All But The Elites Lose From Mass Immigration

Comments to Steve Sailer:

* All but the elites in the target society for mass immigration lose out either way.

If immigrants fail, they compete for public resources aimed at helping the poorest in society and if immigrants succeed they undercut indigenous workers, drive wages down and push indigenous poor and middle classes down the scale. And either way they promote potentially disastrous cultural and racial division in the target society.

Has there ever been a more brutally regressive policy than mass immigration, or a greater betrayal than the adoption of policies favouring mass immigration for ideological reasons by the supposed representatives of the labouring and lower social class elements of western societies? I doubt it. Not only do you push the less competitive members of your society out of work, you also import people to sit above them in the social hierarchy. A case of spitting on them as well as kicking them while they are down.

But hey, I’m sure the leftists genuinely believe that in the end the societal benefits in growth and competitiveness from importing cheaper workers to replace the weakest ones in their societies will “trickle down” to the latter, just as with tax cuts for the wealthy. And in the meantime they have all that cultural diversity to watch other people with money enjoying.

* 1) Trump has unleashed the forces of American nationalism. Millions of Americans now know they’re not alone, but they are part of a massive grassroots nationalist movement.

2) Trump has mercilessly bludgeoned the GOP establishment in public, and if all goes according to Hoyle, he will bring the GOP to its knees and open the door to a new American nationalist party.

3) Trump’s supporters have signaled to the elite/Deep State/globalists that massive numbers of Americans are aware, and they are not happy with the agenda.

* Trump understands that white guy competence is needed in the day-to-day operations of his businesses, but that blacks behaving badly is a great ratings grabber for his “learn how to be an MBA” teevee show. Omarosa got the fame she was seeking. Win-win-win all around, except for the expendable white dudes who were ultimately not as good as the guy who won that season.

Trump, at a fundamental level, gets AA is probably unfair, but that it’s a/not the hill he’s going to die on and b/is far down the voter’s priority list. Build wall. Build wall. Build wall.

* The theory that many liberals had was that if we just elected a black President all the republicans and other conservatives would realize that blacks were just as good (smart, virtuous etc.) as white people.

A major flaw in this scheme has been that we didn’t elect a black man. We elected a mulatto.

A mulatto teaches a very different lesson. First of all if the man is stupid his black heritage will be blamed – defeating the whole exercise. But if he turns out to be intelligent his brains will be attributed to his white fraction. So a mulatto will never be as transformational as the liberals had hoped. Obama being a part East African doesn’t even look like typical African Americans who are predominantly West Africans.

Obama also isn’t very dark. For almost a century there has been this argument that negroes are only hated and oppressed because of their skin shade. But Obama who really is of part African descent is lighter skinned that Governor Bobby Jindal who has no African heritage. Again Obama fails as an example for liberal race ideology.

By this time after almost two whole terms we the American electorate are supposed to have been transformed. We are supposed to now reject all our previos ideas of race because of Obama’s Presidency.

Going to the moon did something transformational. After we landed men on the moon it became a common remark about some difficult task to say ‘ We can certainly do that if we want to. After all we went to the moon.’ Of course the last several decades in which we have done less and less in space has dampened that kind of technological optimism. But the liberals really expected that Obama’s Presidency would by this time have simply stamped out the racism they attributed to lack of acquaintance with blacks.

But of course the opposite has taken place. Whites now are less likely to trust blacks in high office after they have seen how Eric Holder distorted the legal system to favor black rioting.

In the meantime on the ground far away from the media and government, race relations have not improved one bit. Black kids still drop out before they finish high school. Black kids still need substantial favoritism if they are going to get into and out of college. Blacks now have an average family income exactly half of that of East Asians in America. Blacks continue to commit crimes at five to ten times the rate of whites or Asians. And blacks have been unemployed at double white rates.

In other words Obama’s stay in office has done absolutely nothing meaningful for American blacks. Did I miss anything?

* It always irks me when the same people who believe man can control the climate tell us that we cannot control the flow of people. Let’s use the government to ensure the polar ice caps don’t melt and cause a rising tide of sea water, but the government is completely useless in stopping the rising tide of immigrants flooding the border.

* Nassim Nicholas Taleb goes further:

What we are seeing worldwide, from India to the UK to the US, is the rebellion against the inner circle of no-skin-in-the-game policymaking “clerks” and journalists-insiders, that class of paternalistic semi-intellectual experts with some Ivy league, Oxford-Cambridge, or similar label-driven education who are telling the rest of us 1) what to do, 2) what to eat, 3) how to speak, 4) how to think… and 5) who to vote for.

With psychology papers replicating less than 40%, dietary advice reversing after 30y of fatphobia, macroeconomic analysis working worse than astrology, microeconomic papers wrong 40% of the time, the appointment of Bernanke who was less than clueless of the risks, and pharmaceutical trials replicating only 1/5th of the time, people are perfectly entitled to rely on their own ancestral instinct and listen to their grandmothers with a better track record than these policymaking goons.

Indeed one can see that these academico-bureaucrats wanting to run our lives aren’t even rigorous, whether in medical statistics or policymaking. I have shown that most of what Cass-Sunstein-Richard Thaler types call “rational” or “irrational” comes from misunderstanding of probability theory.

* I’ve always gotten pushback from people across the political, ideological, racial, and ethnic spectrums — excepting blacks — for the simple assertion that blacks — as in the descendants of American slaves — are unique in American life.

There is no way around including the question of black progress in an assessment of the American Project.

One of the most enduring ways that the descendants of American slaves are unique is in the hijacking of their Slavery Story. Sailer and many commenters are incisive — if politically incorrect — in noticing that Jews, usually implicitly, at other times more overtly, ask Is it good for the Jews? After a half-century of mass immigration, every other multi-cultural contingent has joined that party.

Only for blacks is the question Is it good for us? verboten. The irony is that given our history, Is it good for the blacks? is the only such question we are obligated to ask in any relevant context.

Is continued mass immigration good for blacks? Barbara Jordan certainly didn’t think so 20 years ago. Is it good for blacks that they no longer own their Slavery Story? Below we see what has been lost by blacks in the transfer:

“[F]ram[ing] the goal of increasing opportunity for communities of color primarily as an imperative of social fairness [is misguided].”

In case you didn’t catch on the first time:

“[Black Progress, when subsumed into black and Hispanic progress, is no longer] primarily a moral obligation.”

* The United States is unique in many respects, but one of them is developing a race-based caste system -these are not uncommon at all- with no provision at all for mixed race people. This leads to all sorts of strange twists with American racial politics.

Philip Greenspun made the point that putting incompetent and corrupt members of minority groups in powerful position increases racism, because other people just assume that the incompetence and corruption is caused by being a member of the minority group. The first wave of Black mayors in this country did no favors towards race relations or the argument of putting Blacks in other powerful positions. However, I now take the view that white people have been too harsh on black mayors, including disasters such as Coleman Young and Marion Barry. The fact is that most white mayors historically have been pretty corrupt and often incompetent as well. Deindustrialized Detroit, by the Canadian border, is “sad”, as Trump would say, as is deindustrialized Buffalo, by the Canadian border (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mayors_of_Buffalo,_New_York, note the damage was done before 2006). Toronto elected a crack-smoking white buffoon to be mayor. There are tons of clueless and often sleazy white supervisors in the workplace. Even Obama arguably was an improvement over his two predecessors.

* I remember checking out World Star Hip Hop back when both Mayor Rob Ford and President Putin were making waves at the same time. Rob Ford had the World Star demographic absolutely enthralled while Putin left them cold. Putin himself captured the imagination of millions of White guys, myself included. Why do I bring this up now? Because Trump manages to hit that sweet spot between Rob Ford’s full-tilt vibrancy and Vladimir Putin’s dramatic competence. If he manages to stay in that zone he could ride it all the way to the White House.

* Like Chris Rock at the Oscars, Trump should drive a wedge between blacks and all other “people of color.” How maddening must it be for blacks now to be an “and” next to half a dozen other racial grievance groups, recent arrivals all, none of whom can claim a deep history in this nation as blacks can? An Ixil day laborer or some Brahmin Indian now has a right to cut in front of blacks in the racial justice line? That can’t sit right with most blacks. Trump is for Americans, and this should very much mean that he is for black Americans against the pretenders.

America has existed for over two centuries with white/black tensions. It’s something we can exist with (and can hopefully solve some day). What America cannot continue to exist with are dozens of racial tensions. That’s the road to Balkanization, as one already sees in certain areas of Southern California and Texas. Trump needs to capitalize on this fact, and to make it explicit that reclaiming the American past includes the old, stable white/black dichotomy.

* Trump is basically Caesar, taking the risks of leading the populist revolt against the elite. Hopefully for him he merely loses an election instead of being killed by the elite.

I guess the problem post-Trump is that his Augustus has yet to be identified.

* This article enrages me on so many levels.

a) the demographic changes are entirely man-made and nefarious in intent

b) Trump hasn’t said anything bad about blacks or US citizens “of color.”

c) Politics in a multiethnic society is a zero sum game and the Democrats know that. That’s why they endlessly pander to the most blatantly anti-white impulses of blacks instead of trying to say things that everyone will be happy with. See: Bernie hating on white people the other night in order to answer a race-hustling question. See: both Hillary and Bernie pandering to BLM and pushing the narrative that Trayvon and Mike Brown were victims of anything besides their low IQs, high time preference and aggressive narcissism. To win black votes Dems (and cuckservatives) must constantly throw whites under the bus. One need not be a genius to notice this.

* What are the odds that a bunch of strangers with whom I share a lot of common cultural ties, who never knew or cared about me, will want to pay much higher taxes so I can continue to receive SS and Medicare in 15 years? What are the odds that a bunch of strangers who speak a different language, with a different and competing set of responsibilities will want to pay much higher taxes so I can continue to receive Social Security and Medicare in 15 years?

I don’t care how much they are earning, or if they can read, it requires more faith than I have to expect what are essentially cultural foreigners to work to support me. Multi-culti is not going to work out very well for a YUUGGE group of old white people.

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The Best Pundits Of 2015

Scott Adams blogs Dec. 30, 2015:

As regular readers know, 100% of my political predictions for 2015 were correct, thanks to the Master Persuader filter. For example, I predicted…

1. Trump would gain popularity and win the nomination, not fizzle as every other pundit predicted. (I predicted it in August, based on his skill set. So far, so good.)

2. The Jeb Bush “low energy” kill shot would end Bush. (First to predict it.)

3. The Fiorina top in her poll numbers (after she paired her own image with a dead baby)

4. The Carson top in his poll numbers (after Trump did his famous belt-buckle speech)

5. The Clinton top in her poll numbers (after Trump noted how many women her policies have allegedly killed)

6. Trump’s “nice guy” move that involved going into a crowd to personally help a wounded warrior with the Veteran’s system.

7. You will start to see Freudian slips in the media calling Trump “President Trump.” And so we have.

8. My 3D predictions – no matter how accurate – will be ignored by the standard 2D media. Check!

9. [Update] My prediction months ago that Trump’s persuasion skills would set off a swarm of competing (and wrong) explanations for why Trump is defying expectations. This is a classic “tell” for cognitive dissonance on a mass scale, which is what we are seeing. That is the fingerprint of a Master Persuader. Here’s the latest explanation, for Trump’s success – that he’s a narcissist addicted to social media pellets, or something.

By this time of the year you would expect a list of “Best Political Pundits of 2015″ to pop up somewhere. Try a Google search and discover that it doesn’t exist, because if it did, the only name on it would be mine, and that can’t happen in the 2D world. That would be like stock brokers admitting that index funds are a better bet.

As I hinted in a prior post, Trump isn’t just changing politics. He is changing our understanding of reality by brushing aside the illusion that humans use reason to make important decisions. This extends well beyond politics.

To put a size on Trump’s skill level, I believe that as president he could depose a foreign leader with words alone. It would not work in all cases. But his skill set in persuasion is, in my opinion, weapons grade. I have never seen that level of skill. Luckily, he has a history of opposing unnecessary wars. I can’t think of a better way to prevent a war than removing a dictator with words alone.

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Ms. Equals Available

Steve Sailer writes: “One thing that has changed is that topics for humor have narrowed, with men being the main safe choice left. For example, mother-in-law jokes were huge up into the 1970s (think Henny Youngman or Rodney Dangerfield), but I’ve never heard a single joke about the current President having to live with his mother-in-law in the White House. After all, how could anybody find any humor in that?”

Comments to Steve Sailer:

* I just posted the WH guest list and suddenly recognized that the meaning of widespread Ms. usage (as a title at even the most high-level formal dinners in the country) is profoundly subversive of the patriarchy.

The Ms. users are signaling availability to other males even though they are supposedly unavailable.

Therefore Ms. as a title for all women = Social Cuckdom.

* Spotted Toad: Social science has two masks:

The Comedy mask looks for unheralded interventions, policy-relevant effects, the Little Thing that Will Make a Big Difference.

The Tragedy mask collects boring, nationally representative, well-measured data, year after year, that says nothing works.

The Comedy mask is Michael LaCour, running a multi-wave randomized controlled trial for thousands of respondents on grants he won as a graduate student, showing that a brief conversation with an out gay person totally transforms respondents’ opinions about gay marriage long afterwards.

The Tragedy mask says that opinions are generally stable, and that the data and the grants were both fake.

The Comedy mask says if we can just identify the greatest teachers and assign them to the kids who need them most, we can erase the effects of poverty and the gaps in achievement between groups.

The Tragedy mask says that, when you correct for the unobserved differences among kids, teachers make relatively little difference in how much kids learn.

Sometimes, the comedy is a bit dark, but it’s comedy all the same. When you say that highly religious Muslim immigrant kids underachieve because their moms fasted when they were pregnant, or that massive waves of default in minority communities were due to “predatory lending” by rogue banks rather than massive government support, you may think that you’re staring grim-faced into the injustice of the world.

But you’re not. You’re still insisting that the Right and Good can prevail and heal the wounded land.

Comedy aims at representing men as worse, Tragedy as better than in actual life, said Aristotle. The Comedic approach to social science treats people as worse than they could be, the Tragic approach says that people aren’t going to get much better than they already are.

image

Look, some things Make a Difference. Penicillin. Pesticides. Fluoride. The Haber-Bosch process for fixing ammonia. Using the right seeds. Rural electrification. Gas lines to your house. Shitting in toilets instead of on the ground.

And I tend to think that most of our current social arrangements-universal schooling in the first place, for instance-and even some of our goody-two-shoes poverty programs aren’t doing much harm.

But as long as we keep asking social scientists to find ways to change the world instead of describing it, we’ll keep getting a pocketful of lies.

Posted in Feminism | Comments Off on Ms. Equals Available

The Case For Nationalism

Comments at Unz.com:

* The internationalist left and right want to make people who are equally concerned about everyone, whether citizen or not. Someone who sees every human on this earth as equally worthy of concern. This is a noble vision. Someone who is like this might claim to be morally superior to most of us who comment here at the Unz review (at least in Sailer, Derbyshire and Buchanan columns). But the law of unintended consequences means that their policies favour those who are completely amoral and are equally callous to everyone, regardless of where they are from. They aim very high but hit very low.

A citizen who loves his country and fellow citizens and cares for their honour may be appealed to on the strength of national honour. Not as beautiful as what the internationalists want, but a limited and durable quality. We can respect other countries while being loyal to our own.

* Good politicians seldom have the intellectual or policy chops to further their inchoate ideas. This is a really good start to putting some flesh on the bones of the make America great again slogan. It’d be great if the writer latched on to some of people in the Trump campaign. IF they win, they will have to govern, and having some worked out philosophy will help them pick people and priorities. I am worried that Trump will completely screw the pooch once he is in office and discredit Trumpism.

As an economist, we don’t have a lot to guide the middle way between free trade and protection. Our models aren’t really good enough to say where to go. He’ll have to reach outside the economics profession to set his trade policy but somebody who is still aware enough of economics to avoid some big pitfalls.

* “The ceaseless importation of people unaccustomed to liberty, coupled with the continued hollowing out of the American middle class, makes the American people less fit for liberty every day.”

To any reader disinclined to credit this statement I relate the following anecdote. About a year ago we learned that my 18-year-old niece had become pregnant. In an earlier time, someone in my circumstances might have reacted different than I did, but I suspect many would do precisely what I did.

I texted one of my social worker friends to make sure my niece got in contact with the appropriate government agencies that provide publicly funded benefits to a such a person. And so it goes as the middle class find themselves not quite able (or sometimes not willing) to address their own dilemmas.

* This article is flawed since it assumes that intuition needs an intellectual framework.
In fact intuition precedes thought, and not as commonly believed the other way round. Thought is only a formalization of intuitive concepts.
Trump is smart because he trusts his intuition, which is always superior to intellectual rigor.
These policy frameworks are in any case a joke, because politicians routinely ignore them. They end up following their intuition, mostly special interests, and then try and cover it up on the outside by finding some obtuse reference to the framework. The press then tries to sell us these lies as the politician being “principled”.

Trump is in touch with his intuition, and his value system is solid. As a Christian I can find lots of problems with him, but he is not my pastor, he is supposed to lead the country which is a secular institution anyway.

* Eisenhower defended the borders, mostly kept us out of stupid wars while still keeping the nation strong, we had trade but didn’t give away our entire manufacturing base, taxes on the rich where high and he defended social security etc. but he didn’t cripple the economy with rules. He moved to support civil rights for blacks – slowly but he did – but he was no social justice warrior.

Historians call his administration ‘boring’. Which is surely the highest accolade that any nation’s leader can ever attain.

If only Eisenhower had a last name that could be more easily turned into a noun. Ikeism? Ikistry? Help me out here, people.

His philosophy was so pragmatic, so colorless, that it almost defies catchy description. And perhaps that is the point…

* What’s unformed or instinctual about the key points of Trump’s platform:

A. End the uncontrolled flood of Third-World immigration to the US and Europe.

B. End the tax and trade agreement regime that favors unrestricted global wage arbitrage and pursuit of absolute advantage in international trade, to the detriment of American and European workers.

C. End the drive for global hegemony and seek, not to destroy great power rivals, but to negotiate durable agreements with them.

Trump’s platform is nationalist, in defense of the sovereign, democratic nation state, and opposed to the 100-plus-year-old Anglo-American project for the New World Order, i.e., global governance.

More concisely, Trump is opposed to the genocide of the European peoples, by the globalist Money Power.

* The economist Hernando deSoto has already formulated an ‘upscale’, part scientific and part spiritual, version of Trumpism. Though it comes from an odd perspective, it strikes me as deeply true.

* If we want an intellectual backing for Trumpism, we need look no farther than what George F. Kennan wrote in 1948:

“”…we have about 50% of the world’s wealth but only 6.3% of its population. This disparity is particularly great as between ourselves and the peoples of Asia. In this situation, we cannot fail to be the object of envy and resentment. Our real task in the coming period is to devise a pattern of relationships which will permit us to maintain this position of disparity without positive detriment to our national security. To do so, we will have to dispense with all sentimentality and day-dreaming; and our attention will have to be concentrated everywhere on our immediate national objectives. We need not deceive ourselves that we can afford today the luxury of altruism and world-benefaction.”

Maintaining the “position of disparity” the United States enjoys with respect to the rest of the world is the job of every American politician. To the extent that such persons subvert that objective rather than supporting it, they are not only failing in their responsibilities, but also betraying the public trust. For too long, the powers-that-be have engaged in “the luxury of altruism and world-benefaction” at the expense of their fellow citizens. They have acted toward them as Mrs. Jellyby towards her own children, to their great shame.

* More important than Social Security is Racial Security. Indeed, without Racial Security, there is no Social Security as things will fall apart.

We are seeing this in Sweden and Minnesota. As Africans soak up more and more of social welfare, there is less for the whites who are growing demoralized.

Proggy moral masturbation leads to dissipation and demoralization.

* There is nothing noble about balkanizing America. These people are destroying the engine that has created one of the wealthiest societies in the history of mankind, not just for the super wealthy, but for all of its citizens. Even the so-called “poor” in the USA on average own their own home, have 2 cars, two TVs, a computer, two cell phones, cable TV and internet. Poverty is relative. No one here is walking around with the distended bellies of starvation.

By importing people en masse from third world cultures who have no history of Westernization and its ensuing socialization, they come here and want to remake the USA into the same kind of hellhole they left. It will end badly as it always ends badly everywhere it has been tried.

* Agree that Trump is quite excellent at stepping through the minefields by keeping things slightly vague.

He seems to have a great intuition for dealing with the media, probably a result of his many years in the spotlight.

However, I think there is more to his success than just showmanship. He is one of us (contemporary Americans) . We’ve all grown up along side him and watching his somewhat wacky antics for decades. He was always a little on the entertainment side, but he also had the serious/hard working/down to business thing going for him.

These other candidates came out of (relatively) no where. Having been burned on Obama, a huge important factor is someone that we know.

Just how much we know Trump, of course, will unfold, but decades of familiarity are not without meaning.

MORE COMMENTS:

* Trump believes lots of things, most importantly making America good for its founding stock again. Hence immigration restriction, trade protectionism, throwing out stupid lefty useful idiots from rallies etc. These are clear and meaningful positions. (Hence the lefties’ hatred of him: they hate America’s founding stock.)

* Denmark has a system that is more national socialist than probably any country in the world. A kinder, gentler third Reich.

* Here is some of our current Emperor’s ideological clothing:

The science is settled: catastrophic global warming is on its way if we don’t act now to stop it.

Economists have shown that free trade is always and everywhere a good thing. The American people have nothing to fear.

Diversity is strength.

Islam is a religion of peace.

Everyone can and should go to college.

Racial and gender discrimination are pervasive throughout American society. It is the principle reason gender and racial inequalities continue exist in various fields of endeavor.

Evolution is a fact, not a theory, but it doesn’t mean that genetic differences are important when it comes to understanding and solving important problems in human societies.

* It occurs to me that re: Trump’s “imperviousness” to attacks, there’s another way of looking at it– the specific flavor of the attacks launched from his detractors’ arsenal is remarkably stale and vitiated from overuse. The image of “Trump” itself is a media creation or rather the entropy of cliched media outrage-gaffe-exposé propaganda, thus he is not constrained by the known laws of media physics…

To quote from Best Of The Web Today: “When decent men like Reagan and the Bushes ran the Republican Party, you could liken them to Hitler and be taken seriously. What has the world come to?”

* When Trump says that George W. Bush’s invasion of Iraq was a disaster, he is just saying what everyone outside the political class has always thought and maintained, but the political class has kept up the lie.

Remember that Hillary Clinton probably lost the democratic nomination before by voting to support the Iraq War, whereas Obama demonstrated that he knew exactly what was going on. It seems to have been a real blind spot of the political class, because Jeb Bush was totally thrown by a question about it, even though the question was inevitable and he had years to prepare for it.

However one must distinguish between false beliefs and deliberate lies. George W Bush told deliberate lies about Iraq when he had access to all the intelligence and available information, and so did Colin Powell and above all Dick Cheney. Hillary was just a dupe who was not smart enough to figure it out for herself. As for Jeb? Well, he is just a low energy guy whose heart was never in the job.

* Our company’s PAC sent us a please-don’t-vote-for-Trump email today.

They didn’t mention him by name, but they said Super Tuesday was an embarrassing spectacle and that Europe is laughing at us. Then they said the main thing bothering voters is the sluggish economy and if we would just realize that free trade is always good for everyone then we would vote for establishment candidates like good little peons.

They wound up with what can only be described as a classic invade-the-world/invite-the-world flourish. They said that all Americans could/should agree that we must protect “the most vulnerable and marginalized among us” and that “America has been and should continue to be a force for good in the world.” This they presented as universally accepted principles that the country should rally around.

I doubt the email had much effect because it was flaccid and long-winded. But it was interesting to see how the big players think, or what they want us to think. One thing that bothered me is that our CEO, usually a no-nonsense guy whose calls Obama takes, actually said that the government hates exporters. I don’t know where he came up with that one.

* Ron Brownstein of Los Angeles who according to Google Cache will come speak at your gig for $17,000:

https://speakerpedia.com/speakers/ronald-brownstein

And whose ex has entirely excised him from her Wikipedia entry, which is…interesting:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nina_Easton

The new mixed-Jewish establishment

Thing is, Randal–it’s an error to try to apply reason to arguments based on emotion. This is true no less in politics than in a marriage.

At this point in our republic, a lot of what passes for social commentary or policy wonkery is based on emotionalism, histrionics, and outright manipulation through hysteria (and recall the root of that word).

There is no rational reason for mass immigration. It is based on the desire to undercut white males’ wages, position, and genetics, and to make this republic a global, rather than national, entity.

It is, and has been for a century, ethno-genetic war–conducted in the realm of politics and economic policy…by the Ron Brownsteins of the world, and people who pay him big bucks to come and chatter in their echo chambers.

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All The Single Ladies Are Pushing America Over The Leftist Cliff

From the Chateau:

Single momhood is up. The marriage rate is down. The age of first marriage is up. And the divorce industrial complex provides incentives to women to shatter marriages that would have survived similar rough patches not too long ago.

What does this distressed state of frayed affairs portend for America? How about a rapid and continual shift in the electorate toward Leftism and all its attendant social ills.

Why have women become Left-Wing? The political gender gap and the decline in marriage.

The last three decades have witnessed the rise of a political gender gap in the United States wherein more women than men favor the Democratic party. We trace this development to the decline in marriage, which we posit has made men richer and women poorer. [ed: this is not necessarily true. controlled analysis of actual living standards post-divorce support a less financially stable position for men. and the *perception* of financial gain matters; women perceive, due to legal incentives, that they will gain more in a divorce.] Data for the United States support this argument. First, there is a strong positive correlation between state divorce prevalence and the political gender gap—higher divorce prevalence reduces support for the Democrats among men but not women. Second, longitudinal data show that following marriage (divorce), women are less (more) likely to support the Democratic party.

Divorced men don’t stop voting Democrat because they are in a better financial position than they were in marriage; rather, they stop voting Democrat because the Democrat Party supports the whole panoply of anti-male feminist policy preferences that tilt the divorce playing field against men’s interests. Burn a divorced man once, shame on him. Burn him twice….

The real reason single women — pre-marriage and post-divorce — more strongly support the Shitlib Party is because they are biologically compelled to seek a male provider and his resources when they are mate-less. If no dependable or asset-rich man is available, then single and divorced women, and especially single moms with future juvenile delinquent and roadside stripper mouths to feed, will seek resources from the best available alternative: Big Daddy Government.

Consequently, as the nation loads up with more sex and the city mimosaettes and platitude-quaffing obese single moms of mystery meats, the bigger government will grow to satisfy the demand for more free first date dinners of dem welfare programs. And that is how the culture substrate changes absent any widespread genetic changes in the population, (which will follow not long after a massive and prolonged culture change).

Moral of the SCIENCE!: Female suffrage was a big mistake.

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The Philosophical Underpinnings Of Trumpism

From Unz.com:

Trump is, in the decisive sense, more conservative than the entire conservative establishment. Unlike them, he is actually trying to conserve something bigger than his job and status: namely, the American nation. Yet “Trumpism” needs something Trump himself cannot provide. John Derbyshire praises Trump’s “gut conservatism” as a welcome relief from the failures of the intellectual class. One can sympathize with his point without finding it altogether satisfying. “Gut conservatism” after all still depends on some definition of what conservatism is. Which requires thinking and writing, i.e., intellectualism, and perhaps even philosophy. The gut may be right more often than a broken clock, but—as Trump’s contradictory pronouncements over the years illustrate—it is unreliable and so must be ruled by the brain, which nature generously provides for the purpose. Derbyshire is thus too quick to dismiss conservative intellectualizing as irrelevant. Forging a fresh definition of conservatism, or of reinterpreting the old one to meet the necessities of the times, is not merely relevant but necessary.

Yet it is unquestionably true that to this task, our current crop of mainstream conservative intellectuals is not merely unsuited but wholly useless. National Review’s anti-Trump symposium reads as if it were written to make the point undeniable. Trump supports ethanol! Burn the heretic! At least listing the “conservative” boxes that Trump fails to check can be considered substantive. The rest of the symposium—like nearly all other conservative anti-Trump broadsides—consists merely of personal attacks. Many of which, to be fair, Trump has coming. But all this hardly amounts to a conservative refutation of, or counterproposal to, Trump’s program. The most they could say on that score was to paraphrase, probably subconsciously, Lionel Trilling’s dismissal of 20th century conservatism as “irritable mental gestures which seek to resemble ideas” and apply it to Trump.

But Trumpism, while not yet a coherent body of thought, points the way to one. Trump himself—no man of ideas, to say the least—is unsuited to the task of thinking through what his popularity means or how to build on it. Others will have to do the real work. Herewith, an attempt to get started.

America First

Trump’s two slogans—“Make America Great Again” and “Take Our Country Back”—point to the heart of Trumpism: “America First.” Some will no doubt flinch at being reminded of an alleged stain on America’s past. This is not the place to explain or defend 1940-41’s (unfairly maligned) America First Committee. It’s just that those two words capture the essence and appeal of Trumpism as no others do or could.

Trump seems to grasp intuitively something our elites have forgotten or smugly deny: politics is by nature particular. However arbitrary at the highest level of philosophical speculation, here on the ground, the distinctions between citizen and foreigner, compatriot and outsider, friend and enemy never go away. Even the ancient Greek philosophers—the greatest abstractionists of all time—understood the necessity of borders and the permanence of national distinctions. Socrates’ “city in speech”—the greatest political abstraction of all time—is closed to outsiders.

It’s not hard to understand why globalized elites—including the Republican billionaire donor class—favor the erasure of borders: they get, and stay, rich from it. More curious is why conservative intellectuals go along. No doubt some of their own funding comes from those same donors. Many of them also manifestly enjoy the preening that being on the side of enlightened opinion enables. In their hearts, nearly all “conservatives” long for absolution on the charge of “racism”. Like the atheist caricature of the devout husband guilt-wracked for coveting his own wife, the modern conservative believes the leftist lie that his natural affinity for people who look, think and speak like himself is shameful and illegitimate, to be internally repressed and publicly denied.

In this, the only difference between our “conservatives” and the liberals they claim to oppose is that the latter aren’t conflicted. Both groups have after all been educated at the same schools and steeped in the same post-American, far-left ideology. Thomas Sowell once eviscerated Rawls’ “difference principle”—the insistence that no policy, however beneficial to the common good, should be enacted if doesn’t help the lowest of the low—as the “wino’s veto.” Elite conservatives embrace it fully, not so much as an idea, but rather from the gut realization that privilege requires self-justification. Always taking the side of “the other”—the more alien and distant, the better—over and against their own people and country is a high-octane way to display high-mindedness. Speaking up for one’s own is the ultimate sign of a rube—or worse.

This yearning to appear high-minded has caused conservatives to equate principle with abstraction. They take the philosophic argument that “love of one’s own” is ultimately an insufficient basis for goodness to be reason’s last word and thus assume that anything particular—including their own country—must be, in and of itself, low and unworthy of their unalloyed allegiance: the high qua high always has some admixture of the abstract. Hence the continued insistence that, for America to be good, it must be conflated with its principles. Against any common-sense resistance to the latest righteous, destructive fad, conservatives and liberals alike scold from the same hymnal: “That’s not who we are.” To which Trump supporters instinctively respond: speak for yourselves. Maybe that’s not who you are, but it’s who we are, and we’re fed up with your sanctimony.

Paleo-conservatives are the notable hold-outs to this trend, but they embrace unreason in a different way. In their reverence for tradition, they must—if only implicitly—hold that tradition is good, or at the very least that their tradition is good for them. But for even that narrow formula to work, the good must have some content that transcends particulars. Those Greek philosophers—indispensable founders of “our tradition”—understood this clearly. But paleos are more hostile to abstraction than neocons are enamored of it, and insist that any theoretical investigation of the good or assertion of principle leads in a straight line to universalism, utopianism, quotas and open borders.

Both sects could learn something from their common inheritance. The American Founders managed to be principled and particularist, abstract and grounded, broad-minded and loyal, all at the same time. The Preamble to the United States Constitution pledges its purpose to “form a more perfect union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity.” Note that there is no mention of tradition, culture or heritage. Not that the Founders dismissed or opposed these things, but they evidently—and wisely—concluded that unity, justice, tranquility, defense, welfare and liberty are all higher goods. And not merely our goods or good for us (though of course they are) but above all good simply.

Yet, as the Preamble’s final five words make abundantly clear, there are practical limits to how much good, and for whom, politics can accomplish. The Constitution and the social compact it enshrines are for us—the American people—and not for foreigners, immigrants (except those we choose to welcome), or anyone else. The original state constitutions of Massachusetts and Virginia—twin cradles of the American Revolution—state much the same: “The end of … government is to secure the existence of the body-politic; to protect it; and to furnish the individuals who compose it”; and “government is … instituted for the common benefit, protection, and security of the people, nation, or community.” The same men who declared that “all men are created equal” also, and in virtually the same breath, excluded “all men” from de facto or implicit membership in the American nation.

The American people—like every people—have always felt in their bones their particularity, their uniqueness, their status as a people distinct from other peoples. Elites—donors and intellectuals alike, on both the left and the “right”—scoff at this natural, healthy and true belief as “nativism.” Is it then any wonder that the first presidential candidate in a generation to speak of America as something more than just a “shining city on a hill”—as an actual country, to be loved for what it is and not merely for what it represents or could become—has found enormous appeal?

Truth at Last!

The other, related source of Trump’s appeal is his willingness—eagerness—gleefulness!—to mock the ridiculous lies we’ve been incessantly force-fed for the past 15 years (at least) and tell the truth. “Diversity” is not “our strength”; it’s a source of weakness, tension and disunion. America is not a “nation of immigrants”; we are originally a nation of settlers, who later chose to admit immigrants, and later still not to, and who may justly open or close our doors solely at our own discretion, without deference to forced pieties. Immigration today is not “good for the economy”; it undercuts American wages, costs Americans jobs, and reduces Americans’ standard of living. Islam is not a “religion of peace”; it’s a militant faith that exalts conversion by the sword and inspires thousands to acts of terror—and millions more to support and sympathize with terror. “American exceptionalism” does not require, or even encourage, us to democratize the world—a task of which we are in any case incapable. The Iraq War was a strategic and tactical blunder that destroyed a country (however badly governed), destabilized a region, and harmed American interests. The benefits of free trade concentrate at the top (outsize profits) and bottom (cheap panem et circenses); the middle, and especially the working, classes have been hurt by globalization.

When one hears words coming out of a politician’s mouth finally reflect—rather than diametrically oppose—what one can see with one’s own eyes, the effect, we’ve (re)discovered, can be exhilarating.

All of which is to say, the root cause of Trumpism is the spectacular failure of our elites to serve the people they ostensibly lead. Those howling the loudest about Trump—the Davos overclass, establishment Republicans, and American “conservative” intellectuals—are in Stage 4C denial that their obliviousness, coupled with their ability (ante Trump) to silence and marginalize all opposition, are the principal causes of his rise. Whether their failures stem from cynicism, venality, greed, rationalization, delusion or honest disagreement (I think it’s all of the above) will need to be thought through by later historians. For now, it’s enough finally to see clearly their errors and—to revive and rehabilitate a Clinton-era phrase—“move on.”

Nationhood, Sovereignty and Immigration

The first task is a simple reassertion of American nationhood and sovereignty. Which begins, yes, with regaining control over our borders and dismantling our insane immigration policies, both formal (e.g., the idiotic visa lottery) and informal (the bipartisan consensus not to enforce any law that results in less immigration—at least from non-European sources).

Let the full enormity of the crisis we face finally be realized. The left supports mass immigration and the Davos economy—top plus bottom against the middle—for obvious reasons. Republicans support it in fealty to their true masters (their donor class) and in the vain hope that they will get credit from the left for not being “racist.” More mysterious is why conservative intellectuals, whom one would think should know better, use abstractions to happy-talk themselves into believing all will turn out for the best, despite all observable evidence showing the contrary.

Here I address my neoconservative friends specifically, and also those Trump supporters who are either hostile to or try to wave away America’s founding creed. Yes, it is true that “all men are created equal.” But Lincoln adds the crucial caveat: all men are not “equal in all respects” (emphasis in the original). They are not “equal in color, size, intellect, moral developments or social capacity.” People from different nations with different circumstances, histories, beliefs and traditions will—by definition—hold very different conceptions of good government, some irreconcilably opposed to our own. It has been said that a principal cause of Rome’s fall was that “many men who never knew republican life and did not care for it … became Roman citizens.” Why then do we Americans continue to import millions upon millions who have never known republican life and do not care for it? In doing so, we do not uphold our Founding creed; we hasten and enable its oblivion.

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Who Is Michelle Fields?

From Gotnews.com:

Sometimes you can tell a story is fake really quick. Sometimes you can tell a reporter is a fraud even faster just by talking to them.

Last month Breitbart’s Michelle Fields falsely accused me of hacking her computer after she sent me a LinkedIn request and I called her. Not only was this absurd to accuse another reporter of a federal crime but she didn’t correct her tweet about it until I called her bosses at Breitbart and forced her to. No apology, nothing. That kind of pissed me off. I mean she’s hot but not accuse you of a federal crime hot. I guess GOTIS really is a thing.

Anyway I called her because several months before that I published a story about how she had been sexually assaulted by former congressman (and her former colleague) Allen West. She wanted to be a source, then she didn’t, then she did, then she didn’t. It got exhausting so I published what I had and called it a day. She freaked out and called me over and over again until I put a crappy update in it. I didn’t want to make life difficult for a victim, after all. (I still believe that West assaulted women but I don’t know if I believe Michelle Fields. If she cared so much about the victims why did she waffle?)

I’ve since been told that she claimed she was assaulted when she worked for Students for Liberty and threatened the organization when they asked her to do work.

It’s important to stress here that Fields is pretty lazy. She was fired from the Daily Caller for not doing work. Her famous questioning of celebrities reportedly required a lot of coaching from her Reason.tv videographer.

Fields is supposed to be covering Cruz for Breitbart but she doesn’t actually go out and cover Cruz. Instead, she just reads what people write about him on Twitter. You can get a sense of her process by watching her interview with Brian Lamb of C-Span. She finds her stories on Facebook or Twitter, of course.

Daily Caller senior editor Jamie Weinstein is Michelle’s on again, off again boyfriend. He’s important and will come up again later. Weinstein and I have a gentleman’s understanding that he’s not to mess with me and I intend to honor it up until the moment he doesn’t so I won’t go too much into him. You’re welcome, Jamie.

Weinstein and Fields are a wannabe DC power couple. Jamie brings the money; Michelle brings the hotness. Both of them have aspirations of rising beyond their new media station and yet it hasn’t happened yet. Indeed it’s no coincidence that the story was leaked to the Daily Beast, a sort of way station between right-wing new media world and mainstream respectability. It’s a path taken by Betsy Woodruff (formerly National Review) & Will Rahn (son of WSJ columnist Peggy Noonan, former Daily Caller).

A media mentor even advise I take that path which is why I wrote a few pieces for the Daily Beast in 2014 or so. And get paid so little? Fuck that. I want Tina Turner’s job where you can lose millions. (That mainstream media ship sailed when I debunked the gun stats of Everytown and was branded a pro-gun nut by those pricks for proving that the stats used by the Bloomberg front group were bullshit. You might have seen my work on that plagiarized by a Conservative Inc. website.)

Let’s review the facts of Corey Lewandowski-Michelle Fields dust up, shall we?

She wears high heels when she goes out reporting. And has fallen down before when she was covering Occupy Wall Street. Maybe she falls down a lot? Don’t know. Maybe she does it to get attention.

But I do find it odd that she says she’s never tried to make herself the story. That’s precisely what she always tries to do.

Here are some questions I have as she gets her media moment.

Why did Fields not ask a question of Trump at his forty minute press conference?

Why was she waiting in an area that Secret Service was already clearing?

Why did Fields who did not see who tugged her arm ask Lewandowski if he was in the fact the person who tugged her arm?

Why did she not speak to a superior about the alleged incident instead of a speaking to ahostile news outlet and a romantic interest right away?

Why was her boyfriend (and Marco Rubio supporter from Florida) Jamie Weinstein the first person to tweet about the allege incident? Was Jamie present?

And why did he call Trump’s people “thugs”? Doesn’t he know that’s a racial slur? Tsk, tsk, Jamie!

Why does no video of this alleged incident exist? A room full of reporters and police and secret service and no one takes a video or even a picture?

Borrowing from Andrew Breitbart who was a bawler I’m offering $1000 for the video. If that’s not enough, hit me up with your best offer. My email is [email protected]. And if you want anonymity, I’ve got a wickr handle I can send you. There was a sea of new media present. (If you want to donate to fund this and other bounties, donate here.)

Why didn’t she file a police report if it was “battery”? Why didn’t this Fields approach the police after the incident if it was in fact assault? (Seems like a fake rape style incident to me!)

Why is the alleged incident being used as a setup to attack a candidate at tonight’s debate?

Why did she wait so long to release a photo of the bruise? And why hasn’t it been submitted to the police?

Politico says Fields will be on Good Morning America tomorrow morning. Isn’t it interesting how she’s finally getting lots of mainstream media attention? Where were they went she was going after rich pricks who refused to give more to the IRS or taking on Matt Damon and his slavish support of the teachers’ union?

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LAT: Growing up Darden: My classmates thought my father, who prosecuted O.J. Simpson, was a traitor

What would it look like if whites had the same racial solidarity as blacks?

Christopher Darden’s illegitimate daughter Jenee Darden writes for this op/ed for the Los Angeles Times:

Growing up Darden: My classmates thought my father, who prosecuted O.J. Simpson, was a traitor

I was 15 years old in 1994 when my father, Christopher Darden, joined the prosecution team against O.J. Simpson, a case very much in the news again thanks to “The People vs. O.J. Simpson,” now airing on FX. To say the least, it was a turbulent time for me: the daughter of a black prosecutor, prosecuting a successful black man in the trial of the 20th century.

I grew up in East Oakland, in a mostly black and Latino neighborhood. My parents never married and I lived with my mother. Life before the trial was simple. Our street had less crime compared to other blocks in the area, and all I wanted in life were straight A’s, a boyfriend who shared my love for X-Men cartoons, and TLC concert tickets. As the racial tensions surrounding the case grew, so did my anxiety. I worried the students at my predominantly black high school would harass me when they found out about my father. Many black people sided with Simpson and thought my father was a traitor.

Most of my classmates told me, “I don’t agree with what your daddy is doing, but you’re cool so I support you.” But not everyone felt compassion. While walking down the stairs after class one day, a black kid stopped me on the steps when other students were around. He said to my face, “Dude, I’m sorry, but your father is a Tom. A straight up sellout.” Then he strutted away as if he’d accomplished something. Embarrassment and shock left me speechless.

On the flip side, black people who suspected I was related to “that Darden” and believed Simpson was guilty would whisper conspiratorially in my ear. “I think he did it,” they’d say, “but don’t tell anyone I told you that.” They feared others would consider them sellouts too.

I understood why many black people, especially black people in Los Angeles, supported Simpson. I remember the beating of Rodney King and the shooting death of Latasha Harlins, 15, over a bottle of orange juice. Like today, black folks were tired of racially motivated killings. Still it hurt to see my father, a proud black man who encouraged me to embrace my heritage, be called a traitor. My father wanted justice for victims Nicole Brown and Ron Goldman…

“Hey, I noticed your last name is Darden,” said the short, middle-aged black man from my Bay Area fitness class in 2003. I knew what was coming next.

“Are you related to Chris Darden, the bald-headed guy from the O.J. trial?”

I gave my usual response.

“Oh, no,” I lied.

“Good,” he said while pounding his clenched fist into his palm. “Man, if I ever saw that [racial slur] I’d … “

Posted in Blacks | Comments Off on LAT: Growing up Darden: My classmates thought my father, who prosecuted O.J. Simpson, was a traitor

The Way Conservative Pundits Live Now

From the Journal of American Greatness:

It may surprise some readers to know that this journal quite enjoys John Podhoretz. He has an excellent voice for Twitter, and his monthly GLOP podcast, especially, is not to be missed. We have sharp disagreements on several recent foreign policy adventures, to be sure, but this post is neither the time nor the place for that. Besides, we would never expect expertise in 1970s pop culture to translate into expertise in foreign policy, and so we are happy to agree to disagree there.

Nevertheless, we cannot ignore his recent misinterpretations of two of our favorite cultural satires: Mike Judge’s film Idiocracy and Anthony Trollope’s novel The Way We Live Now. Not only does Podhoretz misunderstand basic elements of these works, but the nature of his errors reveals a great deal about the inability of conservative pundits to comprehend the appeal of Trump’s campaign.

In the Weekly Standard and elsewhere, Podhoretz has compared Trump to Idiocracy’s President Camacho, a former wrestler who becomes leader of the free world in the dystopian future in which the film is set. (Basically, Idiocracy imagines a United States grown progressively more idiotic over the generations until it becomes a garbage strewn, consumerist hellscape with no culture or appreciation for intelligence.) And, indeed, no one watching the present campaign can deny Trump’s frequent vulgarity, lack of policy knowledge, and overall coarsening effect on the race—though Roland Barthes may disagree with the implicit critique of wrestling.

The film, however, does not present Camacho as the cause of the country’s degeneration. He is at most an exploiter or even unwitting beneficiary of it. The main source of the decline presented in the film is the effect of less intelligent people having more offspring than intelligent people (which we will assume is pure parody and not comment on the policy implications thereof). The other reason given—and a much more compelling one—is the gross culture of consumption promoted at all costs by a (presumably global) corporate elite. “Brawndo,” a Gatorade-like drink, famously replaces water in irrigation and drinking fountains not because of Camacho but because its corporate owners succeed in buying off the government and installing it by official mandate.

It is not an accident that the idiocrats’ lives are totally commercialized, and any comprehensive interpretation of the film must acknowledge Judge’s critique of the dehumanizing effects of a consumer economy run amok and the selfishness of the corporate masters that sponsor it. Podhoretz ignores these elements of the film completely, yet it is precisely this interpretation which may explain so many voters’ willingness to embrace unconventional (and conventionally unappealing) candidates. They see that their country is being turned into an idiocracy—or at least a social and cultural wasteland—as its government and the leadership of both parties seem incapable of deviating from the preferences of the donor class.

Podhoretz misses a similar point in his discussion of The Way We Live Now. On the latest GLOP podcast, he summarizes the novel as the

“…greatest novel ever…involving a mysterious financier who takes London by storm because he announces that he is building the intercontinental Chinese railroad [the railroad actually runs from Mexico to Salt Lake City—ed.], and of course it all turns out to be a Madoff-like scheme. So that’s a book about a really disgusting rich person that, if you’re interested in thinking about the kind of damage that really disgusting rich people can do to a perfectly civilized country, you might want to read.”

This interpretation is so simplistic (and factually incorrect) that one wonders if Podhoretz has actually even read the book. It is true that the central character, the financier Augustus Melmotte, is a hustler and a con man. But Trollope’s portrait of him is at times quite sympathetic, and his real disgust is directed much more at the decadent British society that enabled a character like Melmotte to succeed and which flattered him profusely for a time. Various dissolute aristocrats, in hoping to get something from Melmotte, laid the foundations for and actively contributed to the unfolding disasters. Trollope’s Britain is anything but a “perfectly civilized country,” nor would a serious reader consider it ruined by one “disgusting rich person” alone. In placing all of the blame on the Jewish Melmotte, Podhoretz oddly takes the position of the anti-Semitic British aristocrats who are shown to be the most venal characters in the book.

Once again, in Podhoretz’s interpretation, Donald Trump alone is responsible for all the ills of the conservative movement. In his view, apparently, the movement was without flaw before Trump: Conservative intellectuals were not at all out of touch with the movement’s constituency. The party’s policies had produced splendid results in the last Republican administration. And certainly nothing about the state of the party could have enabled Trump’s rise; certainly no introspection over its basic agenda is required.

Please.

One does not have to like Trump to see that the party is in critical need of intellectual revival. Those positions Trump has attacked, impulsively but successfully—including immigration, trade, and indiscriminate democracy promotion—require serious reappraisal at least, if not a fundamental rethinking. We would prefer that the party improve itself rather than be destroyed, but the responses of Podhoretz and others so far inspire little optimism.

Posted in America | Comments Off on The Way Conservative Pundits Live Now

The Trumpian Philosophy

From the Journal of American Greatness:

During the pre-South Carolina debate, Donald Trump notoriously said that Bush (43) should have been impeached. This naturally caused all sorts of outrage among “conservatives.”

But what did Trump mean? That Bush should have been impeached for abuse of power? That would have required a Congress jealous of its own powers. Not such a bad thing. Perhaps it also means if Trump wins but then abuses his own powers, Congress should impeach him as well. I see no reason not to welcome that sentiment, either.

Yet if conservatives think they can conserve anything meaningful from the past (including Constitutionalism) after the wholesale destruction of a regime of civil and religious liberty that was built upon a moral tradition established by a two-thousand-year old civilization, they are deluding themselves. The traditional moral and political defense of civil and religious liberty has been undermined. American citizens, who want to live by the virtues established by that old moral tradition, have no real public means of defending their way of life, because the Washington elites have succeeded in transforming the moral foundations of contemporary political and social life behind the backs of the American people, and without their consent. The old regime of civil and religious liberty has been cut from under the people who long for it. “Morality” today is established, confirmed, and legitimized by contemporary intellectual elites. It seems that the best conservatives can hope for is to defend policies that appear to protect ”conservative” opinions on abortion, health care, limited government, and constitutionalism, seemingly unaware of the fact that those opinions are tolerated among contemporary elites because they have nothing to do with political reality in terms of reversing those policies, or re-establishing the limitations required by a constitutional government.

Frankly, I don’t think any of this matters. The real question is whether Trump is trying to re-establish the ground of politics as central to re-establishing the authority of the people. Policies can be changed, but now they are changed—or kept the same—without the consent of the governed. In fact, policy today is changed only by an administrative elite that is responsive to the interests of the various economic, social, cultural, religious, scientific, media, and entertainment elites. It remains a fact that, in the administrative state, the only thing NOT needed to change policies—or even the entire way of life of a people—is the authority of the people themselves. Does Trump understand that the first political necessity is to take the power out of the hands of the elites? He must, because all of the interested elites, including “conservatives,” fear that he threatens to take precisely that power out of their hands.

In truth, leftist policies cannot be reversed without a political revolution, one that would undermine the established authority of both contemporary liberalism and conservativism. It would also require re-animating the role of the people as a political force in Washington, which has become the heart of the administrative state and the source of the authority of the national intellectual and social elites, or the cognoscenti.

Conservatives such as Victor Hanson and Charles Murray, who are now taking Trump seriously, do so by separating Trump from Trumpism. They want to understand the importance of the political movement created by Trump; and they attempt to do so by separating Trump from the people, from the political constituency he created. But like any political movement, this one is unintelligible without Trump. He mobilized that political movement on behalf of a political reality that was in opposition to the socially constructed public world that had been created by the political, social, and media elites. That elite had dictated what constituted the morally defensible in the political and social world. It had determined what constituted allowable outrage against public decency.

Yet, since the end of the cold War, a whole way of life established by a venerable tradition was under attack by social, economic, intellectual, and religious elites, with little possibility of outrage against those who brought it about, precisely because conservative and liberals alike had accepted the inevitability of what they knew was only a “narrative.” In fact, despite the abuses of authority, and various scandals generated in the Clinton, Bush and Obama administrations, no moral outrage could be directed against the Washington establishment, from without or within. Watergate had established the ground of permissible moral outrage against the political, but it was not on behalf of the people, it was on behalf of the Washington establishment.

Reagan’s questioning of the legitimacy of centralized administrative government, and his defense of civil society, resonated with the electorate. It put the Washington establishment on the defensive for a decade. But by the end of the 1990s, the line between government and civil society had almost vanished, as the administrative state came to be centered on the presidency, with its vast ability to influence public opinion. Public opinion was both vulgarized and politicized during that decade. The coarsening of the culture was accelerated and the politicization of the private sphere had encompassed nearly everything including the movies, television, sports, music, and popular entertainment. Indeed, much of civil society was transformed in such a way as to become merely a reflection of the moral and political opinions established by elite intellectual opinion.

Consequently, it had become increasingly difficult to defend the autonomy of those private institutions in civil society that had depended upon a public, and political, defense of traditional morality. Government itself participated in undermining public support for those civil society institutions, such as the family and the churches, which had been dependent upon the authority of the old morality. This transformation occurred without organized political debate, and without the participation of the people in terms of legitimizing such a radical transformation of public opinion and public authority.

On the contrary, the political and enlightened elite—alone—had determined what constituted acceptable moral standards in the public sphere. As for the people themselves, no outrage at sexual scandal in the highest places, political corruption, or political correctness could resonate politically without the blessing of the Washington establishment. Rather, any kind of moral or political misbehavior on the part of the political establishment was defended on the ground that it was merely private behavior, unrelated to public performance.

But during the Clinton administration, the line between public and private behavior had nearly vanished because of the politicization of the culture and the coarsening of society as a whole. The public moral character of the regime would, subsequently, come to be shaped almost exclusively by the private interests and personal predilections of the cognoscenti. As a result, nearly any kind of private behavior that had an influential intellectual constituency (not necessarily large ones) could demand and receive public recognition in the form of government protection of private behavior as a public right.

It was not long before the only justifiable moral outrage was in opposition to those who still attempted to defend traditional morality. That morality came to be viewed as nothing more than the private, or personal, values of the ignorant and the vulgar, or the bigoted; and therefore unworthy of a public defense. In other words, the only public, or political, outrage that was socially and intellectual acceptable was moral outrage against the old morality. In short, the political and social elites had created an intellectual and political environment that made it nearly impossible to mobilize any public, or political support, for those traditional virtues that had made the defense of civil and religious liberty possible and necessary.

Trump has re-animated the political meaning of moral outrage, by being outrageous on behalf of what had come to be understood as the vulgar and unsophisticated, the hoi polloi. In doing so, he showed that it was the people, themselves, who could and should be outraged—by exposing the agenda and the hypocrisy of the Washington elites.

But that required using outrage on behalf of the political sphere once again. It also required an appeal to the people, against the establishment. Although in the past quarter century, nearly every aspect of the culture had become vulgarized, manners had been coarsened in both public and private life without complaint, it had become nearly impossible to mount a political opposition to the transformation of the culture. On the other hand, the establishment had erected a wall around public political behavior, in which coarseness or vulgarity, which so permeated the rest of society, was off limits in terms of political competition and debate. It appeared that only in politics are there rules of civility that still had to be observed. But the arbiters of good taste depended upon an agreement among themselves that required control of the public conversation, or the narrative. As a result, the people must only be able to understand their government through the lens provided by the national political, social, and media elites.

Trump’s unwillingness to accept the legitimacy of elite opinion concerning what is allowable in terms of the conversation, shattered political correctness and threatened the social and political control that was dependent upon the agreement of all of the intellectual elites. He could not do this in any civil, or politically acceptable, manner. Perhaps he thought that the political world ought to be treated in the same way as the rest of society. He coarsened and vulgarized politics in the same manner that the elites had coarsened and vulgarized the popular culture and the whole of civil society. That was too much for all of those who had come to understand themselves as the arbiters of manners: the sophisticated or the cognoscenti.

Not surprisingly, a liberal and conservative establishment—which had not been able to summon up any moral indignation against the outrageous behavior of the elites in the past quarter century—are outraged by the outrageous behavior of Trump. By making outrage political again, and placing that outrage in the hands of the people rather than the elites, even the behavior of the Clintons in the 1990s—which had not resonated at the time because none of the elites would or could make an issue of it—has re-emerged in a political manner that was almost inconceivable before Trump.

And this is not because Trump has said anything new or radical. It is because he did what no educated intellectual, or academic, would do: he took the side of what had come to be seen as the simple, if not ignorant, common man, against the enlightened and sophisticated elites of the social and intellectual world. He seems to understand that the coming political battle is a battle for control of public opinion, as Lincoln understood that term. Public opinion is, and has been for decades, treated as the private preserve of specialists, post-modern intellectuals, social scientists, lawyers, bureaucrats. Or, to put it in Hegelian terms, public opinion has been formulated, authorized, and legitimized by what has come to be understood as ‘the rule of organized intelligence.” There is no respectable opinion that has been able to emerge without the authority and the consent of the intellectual elites. In fact, there seems to be nothing quite like the political challenge to the authority of the cognoscenti, such as that posed by Trump in his appeal to the political authority of the people.

Again, what Trump seems to have understood is the necessity of revitalizing the political by reestablishing the authority of the people, rather than upholding the intellectual authority of the cognoscenti. Given his flamboyance and his unorthodox methods, many question whether he seeks power on behalf of the people, or on his own behalf. That will depend upon whether he is ambitious enough to understand that his self-interest, and his glory, will be assured by his success in pursuing the public good. Whether he will know how to harness and mobilize that political movement on behalf of restoring a constitutional order remains an open question.

Nonetheless, in the case of those who might learn from Trump, they need to understand that the fundamental problem of our time is to determine how to re-animate political rule in a way that allows public opinion, understood to arise in the creation of constitutional majorities, to establish the legitimacy of politics and policies, so that the resulting policies are compatible with the rule of law and the common good. If the people are to understand themselves as a sovereign people, they must reestablish the authority of the Constitution in a manner that makes it possible to restore the theoretical and moral ground of civil and religious liberty. That requires revitalizing the meaning of citizenship and reaffirming the sovereignty of the people and the nation.

Since the end of the Cold War, our leaders have understood their offices in terms of global and administrative rule, rather than political rule on behalf of the people and the nation. We have become so accustomed to administrative rule that we have forgotten that political rule requires the consent of the governed (not the consent of self-interested minorities of whatever kind) to establish its legitimacy. But such consent is possible only when a people understand themselves as a people, in a country where the regime supports the people by recognizing the political rule of its citizens. That requires distinguishing our citizens from all others.

It seems that Trump, at least, recognizes the necessity of re-establishing the sovereignty of the people as the first step in reaffirming political rule. In a certain way, this is an American form of the problem at the center of the Strauss-Kojeve debate: on the one hand a universal bureaucracy and a global elite that caters to human pleasure (sports, entertainment, erotica), which Strauss considered a tyranny; on the other, the question of whether there is sufficient pride in human beings for them to fight to retain their freedom and dignity, and hence reestablish a particular political order which is their own. (And not in Kant’s meaning of “freedom” and “dignity,” but the meaning established by the earlier philosophical and theological tradition).

Recreating the political authority of one people is the first step on the road to re-establishing the political conditions of civil and religious liberty, provided there is sufficient civic spiritedness, if not yet virtue, in the citizenry. But that requires political leadership that is capable of animating the civic spiritedness necessary for the revival of the political virtues required for self-rule. The administrative state has fragmented, isolated, and infantilized the people. Constitutionalism is at its core a political defense of the sovereignty of the people. Consequently, the fundamental problem is how to reestablish the sovereignty of one people, and restore the political authority of a Constitution that protects the natural rights of its citizens. Is Donald Trump up to the task?

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