Obvious Truths

* Since 2017, Joe Biden has increasingly appeared senile in his public appearances. The same news media that shamelessly covered up for Biden and has taken zero accountability, is now covering Donald Trump.
* Kamala Harris was a terrible candidate for president of the United States, and leading Democrats including Joe Biden, Bill & Hillary Clinton and the Obamas knew she was a terrible candidate but endorsed her anyway because they were less afraid of losing the election than of challenging their party’s commitment to DEI (diversity, equity & inclusion).
* Kamala is characterized by crippling insecurity, indecisiveness and abuse of her staff.
* Kamala never had a chance in the sunbelt states (Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina) and she consistently trailed in the rustbelt states (Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania). For a year prior to the election, private polls for both Democrats and Republicans showed Trump performing about two points better in the battleground states than public polls revealed.
* Private polls are better funded and more rigorous than public polls.
* Early voting numbers indicated for a month prior to the election that Trump was positioned to win.
* If you claimed up to election day that it was a 50-50 race, you don’t know much.
* Mark Halperin is America’s best political journalist.
* Like Ronald Reagan, Donald Trump is not much interested in governance.
* Matt Gaetz, Pete Hegseth and Bobby Kennedy were unfit and unqualified for their proposed cabinet posts. It does not speak well of Trump that he nominated them.

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Liberals won’t tune out the news for long (11-22-24)

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My hopes and fears for the new Trump administration

I’ve been thinking about these questions:

>So knowing what you know about Harris and Trump, who do you think has the potential to make more terrible decisions as president?
Trump has the bigger up side and down side.

Do you think project 25 will be implemented?
About as much as any think tank plans get implemented (modestly).

Do you think some of the checks and balances on power will be dismantled by trump and his team?
They will try. Civil servants donate 99-1 for Democrats. More political appointments and fewer veteran civil servants might lead to a reduction in the competence of government. My biggest fears about Trump are incompetence and corruption, and nothing he’s done since the election has reduced these fears. Like Reagan, Trump is more interested in performance than in the nuts and bolts of governing. His cabinet picks do not indicate a preference for competence. 

Do you think Trump will place his people in DoJ and FBI to neutralize checks and balances on power?
Yes. He has some basis for believing the deep state is trying to thwart him, so I have an open mind that he might have some success here and that might lead to better governance, or it might be a disaster.

Will the lives of the working poor be better or worse on balance?
During Trump’s first term, the least educated Americans had their first substantial relative income increase in 70 years… so I think that trend will continue.  

Will he do what he has openly stated?
He’ll do some. Trump is simultaneously the biggest liar and the most honest politician ever.

Do you think increased tariffs will make inflation better or worse?
There’s a difference between the threat of tariffs and the implementation of tariffs. During his first term, Trump had low inflation. Higher tariffs will lead to higher inflation but Trump will also drive down energy costs, which will reduce inflation. 

We are entering a fascinating era in history – will we rue the day we are part of it?
Events, my dear boy, events will determine everything. 

I forgot how exhausting and exciting living under Trump can be. There’s just a water cannon of news every day. 

I’ve been pro Trump for nine years, but I acknowledge that most criticisms of him have substantial validity. A normal person could look at Trump’s behavior after losing the 2020 election, and look at January 6, and regard that as disqualifying. Trump’s behavior was horrible.

NYT: “Higher levels of news consumption track with higher levels of income and education. In big cities, where information is currency and knowledge is status, there are social costs to not keeping up.”

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Some Christian communities in Lebanon fear Muslim refugees (11-21-24)

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America voted for normality and competence (11-20-24)

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Everything You Wanted To Know About Cottaging But Were Afraid To Ask (11-19-20)

01:00 “It always surprises me… how little compassion is shown for those forced to have sex in toilets. Being gay, wanting closeness despite a time when that was frowned on, is not a crime.” https://www.smh.com.au/national/i-took-on-alan-jones-i-survived-but-the-backlash-terrified-me-20241118-p5krn3.html
09:00 Joe Biden signs off on Ukraine using American missiles to attack Russia, increasing our risk for nuclear war
13:00 MEN who visit toilets for gay sex, https://forums.digitalspy.com/discussion/1125879/men-who-visit-toilets-for-gay-sex/p9
15:00 UCLA toilet sex, https://dailybruin.com/2007/04/25/emtheres_more_casual_sex_you_may_thinkem
16:00 How did toilet cruising work?, https://ask.metafilter.com/276076/How-did-toilet-cruising-work
17:00 Why do so many gay men still go cruising and cottaging?, https://www.attitude.co.uk/culture/sexuality/why-do-so-many-gay-men-still-go-cruising-and-cottaging-293683/
18:00 Investigation of motivational and behavioural factors influencing men who have sex with other men in public toilets (cottaging), https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8218468/
19:00 With the increased acceptance of homosexuality in the US, why is “cruising” for anonymous sex in public restrooms and parks still so popular for many gay/bi males?, https://www.quora.com/With-the-increased-acceptance-of-homosexuality-in-the-US-why-is-cruising-for-anonymous-sex-in-public-restrooms-and-parks-still-so-popular-for-many-gay-bi-males?top_ans=268693603
20:00 This Is Why Men Meet For Sex In Public Toilets, https://www.buzzfeed.com/patrickstrudwick/men-are-still-meeting-for-sex-in-public-toilets-and-the
20:40 Trump & Bibi vs the deep state, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r0HcReRPJZ8
29:00 Making America normal again
39:00 Dan Turrentine posted a selfies with his wife and shocked the world, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4-3GJDf-epg
41:30 Great Rabbinic Thinkers: Rabbi Samuel Mohilever (Part 2) || Dr. Marc Shapiro, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQvjLO7ckMM
47:00 Israel Update: ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE LEAK SCANDAL, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiXQJ2WnKkQ
49:50 The Morning Meeting: After Dark 11/19 | Political News: Trump Transition, Dem Realignment & More, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4-3GJDf-epg
53:30 The Morning Meeting S3E10 | Trump Nominees & Democratic Chair Candidates, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MstNXQfs3vc
58:00 The better job depends upon your ego (NEC vs Treasury head)
1:02:00 How Illegal Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting, https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/how-immigrants-redistribute-political-power-without-voting/
1:05:00 The New Election Gurus: Using early-voting data, an emerging crop of number-crunchers predicted Trump’s win long before the pollsters and pundits did., https://www.city-journal.org/article/the-new-election-gurus
1:16:00 Migrants leaving USA before Trump takes office, Haitians leave Springfield, OH

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Decoding Donald Trump’s Matt Gaetz Pick For Attorney General (11-18-24)

01:00 Global leaders scramble to align with Trump, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LpuxYdWcnVA
09:50 Sean Spicer: Retribution w/Steve Bannon | Ep 325, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yrp11c8E6b8
13:00 Haredi Jews support Trump, https://www.haaretz.com/jewish/2024-11-18/ty-article-magazine/.premium/how-trumpism-reshaped-new-yorks-haredi-political-landscape/00000193-3a23-db66-aff3-7ea3a8770000
17:30 Centcom won’t pivot to asia
20:30 Our culture is healing
21:00 Sailer: An interesting side effect of Trump’s broad-based victory seems to be that it’s encouraging formerly Woke celebrities to act more decently and to regret their participating in cancel culture pile-ons during the Great Awokening.
30:50 Elliott Blatt joins to say Trump has to go on offense
51:00 Trump dance takes over sports
1:08:00 “Morning Joe” Frauds Announce They Went and Met with Trump at Mar-a-Lago, with Glenn Greenwald, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INYSrOjuH3s
1:10:00 Kip joins to discuss that the Democrats are coming back
1:14:00 Is it OK to enjoy the downfall of your enemies?
1:22:00 The Trump Picks…So Far | Roundtable: Sarah Isgur, Jonah Goldberg, Steve Hayes, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0FICEXQldk
1:23:00 Sarah Isgur always went out with guys who asked her out, including Ben Shapiro
1:24:00 Solicitor General nominee John Sauer took Sarah Isgur out to a play, https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/11/trump-taps-lawyer-who-argued-his-immunity-case-for-solicitor-general/

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Populists Win Elections, But Rarely Govern Effectively II (11-17-24)

01:00 All In Podcast on Trump’s picks, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CBMlzHo0AU
12:00 Why Populists WIN Elections But Fail to Govern, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-Jfl1MOpyI
15:00 How right was Reagan? https://www.theamericanconservative.com/how-right-was-reagan/
25:00 Vox: Want to understand why Trump won the election? Look at pop culture.
How entertainment, from Morgan Wallen to Twisters, predicted the MAGA pivot. https://www.vox.com/culture/385292/pop-culture-maga-trump-election-morgan-wallen-post-malone-twisters-zach-bryan
45:00 Amy Wax speaks at Jared Taylor’s American Renaissance conference on race realism
47:30 Anthony Cumia speaks at American Renaissance
55:50 Tim Dillon on how to become famous, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSEikSfS1j0
1:01:00 Armie Hammer is doing a podcast with his Christian evangelist mom and how he was molested as a kid
1:14:10 Three defining moments of Joe Biden’s Middle East policy, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dxXyNWYtvE
1:23:10 Hacks on Tap: Picking Through the Rubble, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEZE8tlILZY
1:33:00 Grooming gangs going strong in the UK, police more interested in shutting down speech on social media protesting groomer gangs
1:41:00 Steve Sailer, Amy Wax & Jack Posobiec, https://x.com/PassagePress/status/1856773469427700050
1:52:50 Kip joins to talk about liberal control of universities and other American institutions
2:05:40 Advice for Elon & Trump, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1PD_CY7kmk
2:08:00 Charlie Kirk explains the Trump campaign, https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1856436925063639381
2:14:00 90% of sources come from Democrat-affiliated spaces
2:14:30 How do Republicans overcome the talent disparity? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1PD_CY7kmk

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Populists Win Elections, But Rarely Govern Effectively (11-16-24)

01:00 “The Status Quo Is Failing”: Why a Harvard-Trained Docter and Ex-Democrat Chose RFK Jr., https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dxXyNWYtvE
07:00 NYT: Three-Quarters of U.S. Adults Are Now Overweight or Obese, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/well/obesity-epidemic-america.html
21:00 Liberals speak a different language, https://www.ft.com/content/cd01b007-7156-4da4-8d0f-e34e9ebfcc82
24:00 Polling: What Is on the Minds of Americans | Reimagining American Institutions | Hoover Institution, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SM_vJOjYd_Q
42:00 Since 2015, we’ve stopped fighting about the role and size of government to identity
1:02:00 So you want to be famous? Trump’s Cabinet | The Tim Dillon Show, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSEikSfS1j0
1:03:30 Elliott Blatt spent the day in bed
1:05:00 Elliott tries fasting
1:08:00 America loves big tits, big dicks, big portions, big cars, big homes, big screens
1:13:00 Kip joins to discuss tracking his food intake
1:32:00 Minneapolis use-of-force instructor: Officers not trained to use knee on neck, https://www.axios.com/2021/04/06/chauvin-trial-force-instructor-knee-neck
1:35:00 The Media Are The Lapdogs Of The Experts, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_cSipbwGMQ
1:43:00 Why Populists WIN Elections But Fail to Govern, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-Jfl1MOpyI
1:49:00 Reagan movie, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reagan_(2024_film)

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American culture went MAGA prior to the election (11-15-24)

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