Steve Sailer writes: Earlier this month, John Rivers tweeted out his hope for the future:
I dream of a world where a midlevel manager in a midlevel company can accurately quote FBI crime statistics on Facebook and not be fired.
We don’t live in that utopia, however, so you should be cautious about mentioning this article at work. But at least accurately quoting government crime statistics is more convenient than ever due to the publication of The Color of Crime, 2016 Revised Edition.
Researched and written in a sober, judicious manner by veteran economic analyst Edwin S. Rubenstein, this is the first update since 2005 of Jared Taylor’s American Renaissance magazine’s venerable report on racial differences in crime rates.
Most of the government data used in the report ends with the year 2013, and therefore generally offers an encouraging contrast to the last report’s use of 2002 as its terminus. From 2002 to 2013, most crime rates fell, and racial differences moderated somewhat.
An epilogue to this 12,000-word study, however, deals with the alarming spike in homicide rates in 2015 during the Black Lives Matter agitation. The Washington Post reported in January:
The number of homicides in the country’s 50 largest cities rose nearly 17 percent last year, the greatest increase in lethal violence in a quarter century. A Wonkblog analysis of preliminary crime data found that about 770 more people were killed in major cities last year than the year before, the worst annual change since 1990.
It’s tragic but hardly unexpected that the antiwhite race-baiting by the Obama Administration, the Soros Foundation, and the national media has led to hundreds more blacks being murdered by other blacks.
After all, that’s also what happened in the 1960s, the last time liberals grabbed control of the criminal justice system. During the Warren Court era, incarceration was driven way down per crime committed, so, amazingly enough, more crimes were committed. Before that historic mistake was finally rectified, much of urban America had been reduced to depopulating slums.
Rubenstein carefully walks readers through the different sources of statistics about crime and race, such as arrests, imprisonment, and interviews with victims.
All three measures come up with similar racial ratios. On average, blacks commit more violent crimes than Hispanics, who commit more than whites, who commit more than Asians.
The more severe the crime, the worse the racial ratios tend to be. For example, California data is instructive because it carefully breaks out Latinos from whites, whereas federal statistics usually lump whites and Hispanics together. In California, blacks are arrested for homicide 8.6 times as often as whites (down from 9.8 times in 2002) compared with 2.5 times for Hispanics (down from 3.6 in 2002). Robbery, a career that favors the athletic and fleet of foot, is even more of a black specialty, with a black-to-white ratio of 13.4 (down from 15.9 in 2002) versus 2.0 for Hispanics (down from 2.7).
In contrast, in California, blacks are arrested for driving offenses only 1.7 times as often as whites, and Hispanics merely 1.3 times as often.
Or, to use national statistics, blacks are incarcerated 13.1 times as often as whites in state prisons for robbery but only 2.6 times as often for “other property crimes.”
Rubenstein makes the important point that this pattern of lower racial ratios for less vicious crimes is inconsistent with the conventional wisdom that racial differences must be the result of blacks and Hispanics being the victims of discrimination by police and juries:
Almost without exception, the black/white and Hispanic/white arrest multiples are lower for the less serious crimes. Whatever else this difference may mean, it is strong evidence that the police are not making biased arrests. Police have broad discretion as to whether they will arrest someone for forcible touching, shoplifting, or setting off a false fire alarm. If racist police wanted to vent prejudices on non-whites, these are the crimes for which they could most easily do so. They can walk away if someone complains he was spat on, and if they are racist they can walk away if the spitter is white but make an arrest if the spitter is black. Police cannot walk away if someone is lying on the sidewalk bleeding from a knife wound.
A body with a hole in it demands attention.
Interracial violence, contrary to the impression you might get these days from the obsessions of respectable media outlets, is overwhelmingly skewed toward victimizing whites (and Asians):
In 2012 and 2013, blacks committed an annual average of 560,600 crimes of violence against whites whereas whites committed only about 99,400 such crimes against blacks. This means blacks were the attackers in 84.9 percent of the violent crimes involving blacks and whites.
The differences in propensity toward interracial violence are noteworthy:
In 2012/2013, the actual likelihood of attack was extremely low in all cases, but statistically, any given black person was 27 times more likely to attack a white and six times more likely to attack a Hispanic than vice versa. A Hispanic was eight times more likely to attack a white than the reverse.
Rubenstein puts “Black Lives Matter” into proper perspective by citing federal murder statistics:
Although most murders are within the same race, [individual] blacks were 13.6 times more likely to kill nonblacks than [individual] nonblacks were to kill blacks.
* What he really means:
I dream of a world where a midlevel manager in a midlevel company can accurately quote FBI crime statistics about black offenders and white victims on Facebook and not be fired.
Of course you can talk about the number of murders recorded by the FBI in 2015 on Facebook without any consequences. However, you can’t talk about black crime against white victims. If John Rivers had real spine he would acknowledge this is actually his vision of utopia.
And do you believe it would be utopia Steve? For whites to be roused up on Facebook and in casual everyday conversation against the black race because there are a large number of black criminals? I would really like to hear your reasoning of why you think this is utopia.
* Try dropping this point on all those Democrats you know who love to brag about how only liberals love “science” while Republicans are in denial about “science.” The trouble is finding a way to do so inciting them to burn you at the stake for daring to question their unquestionable articles of faith.
* The problem can never be fixed if the truth is forbidden.
for example: r/K selection
whatever the starting base line mass unemployment selects for r and full employment selects for K
say group A starts at 70/30 r/K then after generations of mass unemployment it might be 80/20
say group B starts at 30/70 r/K then after generations of mass unemployment it might be 40/60
You can see – if you’ve worked in rustbelt towns – how the white ex-workers get more r-selected over time. Same thing happened to black ppl after 1965.
The starting line might have been different and the end result after n generations will depend on the starting line but the mechanism is the same.
So full employment would improve the problem over generations.
The people who most want to deny the problem are also the biggest cause of the problem because they all support mass unskilled immigration.
* Utopia would be a black crime rate as low as the Asian rate. What we’re discussing on this site is reality. Modern day America largely prevents the open discussion of reality, with disastrous consequences in policy, safety and culture.
“Also, they avoid having anything to do with African-Americans, whom the Mexican smack dealers stereotype as being prone to theft and violence. (When accurately quoting FBI crime statistics is criminal, only criminals will accurately quote FBI crime statistics.)”
* Yesterday, I watched an outstanding report summarizing what’s known about the Brussels terror attack on public TV’s PBS Newshour. What made the segment worthy of a Pulitzer award was that the words “Muslim” and “Islam” didn’t cross the reporter’s lips; nor did he refer to any underlying concepts. A couple of young Belgian men just decided to hold an attack-a-thon. An isis-thingy had something to do with it, and an interview of a professor of sociology revealed that the root cause was the failure of society to provide full employment for young people.
Classic.
