California’s Bleak Trajectory

From American Thinker:

Victor Davis Hanson, whose family has lived in California for generations, has written a new book. Jarrett Stepman of Breitbart reviewed The Decline and Fall of California: From Decadence to Destruction, where Hanson paints a stark picture of California’s decline from a state that exemplified the American Dream to one crushed under the weight of its utopian vision.

“… Clearly modeled on famous British historian Edward Gibbon’s Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, Hanson’s book makes it clear that the increasingly dystopian California has been the author of its own decline. A half-century of bad policy and failed ideology has reduced the Golden State to a shell of its former glory.

Hanson — a college professor, a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, and an expert in the classics — is a product of many generations of Californians who made their home in the state’s mostly agricultural central valley. Few come closer to Thomas Jefferson’s idealized philosopher-farmer than Hanson, who is highly educated in history, warfare, and philosophy, yet runs a working farm like his forefathers.

Unfortunately, Hanson’s prognosis for California is bleak– especially for conservatives and middle-class Americans. “The old blue/red war for California is over,” Hanson writes. “Conservatives lost. Liberals won– by a combination of flooding the state with government-supplied stuff, and welcoming millions in while showing the exit to others.”….

…The Republican Party’s power in the state is relegated to a few holdouts from the less populated, red interior. Most of the California GOP’s leadership embraces the most watered-down “me-too” liberalism. The feeble resistance to the left’s big government designs mostly comes from moderate Democrats if it comes at all. It is clear that Hanson is mostly attempting to warn fellow Americans about a future that looks like California, rather than preach to his native state which is intent to keep the wheels of history turning in a militantly progressive direction.”

The last paragraph, above, sounds an alarm that all should heed. As the expression warns: as California goes, so goes the nation. And, indeed, are we not seeing the California effect across the country?

Hanson writes about a state that is over-taxed and over-regulated, with an infrastructure that has been misappropriated by environmentalists. He writes: “Those who had stopped the building of more unnatural dams – a green movement birthed among the opulence of Northern California that sought exemption from the ramifications of its own ideology – now wanted infrastructure to store the water necessary for its own dreams of replenishing salmon in the rivers.”

Hanson also addresses the mass exodus from California. I see this as an enormous problem, as people from California (and other high-tax blue states) move into red or purple states, shifting the political balance and making it increasingly difficult for conservatives to overcome a Democratic electoral college advantage that just keeps growing.

“The impact of these policies has been enormous. The agricultural heart of the state has dried up, the middle-class has fled to more favorable tax environments, and new, mostly illegal immigrants – who come in droves due to the open borders policies of the state’s elites — find fewer and fewer opportunities to rise out of their condition. However, the elites are mostly ensconced in affluent corridors and immune to the negative effects of their ideas.”

Hanson paints a picture that is bleak while perceiving a small shred of hope in California’s newest residents from Mexico and Latin America. He hopes they would be able to climb the economic ladder and ultimately throw out the leftists (who live in high concentrations along the thin western coast of the state). The Breitbart review continues:

“Is there hope? Can there be honesty about our crises and courage to address them?” Hanson writes. “I sometimes fantasize that a new conservative movement of second- and third-generation upper middle-class, over-taxed Mexican-Americans will demand competitive schools for their children without the fantasies of Chicano studies and coastal global warming indoctrination.”

Hanson hopes that this new middle class “will push for energy development, beefed-up law enforcement, and reasonable taxes and power rates, and so lock horns with the coastal elites, well apart from abortion, the death penalty, and the constant alternative lifestyle agenda. Some already are heading that way; more would if the borders were closed and the old forces of the melting pot were not impeded.”

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Where’s The Outrage?

Countries refusing Israelis:

Algeria
Bangladesh
Brunei
Iran
Iraq (except Iraqi Kurdistan)
Kuwait
Lebanon
Libya
Malaysia
Oman
Pakistan
Saudi Arabia
Sudan
Syria
United Arab Emirates
Yemen

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Intelligence & The Class Room

Linda Gottfredson writes:

As James A. Kulik of the University of Michigan reported in the
Handbook of Gifted Education (2003), “On the basis of site visits, experts have concluded that untracking brings no guarantee of high-quality instruction for everyone but may instead lead all to a common level of educational mediocrity.”

Multiple intelligence theory is only the latest rationale for acting as if most children don’t differ much in learning ability. An older approach, still widely embraced, is to accept IQ as a concept but act as if differences in IQ don’t make much difference in the classroom. Education textbooks and journals in this vein speak only of “exceptional” versus “regular” students. So-called regular students are those who score between the upper threshold for mental retardation (IQ 70) and the lower threshold for giftedness (IQ 130). That continuum includes 95 percent of students. A closer look at differences in intellectual functioning across the 60-point range illustrates how different educability actually is, even among the supposedly average.

For example, individuals with IQs between 70 and 80 (but still above the threshold for mild retardation) require instruction that is highly structured, detailed, concrete, well sequenced, omits no intermediate steps, and links to what the individuals already know. They often need one-to-one supervision and hands-on practice to learn even simple procedures. As specialists in adult education explain, the material to be learned must be stripped of all nonessentials, including theoretical principles, and require only simple inferences. Any information, written or spoken, must be presented in small pieces with clear introductions and simple vocabulary.

Because people with IQs below 80 (the 10th percentile) are difficult to train, federal law bars their induction into the military.

Successively higher IQs are associated with better odds of learning readily from more demanding forms of instruction, learning more independently, and mastering increasingly abstract and multifaceted material.

Individuals of average IQ (100) can master relatively large bodies of written and spoken knowledge and procedure, especially when it is presented to them in an organized manner that allows them practice and provides feedback. By IQ 120, individuals are more self-instructing and better able to develop and organize knowledge on their own. The “complete” instruction that is most helpful for low-g learners is dysfunctional for these high-g individuals. The
latter easily fill in gaps in instruction on their own and benefit most from abstract, self-directed, incomplete instruction that allows them to assemble new knowledge and reassemble old knowledge in idiosyncratic ways. But such forms of instruction are dysfunctional for low-g learners, who are more likely to be confused than stimulated by its incompleteness, abstractness, and
requirements for self-direction.

As any teacher will attest, many other things besides g-level affect children’s learning—illness, incentives, peer pressure, conscientiousness, parental support, familiarity with the language of instruction, and more. For these and other reasons, high g does not guarantee success—or low g guarantee failure. There’s no
question, however, that higher levels of g constitute a constant tailwind and lower levels a persistent headwind in cognitively demanding settings such as schools.

Perhaps most important, g level affects what students are likely to learn with a reasonable expenditure of time and effort. Textbooks on instructional strategies rightly treat time as a precious commodity to be jealously guarded and wisely spent, and they note that “slow” students often need much more of it than others to learn the same material. Instruction must therefore be more tightly focused on what is most essential for them to learn.

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Donald Trump’s Shock & Awe Campaign

Comments to Steve Sailer:

* The liberal reaction to this is either 1) feigning surprise that so many “racists” are lurking in the GOP, or 2) acting like they knew the GOP was full of “racists” all along.

Of course it couldn’t be that white Americans have finally found a candidate who will fight for their interests, heavens no.

I can’t wait to watch their minds explode when he gets the nomination and regular people start openly supporting him without becoming social outcasts.

* NPR this morning ran a piece on how Trump has energized “white supremacist” groups, driving up their website traffic to where they’re installing more servers. I was disappointed, though, that iSteve wasn’t mentioned.

* Terrorists are proportionately just a very small fraction of Muslim immigrants. We need Steve’s immigration screw-up analysis board because in my experience all too many are closer to this or this or this (Pakistani fraud ring).

* A recent poll showed that 30% of Democrats support Trump’s temporary Muslim immigration moratorium.

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Colorado ACLU Board Member: Shoot Trump Voters ‘Before Election Day’

The American Civil Liberties Union is not concerned primarily with civil liberties and the Anti-Defamation League is not primarily concerned with defamation. These are radical left-wing Jewish organizations that seek to weaken and destroy the white Christian core of America.

Almost all major Jewish organizations almost all of the time side with the coalition of the fringe against the core (white Christians).

Daily Caller: Loring Wirbel, board member of the American Civil Liberties Union’s Colorado chapter and co-chair of the ACLU’s Colorado Springs chapter, called for supporters of GOP presidential hopeful Donald Trump to be shot before they vote for the billionaire businessman.

Comparing Trump to Nazi propagandist Joseph Goebbels, Wirbel wrote in his Facebook page:

The thing is, we have to really reach out to those who might consider voting for Trump and say, “This is Goebbels. This is the final solution. If you are voting for him I will have to shoot you before election day.” They’re not going to listen to reason, so when justice is gone, there’s always force, as Laurie would say.

When confronted by commenters who questioned comparing someone running for office to one of Hitler’s henchmen, Wirbel was unambiguous. One commenter implored him, “Let’s not stoop to Trump tactics to combat Trump. Let’s defeat him with reason and data.” Wirbel would have none of it.

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Have you noticed anything surprising in the reaction to Trump’s Muslim Immigration ban?

A friend says: I think Scott Adams made the best point. But before I get to that the first question is whether there is really a problem. We have let another 1.5 million Muslims into the U.S. since 9/11 and terror from Muslims has been truly statistically insignificant. And often the perpetrator is a native born U.S. citizen and not an immigrant. Then there is the point made in Peter Beinhart’s piece which actually makes sense and gives some insight why Obama is pushing the policy he is pushing.

But there is nothing rational about the response to terrorism. Even though what happened in France or Lebanon didn’t happen in San Bernardino, it is the very thought that it could happen to anyone here at any time even if by playing the odds, you are more likely to be beaned by a golf ball, that distresses people.

I don’t think people are as afraid of Muslims changing the culture in the United States as we are of Latin Americans changing the culture and that is the reason people back Trump on illegal immigration.

The problem with terrorism, is that no one, especially Obama has proposed any concrete ways of dealing with the situation that we as Americans can relate to. Beinhart is much clearer about Obama’s strategy than Obama is.

No Republican candidate has come up with a proposed way of solving the problem. No Democrat has, so as Adams points out by default Trump is the only one with a solution, as radical, practical, effective or ineffective as it may turn out to be in practice. And as you know from what thinkers from Garrett Hardin to Thomas Sowell have said, (I am paraphrasing) you can never do just one thing. You take an action and it has consequences, some of which are unintended. No one knows the consequences of Trump’s proposal — whether it will make our Muslim population more cooperative with the government out of fear that they will be deported-or whether it will cause a greater divide with non Muslim American’s, lead to resentment and more acts of terrorism, perhaps akin to what a truly marginalized Islamic population does in Israel.

The reaction is understandable. The liberal mind which wants to avoid offending and perhaps thinks taking a Trump like position will play into the hands of the more militant Islamists are lining up against Trump. But for the rest of the population, which sees itself under threat from Muslims, not only because of terrorism, but because of sympathy for terrorism and Islamic law, and sees that our authorities are doing absolutely nothing to protect the country, and that the elites seem intent on loosening restrictions and calling anyone who opposes them racist, they have no where to go but to support Trump.

Let’s see how this plays out after a week for people to settle down and see how the political fallout plays out.

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How Obama Thinks About Terrorism

Peter Beinart writes: At the core of Barack Obama’s terrorism speech on Sunday night lay a contradiction. He gave the address to convince an increasingly fearful nation that he takes the terrorist threat seriously. But he doesn’t, at least not in the way his political opponents do.

For George W. Bush, the fight against jihadist terrorism was World War III. In his speech to Congress nine days after 9/11, Bush called al-Qaeda “the heirs of all the murderous ideologies of the 20th century … they follow in the path of fascism, Nazism, and totalitarianism.” Many Republicans still see the “war on terror” in these epic terms. After the Paris attacks, Marco Rubio didn’t merely warn that the Islamic State might take over Iraq, Syria, and other parts of the Middle East. He warned that it might take over the United States. America, he argued, is at war with people who “literally want to overthrow our society and replace it with their radical Sunni Islamic view of the future.” In his telling, the United States and “radical Islam” are virtual equals, pitted in a “civilizational conflict” that “either they win or we win.”

Obama thinks that’s absurd. Unlike Rubio, he considers violent jihadism a small, toxic strain within Islamic civilization, not a civilization itself. And unlike Bush, he doesn’t consider it a serious ideological competitor. In the 1930s, when fascism and communism were at their ideological height, many believed they could produce higher living standards for ordinary people than democratic capitalist societies that were prone to devastating cycles of boom and bust. No one believes that about “radical Islam” today. In Obama’s view, I suspect, democratic capitalism’s real ideological adversary is not the “radical Islam” of ISIS. It’s the authoritarian, state-managed capitalism of China.

While Republicans think ISIS is strong and growing stronger, Obama thinks it’s weak and growing weaker. “Terrorists,” he declared on Sunday, now “turn to less complicated acts of violence like the mass shootings that are all too common in our society.” In other words, the Islamic State probably can’t do anything to America that we Americans aren’t doing to ourselves all the time, and now largely take for granted.

Obama also argued that the Islamic State is losing in the Middle East, where the “strategy that we are using now—air strikes, special forces, and working with local forces who are fighting to regain control of their own country” will produce a “sustainable victory.”

obama

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Trump Bashed at White House Hanukkah Party

Elite Jews, like gentile elites, hate Donald Trump because Trump is a nationalist and the elites are globalists with no particular loyalty to nation-states.

Normal Jews are busy with work, family and communal obligations. They don’t have much time to devote to thinking about policy.

From the Weekly Standard:

Donald Trump seems to have dominated this year’s White House Hanukkah Party.

“Just as earlier in the day at the event commemorating the 150th anniversary of the 13th amendment ending slavery, Obama’s remarks seemed to offer a subtle rebuke to Republican frontrunner Donald Trump’s call to ban Muslims from entering the U.S.,” reports the White House print pool reporter:

The blessing over the menorah was led by Rabbi Sid Schwarz who was even more explicit in his criticism of Trump’s calls to ban Muslim immigrants. Schwarz said both of his parents fled Europe ahead of the Nazis. His father fled at 16 and then returned to Europe five years later to fight the Nazis, he said.

“At a time when we hear the most shameful expressions of bigotry in our public discourse from prominent personalities we must rededicate ourselves to the principles of tolerance and justice, something that you Mr. President have modeled throughout your presidency,” said Schwarz.

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Mark Zuckerberg Backs Islam

Mark Zuckerberg posts on FB:

I want to add my voice in support of Muslims in our community and around the world.
After the Paris attacks and hate this week, I can only imagine the fear Muslims feel that they will be persecuted for the actions of others.
As a Jew, my parents taught me that we must stand up against attacks on all communities. Even if an attack isn’t against you today, in time attacks on freedom for anyone will hurt everyone.
If you’re a Muslim in this community, as the leader of Facebook I want you to know that you are always welcome here and that we will fight to protect your rights and create a peaceful and safe environment for you.
Having a child has given us so much hope, but the hate of some can make it easy to succumb to cynicism. We must not lose hope. As long as we stand together and see the good in each other, we can build a better world for all people.

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Surprise! Harvard Doesn’t Reflect America

harvard2

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