{"id":94324,"date":"2016-04-27T13:40:49","date_gmt":"2016-04-27T21:40:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=94324"},"modified":"2016-04-27T13:51:31","modified_gmt":"2016-04-27T21:51:31","slug":"trumps-problem-with-nice-midwesterners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=94324","title":{"rendered":"Trump’s Problem With Nice Midwesterners"},"content":{"rendered":"

Comments to Steve Sailer<\/a>:<\/p>\n

* Trump\u2019s had big problems with the Germanics and \u201cnice\u201d Midwesterners in general, the conservatives among which the \u201cnice\u201d factor, and their lack of exposure to real diversity, is keeping them from getting their heads outta their asses. (Several of my Iowa relatives are in this bucket, so I have at least some handle on the mentality.)<\/p>\n

Trump could do the cause a world of good if he could learn to express hard anti-immigration, anti-diversity (like the muslim thing) in clear cogent logical language that comes off as thoughtful \u201cmore in sorrow than in anger\u201d and appeals to the future\u2013\u201dwhat sort of America, with what sort of fault lines, divisions and contentions do we want to leave to our kids\u201d. Post-Trump the \u201ccitizenist party\u201d must learn to do this to bring \u201cnice\u201d white people\u2013especially white moms\u2013on board.<\/p>\n

* Trump has already done enough for me. He\u2019s kicked the table over and bloodied noses. He\u2019s pantsed the entire political and media establishment of the USA. Pointed out their nakedness for everyone to hear. Shown the rewards that await populist candidates. Highlighted closed borders, fair trade, and political incorrectness as winners. He could win the White House and turn right around and stab us in the back on everything, and it wouldn\u2019t change what he\u2019s done already.<\/p>\n

He put a lot of blood in the water. The establishment looks weak.<\/p>\n

* What if Trump has a health breakdown after his heroic exertions of the last 9 months or there\u2019s an embarrassing lawsuit against one of his business interests or there\u2019s an anti-immigrant mass shooting or his tax returns have something embarrassing in them, like he\u2019s not really all that rich?<\/p>\n

The Democrats used their control of The Narrative to damn near destroy a quiet black guy, Clarence Thomas, over a bunch of nothing, which helped put Bill and Hill in the White House. They\u2019ll be coming for the Donald with everything they\u2019ve got.<\/p>\n

It ought to be awfully entertaining, but don\u2019t get your hopes of a Trump victory too inflated.<\/p>\n

* I\u2019ve concluded that that unfettered aspect of his personality that allows him to utter politically incorrect truths like we\u2019re not getting Mexico\u2019s best, President Bush was a disaster, we would be better off with Saddam Hussein still running Iraq, and maybe we should close down NATO goes along with his tendency to say things like Carly Fiorina is unattractive and he has no problem with his penis size. You get the complete package, as it were.<\/p>\n

* \u201cThe Democrats used their control of The Narrative to damn near destroy a quiet black guy, Clarence Thomas, over a bunch of nothing, which helped put Bill and Hill in the White House.\u201d<\/p>\n

And even the HBO movie admitted Thomas didn\u2019t lay a hand on her. With a total lack of irony, HBO shows a Ted Kennedy female staffer orchestrating the campaign against Clarence Thomas.<\/p>\n

Speaking of Ted Kennedy, for those who weren\u2019t around back then, or haven\u2019t studied the Chappaquiddick Affair, his actions (or lack of) were far, far worse than generally known.<\/p>\n

Yes, the MSM will come after The Donald with everything they\u2019ve got.<\/p>\n

* Cruz is less likely to fall below 40% than Trump is, but that\u2019s about all the good news for Cruz. Assuming a healthy, unindicted Hillary, Cruz probably tops out a few points south of Romney\u2019s 2012 performance.<\/p>\n

Kasich might do well from a median voter theory standpoint, but would leak a lot of turnout from Trump and Cruz supporters. Ryan, too.<\/p>\n

All sorts of people could beat Hillary if Hillary implodes, but against a strong Hillary, Trump is the high variance candidate who seems like he has more chance to actually beat a strong Hillary in a fair fight than anybody else doesn.<\/p>\n

But he also has more chance to lose in a historic landslide that could take a lot of GOP officeholders down with him. So, a lot of GOP insiders are probably thinking: \u201cWhat\u2019s so bad about Ryan losing 55-45? I\u2019ll keep my seat in 2016 and then we\u2019ll tear it up in 2018. Let\u2019s just keep the Obama Era dynamic going four more years.\u201d You have to remember that the Obama Era has been pretty good for downticket Republican politicians and their staffers. Republican politicians have doing well in state legislatures, for example.<\/p>\n

Crunch time for the GOP establishment is 2020, however, because that controls the gerrymandering before 2022. But, unlike 2010, when the GOP did well in state legislatures in a mid-term election, and thus got to do most of the gerrymandering, 2020 is a presidential election when Democrats remember to turn out.<\/p>\n

* Oh sure, Trump can win delegates in those backward states where they allow people to vote. If you approve of that sort of thing. But Ted Cruz is the only candidate who can win the hearts and minds of party functionaries.<\/p>\n

* The MSM will love The Donald. They aren\u2019t going to write themselves out of the new Camelot. The MSM is about to become very, very conservative, in the sense of being a supporter of The Donald and all his works.<\/p>\n

* Hillary\u2019s mother lasted to 92. All of those who are hoping for divine intervention between now and November may be sorely disappointed. She really would have to die \u2013 any amount of illness will be concealed by her campaign and the press. If she was lying in intensive care it would be sold as \u201ctaking a few days off the campaign trail for some rest.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Comments to Steve Sailer: * Trump\u2019s had big problems with the Germanics and \u201cnice\u201d Midwesterners in general, the conservatives among which the \u201cnice\u201d factor, and their lack of exposure to real diversity, is keeping them from getting their heads outta … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21791,29752],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-94324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-america","category-donald-trump"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94324","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=94324"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94324\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":94333,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94324\/revisions\/94333"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=94324"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=94324"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=94324"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}