{"id":125570,"date":"2019-01-03T13:15:42","date_gmt":"2019-01-03T21:15:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=125570"},"modified":"2023-08-18T03:26:40","modified_gmt":"2023-08-18T11:26:40","slug":"2019-the-year-of-the-tech-crash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=125570","title":{"rendered":"2019: The Year of the Tech Crash?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><script>!function(r,u,m,b,l,e){r._Rumble=b,r[b]||(r[b]=function(){(r[b]._=r[b]._||[]).push(arguments);if(r[b]._.length==1){l=u.createElement(m),e=u.getElementsByTagName(m)[0],l.async=1,l.src=\"https:\/\/rumble.com\/embedJS\/uajap1\"+(arguments[1].video?'.'+arguments[1].video:'')+\"\/?url=\"+encodeURIComponent(location.href)+\"&args=\"+encodeURIComponent(JSON.stringify([].slice.apply(arguments))),e.parentNode.insertBefore(l,e)}})}(window, document, \"script\", \"Rumble\");<\/script><\/p>\n<div id=\"rumble_vbwgfl\"><\/div>\n<p><script>\nRumble(\"play\", {\"video\":\"vbwgfl\",\"div\":\"rumble_vbwgfl\"});<\/script><\/p>\n<p>00:00 The rise of China with Kyle<br \/>\n36:00 Heritable differences in dog breeds (Greg Cochran)<br \/>\n37:00 Donald Trump&#8217;s tweet about Elizabeth Warren 1\/2020th chance of winning<br \/>\n38:00 Democratic front runners in 2020<br \/>\n40:00 Prediction Market on Shutdown Duration<br \/>\n41:00 Taleb&#8217;s IQ meltdown<br \/>\n43:00 American elites vs Russia<br \/>\n48:00 Rodney, Kevin Michael Grace arrive<br \/>\n56:00 Liberal revolt threatens to derail House Democrats on their first day in charge<br \/>\n1:15:00 A national housing crisis is brewing. What actions can policymakers take to head it off?<br \/>\n1:24:00 Richard Spencer wants to rebuild the Tower of Babel<br \/>\n1:33:00 Apple suffers its biggest single-day loss in 6 years after cutting revenue guidance<br \/>\n1:36:00 Mark Zuckerberg Halts Stock Sales as Facebook Shares Tumble<br \/>\n1:45:00 Ruby Rose&#8217;s Batwoman gets CW pilot order with Game of Thrones director<br \/>\n1:50:00 Brundlefly on RS, Real Brother Radio<br \/>\n2:14:00 Theater Thursday: The Sweet Smell of Success (1957)<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"9KFgGZwDl9\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=125570\">2019: The Year of the Tech Crash?<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;2019: The Year of the Tech Crash?&#8221; &#8212; Luke Ford\" src=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=125570&#038;embed=true#?secret=b8NEYPShde#?secret=9KFgGZwDl9\" data-secret=\"9KFgGZwDl9\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Panel: https:\/\/twitter.com\/rowlandkyles<br \/>\n<a class=\"twitter-timeline\" data-width=\"640\" data-height=\"960\" data-dnt=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BrundleFly14?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">Tweets by BrundleFly14<\/a><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\nRodney Martin<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.sfgate.com\/news\/article\/Liberal-revolt-threatens-to-derail-House-13503434.php<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/china\/2018-09-21\/stop-obsessing-about-china<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.mitpressjournals.org\/doi\/pdf\/10.1162\/ISEC_a_00066<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/birthmoviesdeath.com\/2013\/12\/23\/the-strange-and-fascinating-history-of-gossip-behind-sweet-smell-of-success<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/science\/2019\/jan\/02\/chinese-spacecraft-to-become-first-to-land-on-far-side-of-moon-chang-e-4<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"rCYbElsgtD\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/westhunt.wordpress.com\/2019\/01\/03\/heritable-differences-in-dog-behavior\/\">Heritable differences in dog&nbsp;behavior<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Heritable differences in dog&nbsp;behavior&#8221; &#8212; West Hunter\" src=\"https:\/\/westhunt.wordpress.com\/2019\/01\/03\/heritable-differences-in-dog-behavior\/embed\/#?secret=iOjMFbQqjm#?secret=rCYbElsgtD\" data-secret=\"rCYbElsgtD\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/detail\/4078\/Will-the-federal-government-be-shut-down-on-February-9,-2018<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.bloombergquint.com\/view\/venezuela-economic-collapse-has-lessons-for-america-s-socialists#gs.9XFESzsh<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.thesun.co.uk\/tech\/8112733\/mark-zuckerberg-facebook-stock-selloff\/<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/01\/03\/apple-stock-falls-after-cutting-q1-guidance-on-weak-iphone-sales.html<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.sfgate.com\/news\/article\/A-national-housing-crisis-is-brewing-What-13505365.php<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/voxday.blogspot.com\/2019\/01\/a-satanic-racial-imperialist.html<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/ew.com\/tv\/2019\/01\/03\/batwoman-pilot-game-of-thrones\/<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/pjmedia.com\/trending\/lawsuit-claims-splc-abetted-theft-spread-lies-to-destroy-lawyer-for-thought-crime\/<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2019\/01\/03\/army-targets-snowflakes-binge-gamers-millennials-new-recruitment\/<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/chicago.cbslocal.com\/2019\/01\/02\/video-shows-beating-at-cta-red-line-chicago-station\/<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/news.grabien.com\/story-ocasio-cortezs-green-new-deal-radical-mandate-government-con<\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/science\/2019\/jan\/02\/chinese-spacecraft-to-become-first-to-land-on-far-side-of-moon-chang-e-4\">China holds breath as probe prepares to land on far side of moon<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Early reports of a successful landing by the robotic probe, Chang\u2019e 4, ended in confusion after state-run media China Daily and CGTN deleted tweets celebrating a successful mission. China Daily\u2019s tweet said: &#8216;\u201cChina\u2019s Chang\u2019e 4 landed on the moon\u2019s far side, inaugurating a new chapter in mankind\u2019s lunar exploration history.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>At the weekend, the probe entered an elliptical path around the moon, drawing as close as 15km (9 miles) from the surface. China\u2019s mission control has not confirmed a time for the touchdown attempt but reports in state-run media suggested it would be early Thursday morning UK time.<br \/>\nSpacecraft have taken pictures of the moon\u2019s far side before, but no lander has ever touched down there.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/westhunt.wordpress.com\/2019\/01\/03\/heritable-differences-in-dog-behavior\/\">Greg Cochran: Heritable differences in dog behavior<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cFor example, breed differences in aggression are associated with multiple genes that have been linked to aggressive behavior in humans. Molecular associations with breed differences in energy include genes previously linked to resting heart rate, daytime rest, and sleep duration in humans. Lastly, breed differences in fear were associated with genes linked with temperament and startle response in humans, and several of the genes implicated in breed differences in trainability have been previously associated with intelligence and information processing speed in humans.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>You can\u2019t say any of these things without detailed understanding of the causal mechanisms, just as we could not eat anything until we\u2019d learned that edible sugars are right-handed molecules while amino acids are left-handed.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/detail\/4078\/Will-the-federal-government-be-shut-down-on-February-9,-2018\">PredictIt: 18% implied odds as of 1-3-2018 that it will last until February 9.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thesun.co.uk\/tech\/8112733\/mark-zuckerberg-facebook-stock-selloff\/\">Mark Zuckerberg halts Facebook stock sale as value PLUMMETS over privacy scandals<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/01\/03\/apple-stock-falls-after-cutting-q1-guidance-on-weak-iphone-sales.html\">Apple suffers its biggest single-day loss in 6 years after cutting revenue guidance<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfgate.com\/news\/article\/A-national-housing-crisis-is-brewing-What-13505365.php\">A national housing crisis is brewing. What actions can policymakers take to head it off?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/pjmedia.com\/trending\/lawsuit-claims-splc-abetted-theft-spread-lies-to-destroy-lawyer-for-thought-crime\/\">Lawsuit Claims SPLC Abetted Theft, Spread Lies to Destroy Lawyer for \u2018Thought Crime\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/chicago.cbslocal.com\/2019\/01\/02\/video-shows-beating-at-cta-red-line-chicago-station\/\">Video Shows Beating at CTA Red Line Chicago Station<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2019\/01\/03\/army-targets-snowflakes-binge-gamers-millennials-new-recruitment\/\">British Army targets &#8216;snowflakes, binge gamers and me, me, me millennials&#8217; in new recruitment drive<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/news.grabien.com\/story-ocasio-cortezs-green-new-deal-radical-mandate-government-con\">THE &#8216;GREEN NEW DEAL&#8217;: A RADICAL MANDATE FOR GOVERNMENT CONTROL OF AMERICAN SOCIETY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/ew.com\/tv\/2019\/01\/03\/batwoman-pilot-game-of-thrones\/\">Ruby Rose&#8217;s Batwoman gets CW pilot order with Game of Thrones director<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* <a href=\"https:\/\/voxday.blogspot.com\/2019\/01\/a-satanic-racial-imperialist.html\">Vox Day: A satanic racial imperialist<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">&#8220;Bill Kristol, Mitt Romney, Jonah Goldberg, almost all of National Review, etc, will continue playing hide-the-ball regarding their real views on immigration\u2014which are open borders in all but name&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/a2UynCsYy7\">https:\/\/t.co\/a2UynCsYy7<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Kevin Michael Grace?????????\u269c?? (@KMGVictoria) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KMGVictoria\/status\/1080940306936287233?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 3, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"und\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JzfXMAPwKP\">pic.twitter.com\/JzfXMAPwKP<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1080858959404240896?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 3, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Hello <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/StuartJRitchie?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@StuartJRitchie<\/a>, can you answer the following? Feel free to ask the geniuses in psychometrics.<\/p>\n<p>IQ below 100 correlates at 90% with performance<br \/>\nIQ above 100 correlates at 10% with performance<br \/>\nWhat&#8217;s the correlation IQ to performance?<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1080937177301823488?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 3, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">So irresponsible from <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/McFaul?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@mcfaul<\/a>. Between 150,000-220,000 Americans visit Russia every year. The chances of a tourist being hit by a car are multiple times higher than those of being arrested for spying. Dude has a position of influence in US &amp; keeps abusing it to feed hysteria <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lpiK5ySUW7\">pic.twitter.com\/lpiK5ySUW7<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Bryan MacDonald (@27khv) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/27khv\/status\/1080791997869420544?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 3, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>00:00 The rise of China with Kyle 36:00 Heritable differences in dog breeds (Greg Cochran) 37:00 Donald Trump&#8217;s tweet about Elizabeth Warren 1\/2020th chance of winning 38:00 Democratic front runners in 2020 40:00 Prediction Market on Shutdown Duration 41:00 Taleb&#8217;s &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/?p=125570\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21791],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-125570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-america"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125570","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=125570"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125570\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":150080,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125570\/revisions\/150080"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=125570"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=125570"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lukeford.net\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=125570"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}