{"id":159258,"date":"2025-03-04T09:10:59","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T17:10:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=159258"},"modified":"2025-03-04T09:19:20","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T17:19:20","slug":"trump-makes-law-firms-think-twice-before-crossing-him","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=159258","title":{"rendered":"Trump Makes Law Firms Think Twice Before Crossing Him"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I ask Grok: &#8220;Do the professions such as law lean to the political left?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Grok says: <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Yeah, professions like law do tend to lean left, at least in the U.S., but it\u2019s not a monolith\u2014context, location, and specific roles tweak the picture. Data backs this up: a 2021 study from the American Bar Association found 68% of lawyers identified as liberal or leaned Democratic, compared to 27% conservative or Republican. That\u2019s a hefty tilt. Same vibe in academia\u2014legal scholars at top law schools like Harvard or Yale skew even harder, with donor records from a 2017 New York Times analysis showing 15-to-1 Democratic over Republican contributions.<br \/>\nWhy? Education\u2019s a factor. Lawyers need advanced degrees, and higher education correlates with left-leaning views\u2014Pew Research in 2020 pegged 54% of postgrads as liberal vs. 19% conservative. Urban clustering helps too; most big law firms are in blue cities like New York or San Francisco, where social norms lean progressive. The job itself\u2014defending rights, challenging power\u2014also attracts people comfy with ideas like social justice or government intervention, which vibe more with the left.<br \/>\nBut it\u2019s not uniform. Corporate lawyers, especially at elite firms (think Big Law), often swing pragmatic or rightward\u2014handling billion-dollar mergers doesn\u2019t scream socialism. A 2022 National Law Journal survey showed partners at top firms donated 55% to Republicans, flipping the script. Criminal defense or public interest lawyers, though? Way more left\u201480% Democratic per a 2018 UCLA study, likely tied to their focus on marginalized groups.<br \/>\nX posts reflect this split. You\u2019ll see gripes about \u201cwoke lawyers\u201d pushing DEI, countered by others saying law\u2019s just a mercenary gig\u2014politics depends on the paycheck. History\u2019s mixed too: lawyers drove the Constitution (conservative bedrock), but also civil rights (progressive wins). Today, the left lean\u2019s real\u2014campaign finance data from OpenSecrets shows lawyers gave $43 million to Dems vs. $14 million to GOP in 2020. Still, it\u2019s less about the profession \u201cbeing\u201d left and more about who it attracts and where it\u2019s practiced.<br \/>\nDoctors? Mixed bag. A 2016 JAMA study found 45% of physicians identified as Democrats, 34% Republicans, and the rest independent\u2014closer to even than law\u2019s 68% left lean. Specialties shift it: surgeons and anesthesiologists (higher earners) trend GOP, while pediatricians and psychiatrists lean Dem, per a 2019 Medscape survey. Why? Income and values. Docs making over $250k\u2014about 60% of them\u2014often favor tax cuts and deregulation (right-wing vibes), but those in public health or academia (more urban, research-focused) swing left. AMA donations in 2020 split 52% Dem, 48% GOP, per OpenSecrets.<br \/>\nDentists? More conservative. A 2018 Journal of the American Dental Association poll pegged 54% Republican, 36% Democrat. They\u2019re often small-business owners\u2014private practices dominate\u2014and that entrepreneurial streak aligns with right-leaning priorities like lower taxes and less red tape. Rural dentists (20% of the field) amplify this; Pew 2020 data shows rural America\u2019s 60% GOP. ADA political giving in 2020? 58% to Republicans.<br \/>\nAccountants? Slight right lean. A 2021 Accounting Today survey had 49% Republican, 41% Democrat. Big Four firms (Deloitte, PwC) in blue cities like NYC show more Dems (55% per internal polls), but smaller firms and solo CPAs\u2014think tax prep in the heartland\u2014tilt GOP. Why? Business focus again. Accountants deal with tax codes and corporate clients; 62% of CFOs surveyed by Duke in 2022 leaned conservative, and that rubs off.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><A HREF=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/03\/04\/opinion\/trump-imperial-presidency.html\">Thomas B. Edsall writes in the New York Times today<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>In addition to revoking the security clearances, Trump wrote in a <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/presidential-actions\/2025\/02\/suspension-of-security-clearances-and-evaluation-of-government-contracts\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Feb. 25 memorandum<\/a>, \u201cI also direct the attorney general and heads of agencies to take such actions as are necessary to terminate any engagement of <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cov.com\/news-and-insights\/news\/2023\/12\/covington-once-again-ranked-among-the-global-elite-in-the-gcr100\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Covington &amp; Burling L.L.P.<\/a> by any agency to the maximum extent permitted by law and consistent with the memorandum that shall be issued by the director of the Office of Management and Budget.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The effects of the Trump administration\u2019s initiatives soon become apparent. On Feb. 26 the Bloomberg reporters Ben Penn and Tatyana Monnay described some of the reverberations of the Trump edict in \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/news.bloomberglaw.com\/us-law-week\/covington-revenge-deepens-worries-about-defending-trump-targets\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Covington Revenge Deepens Worries of Defending Trump Targets<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cSome firm leaders,\u201d they wrote, \u201cciting corporate clients threatening to walk if they get crosswise with Trump, have rejected outright or put up roadblocks to partners seeking approval to represent D.O.J. lawyers, F.B.I. agents and other civil servants who\u2019ve faced various forms of attack.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Penn and Monnay reported that their sources told them:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"css-1ggt3fz etf134l0\">\n<p class=\"css-12wzsk6 evys1bk0\">Individual attorneys want to enter what they see as a nonpartisan battle to preserve democracy by filing merit systems complaints for terminated federal employees, representing Jan. 6 prosecutors under investigation from D.O.J. and Congress or participating in litigation to halt Trump policies. Firms\u2019 senior decision makers, however, agonize about the sustainability of representing current and former government employees opposite the administration.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It\u2019s not just the left and the center that find the administration\u2019s policies disturbing. <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cato.org\/people\/walter-olson\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Walter Olson<\/a>, a senior fellow at the libertarian Cato Institute, warned in a Feb. 26 essay, \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cato.org\/blog\/trump-punishes-large-law-firm-representing-adversary\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Trump Punishes Large Law Firm for Representing His Adversary<\/a>,\u201d that the president\u2019s actions threaten \u201cthe loss of an independent and qualified bar willing to stand up to authority.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The implications of the revocation of security clearances, Olson continued, \u201cgo far beyond the practice of national security law. Anyone can find themselves in a fight with Trump or his allies on almost any topic under the sun, and the question is whether the counsel representing you in that dispute has to fear being made the next Covington.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">While the focus is different, the drive by Elon Musk\u2019s so-called Department of Government Efficiency to reduce the size of the federal work force also carries a broader message.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/politicalscience.stanford.edu\/people\/adam-bonica\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Adam Bonica<\/a>, a political scientist at Stanford, analyzed the pattern of personnel cuts initiated by Musk in a Feb. 28 Substack post, \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/data4democracy.substack.com\/p\/the-doge-purge-empirical-evidence\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The DOGE Purge: Empirical Evidence of Politically Motivated Firings<\/a>,\u201d and concluded: \u201cWhat we\u2019re witnessing in Washington isn\u2019t about \u2018efficiency\u2019 or \u2018cutting waste.\u2019 It\u2019s a calculated, ideologically driven purge of federal agencies perceived as liberal \u2014 a playbook lifted directly from modern authoritarian regimes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Bonica found that \u201cagencies perceived as liberal are overwhelmingly more likely to face staffing cuts. This ideological targeting is the single strongest predictor of which agencies face layoffs \u2014 far outweighing practical considerations like agency size or budget.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Targeting U.S.A.I.D. and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, \u201ctwo of the most liberal-leaning agencies, is likely telling,\u201d Bonica wrote. \u201cThe hardest-hit agencies are precisely those that regulate industry, protect public health and expand access to education.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The cuts DOGE is calling for, Bonica argued, fulfill an authoritarian agenda, closely following the proposals in the Heritage Foundation\u2019s Project 2025. The underlying goals include:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"css-1ggt3fz etf134l0\">\n<p class=\"css-12wzsk6 evys1bk0\"><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">Frame political purges as administrative reform: <\/strong>This framing masks the potential for politically motivated actions, such as targeting agencies that enforce environmental regulations or protect civil rights.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12wzsk6 evys1bk0\"><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">Target agencies that constrain executive power: <\/strong>The <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/static.project2025.org\/2025_MandateForLeadership_FULL.pdf#page=63.67\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Project 2025 document<\/a> specifically calls for significant alterations or dismantling of agencies like the E.P.A., the Department of Education, the Department of Labor and potentially the Department of Homeland Security.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-12wzsk6 evys1bk0\"><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">Weaken regulatory enforcement without changing laws: <\/strong>Project 2025 advocates for rescinding numerous regulations, streamlining permitting processes and reducing funding for agencies responsible for environmental protection and labor standards. This weakens enforcement without requiring the more challenging and public process of legislative change.<br \/>\nReplace career civil servants with loyalists: <\/strong>The project document repeatedly emphasizes the need for political appointees in key positions, even those traditionally held by career professionals. Project 2025 explicitly praises the idea of replacing career officials with \u201caligned political appointees,\u201d ensuring the bureaucracy executes the executive\u2019s agenda without resistance.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><A HREF=\"https:\/\/news.bloomberglaw.com\/us-law-week\/covington-revenge-deepens-worries-about-defending-trump-targets\">Bloomberg Law reported Feb. 26<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;one Big Law partner said he\u2019s never witnessed this level of concern in which firm leadership worries they could jeopardize their economic future by protecting the rule of law&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Adding to firm leaders\u2019 concerns is that a few competitors have warmed up to Trump, a significant turnabout from when much of Big Law shunned the president following the Jan. 6 Capitol insurrection.<\/p>\n<p>A team of defense lawyers at Sullivan &#038; Cromwell have taken over as Trump\u2019s lawyers to appeal the president\u2019s criminal conviction for hiding a $130,000 payment to adult film star Stormy Daniels. Jones Day, after previously winding down its Trump business, began to inch its way closer to Trump\u2019s orbit before the election, and is now pitching itself to companies and executives as the go-to white collar practice to convince DOJ to ease up enforcement.<\/p>\n<p>Sullivan &#038; Cromwell adding Trump as a client raised eyebrows at other firms known for representing corporations under DOJ investigation. The risks of losing current or future clients to Trump-aligned firms has been squarely on the minds of executive committees grappling over whether to bless pro bono work for Trump\u2019s DOJ targets&#8230;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I ask Grok: &#8220;Do the professions such as law lean to the political left?&#8221; Grok says: Yeah, professions like law do tend to lean left, at least in the U.S., but it\u2019s not a monolith\u2014context, location, and specific roles tweak &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=159258\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21791],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-159258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-america"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"I ask Grok: &quot;Do the professions such as law lean to the political left?&quot; Grok says: Yeah, professions like law do tend to lean left, at least in the U.S., but it\u2019s not a monolith\u2014context, location, and specific roles tweak the picture. 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