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Monthly Archives: July 2025
Will The 12-Day War Precipitate Regime Change In Iran, Russia & China?
I see no empirical evidence that Israel’s attack on Iran will lead to regime change in Iran, let alone Russia and China. My spidey sense is that the odds of regime change in these countries is much higher than the … Continue reading
Posted in America
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Elon Musk’s Terrible Political Judgment
Elon Musk is a free speech hero and a brilliant entrepreneur, but he’s not wise when it comes to politics. Most of us have spheres of life where we are excellent and spheres where we’re terrible. I’m not the type … Continue reading
Posted in America
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Palestinianism
Much of the hatred of Jews and the Jewish state is hatred of excellence, as George Gilder noted. Dan Burmawi writes: Palestinianism is a dumping ground. A catch-all container for every resentful ideology, every broken theory, every radical cause. Marxists, … Continue reading
Posted in Anti-Semitism
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What is abductive reasoning and how does it help us?
Grok says: Abductive reasoning is a form of logical inference that seeks the most likely explanation for a set of observations. Unlike deductive reasoning, which derives specific conclusions from general premises with certainty, or inductive reasoning, which generalizes from specific … Continue reading
Posted in Philosophy
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What does abductive reasoning tell us about why Israel and then America attacked Iran recently?
Leading with vulnerability works for individuals at times, but it is not a great strategy for states. Grok says: Israel’s Attack (June 13, 2025): Israel launched a surprise attack targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities (e.g., Natanz, Fordo), military bases, and key … Continue reading