for Israel.

Christian Zionism used to be a cheap road to the Republican nomination but is positively a deadly boat anchor in the national general election as Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb Iran McCain found out in 2008.

* It is very hard to find a true intellectual who is also socially conservative who is not Catholic. Most Protestant intellectuals are very liberal. And almost no Evangelical are intellectuals (certainly not Ted, who, btw, checked a minority box on his application to Princeton and HLS). Scalia was Catholic. Thomas as well. Same with Alito, Roberts, and Kennedy. My guess is Cruz has a fellow misfit Evangelical in mind, but certainly not a Catholic. Cruz’s father has said anti-Catholic stuff and I’m guessing Ted holds similar views. Cruz will not be the GOP nominee, but if he is, Hillary will have 3 Supreme Court picks. It’s going to really suck to be a white male.

Posted in America | Comments Off on Election Open Thread

Why Are People Voting Trump?

Steve Sailer writes:

It’s crucial that Presidential candidates be carefully vetted by insiders. It’s just not prudent for the public to be allowed to support some flash-in-the-pan who has been in the public eye since the late 1970s. Instead, the Establishment assures us that respectable candidates like Marco Rubio come without any untoward baggage.

For example, consider the career of former Congressman David Rivera, who has been a close friend of Rubio’s since they were on Lincoln Diaz-Balart’s staff together 24 years ago. Rubio and Rivera bought a Florida house together as an investment property and they shared a house in Washington DC when Rubio was in the Senate and Rivera was enjoying his one term in the House. So, you can rest assured that there’s nothing sketchy about Rivera, whose nickname, according to his recently sentenced girlfriend, is “The Gangster.” He’s bonafide! (Granted, Rivera only spent one term in the House and when he tried to make a comeback in 2014, he only got 7% of the vote in what the National Journal called “the worst congressional comeback attempt of all time.”)

Rivera is like a character out of a Miami novel co-written by Elmore Leonard and Carl Hiaasen. From Rivera’s Wikipedia page:

4 Controversies

Controversy 4.2 is particularly action-packed:

On September 6, 2002, Rivera was involved in a traffic collision with a truck carrying thousands of fliers, produced by Rivera’s campaign opponent at the time, that included a last-minute attack on Rivera’s character and detailed past domestic violence accusations against him. According to reports filed by the Florida Highway Patrol, a car driven by Rivera hit the truck and forced it to the shoulder of the Palmetto Expressway, ten minutes before the truck’s 6 p.m. deadline to deliver the fliers to the post office, preventing the fliers from being delivered in time to be mailed.

Rivera has said that he had planned to meet up with the truck on an exit ramp off the Expressway so he could retrieve a batch of his own campaign fliers. The owner of the company that produced the anti-Rivera fliers maintains that the truck driver did not voluntarily pull off the highway. According to the FHP incident report, the collision occurred in the middle of the road.

Rivera is a take-charge guy. If a truck needs to be run off the road, he won’t make a calls to a guy he knows like a stereotypical crooked politician. No, he’ll jump in his car and ram the damn truck himself.

But that’s the point: Miami Diverse is America’s future, and the GOP deep thinkers intend to replicate Miami’s political culture nationwide, thus ensuring Dave Barry plenty of material deep into his dotage.

Comments to Steve Sailer:

* they shared a house in Washington DC when Rubio was in the Senate

I see.

Marco Rubio’s Career Bedeviled by Financial Struggles

I guess those ‘financial struggles’ are the reason Rubio shared a house with another man.

Rubio and Rivera bought a Florida house together as an investment property

From what I can tell from his career, Marco ‘Pool Boy’ Rubio has not done an honest day’s work in his life, yet he was able to buy a house as an “investment property”, and pushed an amnesty/immigration surge bill that would have adversely affected the lives of millions of Americans who regularly do put in an honest day’s work.

Tell me again why people are fed up with the Wash DC establishment and are voting Trump?

* William Hague, former British FM, gave “fiscal prudence” as the reason he shared a hotel room with his driver.

MORE COMMENTS:

* Trump should do well in PR.

1/ The Mexico wall will benefit Puerto Ricans since they can come to the mainland and do work in place of the absent Mexicans.

2/ Increased tariffs on China would make Puerto Rican factories more profitable.

* Sailer once said the only way to close the race gap is to beat white kids on the head with clubs.

Maybe White Degradation and White Death are just that. Maybe if the Lib elites cannot raise blacks higher, there is satisfaction of seeing whites sink lower, not just in US but in UK.

Well, it is a kind of racial equality if not a very dignified one.

Brits used to take pride in being racially superior to everyone else. Today, British elites feel shame in having held such attitudes. They want to believe and prove that other races are just as good as Brits. And if that goal seems beyond reach, the other way is to degrade a whole bunch of whites into lower-class slobs and pigs who are just like rest of humanity. Ahh, equality.

If white elites cannot fulfill the dream of ‘you non-whites are just as good as us’, they can at least fulfill the alternative dream ‘we are just as worthless as you’, the ‘we’ being the lower half of white population no longer to be led and guided by white elites.

Rotherham.

* When you’re trying to determine the “whiteness” of a population, the first thing you need to ask is, “What kind of institutions do they create? What kind of a social atmosphere do they foster?”

The Miami area is a cesspool of corruption and civic dysfunction. It’s an interesting place to live, but only if you’re willing to deal with sleaze, bullshit, rudeness, and weirdness on a daily basis.

There are an awful lot of flaky nuts running around – and driving around, too. Everyone thinks that the drivers in his city are the absolute worst, but you haven’t seen bad driving until you’ve spent some time down here.

(It doesn’t help that some of the expressways are laid out in a diabolical manner. I once knew a girl from Australia who broke down in tears while trying to navigate the infamous Golden Glades Interchange – a veritable maze of one-lane flyovers veering off in every conceivable direction. She’d never seen anything like it.)

The area is dominated by a shallow, materialistic, image-obsessed mentality that holds that money and sex are the only things that matter. There’s no sense of civic purpose other than, “Get what you can take, flaunt what you’ve got, and screw everyone else.”

(Yes, this is true of America as a whole, but Dade County is nothing short of a mecca for the hard-bodied and empty-headed.)

Marco Rubio is the perfect man to represent Miami on the world stage: He’s a good-looking, soulless con artist with void between the ears.

* I think the elites are really quite stupid when it comes to judging political talent. Keep in mind George Will’s track record in the 2012 cycle. First he started off with Mitch Daniels, the governor of Indiana who decided not to enter the race, and Tim Pawlenty, who withdrew after his miserable showing in the August 2011 “Ames Poll.” Then Will switched his affections to Rick Perry (his wife was working for his campaign) and Jon Huntsman, Jr. 0 for 4, as baseball aficionado Will would put it. This cycle he started off as a Scott Walker backer (his wife worked for his campaign), if I recall correctly.

Posted in America | Comments Off on Why Are People Voting Trump?

Incentives and Food Stamps

Harvard economist George J. Borjas writes:

The one thing that economics teaches us over and over again–and the one lesson that those who don’t like the implications ignore over and over again as well–is that incentives matter.

Robert Rector and his colleagues at the Heritage Foundation have written a number of important reports over the years showing how participation in welfare programs respond to changes in incentives. And their latest one is a nice addition to the collection.

In response to the growth in food stamp dependence, Maine’s governor, Paul LePage, recently established work requirements on recipients who are without dependents and able-bodied. In Maine, all able-bodied adults without dependents in the food stamp program are now required to take a job, participate in training, or perform community service.

So what happened?

In the first three months after Maine’s work policy went into effect, its caseload of able-bodied adults without dependents plummeted by 80 percent, falling from 13,332 recipients in Dec. 2014 to 2,678 in March 2015.

It’s evidence like this that restores my faith in humankind. We’ll always do what is best for us.

Posted in Economics | Comments Off on Incentives and Food Stamps

Why Is High-Skill Immigration Beneficial?

Harvard economist George J. Borjas writes:

A few days ago I was having a discussion about high-skill immigration with some people who should know better. It suddenly struck me that even though everyone favors more high-skill immigration, there is a lot of confusion about why one should be in favor of it.

Suppose all workers are alike. (This is not a trivial assumption, but the argument pretty much carries through if we allowed workers to be different; it’s just harder to explain. I’m also going to focus on the productivity effects of high-skill immigration and ignore the important fiscal impact on the welfare state).

In the textbook model of the labor market (read: supply and demand), immigrants enter the country, and the wage falls in the short run. It is this wage drop that generates the “immigration surplus”–the increase in the size of the economic pie accruing to natives. Over time, the economy adjusts–firms expand, for example–and the wage goes back to what it was in the pre-immigration era (assuming constant returns to scale), and the immigration surplus dwindles down to zero.

Note I said nothing about whether workers are low-skill or high-skill. Regardless, the wage of competing workers falls in the short run, the economy adjusts over time, the wage goes back to what it used to be, and the immigration surplus disappears.

In order for high-skill immigration to be beneficial in the long run, we need to deviate from this textbook model. The deviation that will do the trick is that high-skill immigrants generate “productivity spillovers.” In other words, “we” natives learn stuff from them, becoming more productive in the process. It is this rubbing off of what high-skill immigrants possess that makes high-skill immigration beneficial.

Is there evidence proving the existence of such spillovers? In some cases of high-skill immigration: Yes. In other cases: No. Over the next few posts, I will summarize what I think is the strongest evidence in favor of such spillovers, and why that evidence may not really say all that much about the impact of the type of high-skill immigration we have in mind when we talk about changes in immigration policy.

Posted in Immigration | Comments Off on Why Is High-Skill Immigration Beneficial?

High Immigration Levels Brings Wealth To The Protect At The Expense Of The Unprotected

Harvard economist George J. Borjas writes:

I’ve been watching the civil war over immigration in the Republican party with ever-increasing interest. And let’s be honest–this really is a war for the soul of the party as there is almost nothing in common between some of the approaches that the candidates advocate. I’m sure that I’ll have much more to say as the year wears on. (Full disclosure: I am not affiliated with any political party).

Let me start by noting that I really liked this very insightful piece by John O’Sullivan. The article touches on how Donald Trump changed the dynamics of the immigration debate by emphasizing some of the losses from mass immigration. Inevitably, the discussion is leading to increased questioning of the parameters that should reflect the Republican Party’s immigration policy. O’Sullivan notes:

Globalization has struck the bourgeoisie. Increasing legal immigration levels and extra H1-B visas for occupations for skilled occupations mean that computer programmers are quite as likely as low-paid restaurant workers to see immigration as a threat to their jobs and pay levels. And they are more likely to be vocal about it…

One of the internal contradictions of Kemp-style ideological conservatism was the attempt to combine mass immigration with the scaling back of entitlement programs: Keeping wages down through immigrant competition is incompatible with moving away from state welfare entitlements to market provision…More widely, mass immigration builds up a large new constituency for state welfare programs of every kind. ​

As a New York Democrat once remarked, the Republicans have a choice: They can either change their policy on immigration or their policies on everything else. Trump stumbled on that insight earlier this year; it may have transformed American politics forever. Or not.

The high-skill workers who are adversely affected by immigration have become much more visible. I have always joked that the best way to ensure a real debate over immigration policy is to create a new type of visa, one that would let just 5,000 journalists enter the country each year. I predict that it would not be long before we saw hard-luck stories of the displaced workers in the front pages of the mainstream media and editorials calling for cutbacks in this very unfair program.

O’Sullivan also touches on the inherent contradiction between the Kemp-style immigration policy that has dominated Republican thought for many years–more is better!–and the welfare state. One often-heard justification for ignoring that contradiction is that “it’s better to build a wall around the welfare state than build a wall around the country.” My reaction to that statement has always been: Which parallel universe are these people living in?

(As an aside, I once had the privilege of sitting next to Jack Kemp on a bus ride in rural Mexico in the mid-1990s. This was shortly after the O.J. Simpson saga had begun. Kemp knew O.J. personally; they had played football together on the Buffalo Bills. Although I’m sure we talked about immigration during the ride, I have to admit that I have no recollection of whatever was said. I was much too fascinated by Kemp’s theory of what really happened in Brentwood the night that Nicole Brown Simpson and Ronald Goldman were murdered).

In related news, there’s this account in the New York Review of Books of how Denmark has reacted to the influx of refugees. It seems that, given the choice of which wall to build, they chose to build the one around the country.

UPDATE: And I ran into this excellent Peggy Noonan column shortly after my post went up. Noonan argues that much of what we are seeing is a reaction by people whose well being has been ignored for far too long.

If you are an unprotected American—one with limited resources and negligible access to power—you have absorbed some lessons from the past 20 years’ experience of illegal immigration. You know the Democrats won’t protect you and the Republicans won’t help you. Both parties refused to control the border…

Many Americans suffered from illegal immigration—its impact on labor markets, financial costs, crime, the sense that the rule of law was collapsing. But the protected did fine—more workers at lower wages. No effect of illegal immigration was likely to hurt them personally.

It was good for the protected. But the unprotected watched and saw. They realized the protected were not looking out for them, and they inferred that they were not looking out for the country, either…

Mr. Trump came from that.

A key theme of my forthcoming book, We Wanted Workers, is that the benefits and costs of mass immigration have not been shared equitably. And this very large redistribution of wealth–accruing to the protected and paid for by the unprotected–may explain why we are now at this strange point in political life.

Posted in Immigration | Comments Off on High Immigration Levels Brings Wealth To The Protect At The Expense Of The Unprotected

High-Skill Immigration: Experimental Evidence

Harvard economics professor George J. Borjas writes:

A couple of weeks ago I promised to summarize the evidence on whether high-skill immigration generates the productivity spillovers that would produce large economic gains for natives. I apologize for taking so long to get back to this discussion, but I have so many other projects on my plate these days that it’s hard to keep up.

By far the most convincing studies that attempt to document the existence of spillovers are those that look at natural experiments. In a series of important papers, Fabian Waldinger has looked at what happened in Nazi Germany after Hitler fired all the Jewish professors . In 1933, shortly after it took power, the Nazi regime passed the Law for the Restoration of the Professional Civil Service, which mandated that all civil servants who were not of Aryan descent be immediately dismissed. That meant that Jewish professors like John von Neumann, Richard Courant, and Albert Einstein were fired from their university posts. Many of these stellar scientists found jobs abroad, particularly in the United States.

In his 2010 JPE paper, Waldinger showed what happened to the productivity of the doctoral students stranded behind in German universities after their exceptional mentors were dismissed. The productivity of the students stranded behind in the departments most affected by the dismissals suffered. In his 2012 RESTUD follow-up paper, Waldinger looked at what happened to the productivity of the colleagues of the dismissed scientists. The surprising answer is: Not much.

Here is the trend in the productivity of the graduate students left behind:

Waldinger JPE

And here’s the trend in the productivity of the colleagues left behind:

Waldinger RESTUD

One lesson I draw is that supply shocks consisting of very high skill workers can certainly generate spillovers, but it seems that there has to be a close personal relationship between the migrants and the recipients of the spillover. There’s also a hint that those who compete for resources may not suffer all that much when their esteemed colleagues are no longer around.

Kirk Doran and I have published a series of papers that look at another natural experiment–the exodus of highly qualified Soviet mathematicians after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The New York Times published a report in 1990 detailing the conflicting forces that such a supply shock would generate: Beneficial productivity spillovers and additional job market competition:

[Harvard mathematician] Dr. Diaconis said he recently asked [Soviet mathematician] Dr. Reshetikhin for help with a problem that had stumped him for 20 years. “I had asked everyone in America who had any chance of knowing”…No one could help. But…Soviet scientists had done a lot of work on such problems. “It was a whole new world I had access to,” Dr. Diaconis said…

American scientists…are being peppered with letters and calls asking for invitations…”I have run across a number of very distinguished Soviet mathematicians who have come here as visitors and spend their time going around the country and looking for a job.”

Because of the long separation between Soviet and Western mathematicians, the two groups had essentially gone their own way during the 20th century, with the Soviets focusing more on “Soviet fields” like partial and ordinary differential equations, and Americans focusing more on “American fields” like statistics and operations research. Kirk Doran and I looked at the publication history of Americans who worked in “Soviet fields” and Americans who worked in “American fields” and found that the Americans who most competed with the Soviets experienced a decline in productivity after the supply shock. Here’s the graph from our 2012 QJE paper:

Kirk-Doran QJE

So what does the Soviet context teach us? Although a supply shock of several hundred exceptional mathematicians can generate spillovers, the law of diminishing returns might also kick in (as the busy job-seeking travelers in the New York Times story had suggested). And this additional competition for resources can offset and reverse whatever benefits the spillovers might have produced in the first place.

My take from all this is very simple: At least in the experimental context, the evidence that high-skill immigrants produce beneficial spillovers is most convincing when the immigrants that make up the supply shock are really, really high-skill; when the number of such exceptional immigrants is sufficiently small relative to the market; and when those immigrants directly interact with the potential recipients of the spillovers.

In a future post I will discuss what (if anything) we learn from the non-experimental evidence.

And in case the reader wants more information about these supply shocks: Here’s a very nice AER paper by Waldinger (with Petra Moeser and Alessandra Voena) looking at what happened after the fired Jewish professors reached the United States. And here’s a 2015 JOLE paper by Doran and I looking at the research agenda of American mathematicians after the Soviet supply shock. And here’s a just-published RESTAT paper looking at the productivity of the Soviets left behind.

Posted in Immigration | Comments Off on High-Skill Immigration: Experimental Evidence

Is Your Neighborhood Racist?

Tamara Shayne Kagel writes:

Amid our ongoing national conversation over race, the denizens of my liberal Los Angeles neighborhood—who like to think of themselves as being Caucasian by accident while being upper-class by dessert—bubbled over with defensiveness when someone politely suggested our listserv was sometimes racist.

It started innocuously enough. Last month, one neighbor sent a typically banal email to the neighborhood forum, including a picture of some white children near an African-American homeless man and this message:

June 23, 2015 11:03 a.m.: These children had to pass by this homeless man camped out next to [identifying information deleted] tunnel today. He was rolling a joint in front of the kids and it is not right for the children to see this behavior. Bike patrol is needed since this area has become the new Venice Beach!!!
Someone else cordially responded a short time later with the accusation:

June 23, 2015 11:27 a.m.: “Homelessness doesn’t equal dangerous. There has [sic] been a lot of racist comments on this group. If I can please recommend everyone double and triple check what they want to send out before they press send. Many Thanks.”
This particular comment ignited a flurry of responses briskly chiming in to explain why everyone’s prior comments weren’t racist:

June 23, 2015 11:38 a.m.: … I don’t consider it racist to be concerned about things like this. And, I do consider there has to be help for the homeless as well.
June 23, 2015 12:27 a.m.: Racist? I did not see ANY racist comments…. Homelessness issues can be best helped if everyone participates in the community meeting!
June 23, 2015 12:55 p.m.: Nonsense! As both the parent and aunt of black children (now adults), I’m very attuned to racist comments. I haven’t seen any racist comments at all on this list.
June 23, 2015 3:25 p.m.: I may have missed the racially charged comments, but this isn’t a race issue, it’s a safely issue, not to mention that it’s illegal. The smell of pot is a given, and it’s only a matter of time until someone steps on a syringe, or worse. There is no way this isn’t a dangerous situation….
June 23, 2015 3:50 p.m.: I hope all of us are aware regarding racist issues. God knows we all need to be, but I don’t see that here.
June 23, 2015 6:46 p.m.: Racism has NEVER BEEN AN ISSUE … human decency IS!
In the photo attached to the original message, a heavy-set dark man is lying on the sandy walkway with his shirt rolled up, allowing his belly to spill out next to the contents of his backpack—a paperback, some CDs and a Discman, shoes, and travel-size shampoos. Absent from the photo was any trace of drugs, weapons, or anything else untoward. The man reclines comfortably but his gaze staring back at the woman taking his picture looks slightly befuddled. The blonde children are taking their shoes off about to run on the sand. Race is never directly mentioned. But everyone agreed: This black man’s presence in our neighborhood was a dangerous threat to our innocent children.

But were we racist?

Everyone who responded was white. I can’t be sure, but I don’t think there are any African Americans living in my neighborhood, although the area that is serviced by this listserv is very small (about a hundred houses). So in a white neighborhood, a bunch of white people went about assuring one another that they were most certainly not doing anything racist. There was not a single email in support of the white woman who had gently (“Many Thanks”!) reminded her neighbors to watch what they sent to the group. And that was that. We moved on to talking about how high our new speed-bumps should be. After all, how could we be racist? We love Obama! We know Dylann Roof is the Devil incarnate! We watched the Wire!

Posted in Los Angeles, Race | Comments Off on Is Your Neighborhood Racist?

Steve Sailer: ‘Why does the reporter assume that there’s something tragic about young Keith Frazier not getting much of an education?’

Comments to Steve Sailer:

* Because liberals view higher education institutions as socializing/indoctrination centers that churn out people with the correct beliefs and people who are properly socialized and who won’t turn to anti-social activities like crime.

* The real tragedy is that so many grown men have nothing better to do with their free time than to sit and watch a bunch of other guys throw a ball around.

Think about all the money that we piss away on sports, professional and otherwise. Taxpayer subsidies for NFL stadiums alone run into – what? – the tens of billions of dollars. Then you have to factor in the billions given to the NBA, the NFL, and the NHL, among others.

(Many stadiums are declared obsolete only a decade or two after their construction.)

But the masses need their bread and circuses, don’t they? Male aggression needs to be channeled into useless sideshows, lest it be harnessed into a worthy social cause. If the drunken white fans woke up one morning and realized that they’d better off directing their hatred for their team’s rivals toward, say, the globalized elite who are screwing us all, then the powers that be would have something to worry about.

That will never happen, though.

* Sports occupies such a large portion of White male attention because every other avenue — entertainment, politics, arts, etc. has been profoundly feminized and made as hostile to ordinary White men as a fabulous gay Broadway production. Or the View.

There is a lot of hubris, in that older White males tend to see themselves as rescuers of not very bright but talented athletically younger Black males. No one can be “rescued” — people with gifts either apply them or not.

Clearly, for example, Vince Young was not cut out to be an NFL player, because despite his physical gifts he lacked the discipline and enjoyment of the game. Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Russell Wilson spend hours in film rooms just breaking down defenses with coaches, and probably spend hours talking about it during meals, etc. They do it because they love the game — they can’t get enough of it.

To be a professional athlete even in the NBA requires a floor of minimum discipline, attentiveness, staying out of the worst of trouble, and grinding through ugly road trips given an 82 game schedule. And some people despite physical gifts lack the ability to simply grind things out. That is not a tragedy, just a disappointment.

A LOT of what is wrong with the current zeitgeist, the anti-White male attitude, comes from Black male dominance in football, basketball, and the fading of baseball as the national pastime.

* Big-time sports in the USA is a nexus of so many primal instincts, fervent hopes, and half-acknowledged prejudices that it’s hard to know how to start thinking about it.

In one sense, the Frazier story is indeed a tragedy, in that it’s all about the American equivalent of Achilles or Odysseus. The ancient Greeks had great warriors steeped in the pursuit of arête; we’ve got college hoops stars.

But in other ways college athlete narratives go well beyond heroic tales. Frazier and his cohort of black, inner-city sports stars are exemplars in the heretical Christian progressive redemption narrative that drives so much of western culture. They are lost souls, atoned for by the good intentions of coaches, boosters, and fans, and then redeemed and raised up to both potential fame and fortune, and, as Anon and Olorin have noted, to equal place with their benefactors, i.e. as ‘college graduates’.

College and pro sports therefore provide the perfect vector this redemption narrative to be spread out to a far wider proportion of the American people. It’s not only for hard lefties and SJWs; lots of good red-blooded conservative sports fans can partake as well.

* Well of course organized sports is bread and circuses for the masses, the elites love it because it causes lower class whites to misdirect their tribal nature and nationalistic loyalties to some bulls**t game played by thug blacks. Rather than noticing the systematic screwing they are getting at the hands of the elites.

It’s the modern day Soma drug. The last thing elites want is a white working and middle-class looking out for their country and their own well being. As generally that leads to revolutions and rebellions.

It’s really sad when you look at the white men who really buy into organized sports, they are complete wastes. They don’t even get how pathetic they look and act. They end up worshiping black men who if it were not for organized sports would be beating the s**t out of white men like them and raping their women. And guess what? They often engage in fights and scuffles in bars and others establishments but it’s kept out of the papers. They still end up raping women but thanks to six and seven figure payoffs by the teams, women don’t file charges.

* I suspect back-up quarterbacks who stick it out tend to have a fairly realistic sense of the future. My son’s quarterback classmate in high school went to USC where he dutifully backed up various future NFL quarterbacks. By the time his four years of NCAA eligibility were up, he already had his Masters in Real Estate Development and a good job lined up with some alumni.

* “Keith changed our program,” Brown said at the time. “We’ve never been successful in recruiting inner-city kids.”

It’s worth taking a moment to think about Brown’s phrasing. I’m guessing very few people would be confused as to what Brown means by “inner city kids.” However, had he substituted the word “black” for “inner city,” he would have been in for a world of pain, because whereas everyone knows “inner city kids” are essential to a successful college basketball program, the racial composition of the team can’t possibly have anything to do with its potential for success.

I’d never heard of Keith Frazier before so I Googled his hometown: Irving, Texas. Not really most people’s idea of the inner city. I’ve never been there, but apparently Irving is a part of something called the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex. The metropolitan airport is there.

Irving is predominantly non-hispanic white and hispanic. Blacks make up 10% of the population, in other words, less than the black national average. But would an Angloish-looking hispanic kid, or for that matter an Asian kid (8% of the population) from Irving be described as inner city?

Everyone knows what Larry Brown means by “inner city,” but it could be worth one’s job to point it out.

* In college, the easy way to win is to break the recruiting rules. But that means it helps to move on, like Pete Carroll moved on from USC to the Seattle Seahawks before the NCAA hammer came down on USC.

On the other hand, some long term college coaches managed to institutionalize rule bending. For example, Wooden outsourced to a booster named Sam Gilbert the shadier side of keeping players happy (although back then the stakes were lower and so were the payoffs — Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, probably the most valuable recruit in college basketball history, has funny stories about the summer jobs he had in college to scrape by). Dean Smith of North Carolina responded to the rise of Duke by ginning up the Afro Studies Department system for keeping black jocks eligible.

* ro coaches/managers generally have a more straightforward job since the leagues have very carefully rules about how players get assigned.

The most radical approach was that of New York Yankees owner George Steinbrenner — a personality not wholly unlike that of Donald Trump in his nonstop media feuds — in the 1970s and 1980s who frequently fired and rehired Yankees managers. Billy Martin served five different tenures under Steinbrenner from 1975-1988. Bob Lemon, Dick Howser, and Gene Michael served two separate terms each.

It was extremely exhausting to read about in the sports section. It seemed particularly bizarre to an L.A. Dodgers fan like myself who had 2 managers over 43 seasons — Walter Alston and Tommy Lasorda. Vin Scully plans to retire this coming October after his 67th season as a Dodger radio announcer. (Los Angelenos love ancient sports announcers like Scully, who has been with the Dodgers since 1950, and the late Chick Hearn of the Lakers).

But, Bill James has said that he thinks Steinbrenner’s system of constant hiring and firing of managers made sense. For example, Billy Martin tended to light a fire under his teams, but also burn them out. For example, Martin famously jumpstarted the 1980 Oakland A’s by having their young starters pitch huge numbers of innings, but they were never the same afterwards.

* There’s also a class angle to “inner city kids.”

For example, Stephen Curry, who will likely win his second NBA MVP award after this season, is not an inner city kid. He is the son of a 16 year NBA player, Del Curry. Steph went to posh Davidson College, where he appears to have fit in nicely. He likely would have been welcome at SMU before Larry Brown’s arrival.

It’s possible for a few colleges to stock their teams from black suburban middle class kids. Duke long did that with guys like Grant Hill (whose father knew George W. Bush at Yale) and Shane Battier.

In contrast, LeBron James, to pick a successful example, is an inner city kid from Akron. His mom is, what, only 16 or 17 years older than him?

Michael Jordan would have fallen in-between, a lower middle class kid.

* If you go back to the Dream Team, the most ghetto guy on the team was Chris Mullen. It was either working class kids like Ewing, Jordan and Magic or Southern rural guys like Barkley or Malone. There is something of a history of Black America in the class background of NBA stars. In the 1970′s, a lot of ghetto guys came into the league and burnt out on coke. In the 80′s, the inner-city went to crap to such a degree that none of the stars came from really poor backgrounds. In the 90′s, we got much better in getting the stars out of the ghetto early, but we never really got the ghetto out of the stars and a lot of them burnt out early. By the 2000′s, the inner city was recovering and scouting got so good that potential stars were identified in 3rd grade and they are almost like robots.

Larry Brown is the only person to win an NCAA championship and NBA championship, so its not only recruiting violations (btw, Pete Carroll did the same, UCLA crybaby, and he was never even accused of recruiting violations). OTOH, Brown is one of two American coaches to lose an Olympics and the only one who lost in the pro-era.

* Next Town Brown.

It really is an amazing career. All-American under Frank McGuire at UNC, part of the NYC pipeline that started up the ACC as a power, although Everett Case at NC State really had started it all. Larry actually played high school ball out on Long Beach, lived in Lido Beach.

Carolina got put on probation while he was there, so he played under Dean Smith at the end of his college career, but never had Dean’s shiny reputation.

MVP of the first ABA all-star game. He and Doug Moe led Oakland to an early ABA title.

As a kid my first memory of him was coaching the Carolina Cougars. Great team, fast paced, led by fellow UNC alumnus from Brooklyn, Billy “Kangaroo Kid” Cunningham. Larry wore loud, multi-colored checked jackets with bell-bottoms.

Then he coached the great Denver Nuggets teams with more of his preferred ACC guys like the great David Thompson from NC State and Bobby Jones from UNC. Dan Issel rounded it out so he’d throw in an SEC guy now and then. They had the best regulate season record but lost to Dr. J’s Nets in the ABA, but the Nuggets kept winning under Larry when they made the NBA transition.

Then he takes UCLA to their first title game since Wooden retired.

Off to an awful Nets team that he turned into a playoff team. More ACC guys like Buck Williams, Albert King, Mike Gminski and Mike O’Koren. And also Darryl Dawkins, Chocolate Thunder, who didn’t like Brown. Said he played favorites with his ACC guys. Although DD shoukd look at his stats and realize Buck Williams was 3 inches shorter and gave up 50 pounds to him but out-rebounded him by 4-5 a game.

He leaves the Nets right before the playoffs for a vacant Kansas job.

Kansas has had 8 coaches in 118 years. Their first coach is Dr. James Naismith, who invented the game. Their third coach is Phog Allen, the legend, who coached Dean Smith AND Adolph Rupp, at one time 1 and 2 in college coaching wins. He leads them to the 1952 title. Dean was a reserve on that team.

In 1957 Kansas goes to the finals with Wilt, but loses to an undefeated North Carolina.

Ted Owens coached Kansas for many years and had some good teams, made two Final Fours, coached Jo Jo White etc, but Kansas wasn’t the annual powerhouse then. They had to go through cycles like most teams, and when Owens led 3 losing teams in 4 years and lost 9 straight to Kansas State and lost to Wichita State the year they made the tournament in that stretch, he became the only Kansas coach ever fired.

So Brown comes in. He hires Ed Manning to be his assistant. Ed had played for him on the Cougars. Ed’s son Danny spurns the local ACC teams and goes to Kansas. Kansas makes two Final Fours and wins the 1988 NCAAs. Then Larry high tails it right ahead of probation.

But Larry re-established Kansas. Roy Williams comes from UNC to keep the UNC-Kansas pipeline going, wins 19 his first year then gets Kansas into every NCAA tourney thereafter until he goes back to UNC. Now Kansas is an annual beast under Bill Self, a former Larry assistant. And John Calipari also was an assistant to Larry at Kansas.

Larry goes to, you got it Reg, his 4th old ABA team, the Spurs of the NBA. They are awful at first but he leads them to 2 50 + win seasons with a young David Robinson. His assistants included a young Greg Popovich. Pretty illustrious coaching tree but he is like Belichik to Brown’s Bill Parcells.

Next I think it’s the Sixers? Gets Allen Iverson to practice long enough to make an NBA finals. Then the Pistons and finally an NBA title.

Then a disaster with the Knicks under fellow UNC New Yorker Donnie Walsh.

Then, yup, a so-so run in Charlotte.

And somehow he has turned SMU into a damn good team. Somehow? Oh yeah, more probation.

I think Larry had always wanted that UNC job. He loved Dean. Said it would hurt him more when Dean said Larry I think you can do that better than when MCGuire would call him a stupid Jew.

Carolina rightfully probably thought he was too ethically loose. Of course now Carolina has the cloud of a close to 20 year scandal of a no class’s Af-Am department paper class that was graded by a secretary which allegedly kept athletes eligible. Of course, who knows but that some players but a lot of effort in their paper in The Life of Sojourner Truth.

Anyway it tars everyone, including academic first team all-American Marcus Paige, recruited after this practice ended. On senior night the other day he commented that it annoyed his teammates that he corrected their grammar.

Carolina alumni are proud of him, but would be prouder if he finally can lead his senior class to at least an elite 8. Only two classes since 1966 at UNC haven’t made it at least that far. Which was two years before Dean Smith recruited Charlie Scott as the first black player in the ACC below the Mason Dixon line. I had to add that qualifier since Maryland had a couple before but no one remembers that.

Anyway, Larry is part of a great tradition, at times sordid, but great. And even Darryl Dawkins said he helped him develop his left hand.

* So…people who like to blow off steam, spend time with old friends via the common interest of a favorite team, or just simply enjoy the excitement of sports should refrain as long as there are elites taking advantage of the masses.

And do what? Post sanctimonious blog comments telling hard-working adults how they should spend their down-time?

OK–How about this: You’re a grown man who comments on blogs. Many people might claim that you should find something better to do with your free time.

Cuz, really, Stan, at least the sports fan has fun. He’s laughing, he’s bonding with his kids. If he’s younger, he’s forging memories with his buddies. He’s checking out the girls during the time-outs and when the game ends, he’ll head out on town and more fun (and possibly even some trouble) awaits. All in all, young and old alike are having a good time.

But not Stan. He doesn’t have time for a good time. He can’t because we live in this unusual time, where the elites take advantage of the masses. There is no time for relaxation. No time for fun. There’s definitely no laughs. No friends. No diversion. Nope, it’s just Stan and his computer making the world a better place.

Hey Stan, while you’re making the world a better place, I want you to do me a favor: Follow this link to Wikipedia and read about “Narcotizing Dysfunction”:

* I’ve stood next to both Larry Brown and his coaching brother, Herb Brown. Neither man was more than 5’8″, at most – short by point guard standards, even of the 1960′s.

However, Larry knows his X’s and O’s. The Pistons definitely improved once he took the reins before the NBA championship season of 2004.

I think what great NBA coaches do best is to identify the extremely talented ( yet under-producing) players on other teams, and then somehow get them by hook or crook onto their own rosters.

Larry Brown’s behind the scenes maneuvering to get the mercurial Rasheed Wallace – a fellow UNC Tar Heel- at power forward was the stroke of genius that put the Pistons over the top. Rasheed was incredible for two years under Larry Brown, and un-coachable for everyone else.

* I have a couple of friends who played baseball at college with a big-time football program. They described to me the army of handlers available to them in order to do everything from homework to course selection to crisis management.

The tutors weren’t supposed to actually give them answers or direct them what to write on their assignments, so they used this kind of Socratic kabuki to provide a fig leaf of plausible deniability that they were openly doing the athletes’ coursework for them.

OK, so if the answer is a whole number between 1 and 3, what is it?

And these were the baseball players, most of whom weren’t on scholarship. They were bright, white, and paying their own freight. Imagine what the football and basketball players had.

* I haven’t followed the details of the AfAm Studies Dept debacle at UNC because the leftist destruction of that once great university is almost enough to cause me to root for Dook today. I would only be paying attention in an effort to bolster what I already know to be true.

It would not surprise me to know that Dean knew about it. On the other hand, when the football coach was sacrificed a few years ago, I was surprised to learn that the academic dept had some time ago taken control of the athletic studies programs away from the athletic dept. What was unsurprising was that they were still able to blame the athletics side for being responsible.

Dean was certainly known for running a clean program. Another poster mentioned the famous JR vs Ferry SAT score debate. But, Dean was also a big Democrat booster, and while the local media would always bitch about even the hint of Coach K supporting a Republican candidate, they won’t offer an unkind word about Dean. Don’t you know that Dean (entirely unselfishly, I have no doubt) broke the color barrier in the ACC by recruiting Charlie Scott??? So, who knows what he may have known.

Dean was also notoriously demanding as a coach; at practices running his players to exhaustion, and having very little tolerance for injury, just as two examples. Since another poster mentioned George Lynch, I know from a friend who was on the JV team at the time, that Lynch was the only guy on that NCAA championship team that Dean couldn’t break in running. Dude could apparently run all day long(***). That reminds me that I took a racket ball class with Derrick Phelps who was so ridiculously athletic that he was easily beating the instructor, at a game he had (as far as I know) never played before, in almost no time at all. The season after winning it all, our hopes were dashed by an injured Phelps going out against Boston College, wherein he was added to the list of players who’s injuries as a result of dirty plays would ruin a potential national championship for a UNC team (cf. Kenny Smith and Kendal Marshall).

(*** George Lynch was a stud despite being several months premature and just a few pounds at birth. Looked like he was beat on the second or third play of the game against Juwan Howard but then smacked his sh-t off the backboard from behind (which in my memory was a tone-setting play). Lynch was the guy who, when a ball was floating naked in the air between him and one or more opponents, always seemed to just reach out and demand possession of it. Just a stud. Oh, and I guess he played on that Philly finals team under Larry Brown).

* “As a parent saving for college, find it infuriating people like Brown and Dick Vitale advocate paying college athletes in addition to already giving them a shot at a free education. And I say that as a parent who has a son who may benefit from a college football scholarship.Here’s a half million dollars of education and room and board, and that’s not enough.”

Actually, for an 85 IQ but athletically top .1% or .01% athlete, it is indeed not enough. More accurately, it’s like giving a Ferrari to a tribe in Africa with no gasoline, no paved roads, no tools, no mechanical skills, and no clue what it is. The “education” is worthless to them because they can’t utilize it, except to get a gummint or AA sinecure for a minority with a degree.

What it does do to them is to burn their time. If you are an athlete at this level, you have a finite number of hours of play, and a finite number of years to use them in. Instead of giving their full attention to the only thing they will ever do in life that will honestly earn them more than a subsistence income, they are having to pretend to be students, and they aren’t very good at it, it stresses them, and it teaches them that you have to scheme, connive and dodge to get along.

By forcing basketball and football to build out a farm club system, these athletes can focus on what they do best and be paid for it. If the leagues were morally sound, they’d require contractually each athlete have a professionally managed sequestered account into which a percentage of their pay had to go so they could live the rest of their lives without going on welfare.

Meanwhile, it frees up “slots” at colleges for real students. Those athletes that really could benefit from education will be easily able to afford it if they go pro for even a couple of years when their playing days are done. It keeps these powerful adolescents off campus for their wildest years, too, meaning coeds don’t get turned out.

Posted in Academia, Basketball, Blacks, Education, Sports | Comments Off on Steve Sailer: ‘Why does the reporter assume that there’s something tragic about young Keith Frazier not getting much of an education?’

Sweden to become a Third World Country by 2030, according to UN

REPORT: According to UN projections, Sweden will be a much poorer country by 2030, much worse than what anyone in the Swedish government indicates.

The UN report HDI (Human Development Index) predicts a significant decrease in Swedish prosperity, unlike their Nordic neighbors, who will retain their top positions and even strengthen them globally in the long run.

In 2010 Sweden had the 15th place in the HDI rankings but according to UN forecasts, Sweden will be #25 in 2015, and in 2030 on the 45th place.

Sweden is one of few countries with such a sharp deterioration from what it had in 2010.

Finland demonstrates one of the world’s best school systems, while the Swedish school have lost competitiveness.

Fewer ends up on welfare dependency in their Nordic neighboring countries while Sweden continues to have a greater amount of family households forced to live on welfare, which are a couple factors causing the dropped global competitiveness.

Negative developments, or rather liquidations can be exemplified by Orrefors Kosta Boda, which in 1992 had 940 employees in Sweden and was a profitable industry. Today less than 100 remain in the company after further cost reductions and adaptations in order to meet global competition.

Most of today’s less developed countries such as Cuba, Mexico, the Baltic countries and Bulgaria according to the 2030 UN report will be passing Sweden in prosperity.

Even Greece, which today is more or less bankrupt, but will be on 13th place by 2030.

Sweden’s leftist establishment and media believe a cornerstone of their perfect society is multiculturalism: large scale immigration from some of the poorest, most backward nations on earth. Swedes who disagree with that plan risk being labeled racist, fascist, even Nazi.

“We had a perfectly good country,” Ingrid Carlqvist, a journalist said. “A rich country, a nice country, and in a few years’ time, that country will be gone.”

The logic should be really simple to understand, yet many have difficulties grasping it: If you import the Third World, it’s what you’ll get.

Posted in Sweden | Comments Off on Sweden to become a Third World Country by 2030, according to UN

Hands up! Don’t Shoah!

* Some goyim raised their hand at a Trump rally. I’m so very triggered.

* So unfair to help Germany transition to her new multicultural Muslim status and not include Austria in the fun!

* These goyim think they can just elect whomever they want!

Goyim get to pick one from APPROVED options. This is NOT acceptable. Trump was never an approved option!

* We should give daily awards to whichever Jew is the most shrill in his/her denunciation of Trump. There can be more than one category.
1) Most over-the-top Hitler/Fascist comparisons.
2) Most condescending nasal-snide dismissal.
3) Guilt by non-association smear.
4) Best referencing of Jewish nationalist org (SPLC, ADL, SWC).
5) Most condescending swipe at his working class white voters.

Posted in Jews | Comments Off on Hands up! Don’t Shoah!