{"id":163022,"date":"2025-08-22T16:55:54","date_gmt":"2025-08-23T00:55:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022"},"modified":"2025-08-23T19:04:50","modified_gmt":"2025-08-24T03:04:50","slug":"how-to-tap-expertise-appropriately","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022","title":{"rendered":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved.<\/p>\n<p>ChatGPT organized my thoughts:<\/p>\n<h2>1) Core stance<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Asymmetric risk rule:<\/strong> When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly as evidence permits.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Performance over vibes:<\/strong> Prefer claims that show <em>output legitimacy<\/em>\u2014they work in practice, not just in journals.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Institutional realism:<\/strong> Expertise is powerful but partial; treat it as a tool embedded in funding, incentives, and consensus machinery, not an oracle. See Turner\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.routledge.com\/The-Politics-of-Expertise\/Turner\/p\/book\/9781138929630\">The Politics of Expertise<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/us.sagepub.com\/en-us\/nam\/liberal-democracy-30\/book210474\">Liberal Democracy 3.0<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2>2) What counts as \u201csettled enough\u201d<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Converging evidence:<\/strong> Mechanism + high-quality studies + real-world outcomes align.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Replication or durable performance:<\/strong> Results hold up outside the lab.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Transparent consensus:<\/strong> Commission\/consensus statements publish methods, assumptions, and any minority views.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Scope discipline:<\/strong> Experts flag when they leave \u201cis\u201d for \u201cought.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>3) Turner\u2019s system critique (why experts can be right <em>and<\/em> wrong)<\/h2>\n<p>Modern knowledge production is a superb <em>consensus machine<\/em> built around grants, peer competition, and patent races. It rewards narrow, fundable interventions and sidelines comprehensive understanding. See Turner\u2019s essay \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/intheedition.wordpress.com\/2021\/09\/22\/expertise-in-crisis\/\">Expertise in Crisis<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>4) New filter: <em>Intervention<\/em> vs. <em>Understanding<\/em><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Intervention-science<\/strong> (what the system funds): fast, focused, scalable solutions (e.g., vaccines). The system executed brilliantly here.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Understanding-science<\/strong> (what the system underfunds): integrated, long-horizon insight (transmission in context, heterogeneity, long-term sequelae). Expect gaps unless explicitly funded and organized.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>5) Paul\u2019s lens: don\u2019t confuse elite signals with truth<\/h2>\n<p>Elite institutions can rapidly reset moral frames and police discourse. Treat elite consensus as a <em>social signal<\/em>, not evidence; always demand the data. See Darel E. Paul\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baylorpress.com\/9781481306959\/from-tolerance-to-equality\/\">From Tolerance to Equality<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>6) COVID application<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Vaccines:<\/strong> A genuine success of intervention-science; lifesaving and central to exit from acute crisis.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Against revisionism:<\/strong> The \u201clet it rip\u201d \/ herd-immunity gambit was a harmful overcorrection that failed empirically and ethically; see Howard\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/redhawkpublications.com\/We-Want-Them-Infected-p547021769\">We Want Them Infected<\/a> and scholarly review <a href=\"https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC10544515\/\">here<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Policy communication:<\/strong> Separate \u201cwhat we know,\u201d \u201cwhat we infer,\u201d and \u201cwhat we value;\u201d publish decision trails and sunset\/review points.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>7) Acceptance checklist (use before taking a stand)<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Competence check:<\/strong> Is the expert speaking within their training, or making political\/ethical tradeoffs?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Evidence maturity:<\/strong> Multiple independent lines, replication, and external validity?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Process quality:<\/strong> Transparent consensus with visible dissent and COI disclosures?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Incentive stress-test:<\/strong> Are grantsmanship, patents, or prestige messaging outrunning the data?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Elite-signal filter:<\/strong> Would you still accept this claim if it came from a low-status venue with identical evidence?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Intervention vs. understanding:<\/strong> Is this a narrow fix or a comprehensive account? Adjust confidence accordingly.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2>8) Action rules in a crisis<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Lower-regret path:<\/strong> Prefer measures that reduce worst-case outcomes (vaccination, ventilation, targeted NPIs), then step down as metrics improve.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sunset and review:<\/strong> Every extraordinary measure has an expiry date, predefined rollback metrics (hospital load, excess mortality, vax coverage), and periodic public review.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Equity check:<\/strong> Anticipate unequal burdens; build mitigations in from day one.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>9) Red lines<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Strategies that foreseeably increase preventable harm (e.g., deliberate mass infection) fail the asymmetric-risk rule; exclude unless facts materially change and survive independent review. See <a href=\"https:\/\/redhawkpublications.com\/We-Want-Them-Infected-p547021769\">Howard<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>10) Update rule (pivot without whiplash)<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Predeclare the metrics that will trigger changes.<\/li>\n<li>When pivoting, state what evidence shifted, why prior guidance was reasonable at the time, and what you expect next.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>11) How to write with this model<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Start with the <strong>harm baseline<\/strong> (what if we do nothing?).<\/li>\n<li>Place today\u2019s claim on the <strong>evidence maturity ladder<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Run the <strong>competence\/process\/incentive\/elite<\/strong> checks and the <strong>intervention vs. understanding<\/strong> filter.<\/li>\n<li>State the <strong>action<\/strong> with <strong>sunset + metrics<\/strong> and list uncertainties + what would change your mind.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<hr>\n<h3>Key references<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Stephen P. Turner, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.routledge.com\/The-Politics-of-Expertise\/Turner\/p\/book\/9781138929630\"><em>The Politics of Expertise<\/em><\/a> (Routledge)<\/li>\n<li>Stephen P. Turner, <a href=\"https:\/\/us.sagepub.com\/en-us\/nam\/liberal-democracy-30\/book210474\"><em>Liberal Democracy 3.0: Civil Society in an Age of Experts<\/em><\/a> (SAGE)<\/li>\n<li>Stephen P. Turner, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/intheedition.wordpress.com\/2021\/09\/22\/expertise-in-crisis\/\">Expertise in Crisis<\/a>\u201d (2021)<\/li>\n<li>Darel E. Paul, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baylorpress.com\/9781481306959\/from-tolerance-to-equality\/\"><em>From Tolerance to Equality<\/em><\/a> (Baylor University Press, 2019)<\/li>\n<li>Jonathan Howard, MD, <a href=\"https:\/\/redhawkpublications.com\/We-Want-Them-Infected-p547021769\"><em>We Want Them Infected<\/em><\/a> (Redhawk Publications, 2023), and scholarly review <a href=\"https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC10544515\/\">here<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42931],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-163022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-expertise"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Luke Ford\"\/>\n\t<meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"HMjuOfLRyzTPB-5Z5FG4BHkfZ1fbEij34rmbKM3BkZ4\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Luke Ford - No sacred cows.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &amp; Profit! - Luke Ford\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/lukesanta.jpg\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:secure_url\" content=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/lukesanta.jpg\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"600\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-23T00:55:54+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-08-24T03:04:50+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/lukecford\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@lukeford\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &amp; Profit! - Luke Ford\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@lukeford\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/lukesanta.jpg\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#blogposting\",\"name\":\"How To Tap Expertise For Fun & Profit! - Luke Ford\",\"headline\":\"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?author=1#author\"},\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/#person\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#articleImage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/litespeed\\\/avatar\\\/af8ecf5ef66099147247f500ec429b38.jpg?ver=1784204923\",\"width\":96,\"height\":96,\"caption\":\"Luke Ford\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-22T16:55:54-08:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-23T19:04:50-08:00\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#webpage\"},\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#webpage\"},\"articleSection\":\"Expertise\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#breadcrumblist\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog#listItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\",\"nextItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?cat=42931#listItem\",\"name\":\"Expertise\"}},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?cat=42931#listItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Expertise\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?cat=42931\",\"nextItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#listItem\",\"name\":\"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!\"},\"previousItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog#listItem\",\"name\":\"Home\"}},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#listItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!\",\"previousItem\":{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?cat=42931#listItem\",\"name\":\"Expertise\"}}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/#person\",\"name\":\"Luke Ford\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#personImage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/litespeed\\\/avatar\\\/af8ecf5ef66099147247f500ec429b38.jpg?ver=1784204923\",\"width\":96,\"height\":96,\"caption\":\"Luke Ford\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?author=1#author\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?author=1\",\"name\":\"Luke Ford\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#authorImage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/litespeed\\\/avatar\\\/af8ecf5ef66099147247f500ec429b38.jpg?ver=1784204923\",\"width\":96,\"height\":96,\"caption\":\"Luke Ford\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022\",\"name\":\"How To Tap Expertise For Fun & Profit! - Luke Ford\",\"description\":\"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/#website\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?p=163022#breadcrumblist\"},\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?author=1#author\"},\"creator\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/?author=1#author\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-22T16:55:54-08:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-23T19:04:50-08:00\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/\",\"name\":\"Luke Ford\",\"alternateName\":\"No Sacred Cows\",\"description\":\"No sacred cows.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/lukeford.net\\\/blog\\\/#person\"}}]}\n\t\t<\/script>\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO -->\n\n","aioseo_head_json":{"title":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun & Profit! - Luke Ford","description":"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly","canonical_url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022","robots":"max-image-preview:large","keywords":"","webmasterTools":{"google-site-verification":"HMjuOfLRyzTPB-5Z5FG4BHkfZ1fbEij34rmbKM3BkZ4","miscellaneous":""},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"BlogPosting","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#blogposting","name":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun & Profit! - Luke Ford","headline":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?author=1#author"},"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/#person"},"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#articleImage","url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/litespeed\/avatar\/af8ecf5ef66099147247f500ec429b38.jpg?ver=1784204923","width":96,"height":96,"caption":"Luke Ford"},"datePublished":"2025-08-22T16:55:54-08:00","dateModified":"2025-08-23T19:04:50-08:00","inLanguage":"en-US","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#webpage"},"isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#webpage"},"articleSection":"Expertise"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#breadcrumblist","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog#listItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog","nextItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?cat=42931#listItem","name":"Expertise"}},{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?cat=42931#listItem","position":2,"name":"Expertise","item":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?cat=42931","nextItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#listItem","name":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!"},"previousItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog#listItem","name":"Home"}},{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#listItem","position":3,"name":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!","previousItem":{"@type":"ListItem","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?cat=42931#listItem","name":"Expertise"}}]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/#person","name":"Luke Ford","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#personImage","url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/litespeed\/avatar\/af8ecf5ef66099147247f500ec429b38.jpg?ver=1784204923","width":96,"height":96,"caption":"Luke Ford"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?author=1#author","url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?author=1","name":"Luke Ford","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#authorImage","url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/litespeed\/avatar\/af8ecf5ef66099147247f500ec429b38.jpg?ver=1784204923","width":96,"height":96,"caption":"Luke Ford"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#webpage","url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022","name":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun & Profit! - Luke Ford","description":"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly","inLanguage":"en-US","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/#website"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022#breadcrumblist"},"author":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?author=1#author"},"creator":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?author=1#author"},"datePublished":"2025-08-22T16:55:54-08:00","dateModified":"2025-08-23T19:04:50-08:00"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/","name":"Luke Ford","alternateName":"No Sacred Cows","description":"No sacred cows.","inLanguage":"en-US","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/#person"}}]},"og:locale":"en_US","og:site_name":"Luke Ford - No sacred cows.","og:type":"article","og:title":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &amp; Profit! - Luke Ford","og:description":"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly","og:url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022","og:image":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/lukesanta.jpg","og:image:secure_url":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/lukesanta.jpg","og:image:width":800,"og:image:height":600,"article:published_time":"2025-08-23T00:55:54+00:00","article:modified_time":"2025-08-24T03:04:50+00:00","article:publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/lukecford","twitter:card":"summary_large_image","twitter:site":"@lukeford","twitter:title":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &amp; Profit! - Luke Ford","twitter:description":"Had the U.S. achieved Australia\u2019s cumulative COVID death rate through 2023, something like 700,000\u20131,000,000 American lives could have been saved. ChatGPT organized my thoughts: 1) Core stance Asymmetric risk rule: When stakes are high and the downside is catastrophic (death, long COVID, health-system collapse), bias toward precautionary measures backed by mainstream public-health evidence; relax quickly","twitter:creator":"@lukeford","twitter:image":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/lukesanta.jpg"},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"163022","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":{"focus":{"keyphrase":"","score":0,"analysis":{"keyphraseInTitle":{"score":0,"maxScore":9,"error":1}}},"additional":[]},"primary_term":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_url":null,"og_image_width":null,"og_image_height":null,"og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_video":"","og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema":{"blockGraphs":[],"customGraphs":[],"default":{"data":{"Article":[],"Course":[],"Dataset":[],"FAQPage":[],"Movie":[],"Person":[],"Product":[],"ProductReview":[],"Car":[],"Recipe":[],"Service":[],"SoftwareApplication":[],"WebPage":[]},"graphName":"BlogPosting","isEnabled":true},"graphs":[]},"schema_type":"default","schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":"-1","robots_max_videopreview":"-1","robots_max_imagepreview":"large","priority":null,"frequency":"default","local_seo":null,"breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":false,"ai":{"faqs":[],"keyPoints":[],"titles":[],"descriptions":[],"socialPosts":{"email":[],"linkedin":[],"twitter":[],"facebook":[],"instagram":[]}},"created":"2025-08-23 00:55:54","updated":"2025-08-24 03:18:44","seo_analyzer_scan_date":null},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?cat=42931\" title=\"Expertise\">Expertise<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\tHow To Tap Expertise For Fun &amp; Profit!\n\t\t<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog"},{"label":"Expertise","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?cat=42931"},{"label":"How To Tap Expertise For Fun &#038; Profit!","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=163022"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=163022"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163022\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":163092,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163022\/revisions\/163092"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=163022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=163022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=163022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}