Author Archives: Luke Ford

About Luke Ford

I teach Alexander Technique in Beverly Hills (Alexander90210.com).

Gulf states are learning a tough David Pinsof alliance lesson — it is hard to stay neutral.

In Alliance Theory terms, neutrality only works when: The dominant coalitions tolerate fence sitters. The stakes are low enough that punishment is costly. The neutral party offers something both sides value more than their defection. Right now, those conditions are … Continue reading

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BBC Epistemics

In my nearly 29 years of blogging, I often reported news that many people denied because there were no official confirmations. Because I was operating out where the buses don’t run no more. I didn’t have any official pieces of … Continue reading

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Why did some elites focus on deaths in Gaza but not protester deaths in Iran and vice versa?

There is no evolutionary reproductive fitness reason why people would care about deaths among out-groups on the other side of the world. Ergo, when you hear moral outrage on this score, it is about alliance signalling and status seeking (which … Continue reading

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War Results From Differing Reads On Reality

If everyone saw the same balance of power, there would be no reason to go to war. The United States and Israel see that Iran’s leaders can be killed and its air defenses can be penetrated. Its economy is strained. … Continue reading

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Why Tucker Opposes The War

Under Alliance Theory the key is understanding what position Tucker Carlson gains when he stakes out a line on Iran that is different from the main foreign policy establishment. Right now Carlson is pushing a strongly anti-war, anti-interventionist frame on … Continue reading

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Patricia Marins: What runs out first, the US-Israel interceptors or Iran’s ability to launch missiles?

In the current conflict the short-answer from open reporting is this: the interceptor stocks on the US and Israeli side are closer to running out first than Iran’s ability to keep launching missiles at scale. Interceptor inventories were already drawn … Continue reading

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Is The Iran War All About China?

Zineb Riboua writes: “Beijing has spent years and billions of dollars building Iran into a structural asset. Everything that follows in the Middle East flows from this fact. Which is why Operation Epic Fury is the first American military campaign … Continue reading

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Blogging vs Streaming

I haven’t done any livestream commentary on the news for two weeks and have instead devoted myself to blogging. This has rewired my system. I’m a different person when I stream regularly vs when I write regularly. Livestreaming is performance. … Continue reading

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Feelings About Trump Frame Iran War Commentary

Expert commentary on the Iran war is filtered through views about Trump, not purely geopolitics or strategy. As structure is more important than personalities, experts looking at the Iran War through the Trump lens are at a disadvantage. Here’s what … Continue reading

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Is It Bad To Celebrate The Deaths Of Your Enemies?

Graeme Wood writes in The Atlantic today: “Celebrating or calling for the deaths of others is wrong, and bad for the soul.” That is not backed by evolution, so it is a status play. Graeme says he’s better than you, … Continue reading

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