Trump’s Victory

A friend sent me this article in The Atlantic by Tom Nichols:

Trump Voters Got What They Wanted

Those who expect that Donald Trump will hurt others, and not them, are likely to be unpleasantly surprised.

I love the article because it reveals that most of Trump’s opponents such as the author want to live in delusion that they are so much wiser and morally superior to Trump voters, and that Trump’s appeal is just demagoguery when in reality Trump 100% won on substance both times (restrict immigration, shift trade policy, avoid forever wars) and he lost on substance one time (he was too chaotic). I love the article’s pious talk about the “rule of law” when Trump’s opposition had to pass laws (in New York State) to pursue lawfare against Trump because they didn’t trust the voters to make a choice on Trump. As long as Trump’s haters refuse to face the reality of his appeal, they will be constantly humiliated by life.

People who follow Mark Halperin knew for months that Trump was going to win the battleground states as private polling (far superior and more expensive than the public polls) on both sides of politics showed that.

Halperin is in the center, I think he’s a bit like my memory of Aussie journalist Paul Kelly, not a partisan and not a Trump supporter, but he goes to the effort of understanding things from different points of view, an effort far beyond Tom Nichols. The Atlantic only publishes anti-Trump articles, hundreds of them, no pro-Trump articles are permitted there. It’s a silo for Trump haters. People who live in that bubble get humiliated by life.

Halperin wrote:

1. As I wrote a few days ago on http://foxnews.com, the Democratic Party, lacking clear agreement about why Trump won and lacking an obvious once-in-a-generation talent to lead them back, is going to be at Trump’s mercy for a good long while.

2. Trump’s government will be filled with a lot of senior officials who will reassure Wall Street, foreign capitals, and a lot of Trump haters (at least the ones with open minds).

3. Trump will at the start have an enormous amount of influence over Congress, from leadership elections to the legislative agenda.

4. The Dominant Media won’t come close to taking responsibility for their role in helping Trump win, won’t fire those whose bias and incompetence has been on display for as long as a decade, won’t take the steps necessary to understand the Trump movement, and won’t reorient for the next four years in any meaningful way.

5. None of the Democrats who some pined for in 2024 to be their presidential nominee will play a significant role in trying to shape the party or the nation.

6. When honest political scientists study the dimensions of Trump’s win, they will realize that Trump’s remaking of the Republican Party in 2016 (turning it into a white working-class party) was nothing compared to what happened this time – turning it into a Black, Hispanic, white, young, independent working-class party.

7. Trump will, in fact, end the Ukraine war, safeguard Israel’s security, increase energy production, decrease regulations, cut taxes, control the Mexico border, conduct a mass deportation, and change a myriad of social policies.

8. The remarkable achievement of Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita will be adequately appreciated in some quarters, but not in others.

9. As already predicted, we will now see the largest mental health crisis in American history, as tens of millions of Americans – and many of the nation’s liberal cultural institutions, including Hollywood – can’t handle the truth about what happened and why.

10. The Lincoln Project leaders will do even less soul searching than the newsroom denizens of the Washington Post and New York Times.

11. The stories of how Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee, the pasts of Harris and Doug Emhoff, the coverup of Joe Biden’s loss of mental acuity, and how the attempts to keep Trump off the ballot, lawfare, and other anti-democratic efforts aimed at stopping Trump ironically backfired will only be told if the right people get the right book deals.

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Trump Wins, Media Loses (11-6-24)

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Live Election Coverage (11-5-24)

02:00 What Bibi is doing on election day – he fired his defense minister, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/05/world/middleeast/netanyahu-fires-gallant.html
03:50 The most important election ever is hyperbole but to be human is to exaggerate the importance of whatever you pay attention to
06:20 Commentary magazine: No, This Won’t Be the Last Election Ever, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vAvXwSTXmM
09:00 Democracy was on the ballot in 2022
25:45 Eli Lake: Trump and the art of the bullshitter, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/honestly-with-bari-weiss/id1570872415
34:00 Democrats go silent
1:10:00 Kip joins
3:09:00 Colin Liddell joins from Japan
3:15:00 Japan – South Korea – Taiwan
3:17:45 Britain’s new Tory leader is a black woman, https://neokrat.blogspot.com/2024/11/total-implosion-of-tory-party-elects.html
4:01:45 Kamala Harris watch party at Howard

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Election Eve 2024 (11-4-24)

01:00 The latest from Mark Halperin, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-WeJ4iC4CM
07:45 Democratic pros worried about early vote, particularly in Pennsylvania, https://x.com/2waytvapp
20:00 If Trump wins decisively, what will it mean for the news media? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaFb0D3rdxA
21:00 Megyn Kelly makes the case for Trump
26:30 Harris vs Trump: Predictions are Futile, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDZTD5AhwuY
30:00 Pollster Robert Cahaly’s 2024 Predictions & the importance of Elon Musk buying X, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ChJzyMhIkI
33:00 Both campaigns have big exuberant events, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCx8SgsXwlw
34:40 Sarah Isgur says that winning campaigns have a lot of staff hooking up, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qlTzldHsvG4
36:15 Why Trump’s Conduct Hasn’t Tanked His Chances, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xx2SI8kLZ4
40:00 Mark Halperin, Sean Spicer, Dan Turrentine: Who’s done better? JD Vance v Tim Walz? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=swdZoafddWQ
55:00 2024 Pre-Election Extravaganza | Robert Wright & Mickey Kaus, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rX0AgNL0NHg
56:45 Kamala’s Moby Grape problem, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moby_Grape
57:30 Kamala’s changing message
58:30 Private polls vs public polls
1:04:00 Kamala campaign got trolled out of its strategy of hiding Kamala from interviews

Posted in America | Comments Off on Election Eve 2024 (11-4-24)

Decoding The Election (11-3-24)

01:00 Polls show a surge for Kamala while votes cast indicate black turnout is down and Trump is in pole position
02:00 Mark Halperin says Kamala will have trouble winning Wisconsin, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J1IEDpSiciY
04:00 News media unfair to Donald Trump
08:00 Hugh Hewitt storms off Washington Post livestream
17:00 Chuck Todd: Trump HQ grows ‘nervous’ as he fails replicate his 2016 wins, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRM3Ukg_fHI
29:00 Trump’s a lousy fascist, https://www.stevesailer.net/p/trump-would-make-a-pretty-poor-fascist
31:00 Nikole Hannah-Jones: How dare some white women disagree with all Black women!, https://www.stevesailer.net/p/nikole-hannah-jones-how-dare-some
37:15 Trump political director James Blair says his team feels confident of victory
56:30 Rich Baris on the polls, https://www.iheart.com/podcast/82-the-afternoon-addiction-wit-28403290/episode/garret-talks-to-pollster-rich-baris-233885363/
59:50 NYT Patrick Healy: Our 61 Focus Groups Make Me Think Trump Has a Good Chance of Winning, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/opinion/election-focus-groups.html
1:16:00 Make Politics Great Again, https://americanmind.org/features/what-trump-should-do-if-he-wins/make-politics-great-again/
1:22:45 Israel, Iran, Trump, Harris – with Dr. Micah Goodman, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-MGg6Oe5_7A
1:28:00 Israelis hope this is their last war with Hamas & Hezbollah and the beginning of a ten-year war with Iran
1:37:00 The Map of Los Angeles | John Mulaney Presents: Everybody’s In L.A., https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLZ87v_0gS0
1:46:30 “Iran Can’t Afford a War. It’s Out of Options and Running Out of Time” | Ep. 37 Prof. Ali Ansari, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UtP-YtdqwhI
1:59:30 Understanding early election night, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/beyond-the-polls-with-henry-olsen/id1495239983
2:09:15 The comeback of Donald Trump, https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-comeback-of-donald-trump/id1743666262?i=1000675025383
2:11:30 Syrian Girl arrested for getting double teamed in the bathroom of a pizza restaurant, https://rumble.com/v5db4h1-s02e14-15-brain-damage.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp#
2:21:00 Trafalgar polls: A State-by-State Analysis Before Election Night, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jFCSxUhaXV4
2:28:00 Peanut the Squirrel has taken over RW twitter
2:35:30 Donald Trump ADHD Poster Boy | Trump/ ADHD | Episode 1, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eSGFX0f-Uts
2:48:00 Inside the Ruthless, Restless Final Days of Trump’s Campaign, https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/trump-2024-campaign-lewandowski-conway/680456/
2:57:00 The right without wrong, https://jacobin.com/2024/10/the-right-without-wrong
3:01:00 Steve Sailer on the Jacob article, https://www.stevesailer.net/p/jacobin
https://www.stevesailer.net/p/jacobin
3:06:40 Kip joins to discuss the World Series
3:09:00 Kip melancholy about the death of a neighbor
3:15:00 Did we evolve to be gullible? https://www.amazon.com/Not-Born-Yesterday-Science-Believe/dp/B0847SM7V8/
3:18:00 Kip’s history of selling mortgages
3:32:00 I started noticeably aging about age 44
3:34:00 Do the stars determine our fate?
3:43:00 I quit gambling in high school

Posted in America | Comments Off on Decoding The Election (11-3-24)