Richard Lynn writes in his book, The Chosen People: A Study of Jewish Intelligence and Achievement:
A pessimistic view of the future of Israel was taken by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency in a report issued in March 2009. It predicted that Israel and Palestine would merge in a “one- state solution” and that the fertility of the Palestinians would be so much greater than that of Jews that they would inevitably become a majority of the population. Jews would then find Israel uncomfortable, and large numbers would emigrate. Even if this does not take place, increasing numbers of Jews will likely leave Israel. Many Jews already foresee these alarming potential possibilities and are considering emigration. The CIA report notes, “Over 500,000 Israelis have American passports and those who do not have American or Western passports, have already applied for them.” The study further predicts the return of over 1.5 million Israelis to Russia and other parts of Europe. The report concluded that Israel may well not survive as a Jewish state beyond the next 20 years. Even if this timescale is excessively short, it is difficult to be optimistic about the survival of Israel as a Jewish state over the longer term. For all these reasons, it is impossible to be other than pessimistic about the survival of the Jews as an ethnic group in the medium term. Israel will likely be lost as the Jewish homeland, as the numbers of Arabs increase and Jews emigrate. Elsewhere, apart from a small number of Hasidim, it seems likely that increasing numbers of Jews will lose their faith, marry non-Jews, and raise their children as Gentiles; more and more Jews will be assimilated with their Gentile host communities and lose their Jewish identity. This will be bad news for Jews who value their genetic and cultural heritage. On the other hand, it will be good news for Gentiles, who will benefit from an infusion of Jewish genes that have contributed so much to world culture.
