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"Luke Ford reports all of the 'juicy' quotes, and has been doing it for years." (Marc B. Shapiro)
"This guy knows all the gossip, the ins and outs, the lashon hara of the Orthodox world. He’s an [expert] in... all the inner workings of the Orthodox world." (Rabbi Aaron Rakeffet-Rothkoff) LATEST POSTS:
- Scott Pelley and the End of the Network-News Tradition
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- NYT: ‘Why Does No One Care About the World Cup This Year?’
- Sheldon Adelson and the Journalists
- Autumn Gold: Secrecy, Time, and the Recovery of Truth
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- The Workplace City: John L. Smith and the Lives Behind Las Vegas
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- Ben Mezrich: Mythographer of Disruption
- The Vigilant Animal: Thinkers Who Reject the Myth of Human Gullibility
- Carl von Clausewitz: An Intellectual Biography
- The Translator: David Klinghoffer and the Argument Against Materialism
- The Norm Explainers
- Show Me How It Travels
- The Cost of Refusing the Misunderstanding Myth
- Richard B. Spencer: The Man Who Branded the Alt-Right
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* American Epistemics (1-19-26)
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* If Tatiana Schlossberg were “Tatiana Smith” (12-30-25)
* ‘I’m So Trained’: How The Credential Society Burned Down the Palisades (12-28-25)
* Status Closure and The Lost Generation (12-25-25)
* The Bondi Massacre (12-15-25)
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* Terror in Sydney: Analyzing the “Chanukah by the Sea” Massacre (12-14-25)
* Decoding Nick Fuentes (11-2-25)
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* The Rise & Fall Of Air Supply (10-19-25)
* No Kings, No Results: How Elite Pride Replaced Real Progress (10-19-25)
* You Are An Important Soldier In A Great War (9-7-25)
* The Revolt Of The Masses (8-31-25)
* The Covenant of Ashwood (8-24-25)
* If you can’t trust central bankers, then who can you trust? (8-23-25)
* Why Is The Elite Media Singing From The Same Hymnal About The Trump-Putin Summit? (8-17-25)
* Why Do Smart News Operations Sound So Uniformly Dumb So Often? (8-16-25)
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Category Archives: Iran
Regime Change In Iran
We have already seen one form of regime change in Iran, and more changes are unfolding now. But it doesn’t look like a clean, completed collapse so far — it looks like leadership decapitation and institutional transition under stress, not … Continue reading
Calm Comes From Insulation, Not Wisdom
Tiers are situational. A corporate executive may react as high tier on foreign policy but low tier on cultural change if their social world feels exposed. A tenured professor may be high tier on climate but mid tier on AI … Continue reading
Cliches Dominate Iran War Coverage
Here’s a list of the predictable talking points you’ll hear about this Iran wars: 1. “You can’t achieve regime change through an air war.” Rebuttal: Historically, outside air power alone has never toppled an entrenched regime or produced a stable … Continue reading
Just Because Iran Was Negotiating Does Not Mean It Was Negotiating In Good Faith
Elites are embedded in systems that reward procedural rationality. If there is a negotiation channel, they treat it as real because their professional world is built on the premise that states are unitary actors who respond to incentives. Diplomacy is … Continue reading
Decoding Iran Expert Alex Vatanka
Alex Vatanka’s role as the director of the Iran program at the Middle East Institute places him at the center of the “credentialed strategic expertise” coalition. As of March 1, 2026, his analytical framework is being tested by the most … Continue reading
Justification For This War Depend Upon Unverifiable Expert Claims
The work of Stephen Turner on the logic of expertise and the nature of tacit knowledge provides a specific lens to view the opening of this war. His skepticism toward the “expert” as a neutral provider of facts is particularly … Continue reading
Every Expert Has Had Their Priors Confirmed
I can’t find one expert who’s expressed surprise at the development of this war. The first day of Operation Epic Fury on February 28, 2026, has provided a perfect Rorschach test for the established foreign policy establishment, with each camp … Continue reading
Will Trump Bomb Iran?
Trump’s instinct is decisive force, not containment. He dislikes open-ended problems, elite caution, and slow bleed strategies. Iran represents an unresolved threat that undermines his self-image as a deal-closer and strongman. That said, a full-scale “bomb the hell out of … Continue reading
Decoding Michael Oren
Per Alliance Theory: Michael Oren is best understood as a bridge figure who thrives by translating between rival alliances rather than by dominating any single one. He begins as a credential maximizer. American born, Ivy trained, fluent in elite academic … Continue reading
Decoding Iran Expert Karim Sadjadpour
Written with AI: Karim Sadjadpour is an American policy analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He is best decoded, through Alliance Theory, as a controlled interpreter whose role is to make a hostile regime intelligible to Western elites … Continue reading