The Brewing Middle Class Revolt (6-6-21)

Posted on June 6, 2021 by Luke Ford

00:00 A Middle Class Rebellion Against Progressives Is Gaining Steam, https://www.newsweek.com/middle-class-rebellion-against-progressives-gaining-steam-opinion-1597397
04:30 MSM not doing much a mea culpa
13:00 Chris Matthews back at MSNBC, https://www.thedailybeast.com/chris-matthews-returns-to-msnbc-says-he-took-complete-ownership-over-his-departure
15:00 Journalists cheer censorship
16:00 Glenn Greenwald’s media criticism
21:00 Mickey Kaus wants a chamomile party, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=biBPDBg8FNI
26:00 Anonymous Message To Elon Musk
34:00 The Dangerous Journey Beyond the Binary, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJv6kgE90UI
44:10 Vaush Utterly Fails On Critical Race Theory, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iGUGVxoOwL8
50:00 Yale hosts talk on ‘The Psychopathic Problem of the White Mind’, https://www.unz.com/isteve/aruna-khilanani-black-rage-and-pakistani-peevishness/
1:08:00 Racial hysteria is consuming the arts, https://www.city-journal.org/racial-hysteria-is-consuming-juilliard
1:17:45 Racism and the Secular Religion at the University of Vermont, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_PyTwXPre8
1:24:00 Vilified Professor Explains ‘FRIGHTENING’ Critical Race Theory Effects on Kids’ Mental Health, https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=1878212569012209
1:38:20 The Horror of Teaching Critical Race Theory to Kids, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HCkx_x9FLJ8
1:41:00 The Psychopathic Problem of the White Mind, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0k100OguYMQ
1:49:00 I freed my hips with my activator
1:53:00 Elections have big consequences that last for decades, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=139940
1:59:40 Securing the 2020 Election During a Pandemic, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wkels_iaiog
2:01:00 No, voting by mail does not give either party an advantage. Here’s how we know., https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/04/17/no-voting-by-mail-does-not-give-either-party-an-advantage-heres-how-we-know/
2:05:00 Why, then, do Democratic and Republican incumbents diverge so much, ideologically?, https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2015/04/09/extremists-who-win-primaries-are-37-percent-less-likely-to-win-the-general-election-compared-to-more-moderate-candidates/
2:08:00 Will Non-Politicians Be More Effective Than Experienced Politicians?, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=139933
2:10:00 Tucker Carlson is the most important Republican influencer
2:12:00 Paul Gottfried says Ben Shapiro can be interesting, https://www.lewrockwell.com/2017/11/paul-gottfried/ben-can-be-interesting/
2:17:40 Fauci Email Bolsters the Lab-Leak Theory, https://www.wsj.com/articles/fauci-email-bolsters-the-lab-leak-theory-11622830092?mod=hp_opin_pos_3
2:21:00 Alt-right streamer “Baked Alaska” is allowed to continue posting videos after prosecutors sought to ban him from vlogging, https://www.cbsnews.com/news/baked-alaska-anthime-gionet-capitol-riot-live-stream/
2:24:00 Leaving China: The Beginning and THE END of Hollywood’s catering to The Middle Kingdom, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=muO5fy7lOOM
2:25:00 Disney Execs Reportedly Monitoring John Cena and China Situation, https://www.piratesandprincesses.net/disney-execs-reportedly-monitoring-john-cena-and-china-situation/
2:26:00 From Deal Frenzy to Decoupling: Is the China-Hollywood Romance Officially Over?, https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-features/hollywood-and-china-what-now-1234955332/

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Elections have big consequences that last for decades

Posted on June 6, 2021 by Luke Ford

From LSE:

Every election cycle, voters are told by pundits and commentators that this particular election counts and that it is likely to shape public policy for decades to come. In new research, Anthony Fowlerand Andrew B. Hall find that elections definitely do have consequences; for example, a barely elected Republican is 40 percent more likely to vote conservatively in Congress than a Democrat would have. They also find that because of legislators’ ambitions and the advantage of incumbency, one election result can influence the future results in that district for more than a decade.

Before every major election, American voters are told that the upcoming race is “more important than ever” (e.g., here and here). Candidates, pundits, and the press alike harp on the important issues that will be taken up by the government in the next session—issues like health care, voting rights, taxes, sexual equality, national security, the budget deficit, etc. To excite the interests of voters, these opinion leaders often claim that the outcome of the current election will shape the outcomes of these policy debates, not only today but far into the future. Are they right? Do elections hold sharp and far-reaching consequences for policy?

In new research, we confirm that they do. In particular, we show that voters’ choices to elect Democratic or Republican candidates for their districts dramatically alters the representation they receive. Put another way, voters in a given district will see their representative cast dramatically different roll-call votes if they elect a Democrat instead of a Republican, or vice-versa. Since policy results from the aggregate behavior of individual representatives, our findings illustrate how elections as a whole affect the policy process.

* For reasons that are still poorly understood, we know that close election results significantly influence subsequent election results. When a party or candidate barely wins office as opposed to barely losing office, they are much more likely to win subsequent elections. This means that election results today don’t just influence representation and policy over the next electoral cycle, they might influence representation and policy over many cycles spanning decades.

* How can these effects persist for so long? The long-term consequences of election results appear to be explained by several important factors that we explore in our research. First and foremost, legislators typically seek long careers in office, and the combination of these career ambitions and a large personal incumbency advantage, means that a very close election today, where voters are essentially indifferent between a Democratic and Republican candidate, can lead voters to continue reelecting that same person repeatedly. At the same time as these legislators serve long careers in office, perhaps even representing moderate districts that don’t agree with many of their policy positions, they continue to cast roll-call votes in the same way that they did at the beginning of their careers. We might expect that senior legislators continue to be reelected precisely because they alter their behavior to match the district, but we find no evidence of this, explaining why the divergent effects of election results on roll-call votes are so large and persistent.

Representation in American legislatures is both divergent—voters must choose between two stark choices that are more extreme than the median voter’s preferences—and persistent—the consequences of this choice last for decades. Furthermore, the phenomena that we uncover at the state or district level have important consequences for aggregate policy, which can remain consistent over many electoral cycles even when the preferences of voters are far from those of their elected representatives. So when the pundits warn voters that the upcoming election is important, they may be even more correct than they realize.

From the paper: The evidence in this article identifies and illuminates the phenomenon of divergent and persistent representation in American legislatures. Representation is divergent because legislators do not converge to the preferences of the district – that is, Democratic and Republican legislators differ significantly in the way they represent the same district at the same time. Representation is persistent – at both the district and aggregate levels – because it can remain consistent over many electoral cycles even when the preferences of voters are far from those of their elected
representatives.

* The long-term consequences of election results for partisan representation and roll-call representation decay in almost exact proportion to one another, suggesting that legislators do not, on average, [change] over time. Even when a legislator fails to closely match her district, and even when the district continues to re-elect her over the course of many terms, the legislator continues to cast roll-call votes in the same way without moderating to the positions of the district.

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Yale Hosts Talk On ‘The Psychopathic Problem of the White Mind’

Posted on June 4, 2021 by Luke Ford

00:00 Violent crime surges
08:00 A psychiatrist lecturing at Yale’s Child Study Center spoke about ‘unloading a revolver into the head of any white person that got in my way.’ https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-psychopathic-problem-of-the-white
10:00 Aruna Khilanani, https://arunakhilanani.com/
14:00 Yellowstone TV show, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellowstone_(American_TV_series)
23:00 The Lab-Leak Theory: Inside the Fight to Uncover COVID-19’s Origins, https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2021/06/the-lab-leak-theory-inside-the-fight-to-uncover-covid-19s-origins
27:00 Trump administration cuts funding for coronavirus researcher, jeopardizing possible COVID-19 cure, https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-administration-coronavirus-vaccine-researcher-covid-19-cure-60-minutes/
1:43:45 From Soviet Communism to Russian Gangster Capitalism, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f5nbT4xQqwI
1:53:00 Ed Dutton talks about Eric Kaufman canceling his appearance, https://www.bitchute.com/video/363eodvmgDix/
1:56:40 Ben Domenech on who really rules us
1:57:30 Exposing the Cathedral
2:04:00 Eric Kaufman, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXh1i3s0RC8
2:06:40 Mongrelization is the answer
2:11:00 How to Rearrange Your Post-Pandemic ‘Friendscape’, https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/01/well/family/curate-friends.html
2:26:00 White flight
2:27:15 Big Tech vs conservatives
2:28:00 Douglas Murray vs Big Tech
2:30:00 BLM threatens to kill police
2:37:00 Milo, Lauren Witzke guest host Rick Wiles shot
2:38:00 Yale hosts talk on ‘The Psychopathic Problem of the White Mind’
2:45:00 Lebron James gave up on the Lakers, https://fadeawayworld.net/nba-media/lebron-james-gave-up-on-lakers-again-didnt-want-to-back-on-defense-didnt-want-to-play-offense-with-teammates
2:49:30 Tucker Carlson on public health officials hiding corona virus origins
3:07:00 Martin Gurri: The Establishment Strikes Back—For Now, https://www.city-journal.org/the-establishment-strikes-back-for-now
3:10:00 Michael Anton Says He Does Not Know Who Truly Won The 2020 Election, But He’s ‘Moved On’, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=137453

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Will Non-Politicians Be More Effective Than Experienced Politicians?

Posted on June 4, 2021 by Luke Ford

Brendan Nyhan writes in the Washington Post:

Research shows members of Congress with experience in state legislatures are more effective at getting federal legislation passed than those who lack this background.

Historical evidence suggests inexperienced presidents face similar obstacles. Consider the case of Donald Trump, who has less experience in governing than any prior occupant of the White House. Every president struggles to overcome the limited powers of the office, but Trump stands out among modern presidents as especially weak and ineffective. For example, though congressional Republicans fear his tweets, they continue to largely control the legislative agenda. The federal bureaucracy and even Trump’s own staff often seek to manipulate him and ignore or undermine his directives. In short, being an “outsider” has significant downsides and few direct benefits.

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More Stimulating Talk Radio!

Posted on June 3, 2021 by Luke Ford

00:00 Former KFI talk radio producer and attorney Justin Levine joins to discuss David Foster Wallace’s 2004 essay on talk radio, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=139794
13:00 Justin was fired three times from KFI, twice by PD Robin Bertolucci
17:00 Talk radio’s similarities to Top 40 radio, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=139199
27:00 Justin Levine’s talk radio diet
28:00 John and Ken Show, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_John_and_Ken_Show
33:00 KABC’s Dick Cavett-style talk
35:00 Talk: A Novel by Michael Smerconish, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=139199
37:00 John Ziegler, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ziegler_(talk_show_host)
39:00 David Foster Wallace, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Foster_Wallace
54:00 Big Tech was libertarian just five years ago
57:00 Blacks & Latinos have their own radio stations
1:00:00 Callers don’t matter much for talk radio
1:05:30 Marc Germain aka Mr KFI
1:09:20 Howard Stern’s boring
1:27:40 How to make your show better! David G. Hall, Media Strategist
1:42:00 Lack of Character: Personality and Moral Behavior, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=139670
1:49:00 John M. Doris: “Making Good: Can We Realize Our Moral Aspirations?”, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GORGNufWFTI
1:55:00 The Left’s New Religion – censorship
2:21:00 We compete for attention
2:25:00 Andy Ngo returns to Portland, beaten by Antifa
2:33:40 Barricade Gage on Arizona’s vote audit
2:40:00 The limits of virtue, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HxLNKpLcU1k
2:41:00 Anti-Vax Televangelist Rick Wiles Who Calls Covid God’s Punishment Hospitalized w/ Covid
2:44:00 Michael Flynn Casually Calls For Military Coup
2:48:00 Trump Telling People He’ll Be Reinstated As President by August
2:50:00 Tucker Carlson on covid origins
2:51:30 Vanity Fair investigation of covid origins, https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2021/06/the-lab-leak-theory-inside-the-fight-to-uncover-covid-19s-origins
3:02:45 Biden Creeps On Young Girl In Audience
3:06:00 Sam Hyde Sees The Amazon WageCage™ For The First Time
3:07:00 Only Fans For Israel

Posted in Radio | Comments Off on More Stimulating Talk Radio!