Steering The Elephant

Comments at Steve Sailer:

* There is a book entitled Steering the Elephant, a collection of essays by first-term Reagan Administration officials describing the obstacles that they encountered trying to implement Ronald Reagan’s programs back in the relatively sedate 1980s. It makes for very sobering reading, and the resistance to a Trump Administration will be at least an order of magnitude greater than the writers of those essays encountered. I have a high regard for Donald Trump but turning “the elephant” that is the present national government may be beyond the capabilities of any person at this stage.

* Are you unaware that Trump has had a lifetime of experience managing organizations many of which have comprised thousands of employees? In fact Trump has had a hell of a lot more management experience including delegation of authority than any president since Eisenhower.

* I don’t think Trump has a problem with high level staff. In case some missed it, he just ran an almost flawlessly brilliant national primary campaign in the face of stiff, experienced, well-financed, and well-organized opposition. The same people who are now “worried” about his ability to staff a presidential campaign were also, up until a few months ago, avidly predicting his imminent defeat in the GOP primary.

Trump also will have no problem attracting the lower-levels of volunteer and paid staff for his upcoming presidential campaign. The fervent support that many ordinary Americans express for this man guarantees no lack of volunters for campaign grunt work.

Where Trump may have a problem is building up a sufficient mid-level campaign staff. The party usually plays a major role providing these. Unfortunately, Trump must deal with packs of RINOs and establishment hacks who think the only way they can cling to their sad shreds of amour propre is by ensuring that the corrupt and dangerously inept Hillary Rodham Clinton is our next president. These traitorous scum will do everything in their power to sabotage Trump’s presidential campaign.

* Trump is more cynical and wary than most men about the innate honesty and motives of other people. He’s worked in the New York business field long enough to give him a lot of perspective about the innate goodness of mankind.

* Trump’s lack of staff almost cost him the nomination back when Ted Cruz started snarfing up delegates in backroom deals. The general election, ironically, should be a simpler matter as the rules are straightforward: just persuade the people to come out and vote for you.

Staffing will become critical once he’s president. Maybe this’ll be an opportunity to finally abolish those bureaucracies the GOP is forever promising to shut down but never does: the Departments of Education and Energy, the federal mortgage agencies, the EEOC. And turn 75% of the rest to the states.

* I think what Trump is relying on is that people in the universe of political staffers are naturally ladder climbers. What I think he’s banking on is that all he has to do is, with the force of his personality and command presence, ordain his particular brand of alt-center civic nationalism, and then he’ll hire people who are close to that way of thinking even if not precisely there, and then they’ll eventually come around to his way of thinking simply because they want to impress him.

I know it’s very possible, people doing political jobs that aren’t in tune with their personal politics, because I can see one on the other side of the mirror. I’m a fringe of the fringe alt-right neoreactionary dark enlightenment ethnonationalist white nationalist, making a living riding herd for various standard issue boilerplate lamestream conservative special interests in state government. If I was a Trump staffer, I’d have mostly the same problem, that I’d be professionally behaving to the left of my personal proclivities.

* Any company with more than 50 employees and a federal contract exceeding $50K must have a documented affirmative action policy. Dig a few ditches for NASA and you’re in the club.

Virtually every big city has similar policies for its contractors – all with the nodding approval of Uncle Sam.

My experience as a federal contractor is one of the single biggest things that turned me from a liberal to an alt-righter. In the small market for science/engineering services, many of the companies are owned by favored minorities who get preferences through the SBD and 8(a) programs. These are usually Indian or Latino immigrants retired from many years’ government service, or false fronts owned by a figurehead minority.

* Jeb had a massive machine in place across the country and it didn’t help him at all. Why? Because his central message was the dissolution of the U.S. into the NAU where whites would become 2nd class citizens. Staffing can’t fix a bad message and disliked, low energy candidate.

Furthermore, there were other opponents with very good ground games and they also lost to Trump.

Trump OTOH has a message that resonates with the white blue collars and middle-class (not so much with government workers and urban professionals) whom the GOP could never get out in any numbers since Reagan.

Look at Trump’s rallies, they’re massive. His opponents were lucky to have several hundred to a few thousand. I’ve seen Hillary’s rallies where there were more press there than supporters. If you notice the press will never do a pan of a Hillary audience. I don’t think her support is anywhere where the MSM says it is.

* The morning of the Indiana primary Trump called into one of the morning shows and was asked to comment on some audio from the day before where Cruz Sr. was speaking to some voters and, because he is a smarmy preacher type like his son, told them if you don’t vote Cruz you’re voting for evil. Trump, properly displeased, then brought up the Cruz/Oswald story that was also reported in a Miami paper (not just the National Inquirer) a day or two before. Cruz Sr. was playing hardball for his son and Trump played hardball right back. Trump’s willingness to ‘go there’ is one of the reasons why he is currently the nominee and on a glide path to victory in November.

* 1. Trump won’t need as many staffers as he’s from the private sector, not the govt. The private sector has a bottom line, remember …
2. Trump already has 20k+ competent people working for him, some of whom can be transferred to DC in a heartbeat.
3. Trump could hire as those in the private sector have always hired — using head hunters and word-of-mouth. This is a glorious chance to get rid of the deadwood in the military and government and replace them with people with a viable work ethic.
4. Trump is retirement age. He probably knows a hundred of competent, experienced and bored ex-CEOs. They’d do far better than anyone in DC.

* Donald Trump took out Pataki, Graham, Jindal, Walker, Perry, Gilmore, Santorum, Christie, Fiorina, Huckabee, Paul, Bush, Carson, Rubio, Kasich and Cruz. He did so with about 65 million dollars with 45 million coming from his own pocket. Together the other candidates spent more than 650 million dollars. They had also support from GOP establishment, Democratic establishment, media (including international media), Hollywood, Finance, Academia and Conservative Inc. In GOP race Bush, Cruz, Rubio and Carson spent about 460 million dollars. In 2012 Mitt Romney spent about 77 million dollars on the GOP race. He was backed by everybody and had a much easier ride. Romney spent about 18.5 dollar on every vote. Donald Trump spent 4.5 dollars on every vote.

Trumps strategy has been holding large events, use social media and say “outrages” (according to liberals) things so media have something to write. Right now, Donald Trump has 10.1 million followers on Twitter. Hillary Clinton has 7.6 million followers. In this round Trump has at least some support from at Fox News and the GOP. Trump has also will also have a ton of grassroots working for him. That means that he will be significantly stronger than before. Hillary and her ilk may spend 2 billion dollars. Trump and GOP would do very well with 500 million dollars. He is marketing genius. His positions have been extremely popular among voters and if he just develop and explain his positions in his RNC speech he may end up winning.

* It seems like Trump use young communication director Stephen Miller a lot. Miller worked for years for Jeff Sessions and apparently they are close to “best friends”. Miller have only held one job before he started to work for Trump and that was working as an aid for Sessions. He started working for Sessions almost straight out of college. Miller is by all account a right-wing nationalist. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if it was disclosed that he read Alt-Right webzines. In College, Miller experimented with everything from libertarianism to white nationalism. When I listen to Miller I think about Jason Richwine. Recent interview with Richwine at Stefan Molyneux:

* Does Trump even need a staff? He is more of a viral idea than a political candidate. A majority of Americans have watched in horror for the past four years as Obama’s chaotic world order took root and domestic black terrorists went out of their skulls, egged on by Obama’s Department of Justice. They have watched our elite universities dominated by Chinese and Indian economic migrants and our public schools fill up with a motley assortment of disruptive special needs immigrant kiddies. Change has come so fast that there are plenty of people under 60 who remember America as a much better place even during the black and hippie crime wave of the 60′s/70′s because it didn’t really affect most communities. A large majority of white Americans won’t need much persuasion to vote for Trump at this point. The coalition of fringes is starting to fray as America’s Half Blood Prince fades from the scene, and the weekly drumbeat of black, Muslim, and Hispanic demons committing atrocities is taking its toll on public sympathy for the Hope and Change doctrine. Hillary is now like a restaurant with a two star Yelp Review. The DNC is going to struggle no matter how much money they raise or how many staff they hire.

* “In order for a crew of liars to believe a person can be trusted, they generally have to hold an insurance policy. Therefore it is reasonable to assume there is something VERY DARK in the background of Tim Kaine that team Clinton know and can hold against him as insurance for silence. Your gut is already screaming at you what Kaines secret is, you just need to listen to it. (Jesuit all male school)

“Kaine is a shipwreck searching for the hidden rocks. Watch, you’ll see.”

* Once President Trump defines his federal institutional priorities, denizens of the disfavored institutions will scramble like rats from sinking ships and will vie for cross-transfer posts into the favored institutions and initiatives in which they will beaver dutifully at making America First. There is no more craven mercenary than the bureaucrat confronted with loss or diminution of his sinecure and its powers, influence, perks, and privileges. Mr. Trump is a past master of manipulating such mercenaries.

* I have had confidence for quite a while now that Trump will win handily, based on the human dynamics. Trump has hardly lost anything in his life. Meanwhile, Clinton has hardly put a foot right as Secretary of State. Between corruption, schoolmarmish PC following, drunkeness on both power and red wine giving a carelessness not before seen in a presidential nominee, this is not a prescription for agile navigation of a course to suit America’s best interests. This will play out in how Bill’s wife attempts to navigate a path to success in the general election.

We are seeing that now, with a declaration for amnesty at the outset of the campaign. She has drunk the koolaid – the “helpful” advice from the MSM about how to increase the critically important Hispanic vote. But that concern-troll advice is for Republicans, not Democrats. It’s a complete waste of time trying to win another 5% of a vote that is already going to be 70% in your camp. So she’s alienating everyone bar Hispanics and SJWs – the perfect foil for Trump. Far better to fail to disclose that plan, and appear to be a Bill-like moderate.

For all the talk of a “power couple”, Bill’s wife reminds me of the meddling, busybody wife of the big man that people are familiar with (and resent) from their own experience, whether it is on a sports team, business, or some other organization.

* If the primaries taught us anything, it’s that:
A.) voters are clamoring for more of the same,
B.) TV ads are still the best way to influence voters, and
C.) being closely associated with Wall St makes people think a candidate is trustworthy and steadfast.

The way I see it, the 2016 election is Hill’s to lose!

* I always kept on bugging my kids to do well in English when their grades appeared to be declining. One day my son said he wanted to learn Spanish fluently since it was taking over America. I said go ahead, but you’ll be competing for janitorial jobs. He was perplexed and I had to explain to him another fact of life that English is the respected language for making money internationally. The better he spoke, read and understood English then he would have better chances of making excellent money as an adult. I explained to him the world isn’t the U.N. and English is the primary language during international business meetings when there are Japanese, Germans, Chinese (pick any dialect), Indians, Italians, etc… And since he is a gringo, he would never be accepted or trusted by elites in Spanish speaking circles that control the peso. Then I tested his math skills and asked him to convert dollars to any Spanish speaking currency. Years later, he knows some Spanish & German, but his English language skills are impeccable.

About Luke Ford

I've written five books (see Amazon.com). My work has been covered in the New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, and on 60 Minutes. I teach Alexander Technique in Beverly Hills (Alexander90210.com).
This entry was posted in America. Bookmark the permalink.