{"id":75578,"date":"2015-09-25T15:54:23","date_gmt":"2015-09-25T23:54:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=75578"},"modified":"2015-09-26T18:53:54","modified_gmt":"2015-09-27T02:53:54","slug":"professors-confess-trump-as-likely-as-jeb-to-win-in-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=75578","title":{"rendered":"PROFESSORS CONFESS: TRUMP AS LIKELY AS JEB! TO WIN IN 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><A HREF=\"http:\/\/www.breitbart.com\/big-government\/2015\/09\/25\/professors-confess-trump-likely-jeb-win-2016\/\">From Breitbart<\/a>: Donald Trump has a better shot at the presidency than Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and is just as likely to win the 2016 election as Jeb Bush, say two embarrassed political scientists.<\/p>\n<p>We know they\u2019re embarrassed by their discovery because their Washington Post article buried that news far, far into their math-heavy, thumb-sucking, 20-paragraph, Sept. 25 perambulation.<\/p>\n<p>In <A HREF=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/monkey-cage\/wp\/2015\/09\/25\/if-republicans-nominate-a-strong-conservative-it-could-hurt-them-on-election-day-a-lot\/\">their article<\/a>, the two academics first did some tricks with numbers, multiplied some percentages, added a few assumptions \u2014 and then subtracted their interesting conclusion from the lede.<\/p>\n<p>Weird \u2014 why would they subtract their conclusion?<\/p>\n<p>Because they concluded that Donald Trump \u201chas a 54 percent chance of being elected president if he is the GOP nominee\u2026 [and] he is as electable as [Jeb] Bush and [John] Kasich and more electable than [Carly] Fiorina and [Marco] Rubio.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Breitbart: Donald Trump has a better shot at the presidency than Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and is just as likely to win the 2016 election as Jeb Bush, say two embarrassed political scientists. We know they\u2019re embarrassed by their &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=75578\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29752],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-donald-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75578","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=75578"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75578\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":75610,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75578\/revisions\/75610"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=75578"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=75578"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=75578"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}