Investigative reporting cost a fortune long before the money dried up. A single story takes months, lawyers, travel, document review, and most of it ends in nothing publishable. Newspapers paid for that out of fat ad revenue and classified monopolies. Those revenues are gone. One-third of the country’s newspapers have shut down and two-thirds of its newspaper journalists have lost jobs since 2005, with nearly 3,000 of 9,000 newspapers closed and 43,000 journalists out of work over two decades. The expensive watchdog work was always the first thing cut.
So what replaced the old model? Three answers, none of them complete.
The first and largest is philanthropy. ProPublica set the template. Herbert Sandler (1931-2016) and Marion Sandler (1930-2012) sold Golden West Financial for billions and went looking for something to fund. They wanted to donate $10 million a year to investigative reporting and asked everyone they knew in journalism what to do. Paul Steiger (b. 1942) left the Wall Street Journal to run it. The trick was giving stories away free to partner papers so those papers would run them on the front page instead of burying them. That worked. ProPublica now runs on about $58 million a year with more than 200 staff, and it has won nine Pulitzers. The money comes from individual donors and big foundations: Knight, MacArthur, Ford, Carnegie, and Open Society among them.
The weakness is obvious. Foundation money carries the politics of the men who give it, and donors drift toward the causes they already love. A watchdog funded by rich progressives watches certain things and not others. The model also concentrates the work in a few national shops while the local paper that once covered the county courthouse stays dead.
The second answer is membership and subscription. Reader money instead of advertiser money. Membership models show promise in places as different as Chile, Hungary, South Africa, South Korea, and the United States. This puts the reader back in charge, which is healthier than chasing clicks. But it favors outlets with a loyal tribe and a clear point of view, and it rewards the writer who flatters his audience as much as the one who tells it hard things. Global Investigative Journalism Network
The third answer is the individual. The reporter who builds his own audience on Substack or YouTube and takes the subscription money himself. A former head of BBC News calls creator journalism the most disruptive shift the industry has seen, a wholesale move from one information ecosystem to another. A man like Chris Hedges (b. 1956) or Gretchen Morgenson (b. 1956) keeps the brand he built at an institution and walks out the door with it. The reader pays the writer, not the building.
Now a new threat sits on top of all this, and it hits every model at once. AI answer engines give people the reporting without the click. Some projections put the loss of publisher referral traffic as high as 43 percent, which for an outlet on thin margins is not a dip but a collapse. The machine reads the expensive investigation and serves the answer, and the newsroom that paid for the reporting sees no visit and no ad. Only about 20 percent of publishers expect AI licensing deals to bring in real money.
The hopeful read, which the Reuters Institute pushes, runs like this. Routine content goes to the machines, and complex, source-driven, accountable reporting stays human, because trust is not something you can train a model on. The skills that survive are the old ones: cultivating sources, working a paper trail, filing the records request, showing up in person, knowing the subject cold.
Here is the truth under all of it. The advertising model never funded investigative work because investigative work paid. It funded it as a byproduct of a monopoly on local attention. That monopoly is gone and is not coming back. So the question now is whether enough people will pay directly for accountability reporting, either as donors, as members, or as subscribers to one man’s feed. The early evidence says some will, but not enough to replace what was lost, and not spread across the local beats where most corruption hides. The national exposé survives. The county-courthouse watchdog mostly does not.
01:00 Autumn Gold film, https://www.autumngoldfilm.com/
02:00 Autumn Gold: Secrecy, Time, and the Recovery of Truth, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=190968
03:00 Eric Longabardi: An Investigative Journalist Between Two Media Orders, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=190949
08:00 Project Shad, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_SHAD
10:00 Project 112, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_112
21:00 Operation Tailwind, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Tailwind
23:00 CBS Evening News broke the story in May of 2000
33:00 The business model of investigative journalism
54:40 CBS News turmoil, 60 Minutes, Scott Pelley, Bari Weiss
55:30 Deepak Chopra, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deepak_Chopra
1:06:30 Israel, Lebanon, Hezbollah, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O-Jj6V8B7mk
1:27:00 The Henry Nowak Death, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=191756
1:30:30 Buck Sexton on AI, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vaIn95Bdi6g
1:38:00 Who Are The Leading Public Intellectuals Doing The Least Alliance Work?, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=191766
1:44:00 Alliance Theory and the Iran War, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=191320
1:55:00 The Clay Travis & Buck Sexton Show, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=191682
1:56:00 Buck Sexton’s & Clay Travis’ Predictions, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vaIn95Bdi6g
2:03:00 Decode the Declaration of Independence, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=191485
2:10:00 Convenient Beliefs, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=178665
2:12:30 Who Can Narrate?, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=172725
2:15:00 The Mark Halperin Trajectory, https://lukeford.net/blog/?p=181927
2:23:00 Iran launches missiles at Israel in response to Israeli strikes on Beirut
2:40:00 Live: The Enforcer: ISRAEL ATTACKED BY IRANIAN MISSILES; MAJOR RESPONSE IMMINENT! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcVOZ_Fjif4
