Evolution of contingent altruism when cooperation is expensive

Abstract: The ubiquity of cooperation has motivated a major research program over the last 50 years to discover ever more minimal conditions for the evolution of altruism. One important line of work is based on favoritism toward those who appear to be close relatives. Another important line is based on continuing interactions, whether between individuals (e.g., reciprocity) or between lines of descent in a viscous population. Here, we use an agent-based model to demonstrate a new mechanism that combines both lines of work to show when and how favoritism toward apparently similar others can evolve in the first place. The mechanism is the joint operation of viscosity and of tags (heritable, observable, and initially arbitrary characteristics), which serve as weak and potentially deceptive indicators of relatedness. Although tags are insufficient to support cooperation alone, we show that this joint mechanism vastly increases the range of environments in which contingent altruism can evolve in viscous populations. Even though our model is quite simple, the subtle dynamics underlying our results are not tractable using formal analytic tools (such as analysis of evolutionarily stable strategies), but are amenable to agent-based simulation.

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The Evolutionary Dominance of Ethnocentric Cooperation

Torah has no doubts that the more unified and cohesive the Jewish people, the more powerful and effective they will be. I see no reason why this same principle would not hold true for not just all peoples, but for all living organisms.

Abstract: Recent agent-based computer simulations suggest that ethnocentrism, often thought to rely on complex social cognition and learning, may have arisen through biological evolution. From a random start, ethnocentric strategies dominate other possible strategies (selfish, traitorous, and humanitarian) based on cooperation or non-cooperation with in-group and out-group agents. Here we show that ethnocentrism eventually overcomes its closest competitor, humanitarianism, by exploiting humanitarian cooperation across group boundaries as world population saturates. Selfish and traitorous strategies are self-limiting because such agents do not cooperate with agents sharing the same genes. Traitorous strategies fare even worse than selfish ones because traitors are exploited by ethnocentrics across group boundaries in the same manner as humanitarians are, via unreciprocated cooperation. By tracking evolution across time, we find individual differences between evolving worlds in terms of early humanitarian competition with ethnocentrism, including early stages of humanitarian dominance. Our evidence indicates that such variation, in terms of differences between humanitarian and ethnocentric agents, is normally distributed and due to early, rather than later, stochastic differences in immigrant strategies.

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Trump Has A Sound Trade Policy, But Where Will He Get Sound Trade Policy Aides?

Eamonn Fingleton writes: Trump’s larger point is that for any serious future Presidential administration, trade can be a powerful lever in influencing foreign partners – and not just China, whose rivalry with the United States is now obvious and ever-present, but nations like Japan, South Korea, and Germany, which have long used saccharine-sweet professions of friendship towards the United States to try to slough off their trade obligations.

So much for the broad outline of Trump’s strategy. But if it is to work, he will need a small army of reliable aides to implement it. Although he has already named several advisors on other issues, he seems not yet to have reached out to any trade experts. Yet in trade more than almost any other area of policy, the devil is in the details and a President simply has to delegate much of the strategizing and most of the negotiating to trustworthy aides. The evidence of history is that the caliber of trade negotiators in the past has generally fallen way below what the American nation is entitled to expect.

The challenge for Trump is to find aides who cannot be either corrupted or broken (in the latter case, via, for instance, blackmail).

The traditional first port of call for administrations in search of warm bodies is, of course, the Washington think-tank industry. But far too many think-tank types are hired guns whose only loyalty is to their own pocketbooks. In any case, almost without exception think-tanks are on the wrong side of the issues. So too for the most part are Washington law firms and Ivy League universities.

A major part of Trump’s problem will be transforming the culture at the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR). Hitherto the USTR seems to have been peopled largely by an amoral breed of young lawyer for whom, in typical revolving door fashion, government service is just a stepping stone towards the real deal, a big paying job in the private sector. For such people, and their likely future employers in the Washington foreign trade lobby, a reputation for standing up for the U.S. national interest is not considered an asset.

Yet Trump is right to prioritize trade. It is not only a field that has long cried out for strong presidential leadership, but it is one where, given aides of appropriate commitment and strength of character, a future President Trump could aim for large early victories.

As a practical matter, however, people of the appropriate caliber are not thick on the ground. Some of the most clear-sighted trade economists moreover are left-leaning Democrats like Robert Kuttner, Jeffrey Madrick, and Robert Scott who will probably not be available to a President Trump.

Read on.

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Coalition: Park Ranger Uniforms ‘Threatening’ Latinos – Have ‘Cultural Implications’

(CNSNews.com) – A coalition of legislators and civil rights groups say the National Park Service needs to focus on increasing inclusion on public lands, including possibly changing the “threatening” uniforms of Park Rangers.

“What we’re calling for is drastic, very scary change,” Maite Arce of the Hispanic Access Foundation said at a press conference Thursday.

“One example I can give you is with the Latino community, especially among the border states, but even nationwide, just the simple color of the uniforms that rangers wear.”

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John Wayne Was Pro-Latino

Steve Sailer writes: The odd thing is that Wayne was very pro-Latino, marrying three Latinas, making numerous movies in Mexico, making his “Alamo” movie surprisingly even-handed, debating Ronald Reagan on why America should give the Panama Canal to Panama. When I took a boat tour of Acapulco in 1979, “Yon Wen’s house” was a proud highlight of the guide’s spiel.

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