Jewish Baby Boom Alters Israeli-Palestinian Dynamic

WSJ: JERUSALEM—Israel’s peace camp and its international backers have long used one crude but powerful argument: Arabs make more babies than Jews and unless a separate Palestinian state is created, a demographic time bomb will turn Jews into a dwindling minority akin to white South Africans.

That prospect certainly seemed real when the Oslo peace process began in the 1990s. Fertility among Israeli Jews stood at an average of 2.6 children per woman, compared with 4.7 among Muslims in Israel and East Jerusalem and 6.0 among Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank. Yasser Arafat at the time famously declared that the womb of the Palestinian woman was his people’s most potent weapon.

Yet over the past decade, a demographic revolution with long-lasting political consequences has occurred. Jewish birthrates in Israel have spiked while Arab birthrates in the Palestinian territories and elsewhere in the Middle East have declined. This unlikely baby boom has made many Israeli Jews a lot less afraid of being outnumbered—one of the underappreciated reasons why the country’s voters have consistently rewarded politicians opposed to Palestinian statehood and to relinquishing land.

“When you are motivated by fear, you seek to preserve demography by giving away geography,” explained Yoram Ettinger, a former Israeli ambassador and right-wing activist who has been active in publicizing the impact of Israel’s rising birthrate. “But if you examine Israel’s demographics realistically, there is no need to think in such terms.”

The Jewish fertility rate in Israel was 3.11 per woman in 2014, the last full year for which data is available, while among the Arab citizens of Israel and East Jerusalem residents it was only a notch higher at 3.17, according to Israel’s statistics bureau. Palestinian fertility rates have fallen to 3.7 in the West Bank from 5.6 in 1997, and to 4.5 from 6.9 children in the Gaza Strip, according to the Palestinian statistics bureau.

“There will be no demographic time bomb,” Israel’s defense minister and right-wing politician Avigdor Lieberman said in an interview before his recent appointment. “Birthrates in the Arab and Jewish sectors will continue converging, while we also hope that a considerable part of Jews from Western Europe, and also from North America, will come here.” Jewish immigration last year, from countries such as France and Ukraine, was at the highest level since 2003.

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60 Plus Killed In Islam-Inspired Terror Attack In Nice, France

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COMMENTS AT STEVE SAILER:

* A mostly white city full of white people gathered together celebrating Bastille Day. The Bataclan was also full of rock music fans – ie white people. Last week we heard reports of ISIS telling followers to attack whites in the US. I’m stating the obvious but it’s not just about religious fanaticism.

* Below are some comments that Chanel designer Karl Lagerfeld made the other day regarding Paris, in an interview with CNN.

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

Karl Lagerfeld said the city that his company has called home since 1909 is now an unsafe “nightmare.”

He has lived and worked in Paris since the mid 1950s — said the city resembles nothing like the “old French movies” it used to look like.

“This is not the most glamorous moment in Paris,” Lagerfeld told CNN Style’s Derek Blasberg ahead of an upcoming show. “Paris by night is a nightmare now. It is not a cliché anymore.”

“I must say, in my whole life I never saw Paris that gloomy,” he added.

The designer said the streets of Paris have become significantly more unsafe in the years since he first got his start in the 1950s under the tutelage of French fashion legend Pierre Balmain.

“It was another world. There was no feeling of danger, and not even a boy of 16 years old could walk in the street,” Lagerfeld told CNN. “Things are changing, but I have a feeling I lived in a world that no longer exists.”

Still, he says, “Paris has to make an effort to become Paris again.”

* More people died in this Islamic terrorist attack in Nice, France than in the 1989 San Francisco earthquake.

Islam is more deadly than a lot of natural disasters.

* On the contrary, Muslims need room space (Lebensraum) to find even newer dhimmis to live off of. Islam is about invading other countries, by stealth or force, then grow in numbers by outnumbering and converting the locals, and exploiting the unbelievers. It’s a Ponzi scheme: once everybody is Muslim and dumb as a brick through inbreeding and reading the Koran, there’s nobody left to exploit and they need a new country to invade, convert and tax.

* On Hillary’s twitter account she was tweeting about Trump and the Mexican judge. I guess she was speaking to a latino group today, so her twitter feed is filled with pro-Mexican messages.

Anyway I was with a neighbor who was getting tired about the Mexican judge affair and thought it was over. He then made a nice observation. He noted that the Mexican judge could certainly be biased because one of our Supreme Court justices just showed how biased she was this week when she said she would move to another nation if Trump gets elected.

I thought it was a nice comparison and hopefully the Trump team will use it if the media try to suggest again that judges aren’t biased. If our great SC justice Ginsburg is biased, any judge can be biased.

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Christopher Caldwell: Black Lives Matter could win it for Trump

Christopher Caldwell writes:

The rage of young blacks against the police has taken on dimensions not just of a protest but a rebellion. Fully two thirds (65 per cent) of US blacks support the Black Lives Matter movement, even as it has come to question the very legitimacy of the forces of order. In the days after the Dallas shooting, one of the group’s leaders, Alicia Garza, told the New Yorker, ‘Black Lives Matter is about justice for black people who are being murdered at the hands of the state.’

This view of American society is consistent with what the veteran civil rights leader the Revd Jesse Jackson said about Mike Brown’s killing (‘a state execution’) and with a passage by the polemicist Ta-Nehisi Coates which, last summer, became so popular among Facebook sharers and banner makers that it served as the unofficial Black Lives slogan: ‘In America, it is traditional to destroy the black body — it is heritage.’ Just why so much of this destruction should be carried out under the aegis of the country’s first black President, and in black-run cities, is something of a mystery. Dallas has a black police chief. Baton Rouge has a black mayor. Baltimore has a black mayor, a black public prosecutor and a black police chief, and three of the six officers tried in the Freddie Gray case were black.

Coates’s view is that white people have always practiced genocide against black people. If fighting genocide is your cause, almost no tactic is off-limits. The leaders of Black Lives Matter crossed a Rubicon this week when they decided to proceed with protests even after the killings of policemen in Dallas.

“There is a reason why political activists usually halt campaigning when violence is done in the name of anything that resembles their cause. Both sides in the Brexit referendum obeyed this imperative in the wake of the killing of Jo Cox. In US cities, such caution has been thrown to the wind. ‘You can’t stop the revolution,’ marchers chanted in Chicago over the weekend. ‘It’s not a setback at all,’ a BLM activist told the New York Times, referring to the Dallas massacre. ‘That’s showing the people of this country that black people are getting to a boiling point.’ For all the talk of racism, there has been a reckless inattention to the possibility that non-black citizens might have a boiling point too.

A week before the Republican convention in Cleveland, street politics is destabilising electoral politics. The events of early July have shifted the presidential campaign seismically. There may be a choice this November between public order and the agenda of Black Lives Matter.

Historically, American voters have preferred the former. An April article in Salon magazine predicted that Black Lives Matter would be the ‘Secret Turnout Ally’ of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. But this only means that Clinton will have a bigger challenge getting on the majority’s side. Her party’s route to the White House requires turning out black voters in high numbers and taking 90 per cent of their votes. Donald Trump, meanwhile, has been campaigning for months as if the coming election will be a referendum on whether the country backs the cops or not. He has lined up important police endorsements and laid the predicate for a traditional law-and-order campaign of the sort Richard Nixon won with in 1968. For a variety of reasons, a majority of Americans would be reluctant to see Trump as their president just now. But under the pressure of violence and disorder, such reasons can become harder and harder to recall.”

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How Trumpism hid in plain sight for 15 years

The Week: During the Bush years, a diverse group of right-leaning writers and thinkers began sounding an alarm about what mass immigration meant for the rest of the country. Many of them emerged from California, exactly where migration’s transformational effects were first known. They remembered the 1960s and ’70s version of the state, when it seemed like an egalitarian and middle-class utopia, each family in a pleasant bungalow and a school system that was the envy of the world. This paradise was upended by mass immigration and galloping inequalities. And its inheritors were hungry for someone, anyone, to put into words what they were feeling.

Along came Victor David Hanson and his 2003 book Mexifornia: A State of Becoming, which posited that Mexicans fled the dysfunctional statism of Mexico but ended up recreating it in California. Another California writer, Steve Sailer, wrote blog items and articles that seemed to exercise a kind of subliminal influence across much of the right in that decade. One could detect his influence even in the places where his controversial writing on race was decidedly unwelcome. Another Californian writer, Mickey Kaus, became one of the few centrist to liberal-leaning opponents of lax immigration.

There were also national pundits like Michelle Malkin, who put a national security spin on the issue in her 2002 book Invasion: How America Still Welcomes Terrorists, Criminals, And Other Foreign Menaces To Our Shores. And there were policy wonks like Mark Krikorian, who is president for the Center for Immigration Studies and wrote The New Case Against Immigration Both Legal and Illegal in 2006.

Popular political titles like these found a large, hungry audience — and upended national politics. They drove conservative activists to shut down the congressional switchboards when President Bush tried to pass comprehensive immigration reform in his second term. They drove the founding of the militia group the Minutemen. And they drove the somewhat radical congressional candidacy of Randy Graf in Arizona.

The truth was, the great wave of migration America experienced from the early ’90s to the middle of last decade was a history-shaping event with long-term consequences. But because it was hardly debated by official Washington, the passions it generated tended to find sensationalistic or conspiratorial outlets.

And immigration went hand in hand with anxiety about American jobs and sovereignty. There was a minor nationalist panic during the Bush presidency, with conspiracies floating around that North American governments would create a common currency, the Amero, in imitation of the European Union. Pictures of the currency still float around the internet today. They came with the theory that America would stave off bankruptcy by uniting itself with Canada’s natural resources and Mexico’s underpaid labor. With that done, an enormous new transportation network would spread across the map like a squid, the NAFTA superhighway system. The rumors were fueled by quixotic lobbying dreams. But the opposition was real and fierce, and it eventually took down the very real Trans-Texas Corridor project with it.

In other words, there were signs of an emerging Trumpism on the right for years. These political tremors were ignored during the Bush years as the GOP immolated itself on foreign policy. And so no one wanted to believe an earthquake like this was coming.

COMMENTS AT STEVE SAILER:

* Pence. A true machine politician who opposes Trump on Iraq, immigration and trade. IOW he doesn’t give a rats ass about America. Absolutely untrustworthy.

If he is picked, it means the GOP leaned on Trump big time.

* Pence is most known to outsiders as the guy who signed some “religious freedom” law then backed down and caved quickly when Tim Cook and some other SJW CEOs condemned it for being anti-homosexual. I saw him on some TV show being grilled about it and it is fair to say he had no idea how to argue for his own side.

* “Pence is Trump’s way of picking Kasich without actually having to pick Kasich.”

This is a good way of putting it.

Judging from quickly reading his Wikipedia page, Pence is less competent than Kasich, but will have more appeal to movement conservative types. Also, and this is just going by Wikipedia, he seems aligned with Trump at least on immigration.

The thing is that though it would have been good for Trump to get someone who sided with him on all three of invade the world, invite the world, in hoc to the world, that is impossible with any politician, in either party, who has the stature and experience to be a plausible Veep selection.

In particular, just about all the prominent Republicans, the only real exceptions being the Paulites, are on board with invade the world, since it was the signature policy of the last Republican administration. Pence is a neo-con, but Trump will just have to live with that. As a Republican, getting someone aligned with him on immigration is completely doable. Its much harder on trade, and I suspect Pence is a globalist on trade, but its hard to tell from the Wiki bio.

* Trump backed Ginsburg down. I’m delighted. Her remarks about him were unprofessional and unethical. (And yes, I’d think that whether or not I agreed with her.)

I’m so sick of her and her ilk mouthing off without being called to account for anything they say, regardless of how outrageous, ill-advised or just plain untruthful it is.

* In some ways, it’s pretty amazing that people like Ginsburg would risk their reputations by speaking out against Trump. It’s not just that Ginsburg in particular was far out of line because she was doing so as a sitting SC Justice. It’s that in general doing so makes it almost a certainty that Trump will fight back by finding the most damaging thing anyone can say about his attacker, and then letting it rip.

Of course Trump said all the correct things about how wrong it was for someone in her position to say the things she said. But the real zinger was this: “Her mind is shot — resign.”

I’m sure there are many rumors as to whether Ginsburg has been losing her sharpness due to age or her medical conditions, but mostly they have been spoken in whispers in back rooms.

But how more public, contemptuous, and damaging can it be than to have Donald Trump write that “her mind is shot”?

One is also reminded of how Elizabeth Warren has been ridiculed over and again by Trump as “Pocahontas”.

I wonder how many prominent people out there who would very much like to signal their virtue by attacking Trump, but don’t want to endure a put-down that will probably stick for the rest of their lives?

* A thought about BLM and Hillary. I doubt the BLM leaders care if their agitation and riots make her lose. In fact, they benefit if she does. If Hillary wins, it’ll only be business as usual for blacks. But if they agitate against her, she’ll crush them. Lady Macbeth won’t tolerate anyone plotting against her or undermining her once she has her hands on the reins of power. She’s too paranoid and has too many scores to settle. Besides, she knows she may be too old to run again, and if she doesn’t, she won’t need their support.

But if Trump wins, outraged and weeping liberals will be dumping their cash ala Soros into every black cause in existence and doing everything they can to undermine Trump. BLM leaders will be grabbing the high-paying jobs in all these organizations, and a Trump win is a financial windfall for them. Besides, if you’re an agitator, you suffer a severe psychological letdown if there is nothing to agitate against. BLM needs Trump badly.

* If Trump wins does iSteve go mainstream? Wow, The Week was respectful to Sailer and even linked to his blog. No mention of the dreaded VDARE, though. Matt Drudge tweeted a link to an iSteve blog post a few days ago, too.

The “respectable” (snort snort) press may finally have to acknowledge the existence of our Steve. Brexit, a Trump win, Sailer in the national conversation, Paul Ryan being primaried out of office… please don’t wake me up yet – this is a great dream.

* Pence is a disappointing choice but Trump did not have many good options. Other names mentioned would have been far worse. At least he chose a white male cuckservative and not some PC flavour of the month to pander to the Left

Gingrich – too much baggage in his own personal and political history; the Left would have no ends of angles of attack against him, plus he really twisted the knife in Trump’s back on the La Raza judge

Christie – horrible: Obama’s bearhug buddy, gun grabbing islamo cuddling NorthEast liberal Republican

Ernst- unknown Lady Republicans have been political disappointments

Sessions – true conservative, best possible choice; Dems would scream raciss from here to eternity

Cruz – too much bad blood, too many ill-considered harsh words from Cruz; if he had behaved better he would have been a perfect choice

Rubio -might as well pick Grahamnesty

Kasich – obnoxious abrasive know it all personality, criticized Trump too harshly in past for Trump not to look ridiculous in choosing him. An alternate universe, less cantankerous Trump-friendly Kasich that could swing the state to Republicans would have been a good choice

unknown military men – unserious option, the candidate himself is already a non-politician, these days military bigwigs have to be more PC than Anderson Cooper if they seek advancement.

other unknown or marginal Lady Republicans, Latinos, amd African Americans : see above times 100

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TILA TEQUILA GUEST APPEARANCE AT NATIONAL POLICY INSTITUTE IN D.C.

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Tila Tequila blogs: I will be making a special guest appearance at the National Policy Institute in Washington, D.C. right after the elections this year on November 18th!!!! I will also be sticking around all weekend, and possibly making a speech as well. We shall see! In any case, this is going to be great fun! Especially if our God Emperor Trump is PRESIDENT by then! Which I have a good feeling that he will be! For those of you who do not know what the NPI conference is about…. well…. I am sure many, many news outlets, and haters will be covering it! You can check out an article about it HERE.

Regardless of all the death threats, hate mail, and harassments I have received so far, and the protestors I may be encountering at the event, it will NOT make me back down from following MY HEART! America was founded upon FREEDOM, and it is of VITAL IMPORTANCE that our FREEDOM OF SPEECH IS PROTECTED AT ALL COST! So those who try to demonize people like me for choosing to exercise our rights should just leave America because they obviously do not respect the grounds in which our freedom was built upon! For every action is a reaction, and quite frankly I am sick and tired of being demonized or having to live in FEAR of my life just because people have grown soft, and get easily offended by political incorrectness! If you have a problem with that…. THEN YOU GOTTA GO BACK!

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