{"id":187510,"date":"2026-05-13T12:34:56","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T20:34:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=187510"},"modified":"2026-05-13T12:43:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T20:43:12","slug":"yoram-hazony-what-winning-looks-like-and-how-we-could-lose-natcon-5-sep-2-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=187510","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;Yoram Hazony | What Winning Looks Like, and How We Could Lose | NatCon 5&#8217; (Sep. 2, 2025)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Gc1uTPTR8xI?si=ngtGpbvEeFqlBrfS\" title=\"YouTube video player\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>This speech is more candid than anything Hazony puts in writing.<br \/>\nHe admits the right&#8217;s antisemitism problem in public. He names the pattern without naming the men. &#8220;Some of them people I used to admire&#8221; who have made a turn in the last three years to praising &#8220;the Muslim Brotherhood and Islam and the Quran&#8221; and treating Jews as a problem. That fingers Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, and a small set of adjacent figures. Hazony does not say the names but the room knows. The written work has gestured. The speech says it plain.<br \/>\nHe admits the Iran strike fractured his coalition. The June 2025 US strike on Iranian nuclear sites split NatCon. Hazony admits the conference committee thought a reconciliation conference might heal the split and concedes they were &#8220;a little bit naive.&#8221; All summer his coalition has pounded itself in public. He is trying to host a reconciliation conference that he no longer believes will reconcile.<br \/>\nHe concedes the love-of-Israel test. &#8220;Nobody ever said that to be a good NatCon you had to love Israel. Nobody ever said that to be a good NatCon you had to love Jews. Go take a look at our statement of principles. It&#8217;s not a requirement.&#8221; This is a substantial retreat. The Tikvah-adjacent donor network that built NatCon&#8217;s infrastructure ran on a presumption of pro-Israel pro-Jewish alignment. Hazony explicitly disowns the link to keep the coalition together. The move costs him with donors who funded the operation on a different assumption.<br \/>\nHe confesses the coalition-manager role openly. &#8220;Our job is to pull together journalists, academics, think tank people, writers, people who work in the field of ideas to bring them in together into a coalition and to hold it there to be the intellectual substrate underpinning of this nationalist movement. That&#8217;s what we do.&#8221; We worked through this before as the conclusion the framework forced about his function. Here he states it openly. The convening is the product. The books are calling cards.<br \/>\nHe weaponizes &#8220;purity&#8221; against substantive disagreement. The Iran-strike opponents are not purists in any honest sense. They hold a foreign policy position they consider central to the original Trump promise of no new wars. Hazony reframes the substantive disagreement as a character flaw, an inability to handle governance after a career of opposition. The reframe protects the coalition from the substantive question.<br \/>\nHazony moves from opposition intellectual to regime intellectual. &#8220;When you&#8217;re governing, you also have to have a coalition.&#8221; The shift is consequential. The intellectual who built the coalition against the regime now asks the coalition to defend the regime from its own dissidents. He seems to feel the role change.<br \/>\nHe concedes 67% of American Jews are liberals. The number is roughly right. The concession is uncharacteristic. Hazony usually treats Jewish liberalism as a deviation from authentic Jewish life. Here he names it as a political fact that has to be reckoned with. He invites the right-wing critique of Jewish liberalism without endorsing the antisemitic frame that goes further. The opening is calculated. It gives the room permission to talk about Jewish behavior without crossing into the territory he wants closed.<br \/>\nHe uses &#8220;honor&#8221; as coalition glue. &#8220;If you honor me, I&#8217;ll honor you.&#8221; Not liberal proceduralism. The language of patron-client relations and clan diplomacy. He operates openly in a moral economy of mutual recognition. The frame works inside the room. It does not bind the men outside the room. Tucker, Candace, and the Substack edgelords who reach the same audience without Hazony&#8217;s permission are not in his honor circuit. The honor frame addresses only those who showed up, which is a partial solution to a problem that lives largely online.<br \/>\nHe lists the Becker hero narrative he wants everyone to rally to. Immigration. Reindustrialization. Foreign policy realignment from global empire to regional actors. Draining the swamp. The end of woke DEI. Crime taken seriously. The list is the hero system. Internal critics threaten the hero system. Hazony is asking the room to bow to the hero system rather than picking at it.<br \/>\nThe coalition expansion continues. He notes the early Catholic-Protestant balancing, then the work bringing in Orthodox Jews. The pattern shows the convener as a small-scale ecumenical operator, always rebalancing the room. The new Orthodox Jewish wing replaces some of the heat lost from Catholic and Protestant defections to the populist anti-Jewish right. Bringing in Orthodox Jews who are tied to Israel-supportive networks shores up the side of the coalition that the Tucker-Candace defection drained.<br \/>\nWhat Hazony does not address. The substantive foreign policy debate. The Israel-lobby thesis. The dual-loyalty question. Jewish overrepresentation in elite institutions. Heritage versus MAGA tensions. The integralist Catholic wing pressing post-liberal arguments against him. He names none of the right-wing figures who turned. The list of unaddressed items shows what the coalition cannot tolerate having named in plain language.<br \/>\nThe personal note. &#8220;I&#8217;m getting really old. I won&#8217;t tell you how old.&#8221; He turned 61 in 2025. The line plays as humility. It also lets him claim the elder statesman position over younger podcasters who run the attacks he wants stopped.<br \/>\nNothing philosophical has shifted. The candor about coalition tensions is new. The willingness to address right-wing antisemitism by pattern if not by name is new. The concession on Israel and Jews is new. The frank confession of the coalition-manager role is new. None of the surprises change Hazony&#8217;s argument. All of them clarify his function.<br \/>\nThe speech catches Hazony at maximum strain. After the Iran strike. After the anti-Jewish turn on the right. Before the midterms. He is asking his people to hold the line. He is not certain they will. The closing lines, the explicit pleading, the &#8220;I&#8217;m asking you for your help,&#8221; carry an emotional charge his written work avoids. The convener wonders if the room will still gather next year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;The Man Driving the Nationalist Revival on the Right | The Ezra Klein Show&#8217; (Aug. 1, 2025)<\/p>\n<p><iframe width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Qa_PCNgW79E?si=4UFWRl26Z8Ht6g6l\" title=\"YouTube video player\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>The Trump confession. Klein presses Hazony to square the mutual-loyalty norms in The Virtue of Nationalism with Trump&#8217;s behavior. Hazony does not deflect. &#8220;Donald Trump or Barack Obama are these politicians of the old mold who thought it was important really, really important to cultivate mutual loyalty between the different parties and tribes. No, they&#8217;re not.&#8221; Then: &#8220;I consider this to be a tragedy.&#8221; The bipartisan framing protects him with the room. The admission is real. Hazony openly concedes that the man at the head of his coalition does not practice what he preaches. This is the deepest seam in the interview.<br \/>\nThe Vance defense by biography. Klein presses on JD Vance and the cemetery-plot speech. Hazony responds: &#8220;JD is a man whose family&#8217;s been here for a long time, but he&#8217;s a convert to Catholicism. He&#8217;s married to a woman who&#8217;s a child of Indian immigrants.&#8221; Rhetorically clever and substantively damaging to Hazony&#8217;s larger argument. If conversion makes someone Catholic and marriage makes the wife American and the children American, then the creedal vision Vance attacks has more substance than Vance grants it. Conversion bridges blood-tribe and idea-tribe. The bridge is what Vance&#8217;s cemetery-plot speech wants to deny exists. Hazony defends Vance by invoking a possibility Vance&#8217;s politics suppresses.<br \/>\nThe &#8220;rebuild a dominant center&#8221; line. The most candid formulation of the NatCon project anywhere in print or video. &#8220;This is the NatCon project in America. It&#8217;s to rebuild a dominant center.&#8221; Not commentary. Not theory. A project. The dominant center is Anglo-Protestant culture with strong Old Testament inflection, English language, common law, and a Christian self-understanding the Supreme Court used to affirm before 1930. Hazony does not say it requires state coercion. Klein keeps showing him cases where the rebuild proceeds by state coercion. Hazony keeps replying that the coercion is regrettable but the project needs to win first and become tolerant later.<br \/>\nThe Rubio speech-crackdown defense. Hazony defends Marco Rubio (b. 1971) revoking student visas for political speech as nationalism rebuilding the center. He frames it as Rubio thinking &#8220;the general overopenness has gotten to such a point that political movements from the Middle East&#8221; need checking. The Muslim-American caveat softens it. The defense is consequential. Hazony endorses the executive branch using immigration law to police protected speech, on the ground that the country needs a stronger center to be tolerant later. His earlier writing condemned the same move when liberals did it on different targets.<br \/>\nThe 15% threshold. Hazony asserts NatCons believe 15% foreign-born is the cohesion ceiling. The number does real work. The US is already past it. The threshold turns moratorium and deportation into cohesion-saving rather than nativist preference. The empirical claim is contested. Klein lets it pass.<br \/>\nThe Fuentes concession. Klein presses on Nick Fuentes (b. 1988) and the kooky Nazi right feeling more at home in Trump&#8217;s GOP than in Romney&#8217;s. Hazony concedes &#8220;they are getting stronger.&#8221; He distances NatCon from them through the Vdare exclusion and the blood-and-soil-is-Nazi line. The concession matters. In writing Hazony tends to deny or downplay the right&#8217;s antisemitic and racialist wing. Here he admits the wing exists and is growing. The September NatCon speech goes further and names the pattern without naming the men.<br \/>\nThe Bridge Colby recommendation. Hazony recommends Colby&#8217;s Strategy of Denial. Colby (b. 1979) is one of the anti-interventionist voices in the administration. The Iran strike happened two months later. The recommendation positions Hazony to hold both Colby and the pro-strike Rubio-Anton wing inside his tent during the rupture. The August Colby endorsement reads differently in light of the September speech admitting the Iran strike fractured NatCon.<br \/>\nThe Klein-Hazony surface mismatch. Klein (b. 1984) is California, son of a Brazilian immigrant, Eastern European Jewish on both sides. Hazony is Israeli, Orthodox, building a movement that wants Anglo-Protestant centrality in America. Two American Jewish intellectuals at opposite ends of the diaspora-positioning spectrum. Klein argues from a credal-cosmopolitan posture. Hazony argues from an Anglo-Protestant-loyalist posture. Neither names the Jewish-positioning question. The unnamed question runs under the whole interview.<br \/>\nThe neo-Marxism move. Klein asks Hazony to define neo-Marxism. The answer is loose: woke holds that liberal society is a sham, that competing groups exploit each other, that justice requires destroying the dominant group. The frame ties woke to Marx as a coalition-defining enemy. The analytic claim is weak. Most identity-politics intellectuals trace to Foucault, Crenshaw, Said, Spivak, and the post-1968 European theorists, not to Marx. The neo-Marxism frame works for Hazony&#8217;s audience because most of his audience does not read these sources. It names a familiar enemy from an older fight.<br \/>\nWhat he protects. Hazony does not name Tucker Carlson. He does not engage the Israel-lobby thesis. He does not address the Catholic integralist wing pressing post-liberal arguments against his procedural commitments. He does not address how cohesion-through-coercion converts to tolerance-later without state capture. He does not address why his coalition tolerates Fuentes-adjacent rhetoric in spaces near NatCon if NatCon excludes it. The pattern of what he protects shows where the coalition is weakest.<br \/>\nWhat surprises. The Trump confession is new. The &#8220;rebuild a dominant center&#8221; formulation is new. The Vance biographical defense is new. The Fuentes-getting-stronger concession is new. The Rubio defense is more explicit than in his books. The interview is a higher-yield document than most Hazony media because Klein pushed where most hosts do not.<br \/>\nRead against the September NatCon speech, you get Hazony in two registers two months apart. The Klein interview is performance for a hostile-but-respectful liberal audience. The NatCon speech is internal coalition management. Both show stress. Both expose the coalition-manager role openly. Together they confirm that Hazony&#8217;s writing is calling card and his real product is convening, and the convening is under strain.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This speech is more candid than anything Hazony puts in writing. He admits the right&#8217;s antisemitism problem in public. He names the pattern without naming the men. &#8220;Some of them people I used to admire&#8221; who have made a turn &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=187510\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42849],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-187510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-yoram-hazony"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This speech is more candid than anything Hazony puts in writing. 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