‘FT’s Chief Foreign Affairs Commentator doesn’t know difference between mass murder & democracy. Now deleted tweet.’

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Steering The Elephant

Comments at Steve Sailer:

* There is a book entitled Steering the Elephant, a collection of essays by first-term Reagan Administration officials describing the obstacles that they encountered trying to implement Ronald Reagan’s programs back in the relatively sedate 1980s. It makes for very sobering reading, and the resistance to a Trump Administration will be at least an order of magnitude greater than the writers of those essays encountered. I have a high regard for Donald Trump but turning “the elephant” that is the present national government may be beyond the capabilities of any person at this stage.

* Are you unaware that Trump has had a lifetime of experience managing organizations many of which have comprised thousands of employees? In fact Trump has had a hell of a lot more management experience including delegation of authority than any president since Eisenhower.

* I don’t think Trump has a problem with high level staff. In case some missed it, he just ran an almost flawlessly brilliant national primary campaign in the face of stiff, experienced, well-financed, and well-organized opposition. The same people who are now “worried” about his ability to staff a presidential campaign were also, up until a few months ago, avidly predicting his imminent defeat in the GOP primary.

Trump also will have no problem attracting the lower-levels of volunteer and paid staff for his upcoming presidential campaign. The fervent support that many ordinary Americans express for this man guarantees no lack of volunters for campaign grunt work.

Where Trump may have a problem is building up a sufficient mid-level campaign staff. The party usually plays a major role providing these. Unfortunately, Trump must deal with packs of RINOs and establishment hacks who think the only way they can cling to their sad shreds of amour propre is by ensuring that the corrupt and dangerously inept Hillary Rodham Clinton is our next president. These traitorous scum will do everything in their power to sabotage Trump’s presidential campaign.

* Trump is more cynical and wary than most men about the innate honesty and motives of other people. He’s worked in the New York business field long enough to give him a lot of perspective about the innate goodness of mankind.

* Trump’s lack of staff almost cost him the nomination back when Ted Cruz started snarfing up delegates in backroom deals. The general election, ironically, should be a simpler matter as the rules are straightforward: just persuade the people to come out and vote for you.

Staffing will become critical once he’s president. Maybe this’ll be an opportunity to finally abolish those bureaucracies the GOP is forever promising to shut down but never does: the Departments of Education and Energy, the federal mortgage agencies, the EEOC. And turn 75% of the rest to the states.

* I think what Trump is relying on is that people in the universe of political staffers are naturally ladder climbers. What I think he’s banking on is that all he has to do is, with the force of his personality and command presence, ordain his particular brand of alt-center civic nationalism, and then he’ll hire people who are close to that way of thinking even if not precisely there, and then they’ll eventually come around to his way of thinking simply because they want to impress him.

I know it’s very possible, people doing political jobs that aren’t in tune with their personal politics, because I can see one on the other side of the mirror. I’m a fringe of the fringe alt-right neoreactionary dark enlightenment ethnonationalist white nationalist, making a living riding herd for various standard issue boilerplate lamestream conservative special interests in state government. If I was a Trump staffer, I’d have mostly the same problem, that I’d be professionally behaving to the left of my personal proclivities.

* Any company with more than 50 employees and a federal contract exceeding $50K must have a documented affirmative action policy. Dig a few ditches for NASA and you’re in the club.

Virtually every big city has similar policies for its contractors – all with the nodding approval of Uncle Sam.

My experience as a federal contractor is one of the single biggest things that turned me from a liberal to an alt-righter. In the small market for science/engineering services, many of the companies are owned by favored minorities who get preferences through the SBD and 8(a) programs. These are usually Indian or Latino immigrants retired from many years’ government service, or false fronts owned by a figurehead minority.

* Jeb had a massive machine in place across the country and it didn’t help him at all. Why? Because his central message was the dissolution of the U.S. into the NAU where whites would become 2nd class citizens. Staffing can’t fix a bad message and disliked, low energy candidate.

Furthermore, there were other opponents with very good ground games and they also lost to Trump.

Trump OTOH has a message that resonates with the white blue collars and middle-class (not so much with government workers and urban professionals) whom the GOP could never get out in any numbers since Reagan.

Look at Trump’s rallies, they’re massive. His opponents were lucky to have several hundred to a few thousand. I’ve seen Hillary’s rallies where there were more press there than supporters. If you notice the press will never do a pan of a Hillary audience. I don’t think her support is anywhere where the MSM says it is.

* The morning of the Indiana primary Trump called into one of the morning shows and was asked to comment on some audio from the day before where Cruz Sr. was speaking to some voters and, because he is a smarmy preacher type like his son, told them if you don’t vote Cruz you’re voting for evil. Trump, properly displeased, then brought up the Cruz/Oswald story that was also reported in a Miami paper (not just the National Inquirer) a day or two before. Cruz Sr. was playing hardball for his son and Trump played hardball right back. Trump’s willingness to ‘go there’ is one of the reasons why he is currently the nominee and on a glide path to victory in November.

* 1. Trump won’t need as many staffers as he’s from the private sector, not the govt. The private sector has a bottom line, remember …
2. Trump already has 20k+ competent people working for him, some of whom can be transferred to DC in a heartbeat.
3. Trump could hire as those in the private sector have always hired — using head hunters and word-of-mouth. This is a glorious chance to get rid of the deadwood in the military and government and replace them with people with a viable work ethic.
4. Trump is retirement age. He probably knows a hundred of competent, experienced and bored ex-CEOs. They’d do far better than anyone in DC.

* Donald Trump took out Pataki, Graham, Jindal, Walker, Perry, Gilmore, Santorum, Christie, Fiorina, Huckabee, Paul, Bush, Carson, Rubio, Kasich and Cruz. He did so with about 65 million dollars with 45 million coming from his own pocket. Together the other candidates spent more than 650 million dollars. They had also support from GOP establishment, Democratic establishment, media (including international media), Hollywood, Finance, Academia and Conservative Inc. In GOP race Bush, Cruz, Rubio and Carson spent about 460 million dollars. In 2012 Mitt Romney spent about 77 million dollars on the GOP race. He was backed by everybody and had a much easier ride. Romney spent about 18.5 dollar on every vote. Donald Trump spent 4.5 dollars on every vote.

Trumps strategy has been holding large events, use social media and say “outrages” (according to liberals) things so media have something to write. Right now, Donald Trump has 10.1 million followers on Twitter. Hillary Clinton has 7.6 million followers. In this round Trump has at least some support from at Fox News and the GOP. Trump has also will also have a ton of grassroots working for him. That means that he will be significantly stronger than before. Hillary and her ilk may spend 2 billion dollars. Trump and GOP would do very well with 500 million dollars. He is marketing genius. His positions have been extremely popular among voters and if he just develop and explain his positions in his RNC speech he may end up winning.

* It seems like Trump use young communication director Stephen Miller a lot. Miller worked for years for Jeff Sessions and apparently they are close to “best friends”. Miller have only held one job before he started to work for Trump and that was working as an aid for Sessions. He started working for Sessions almost straight out of college. Miller is by all account a right-wing nationalist. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if it was disclosed that he read Alt-Right webzines. In College, Miller experimented with everything from libertarianism to white nationalism. When I listen to Miller I think about Jason Richwine. Recent interview with Richwine at Stefan Molyneux:

* Does Trump even need a staff? He is more of a viral idea than a political candidate. A majority of Americans have watched in horror for the past four years as Obama’s chaotic world order took root and domestic black terrorists went out of their skulls, egged on by Obama’s Department of Justice. They have watched our elite universities dominated by Chinese and Indian economic migrants and our public schools fill up with a motley assortment of disruptive special needs immigrant kiddies. Change has come so fast that there are plenty of people under 60 who remember America as a much better place even during the black and hippie crime wave of the 60′s/70′s because it didn’t really affect most communities. A large majority of white Americans won’t need much persuasion to vote for Trump at this point. The coalition of fringes is starting to fray as America’s Half Blood Prince fades from the scene, and the weekly drumbeat of black, Muslim, and Hispanic demons committing atrocities is taking its toll on public sympathy for the Hope and Change doctrine. Hillary is now like a restaurant with a two star Yelp Review. The DNC is going to struggle no matter how much money they raise or how many staff they hire.

* “In order for a crew of liars to believe a person can be trusted, they generally have to hold an insurance policy. Therefore it is reasonable to assume there is something VERY DARK in the background of Tim Kaine that team Clinton know and can hold against him as insurance for silence. Your gut is already screaming at you what Kaines secret is, you just need to listen to it. (Jesuit all male school)

“Kaine is a shipwreck searching for the hidden rocks. Watch, you’ll see.”

* Once President Trump defines his federal institutional priorities, denizens of the disfavored institutions will scramble like rats from sinking ships and will vie for cross-transfer posts into the favored institutions and initiatives in which they will beaver dutifully at making America First. There is no more craven mercenary than the bureaucrat confronted with loss or diminution of his sinecure and its powers, influence, perks, and privileges. Mr. Trump is a past master of manipulating such mercenaries.

* I have had confidence for quite a while now that Trump will win handily, based on the human dynamics. Trump has hardly lost anything in his life. Meanwhile, Clinton has hardly put a foot right as Secretary of State. Between corruption, schoolmarmish PC following, drunkeness on both power and red wine giving a carelessness not before seen in a presidential nominee, this is not a prescription for agile navigation of a course to suit America’s best interests. This will play out in how Bill’s wife attempts to navigate a path to success in the general election.

We are seeing that now, with a declaration for amnesty at the outset of the campaign. She has drunk the koolaid – the “helpful” advice from the MSM about how to increase the critically important Hispanic vote. But that concern-troll advice is for Republicans, not Democrats. It’s a complete waste of time trying to win another 5% of a vote that is already going to be 70% in your camp. So she’s alienating everyone bar Hispanics and SJWs – the perfect foil for Trump. Far better to fail to disclose that plan, and appear to be a Bill-like moderate.

For all the talk of a “power couple”, Bill’s wife reminds me of the meddling, busybody wife of the big man that people are familiar with (and resent) from their own experience, whether it is on a sports team, business, or some other organization.

* If the primaries taught us anything, it’s that:
A.) voters are clamoring for more of the same,
B.) TV ads are still the best way to influence voters, and
C.) being closely associated with Wall St makes people think a candidate is trustworthy and steadfast.

The way I see it, the 2016 election is Hill’s to lose!

* I always kept on bugging my kids to do well in English when their grades appeared to be declining. One day my son said he wanted to learn Spanish fluently since it was taking over America. I said go ahead, but you’ll be competing for janitorial jobs. He was perplexed and I had to explain to him another fact of life that English is the respected language for making money internationally. The better he spoke, read and understood English then he would have better chances of making excellent money as an adult. I explained to him the world isn’t the U.N. and English is the primary language during international business meetings when there are Japanese, Germans, Chinese (pick any dialect), Indians, Italians, etc… And since he is a gringo, he would never be accepted or trusted by elites in Spanish speaking circles that control the peso. Then I tested his math skills and asked him to convert dollars to any Spanish speaking currency. Years later, he knows some Spanish & German, but his English language skills are impeccable.

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The Placated Proles

If you don’t know who the Inner Party is, you’re not chosen.

Comment: The Proles — the lower-class people who make up the majority of the US population — are largely ignored by the government. They don’t face the same kind of indoctrination that the Inner and Outer Party members do and for the most part they’re kept under control by rumors spread by the Thought Police and easy access to various vices.

Heavy physical work, the care of home and children, petty quarrels with neighbors, films, football, beer, and above all, gambling, fill up the horizon of their minds. They’re also placated with easy access to Party-produced porn and certain crimes — including prostitution, drug-dealing and racketeering — go pretty much unchecked in the prole portions of town. Basically, the idea is to keep the proles placated and distracted, so that they don’t pay any attention to the political machinations moving the world around them.

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‘Planned coordination among mainstream media to portray Trump’s convention speech as “dark”‘

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Comments at Steve Sailer:

* I’ve read three different articles today on Trump’s speech: one at Bloomberg, another at the Washington Post, and the last at the New York Times. All three articles, though written by three different people, used the word “dark” to describe Trump’s speech. Are these reporters coordinating their message? or did they all choose the same adjective by accident? It’s almost like the press is pushing a consensus opinion.

* I’ve never heard the phrase “nation of nations” before, to my knowledge. So why do I care if someone denies it? Then again, I don’t remember hearing “American Exceptionalism” until people started mocking neocons with it. I’m not connected to the world in which such phrases are bandied.

* It’s an oxymoron. The whole point of a nation is that it’s homogeneous. The poisonous concept of a “proposition nation” is gradually seeping into political discourse in Europe now too. Whites get to have the proposition, while non-whites have the nation.

* Most people reading “Under his presidency, the American dream would be primarily reserved for Americans.” is going to be thinking “and this is a problem… how?”

* There’s a word for a “nation of nations”: an imperium. I know this is what the left wants, and to some measure what the US is, but it’s strange to see the NYT nakedly promote it without even a nod to the consent of the governed. What will they pump for next, the abolition of voting?

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#AmericanLivesMatter

Blog: #AmericanLivesMatter
This is, obviously, a take off of #blacklivesmatter. Regardless of your views on the righteousness (or not) of the BLM argument, at least 75% of Americans would like to move beyond it, after the BLM-inspired tragedies of Dallas and Baton Rouge. The easiest way to do that is not with the neo-reactionary #whitelivesmatter or the traditional #bluelivesmatter but, instead, with a slogan that unites all of these while, at the same time, proving the (sadly) necessary other for people to unify against. The most natural such grouping, in the context of a US Presidential election, is Americans. Hence: #AmericanLivesMatter.
Although Trump is the most natural proponent of such a slogan, Hillary Clinton is due for a Sister Souljah moment and could (easily?) pivot to ALM from BLM at the Democratic Convention. Perhaps presidential speech writer Jon Lovett ’04 knows someone in the Hillary campaign?
Or perhaps #AmericansMatter would be better. Or #AmericaMatters. These shift the focus away from an implicit repudiation of the BLM movement while still using the key word americans/america. Readers should feel free to chime in! What slogan/hashtag is most likely to win the presidential election for the candidate who first embraces it?

* Tweet: “The Japanese like Japan: its language, its culture, its cuisine, & its lack of illegal immigrants that hate Japan!”

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Krugman: What’s Trump Talking About? Life Is Swell on the Upper West Side!

Comments:

* Another popular fallacy is that American can’t do anything prudent about immigration policy, such as cutting back on new immigrants, because that would enrage the old immigrants so much that they will kill us, or something. So therefore we need more and more immigrants, and then more and more and more immigrants the day after that to keep tomorrow’s immigrants from killing us.

* One of the weird things about listening to the Limbaugh show is that it features PSAs from HUD talking about how great diversity is. Unfortunately, I can’t find a link to or transcript of any of them, but here’s a message at the HUD site:

“DIVERSE NEIGHBORHOODS PROMOTE UNDERSTANDING AND RESPECT … AND BEST OF ALL, FRIENDSHIP.
Neighborhood diversity promotes a greater sense of engagement, teaches that stereotypes are wrong and better prepares our children for the global community.”

Every single assertion in that statement is factually incorrect. Obviously, its only purpose is to humiliate us, as Dalrymple has pointed out.

* I drove a cab in NYC in the late 60s and early 70s and all the cabbies were loath to pick up blacks.

* Sailer: There were huge pro-law & order demonstrations by NYC cabbies, most of them immigrants (I would imagine) in the early 1990s to protest that they were being murdered at a rate of about 40 cabdrivers per year. Thousands would get together and drive up Park Avenue honking their horns.

It’s been forgotten because it doesn’t fit in the Narrative.

I spent a couple of weeks at 12th Street and 4th Avenue looking for a job in the summer of 1992. It was fine. Of course, you didn’t go more than a few blocks east. I can’t remember if the border was the middle of Second Avenue or the middle of First Avenue, but there wasn’t anything on the other side of interest unless you wanted to buy drugs. Alphabet City was then a wholly theoretical geographic concept, like the moons of Jupiter.

I can remember visiting Brooklyn once in 1982, eating dinner at an outdoor restaurant that was next to the Brooklyn Bridge and overlooking the skyscrapers of Wall Street across the water, and thinking this place is great, somebody could make a lot of money gentrifying Brooklyn.

One reason for Trump’s popularity among New Yorkers is he bet heavily on New York City when it was in the dumps — e.g., he started constructing a hotel on Times Square in the Taxi Driverish late 1970s.

There are a lot of similarities between Trump and New York Yankees owner George Steinbrenner, who was convinced in the 1970s, against the reigning conventional wisdom that New York ought to be the #1 baseball town in America.

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‘Father son bonding in Chicago’

Officials: Dad drugged student, son sexually assaulted her at ISU orientation

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Father and son from Chicago face criminal charges related to the alleged sexual assault of a student in an Illinois State University residence hall during a gathering of incoming students on campus for orientation.

Shawn Childs Jr., 19, is charged with four counts of criminal sexual assault of a woman who also was on campus for orientation, which ISU calls Preview.

His father, Shawn Childs Sr., is charged with possession of a controlled substance with intent to deliver for allegedly putting ecstasy in the woman’s soda during the alleged incident that happened between 10 and 11 p.m. Tuesday at Hewett Hall in Normal.

According to a statement read Thursday in McLean County Circuit Court by First Assistant State’s Attorney Adam Ghrist, the father and son came into the residence hall with other students who were on campus to learn more about the university ahead of the start of classes in August.

The group was together in one of the dorm rooms, where students were staying during the two-day Preview that ended Thursday.

The elder Childs offered to go out and purchase alcohol for the students who were minors, and returned with alcohol from a nearby store, said Ghrist. The alleged victim told police she saw Childs Sr. put a pill in her soda that she then drank.

The alleged victim, whose hometown was not disclosed, left the gathering and returned to her room after she felt ill. She told police she was sexually assaulted by Shawn Childs Jr. who followed her into the room. In her description of the assault, the woman said the suspect raped her twice and barred her from leaving the room, Ghrist said in court.

She reported the alleged attack the following morning.

The prosecutor added that Childs Jr. admitted to police that the victim was “messed up” when the incident occurred.

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Few in the West Are Serious About Islamic Terror

Dennis Prager writes: Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee for president of the United States, has called for the U.S. to accept 65,000 Muslims from the Middle East. That’s six times more than President Obama has called for. She says they would be vetted — a laughable notion. How do you “vet” 65,000 Syrians and Iraqis?

Do we ask them, “Do you want to kill Americans?” “Do you favor killing Muslims who leave Islam?” “Will you kill your daughter if she dates a man you don’t approve of?” “Do you want Israel to be destroyed?”

6) The European Union

Even more extreme than Hillary Clinton’s call for 65,000 Middle Eastern Muslims, Angela Merkel, the chancellor of Germany, announced last year that Germany will accept more than 800,000 more Muslims into its borders — and, by extension, to virtually all European Union countries.

There are already about 20 million Muslims in the EU, a significant percentage of whom do not assimilate and reject Western liberal values, and among the latter, a small but significant number are what we call radicalized.

Despite this, the leader of the most powerful country in Europe calls for nearly a million more Muslims from the most radicalized Muslim region in the world — the Middle East.

It is inconceivable that this situation will long endure. Most people in the West do not share its elites’ broken moral compass.

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Free Trade With China Wasn’t Such a Great Idea for the U.S.

Noah Smith, finance professor, writes for Bloomberg:

But look at actual economics research, and you will find a very different picture. The most recent example is a paper by celebrated labor economists David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson, titled “The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade.” The study shows that increased trade with China caused severe and permanent harm to many American workers:

Adjustment in local labor markets is remarkably slow, with wages and labor-force participation rates remaining depressed and unemployment rates remaining elevated for at least a full decade after the China trade shock commences. Exposed workers experience greater job churning and reduced lifetime income. At the national level, employment has fallen in U.S. industries more exposed to import competition…but offsetting employment gains in other industries have yet to materialize.

Autor, et al. show powerful evidence that industries and regions that have been more exposed to Chinese import competition since 2000 — the year China joined the World Trade Organization — have been hit hard and have not recovered. Workers in these industries and regions don't go on to better jobs, or even similar jobs in different industries. Instead, they shuffle from low-paid job to low-paid job, never recovering the prosperity they had before Chinese competition hit. Many of them end up on welfare. This is very different from earlier decades, when workers who lost their jobs to import competition usually went into higher-productivity industries, to the benefit of almost everyone.

In other words, the public might have been wrong about free trade in the 1980s and 1990s, but things have changed. Popular opinion seems to be exactly right about the effect of trade with China — it has killed jobs and damaged the lives of many, many Americans. Economists may blithely declare that free trade is wonderful, but our best researchers have now shown that public misgivings about these smooth assurances have been completely justified.

Why are economists so willing to declare to the world that free trade is good, even after reading papers like the one by Autor et al.? Part of the problem is the definition of “good.” According to most models of trade, reducing trade barriers raises efficiency — which is to say, total gross domestic product. But efficiency says nothing about fairness, and almost any model of trade will show that some people, industries and regions lose out. If most Americans experience slight gains from lower import prices, and a few lose their livelihoods and have to go on welfare, economists call that a “good” outcome, because they are so focused on the concept of efficiency. But because the public cares about a lot more than efficiency, the job losses in industries and regions knocked out by China since 2000 have made economists seem increasingly callous and out of touch.

But this is only part of the problem. Economists are also stubbornly unwilling to question their benchmark theories, even when the evidence presents a challenge to these theories. The fact that Autor et al. find total national employment declining in response to trade with China should be cause for concern. Standard trade models, especially the simple ones taught in Econ 101, predict that this shouldn’t have happened. Autor et al. sternly rebuke the economics profession for relying too much on theory, and not enough on evidence, when it comes to the issue of trade:

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HIV infected man is paid £3 to take girls’ virginity as part of sexual cleansing ritual in Malawi

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Daily Mail: A HIV infected man has told how he is paid to have sex with girls once they reach puberty in his remote village in Malawi.
Eric Aniva is paid from £3 to £5 to have sex with girls over a three-day period after their first menstruation.
If they refuse it’s believed their families or even the whole village will be cursed.
But Aniva’s job is not classed as rape – instead it is called ‘sexual cleansing’. And he is known as a ‘hyena’ rather than a sexual predator.
‘Some girls are just 12 or 13 years old, but I prefer them older,’ Aniva told the BBC.
‘All these girls find pleasure in having me as their hyena. They actually are proud and tell other people that this man is a real man, he knows how to please a woman.’

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