“Good morning, folks, and welcome to the Geopolitical Oval, where the pitch is as volatile as a live news ticker. This strip for the Israel-Iran Test match is a beast—hard as a bunker, dry as a sanctions list, and cracking faster than a diplomat’s poker face. The surface is baked to a crisp, with sparse grass that’s more decorative than useful, like a ceasefire nobody believes in. Spinners will get vicious turn from ball one, with deliveries liable to leap like a missile intercept. Seamers might find some early bite if they’re pinpoint accurate—think drone-strike precision—but stray, and they’ll be flogged to all parts.
Batting first is a high-stakes call. Survive the opening session, and you could build a score as solid as a fortified border. Collapse, though, and you’re done quicker than a failed peace talk. The outfield’s rapid for rhetoric, but boundaries are guarded like strategic assets, so expect gritty chases. Toss? Israel might fancy batting to set the tone; Iran could opt to bowl, probing early frailties. Either way, this pitch demands nerves of steel and a sharp game plan.
Now, let’s talk last year’s clash—April and October 2024 were feisty affairs, more T20 skirmishes than Test epics. Israel landed precise jabs, targeting Iran’s air defenses and proxies like Hezbollah, peeling back layers without going all-in. Iran countered with a barrage of over 300 missiles and drones in April, most swatted away by Israel’s Iron Dome and allied defenses, including Jordan’s. October saw another exchange, with Iran’s “True Promise” volleys doing more to rattle nerves than inflict damage—Israel’s interceptors held firm, and casualties stayed low. Both sides flexed, but it was a draw, like a rain-interrupted match with no result. Israel’s Operation Rising Lion this year, though, feels like they’ve studied the 2024 playbook and brought a bigger bat, hammering nuclear sites and military brass. Iran’s missile retorts—520 fired, only 25 hitting—show they’re swinging but struggling to connect. Last year’s sparring taught both teams the other’s tricks; this pitch, though, favors the side with sharper execution and fewer fumbles.”(Grok)
LATEST POSTS:
- The Comparator Test: Does Penn Apply the Same Standard?
- PragerU Salaries & Bonuses
- The David Pinsof Story
- Added Context to the Dennis Prager-Cedars Sinai Lawsuit
- The Criticism Was Right and It Did Nothing: Andrew Gelman, Seth Roberts, and the Limits of Being Correct
- What Andrew Gelman Doesn’t Write About
- Andrew Gelman: ‘Computer scientists today are like economists in the early 2000s and Freudian psychiatrists in the 1950s’
- Virtue Signaling and the Amy Wax case
- Revisiting Virtually You: The Dangerous Powers of the E-Personality
- The Great Delusion
- Why Do I Instinctively Dislike Erik Erikson?
- WSJ: The Uninvited Guest Who Crashed Our Family Vacation: My Mom’s AI Chatbot
- WEHT to Marc Weisblott?
- WEHT to Moxie aka Madison Slade?
- WEHT to Nicholas Polson’s Archive?
- Cohen Passes His Own Audit (V2)
- Andrew Gelman & the E-Personality
- ‘(1) “Do you think the culture of research has genuinely changed since the replication crisis became widely discussed, or has it mostly generated new compliance rituals around pre-registration and open data while leaving the underlying incentive structure intact?, (2) Regarding Columbia University, “is there a statistical or social scientific way of understanding how institutions lose the ability to accurately perceive their own situation?”’
- What a Public Audit Does (V4)
- Post: ‘Nathan Cofnas the Schlimazel’
BEST POSTS:
- * The Enlightenment Wasn’t Enlightened (6-23-26)
* Mr. Burge Draws The Line (6-23-26)
* 'Improving on Democracy' (6-17-26)
* People Leak To People Who Are Fun (6-11-26)
* Why Does Australia Produce So Many Great Journalists? (6-11-26)
* Steve Wynn and the Press: Power, Litigation, and the Contest Over Las Vegas (6-3-26)
* Sheldon Adelson and the Journalists (6-3-26)
* The Vigilant Animal: Thinkers Who Reject the Myth of Human Gullibility (6-2-26)
* The Cost of Refusing the Misunderstanding Myth (6-2-26)
* Show Me How It Travels (6-2-26)
* The Norm Explainers (6-2-26)
* Centering Marginalized Voices (6-1-26)
* What would it look like if the Washington Post put its reader first? (6-1-26)
* What would it look like if the Financial Times put its reader first? (6-1-26)
* What It Would Mean for the Los Angeles Times to Put the Reader First? (6-1-26)
* What It Would Mean for The New York Times to Put the Reader First? (6-1-26)
* Why Wembanyama Lives on the Perimeter (5-31-26)
* The Emotional Palettes Of San Diego, Los Angeles, San Francisco & Sacramento (5-27-26)
* The Administrative Capital: Sacramento Legal Culture (5-27-26)
* San Diego - The Quiet Republic (5-27-26)
* The Quiet Bar: San Diego Legal Culture (5-27-26)
* SF v LA Legal Culture (5-27-26)
* Why Talent Travels Poorly Between San Francisco and Los Angeles (5-27-26)
* San Francisco and Los Angeles as Rival Models of Urban Access (5-27-26)
* Social Cliques in New York, 2026 (5-25-26)
* Social Cliques in San Francisco, 2026 (5-25-26)
* The Rival Courts of Washington (5-25-26)
* The City of Private Rooms (5-25-26)
