Scott Adams Scores The Debate

Scott Adams writes:

Clinton looked (to my eyes) as if she was drugged, tired, sick, or generally unhealthy, even though she was mentally alert and spoke well. But her eyes were telling a different story. She had the look of someone whose doctors had engineered 90 minutes of alertness for her just for the event. If she continues with a light campaign schedule, you should assume my observation is valid, and she wasn’t at 100%.

Some will say Clinton outperformed expectations because she didn’t cough, collapse, or die right on stage. That would be true if she also looked healthy in general, and her campaign schedule from here on out is full. We’ll know more this week, based on her schedule.

Clinton’s smile seemed forced, artificial, and frankly creepy. I’m already hearing on Twitter that mentioning a woman’s smile is sexist. I understand the point. But when someone goes full Joker-face and tests the uncanny valley hypothesis at the same time, that’s a bit different from telling a woman to “smile more.” My neighbor Kristina hypothesized that Botox was making her smile look unnatural. Science tells us that when a person’s mouth smiles, but their eyes don’t match the smile, they look disingenuous if not creepy. Botox on your crow’s feet lines around your eyes can give that effect. But whatever the reason, something looked off to me.

To be fair, Trump’s physical appearance won’t win him any votes either. But his makeup looked better than I have seen it (no orange), his haircut was as good as it gets for him, and he was otherwise his normal self that some voters hate and some like.

But the most interesting question has to do with what problem both of them were trying to solve with the debate. Clinton tried to look healthy, and as I mentioned, I don’t think she completely succeeded. But Trump needed to solve exactly one problem: Look less scary. Trump needed to counter Clinton’s successful branding of him as having a bad temperament to the point of being dangerous to the country. Trump accomplished exactly that…by…losing the debate.

Trump was defensive, and debated poorly at points, but he did not look crazy. And pundits noticed that he intentionally avoided using his strongest attacks regarding Bill Clinton’s scandals. In other words, he showed control. He stayed in the presidential zone under pressure. And in so doing, he solved for his only remaining problem. He looked safer.

By tomorrow, no one will remember what either of them said during the debate. But we will remember how they made us feel.

Clinton won the debate last night. And while she was doing it, Trump won the election. He had one thing to accomplish – being less scary – and he did it.

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Dear Trump Supporters

Tom: “Dear Red America. Having lived in many of your regions — geographical, psychological and economic — I used to have a lot of respect for your wisdom and fortitude. I thought I understood you, and that you often endured a lot of unfair and even prejudicial scorn. That you cannot now see through this huge tub of flaming horseshit and are willing to play dangerous games with the country’s existence is a mystery to me.”

Luke: “Come on, Tom, you can do better than this. Do you think one person who disagrees with you will be persuaded by that? Or are you only virtue signaling? People not only see the world differently, but more importantly, they experience it differently because of differing biology. How much do you believe in free will? I don’t think most people can choose their politics. It springs from their genes. I think Jonathan Haidt’s perspectives of understanding where the different sides come from is more fruitful. Why do people react differently to the same stimuli, such as Trump? It’s more important to understand than to get angry.”

Tom: “This is an expression of how disappointed I am in my countrymen, that they would let this dismal spectacle get this far.”

Luke: “Well, why have they done this? How do you understand that?”

Tom: “I confess it’s a mystery to me, because I don’t think it’s rooted in anything having to do with actual policies, as Trump has nothing coherent to say. I suspect darker motives: latent bigotry, sexism and freewheeling frustration without a clear target. It’s not a good look.”

Luke: “Come on, Tom. You can do better. Use your ability to empathize. People have different politics because they experience life differently. Outside of religious faith, there are no good guys or bad guys in the universe. There are just different forms of life competing for survival and to propagate and they use different evolutionary strategies. Here is a good liberal academic [Jonathan Haidt] who always votes Democratic expending some effort to empathize with those who view the world differently from him.”

David: “You can be an atheist utilitarian and still find room for Good and evil. Go reread Cicero.”

Luke: “Yes, but it is subjective, unless you ascribe it to a transcendent source, which requires faith, and there is no point arguing over faith.”

Tom: “That’s charitable of you, Luke, and I agree that facts are processed differently by everyone, but these kinds of awful and self-defeating political decisions need to be called out.”

Luke: “How much time have you spent in real life listening to people voting for Trump without arguing back against them, but only trying to understand? I find there is nothing human that is alien to me. With some effort, I can see where anyone is coming from and why they act and think the way they do and I can describe what they see and feel without using any negative words.”

Tom: “Luke, tons. I listened to reams of it without saying a peep while working as a reporter in Wyoming, Georgia, Utah and Arizona. I have never seen the vox populi go so wrong or ugly as this year.”

Greg: “Facts are processed by rational people. The irrational, the ones who make up the nationalist base, do not process facts but feelings. The problem begins when they demand that those feelings be given parity with facts in any kind of argument. Vox populi, indeed..”

Luke: “Nobody processes facts without regard to their genetic make-up. We all have instinctual pre-rational reactions that determine our politics. We then rationalize our instincts. Nobody just looks at the facts from a blank slate and idealistically pursues the true and the good.”

“Forgive me, Tom, if you have written this up already, but can you describe the reasons people are voting for Trump using only objective language? No slurs such as racist, bigoted, etc.”

Tom: “Luke, I can’t. I feel like I am living in a parallel reality, because Trump is such an obvious liar and sociopath that I just can’t see why a rational person would want to give him the most precious office this planet can offer.”

Luke: “Of course you can, you just don’t want to expend the effort of empathy. There is no POV on politics that I can’t articulate in objective language.”

Tom: “I have tried many times over the last 12 months and it still doesn’t make sense in the final analysis. Since you seem to have the advantage on me here, can you do it in a few sentences?”

Luke: “People with a strong disgust reflex (it is stronger on the right than on the left) have a stronger reaction against diversity.”

Tom: “So it comes down to the GI tract? Not sure about that.”

Luke: Wikipedia notes: “There is evidence that conservatives are more sensitive to disgust [7] and the insula is involved in the feeling of disgust [8] On the other hand, more ‘liberal’ students tended to have a larger volume of grey matter in the anterior cingulate cortex,[5] a structure of the brain associated with monitoring uncertainty and handling conflicting information.[5][6] It is consistent with previous research suggesting that individuals with a larger ACC have a higher capacity to tolerate uncertainty and conflicts, allowing them to accept more liberal views [9] The authors concluded that, “Although our data do not determine whether these regions play a causal role in the formation of political attitudes, they converge with previous work to suggest a possible link between brain structure and psychological mechanisms that mediate political attitudes.”

Tom: “I’ve read some biological determinalism studies on this — and keep meaning to look at the work of John Alford at Rice U. but it still doesn’t explain the gullibility. Otherwise tough-minded businesspersons in the heartland are willing to take the nation to Trump University because they have a gag reflex? WHY?”

Doug: “Luke Ford, how’s your empathy level with folks like ISIS followers who adhere to an ideology that justifies cold blooded murder in the name of their religion? Surely they have many justifications for their existential conclusions. Do you give them the same benefit of the doubt, “describing what they see and feel without using any negative words?” It seems to me that there is sometimes a manifestation of evil within the human experience that transcends our desire for tolerance and attempts at mutual understanding.”

Luke: “Evil is a statement of religious faith, which is fine. Otherwise, ISIS are just following their group interest.”

“Tom, what percentage of people do you think have free will in their political choices? I’d say almost none. We all have instinctive reactions that the more intelligent try to rationalize. Do you think half the population has free will with their political choices? Tom, do you think you have free will with your political choices?”

Tom: “I sort of see Luke’s point about group interest, though. Last night watching the debate, this quote from Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein came to mind. “No man chooses evil because it is evil; he only mistakes it for happiness, the good he seeks.””

Luke: “Exactly. ISIS has many reasons to believe it is doing the will of Allah. If Hitler had allowed his generals to go for Moscow in August of 1941, Germany would have won WWII and Nazism would be the dominant ideology of the West.”

“When I look back on my life, I don’t I could have ever chosen otherwise based on who I was at the time. Given who you were at the time and your level of understanding? Could you really have chosen differently?”

AR: “This is circular logic, Luke. We all could have made different choices in the past. The fact that we didn’t doesn’t obviate free will. And we’re living in the present, not the past.”

Luke: “We may think we’re living in the present, but the past is never past. I suspect that most of us most of the time have less freedom than we imagine and that we are more in the grip of our genes, our history, our social setting than we would like to admit. Freedom of choice is a faith statement, like good and evil.”

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Forward: Hollywood Makes Its Case Against ‘Denial’ — Will It Matter?

I hope the side with unlimited funds gets portrayed as the plucky underdog.

David Irving could only afford to represent himself as he went up against Deborah Lipstadt’s generously funded legal team.

Wikipedia: “Lipstadt hired the British solicitor Anthony Julius to present her case, while Penguin Books hired Kevin Bays and Mark Bateman, libel specialist from media firm Davenport Lyons. They briefed the libel barrister Richard Rampton QC and Penguin also briefed junior barrister Heather Rogers. The defendants (with Penguin’s insurers paying the fee) also retained Professor Richard J. Evans, historian and Professor of Modern History at Cambridge University, as an expert witness. Also working as expert witnesses were the American Holocaust historian Christopher Browning, the German historian Peter Longerich and the Dutch architectural expert Robert Jan van Pelt. The latter wrote a report attesting to the fact that the death camps were designed, built and used for the purpose of mass murder, while Browning testified for the reality of the Holocaust.”

Forward Editor Jane Eisner writes:

The role of memory, and its fraught relationship to fact and truth, is threaded through Lipstadt’s legal battle with Irving, and so through “Denial,” the new film dramatizing that epic British courtroom struggle. The film debuted at the Toronto Film Festival and will open in select cities in the United States on September 30. Starring Rachel Weisz as Lipstadt, it’s based on Lipstadt’s book recounting her ordeal, “History on Trial: My Day in Court With a Holocaust Denier.”

Though in the end victorious, Lipstadt faced a legal saga that was filled with uncertainty and marked by intense loneliness. In the United Kingdom, the burden of proof in a libel case is on the accused, so it was up to Lipstadt and her British legal team to prove that Irving was wrong; that the Holocaust had, indeed, occurred, and that Jews were its intended victims. Lipstadt, then and today still a professor at Emory University, had put everything on the line to defend herself against the claims of a man who was driven by prejudice and anti-Semitism but also knew how to construct a cunning and cynical argument.

“History on Trial” was published in 2005, and it eerily resonates today. The rise of anti-Semitism in Europe and the surge of derogatory Holocaust-related tropes on social media perpetrated by extremists in this country raise a similar quandary: How do you deal with those who deny history, who disregard factual evidence, who seem to care little for the truth? And can this one film — a solid, interesting, at times gripping film, but one not destined for blockbuster status — help counter an ugly narrative?

The contemporary echoes were one reason that Weisz, whose parents fled from the Nazis, wanted the part. “Obviously, the Holocaust being on trial is just a very outlandish notion to me,” the British-born actress said during an interview in a Manhattan hotel. “But the idea that there are objective truths, and there is a difference between opinion and fact — in the current climate of relativism, people just spout opinions as if they are facts! There doesn’t seem to be much respect for the difference of the two things. So I thought it was fascinating to put something on trial and prove it was irrefutably a fact and that someone’s opinion didn’t stand up.”

David Irving is a complicated chap. There’s an excellent five-part British miniseries “Selling Hitler” about the Hitler Diaries. Apparently, Irving lead the way in denouncing the diaries as fraudulent after first calling them genuine.

From Wikipedia:

In 1983, Stern, a weekly German news magazine, purchased for 9 million marks the Hitler Diaries of 61 volumes and published excerpts from them. Irving played the major role in uncovering the Hitler Diaries as a hoax. In October 1982 Irving purchased, from the same source as Stern’s 1983 purchase, 800 pages of documents relating to Hitler, only to discover that many of the documents were forgeries.[52] Irving was amongst the first to identify the diaries as forgeries, and to draw media attention. He went so far as to crash the press conference held by Hugh Trevor-Roper at the Hamburg offices of Stern magazine on 25 April 1983 to denounce the diaries as a forgery and Trevor-Roper for endorsing the diaries as genuine.[53] Irving’s performance at the Stern press conference where he violently harangued Trevor-Roper until ejected by security led him to be featured prominently on the news; the next day, Irving appeared on the Today television show as a featured guest.[54] Irving had concluded that the alleged Hitler diaries were a forgery because they had come from the same dealer in Nazi memorabilia from whom Irving had purchased his collection in 1982.[52] At the press conference in Hamburg, Irving announced, “I know the collection from which these diaries come. It is an old collection, full of forgeries. I have some here”.[52] Irving was proud to have detected and announced the hoax material and of the “trail of chaos” he had created at the Hamburg press conference and the attendant publicity it had brought him, and took pride in his humiliation of Trevor-Roper, whom Irving strongly disliked for his sloppy work (not detecting the hoax) and criticism of Irving’s methods and conclusions.[55] Irving also noted internal inconsistencies in the supposed Hitler diaries, such as a diary entry for 20 July 1944, which would have been unlikely given that Hitler’s right hand had been badly burned by the bomb planted in his headquarters by Colonel Claus von Stauffenberg earlier that day.[56]

A week later on 2 May, Irving asserted that many of the diary documents appear to be genuine; at the same press conference, Irving took the opportunity to promote his translation of the memoirs of Hitler’s physician Dr. Theodor Morell.[55] Robert Harris, in his book Selling Hitler, suggested that an additional reason for Irving’s change of mind over the authenticity of the alleged Hitler diaries was that the fake diaries contain no reference to the Holocaust, thereby buttressing Irving’s claim in Hitler’s War that Hitler had no knowledge of it.[57] Subsequently Irving conformed when the diaries were declared as a forgery by consensus. At a press conference held to withdraw his endorsement of the diaries, Irving proudly claimed that he was the first to call them a forgery, to which a reporter replied that he was also the last to call them genuine.

David Irving is the subject of a great Wikipedia profile. He lost his libel lawsuit against Deborah Lipstadt. Here is David’s side.

Jack the Jew* emails:

David Duke of course came to his views on race through the KKK. It is easy to think of David Duke as a clown, but his views on Jews largely parallel Kevin MacDonald’s.

David Irving is a different case. He was a respected amateur historian and popular author about military matters. He is educated guy and a really talented writer. Because he speaks and reads German fluently, he has used original source material for his works. He is more responsible than anyone, other than Kurt Vonnegut, for publicizing British firebomb raid on Dresden (for fans of Pynchon’s Gravity’s Rainbow, it plays a significant part in that book as well). What happened with Irving is that in all of his original research, he was unable to come up with anything linking Hitler with direct orders to exterminate the Jews. He also minimized the number of Jews who were deliberately killed. (The numbers, even from established historians of the Holocaust, are all over the map. Arno Mayer, who wrote, Why did the Heavens not darken, in that book said that more Jews died of disease and other causes than were put to death in gas chambers in Auschwitz.)

Deborah Lipstadt wrote a book in which she called Irving a Holocaust Denier, lumping him with people who were explicit Holocaust deniers. Irving sued her in England for libel and lost. In the process Irving’s historical research was shredded by Richard Evans, another British historian of WWII and the Nazis, because Evans said that Irving had deliberately shaped his books and opinions by ignoring some facts and stressing others to reach a desired result.

This result of the trial pretty much ruined Irving’s reputation among serious historians. However, there are a number of points that really have to be made in Irving’s defense: Irving foolishly represented himself at trial whereas Libstadt’s team consisted of the best barristers in England paid millions of pounds by wealthy Jews including Spielberg. Evans was paid hundreds of thousands of pounds to testify as an expert witness, and in subsequent events, has been criticized by neutral sources as someone who has made serious errors in his own works. Irving made all of his source materials available to the defense and Lipstadt refused to turn over much of what she had that she based her claim in the book on.

Irving is probably the English speaking historian who knows the most about the Nazi leadership having read and translated Goebbels diaries, written a book on Goebels and on Himmler as well as on other aspects. Irving has also changed his views on the extent of the Holocaust. He still doesn’t think it can be attributed to Hitler, but does think that others in the leadership were involved, and he now concedes that there were extermination camps and that at least hundreds of thousands of Jews were killed.

Christopher Hitchens strongly supported Irving’s right to his opinions and his books. The question is always one of whether histories should be refuted by calling its author a racist or an anti-Semite or refuted with facts. Irving was not some crank pounding out tracts. He may have had an agenda as Evans testified, but if that is the case, identify the agenda as Evans did and show how Irving distorted the facts. However, that may be true for some of the parts of Irving’s works, its certainly not true for most of them.

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Why Donald Trump Won Last Night’s Debate

From the Forward:

Joshua Seidel is a Trump supporter and a Jew on the alt right.

Right from the start Trump was aggressive and focused on Clinton’s documented shortcomings. His strategy was a smart one: keep the attacks coming while discussing his policy ideas with broad brush strokes. Trump took every question from Holt and turned it into the discussion HE wanted to have. Holt asked about the economy and how to make it better: Trump responded by talking about everything from trade policy to his own business success, while attacking Hillary’s record on NAFTA. His responses were so dense, so filled with asides and potential tangents, than Clinton couldn’t possibly respond to every assertion Trump was making. Instead, she had to lamely refer people to her own website for “fact checking.” Trump’s strategy here was brilliant: attack Clinton on specific issues, make her defend herself while presenting his own policies more broadly, and making it difficult for her to counter him on specifics. Clinton was on defense virtually the entire debate. By making his attacks early, Trump made it seem as though Clinton was merely responding, rather than coming up with unique attacks on her own, as she hit his tax and business records.

Trump used Holt’s rather hands-off moderating to his advantage. Holt wouldn’t press Trump to answer questions directly and with specifics, and Trump used this to answer in the way he wished. He used old sales tricks to let Holt keep him talking, such as responding to a question with a question. “You asked me a question, didn’t you Lester?” he said at one point as Holt tries to ask a follow-up. “Let me answer.” Reminded me of my cold-calling days.

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I wonder what Hitler would have thought about medical marijuana

Gerard J. Perry: Hitler was anti-pot but pro-meth.

hitler_07

Miriam: “What would Hitler think”, is that your equivalent of Christian’s “WWJD?”

Joshua Pitterman: I always ask myself what would Hitler think before I do anything important, I feel hashem loves Irony.

Miriam: Ha! This made my day. Thank you.

Posted in Adolf Hitler | Comments Off on I wonder what Hitler would have thought about medical marijuana