The Worship Of Abstract Theory Over Human Welfare

Some people, particularly those who most identify with the buffered identity, love to worship theories.

Robert Lighthizer writes in his 2023 book, No Trade Is Free: Changing Course, Taking on China, and Helping America’s Workers:

Some cite efficiency as a rationale for free trade. For adherents of this faith, the sole objective of trade policy is market efficiency. Lower tariffs and nontariff barriers reduce the costs of producing and distributing goods and services; that, in turn, makes society as a whole better off — or so the argument goes. Of course, there are advantages to lower prices when considering Americans as consumers. The problem is that adherents of this view seldom consider how this single – minded pursuit of efficiency affects the men and women who actually do the producing.
According to the definitions preferred by these efficiency – minded free traders, the downside of trade for American producers is not evidence against their approach but rather is an unfortunate but necessary side effect. That’s because free trade is always taken as a given, not as an approach to be questioned. Rather than envisioning the type of society desired and then, in light of that conception of the common good, fashioning a trade policy to fit that vision, economists tend to do the opposite: they start from the proposition that free trade should reign and then argue that society should adapt.

Why do economists venerate free trade? Because they can model it with differential equations. Anything you can’t model in a differential equation is outside mainstream economics.

Ian Fletcher and Marc Fasteau write in their book Industrial Policy for the United States: Winning the Competition for Good Jobs and High-Value Industries (2025):

A major problem with mainstream economics, once one gets past recitations of free-market theology and looks at the actual scholarship, is that it is only good at understanding things that are well suited to mathematical modeling, such as price setting in freely competitive markets.37 It has weak insight into organization, management, corporate strategy, R&D, engineering, workforce development, the origins of technology, product design, policymaking by governments, and the strategies nations use to compete. None of these reduce to equations well, but they are central to how modern firms, governments, and thus economies function. Even some fields that do mathematize well, such as finance and international trade, are prone to oversimplifications that lead to false conclusions.

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Where Is The Biggest Gap Between What People Say Publicly Vs Privately?

Jeffrey Hart wrote in his 2005 book: ‘The Making of the American Conservative Mind: National Review and Its Times’ (2005): “Perhaps James Burnham was in an excessively pessimistic mood when he remarked to me once that the black problem “probably will ruin the country.””

This reflects the things I hear people, including elites, whisper privately about racial tensions. There is a massive difference between what people say publicly and privately about race. In private, people are much more hostile, negative, despairing about us all getting along. In public in America, people have learned to say the right things. In private, people often say these problems as insuperable and they whisper their fantasies about the other group disappearing. They tell their own group, “You don’t know how awful it is to deal with this other group. I say the things I have to say, I grin and bear it, but I really hate them.”

There’s nothing particularly American about this. This is worldwide. People don’t like strangers. Put people under pressure, and they really hate strangers.

ChatGPT says: In public, the U.S. has developed a shared script about race—equality, progress, “we’re all in this together.” In private, conversations can tilt toward cynicism, despair, or outright hostility. This doesn’t necessarily mean people are lying; it reflects two things:

Normative pressure – American society, especially post-Civil Rights, developed strong taboos against openly racist or separatist speech. People internalize those limits in public but may vent when they feel safe.

Frustration gap – Many people feel that problems tied to race (segregation, policing, schools, resentment, disparities in wealth and crime rates) are intractable. Public rhetoric stresses optimism and reform, but in private some people swing to fatalism—“this will never work.”

Mutual suspicion – As you said, the divide isn’t just white-toward-black. Black communities often voice deep private frustration with white institutions, discrimination, or indifference. Both sides can fall into “wish we didn’t have to deal with them” talk, even while in public insisting on coexistence.

This duality is uncomfortable but longstanding. It doesn’t necessarily predict collapse (Burnham’s fear of “ruin” hasn’t materialized in 70 years), but it does suggest that race remains the central unresolved tension in the American story.

Posted in America, Blacks | Comments Off on Where Is The Biggest Gap Between What People Say Publicly Vs Privately?

Republicans Want Republicans To Have Guns & Deny Them To Democrats Who Are Young Black, Latino Males While Democrats Want To Restrict Republicans From Having Guns

NYT says:

Crime Crackdown in D.C. Shows Trump Administration’s Uneasy Relationship With Guns

If President Trump’s actions were intended to drive a law-and-order wedge between Democratic big-city leaders and their constituents, it has also exposed a division in his own coalition.

ChatGPT says: Both parties’ positions on guns are fundamentally about power, trust, and control rather than consistent principle.

Republicans: They want their base armed — rural, white, conservative voters — while being far less enthusiastic about urban Democrats (often Black or Latino) having easy access to guns. The “Second Amendment” rhetoric is universal, but the practical politics are selective. Historically, GOP leaders were fine with restrictions when it meant disarming groups they didn’t trust (e.g., Black Panthers in the 1960s).

Democrats: They push for more regulation broadly but don’t see their own voters (urban, progressive, often vulnerable to crime) as the problem. They want limits on the groups they associate with gun violence (often coded as Republicans, rural militias, right-wing extremists). In practice, they’re no more philosophically consistent than Republicans.

Trump’s D.C. crackdown exposes this contradiction. On one hand, he built his brand as the protector of Second Amendment rights. On the other, his law-and-order posture requires sweeping guns off the streets in Democratic-controlled cities. That’s why you see someone like Jeanine Pirro, who once supported an assault-weapons ban, suddenly in charge of aggressive street-level enforcement — a move that makes gun-rights groups uneasy.

The bottom line:

Gun politics isn’t just about “freedom” or “safety.” It’s about who gets to be armed and who doesn’t.

Each party frames the Second Amendment in ways that empower its own voters and disempower the other side’s.

Crackdowns like this one are more political theater than lasting crime policy — they score points but don’t alter the deep divide.

Posted in Guns | Comments Off on Republicans Want Republicans To Have Guns & Deny Them To Democrats Who Are Young Black, Latino Males While Democrats Want To Restrict Republicans From Having Guns

Critical: Between Life & Death

On this Netflix documentary series set in London trauma care centers, a nice asian lady doctor who suffered terribly says trauma does not discriminate. That’s not true.

ChatGPT says: You’re right that “trauma does not discriminate” is more of a compassionate slogan than a literal truth. Trauma care doesn’t discriminate—ER doctors treat whoever comes through the doors—but trauma incidence absolutely does discriminate.

Rates of injury and violent victimization vary sharply across groups because of social, economic, and environmental factors. For example:

Violent crime exposure: African-Americans are statistically more likely to be homicide victims and to live in neighborhoods with higher rates of shootings.

Socioeconomic drivers: Poverty, segregation, and systemic disinvestment increase exposure to dangerous environments and limit access to preventative care.

Geography: Trauma rates differ dramatically by city, region, and even neighborhood—zip code can be a bigger predictor of health outcomes than genetics.

Other disparities: Native Americans face disproportionately high rates of motor vehicle crash deaths; young men (across all races) are far more likely to experience violent trauma than women.

So the doctor’s line works as a unifying, humane message for TV, but in reality trauma absolutely follows the fault lines of inequality.

Trauma and Crime Disparities in the U.S.

Homicide Victimization (2023, U.S.)

  • Black people: 21.3 per 100,000
  • White people: 3.2 per 100,000
  • Black individuals faced homicide at more than 6 times the rate of White individuals (Vox, BJS Report).

Violent Crime Victimization (2017–2021, BJS)

  • Robbery rates: Black people (2.8 per 1,000), Hispanic (2.5), White (1.6)
  • Overall violent victimization: White (~19.8), Black (~19.4), Hispanic (~18.4) per 1,000 (BJS).

Firearm Homicides

  • Black Americans are 12 times as likely as White Americans to die by firearm homicide (USCCR Report).

Trauma Mortality Disparities

  • Studies show higher mortality rates for Black trauma patients vs White, even when controlling for injury severity (PMC Study, LWW Journal).
  • African American patients were 20% more likely to die in-hospital after trauma compared to White patients, with socioeconomic drivers like insurance status and neighborhood poverty as factors (LWW Journal).
  • Hospitals serving predominantly minority communities tend to have higher mortality rates, even when protocols are the same (TQIP).

Access to Trauma Care — “Medical Deserts”

  • In Los Angeles County, 89% of Black-majority census tracts lack timely access to trauma centers, compared to much better access in wealthier, White neighborhoods (Medical Deserts).

Bottom Line

“Trauma doesn’t discriminate” is a compassionate message for TV, but the data tells another story:

  • Black Americans face far higher rates of violent crime victimization, especially homicide and firearm-related death.
  • They also experience worse trauma outcomes, driven by inequities in access to care, poverty, insurance gaps, and neighborhood disadvantage.

I’m watching episode two of the Professor T tv show. I love the show but I’m tired of the propaganda. The episode claims that we have no idea of who might be a murderer. Anyone can turn into a murderer. There are no physical signs or genetic predispositions. It all comes down to social arrangements and policy. I suspect that there might be physical signs of dangerous people but you can’t get any funding to study this.

ChatGPT says: You’re noticing the tension between criminology-as-drama and criminology-as-science. TV crime fiction almost always leans toward “anyone could be a killer” because it makes for better suspense and avoids accusations of profiling or determinism. But the reality is more complicated.

There are, in fact, measurable risk factors.

Genetic predispositions: Twin and adoption studies show a heritable component to antisocial behavior. Certain genes (like variations of MAOA, the so-called “warrior gene”) correlate with higher aggression—though always in interaction with environment.

Neurological signs: Brain imaging finds consistent differences in people with violent histories: reduced activity in the prefrontal cortex (impulse control) and abnormal amygdala functioning (fear/empathy). Traumatic brain injury is another big risk factor.

Physiological markers: Low resting heart rate, poor autonomic response to stress, and hormonal imbalances (testosterone, cortisol) have all been linked to violent offending.

Psychological/behavioral traits: Psychopathy, impulsivity, and lack of empathy are strong predictors. These aren’t hidden—most extreme offenders display red flags early in life.

What the show portrays—“murderers are totally unpredictable”—is partly ideology. It reflects a social-constructivist frame that puts all weight on environment, upbringing, and policy. In real research, the consensus is “gene–environment interaction.” Nature loads the gun, nurture pulls the trigger.

You’re also right that funding for biological markers of violence is limited. Ethical fears of “biological determinism,” potential misuse for profiling, and political sensitivities all constrain research. It’s safer for universities and funders to frame violence as social policy failure than to probe genetic or neurological predispositions.

Television often insists that “anyone could be a murderer,” but research from the past five years shows a more nuanced reality. Risk concentrates in a minority of people, and biology interacts with environment in ways that make some individuals more prone to violent behavior.

Genetics plays a role, though never in isolation. The largest genome-wide studies, such as Tielbeek et al. (2022), confirm that antisocial behavior is influenced by many small-effect genetic variants. Reviews like Koyama et al. (2024) highlight how specific genes, including low-activity versions of MAOA, elevate aggression risk when combined with childhood maltreatment. In short, genes load the gun, but environment pulls the trigger.

Brain science also shows consistent differences. A review by Fritz et al. (2023) found that people with histories of violence often have reduced prefrontal control and altered amygdala responses, affecting impulse control and empathy. A 2023 meta-analysis in Nature Mental Health reported structural abnormalities across antisocial personality disorder and psychopathy, showing that measurable brain differences are part of the picture.

Physiology contributes as well. Low resting heart rate has long been associated with aggression, but a 2023 Mendelian-randomization study in Scientific Reports found no causal effect, suggesting correlation without causation. Hormonal factors such as testosterone show only small links to aggression, with Geniole et al. (2020) and Lieberman et al. (2023) finding limited effects. By contrast, traumatic brain injury is a stronger predictor. The Lancet Neurology Commission (2022) and Maresca et al. (2023) show high rates of TBI among incarcerated populations, with clear links to aggression and violent offending.

Psychological traits remain central. Tools measuring psychopathy and antisocial tendencies can predict recidivism with moderate accuracy. A Lancet Psychiatry meta-analysis (2023) reported that risk assessment instruments achieve performance well above chance, even if imperfect. Psychopathy in particular adds predictive power when assessing violent reoffending.

What about facial scars and disfigurement? Contrary to popular belief, there is no evidence that such scars disproportionately mark murderers. Instead, studies like Johnson et al. (2017) show that observers judge scarred defendants more harshly, which affects sentencing rather than actual crime rates. Population studies, such as Amici et al. (2022), reveal that facial scars are common in the general population, making them unreliable as predictors. The illusion arises because trauma and violence—which can leave scars—are more common among incarcerated groups, but the scars themselves are not causal markers of homicide.

The sharpest conclusion is that violent behavior is not random. It is shaped by clusters of factors: early conduct problems, psychopathic traits, prior violence, substance misuse, brain injuries, and certain gene–environment interactions. These influences don’t create destiny, but they do explain why risk is concentrated rather than evenly spread across the population. Television dramas simplify this into suspenseful unpredictability, but the science points to measurable—if complex—patterns.

The 2023 book A Paleoconservative Anthology: New Voices for an Old Tradition says:

The progressive Left never tires of insisting that its view of human nature draws heavily from the social sciences. The logic of their argument runs roughly as follows: 1. Social science tells us that human beings are built for peaceful and selfless cooperation and that competition and conflict are functions of unhealthy, reactionary social orders. 2. Social science further informs us that all human beings are basically the same in their natural capabilities. If status hierarchy and inequalities arise, this has no relationship whatever to innate human differences. The human mind is a blank slate, receptive to whatever socialization and acculturation it undergoes, and so we can design the kind of social order we like depending entirely on how we socialize individuals and the cultural framework into which we place them. 3. For these reasons, unlimited social progress, by which is meant the promise of increasingly cooperative and egalitarian social order, is well within in our reach.

ChatGPT says: That summary is a sharp caricature rather than a fair restatement of how the mainstream social sciences actually think about human nature. Here’s how it stacks up:

1. “Humans are built for peaceful, selfless cooperation.”
Not quite. Evolutionary biology and anthropology consistently show humans are capable of both extreme cooperation and extreme violence. We evolved as highly social primates, but conflict and competition are just as deeply ingrained. Modern social science generally treats humans as dual-natured: we cooperate in-group, compete out-group, and context determines which side dominates.

2. “All human beings are basically the same in natural capabilities; mind as blank slate.”
This is closer to how social science leaned in the mid-20th century, especially under the influence of cultural anthropology (e.g., Margaret Mead) and behaviorism. But the “blank slate” view has been under sustained attack for decades. Psychologists and geneticists now emphasize gene–environment interaction. Differences in temperament, intelligence, aggression, etc., are partly heritable. Mainstream research today does not deny innate variation—it insists variation is real but also shaped by environment.

3. “Unlimited social progress is within reach if we design the right social order.”
That’s more ideological than scientific. Social scientists tend to be cautious about utopias. They do emphasize how institutions, incentives, and norms shape outcomes (crime, inequality, gender roles), but few argue that human nature is infinitely malleable. In fact, the reigning consensus in psychology, sociology, and economics is that human universals and constraints limit what policy can achieve. Social engineering can shift behavior, but not abolish hierarchy, competition, or status-seeking.

So, bottom line: the anthology’s passage captures a rhetorical style of the progressive left—especially its more utopian branches—but it distorts the mainstream of social science. The field no longer holds to a pure blank-slate model, nor does it claim humans are naturally peaceful. What it does hold is that social arrangements powerfully condition how human tendencies (both cooperative and competitive) play out.

Posted in Medicine | Comments Off on Critical: Between Life & Death

WP: Gaza postwar plan envisions ‘voluntary’ relocation of entire population (9-1-25)

01:00 Religion vs sports
03:00 Tucker hosts Christopher Caldwell, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9bua4XxWQA
05:00 WP: Gaza postwar plan envisions ‘voluntary’ relocation of entire population, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163485
34:00 Why The Supreme Court Might Uphold Trump’s Tariffs, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163495
43:00 What are the implications of Donald Trump’s fatalism?, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163478
50:00 What Is Paleo-Conservatism?, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163471
53:00 William F. Buckley’s True Calling, https://soundcloud.com/firstthings/william-f-buckleys-true-calling
1:09:30 ‘Trump’s Unapologetic Defense of the Rule of Law’, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163465
1:13:30 Trump Vs Big Science, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163463
1:18:00 Taking Down The Tent Cities, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163461
1:20:00 NYT: Someone Is Defying the Supreme Court, but It Isn’t Trump, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163459
1:21:00 WSJ: Populist Right-Wing Parties Lead Polls in Europe’s Biggest Economies
1:25:00 James Burnham: An Intellectual Biography (2025), https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163450
1:32:00 William F. Buckley – ‘The Great Excommunicator’, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163444
1:37:00 The Catholic Church Has Been A Haven For Gays, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163440
1:43:00 Our System Often Rewards BS Rather Than Truth, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163315
1:45:00 New Orleans Gets A Participation Trophy, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163310
1:51:30 The New York Times Newsroom After Donald J. Trump Won The 2016 Election, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163260
1:56:00 2006 Book: ‘Overblown: How Politicians and the Terrorism Industry Inflate National Security Threats, and Why We Believe Them’, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163182
2:05:30 Morton Halperin – Professional Hysteric Posing As IR Wiseman, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163171
2:11:30 Video: Charles Taylor’s A Secular Age Explained: What Conservatives Get Wrong about Secularism
2:23:00 Sex Scandals & The Sum Of All Fears, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=163160
2:50:00 Navigating the Modern Jewish Landscape with Rabbi Dr. Marc Shapiro, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1RnILMvBsGU

Posted in America | Comments Off on WP: Gaza postwar plan envisions ‘voluntary’ relocation of entire population (9-1-25)