Grok says: The revenue generated from tariffs imposed during Donald Trump’s presidency, particularly in his second term starting in 2025, has been significant but varies based on different estimates and timeframes:First Term (2017–2021): During Trump’s first term, tariffs on goods such as steel, aluminum, and a broad range of products from China generated substantial revenue. In fiscal year 2020, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection collected $74.4 billion in tariffs, more than double the amount collected before Trump took office. Over the seven years from 2018, total collections from China, steel, aluminum, and solar panel tariffs amounted to $257 billion.
Second Term (2025): Since taking office in January 2025, Trump has imposed new tariffs, including a 10% baseline tariff on most imports and higher rates on specific countries and goods. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, as of April 25, 2025, the U.S. collected $285 million per day in customs and excise taxes, totaling over $16.1 billion for April alone. This is an increase from $128 million per day on January 17, 2025, the last day of the Biden administration. The Treasury Department reported $68.9 billion in tariffs and excise taxes collected in the first five months of 2025, a 78% increase from the same period in 2024.
Projections: The Tax Policy Center estimates that Trump’s tariffs from 2025 onward could raise about $3.3 trillion from 2026 to 2035, plus $190 billion in 2025, though this is roughly half of the $6–7 trillion projected by Trump’s trade advisor Peter Navarro. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that if tariffs remain in place, they could raise $2.8 trillion over the next decade, potentially reducing the federal deficit. However, these projections account for reduced import demand due to higher prices, which could lower revenue. The Penn Wharton Budget Model estimates $5.2 trillion over 10 years on a conventional basis and $4.5 trillion dynamically, factoring in economic effects.
